Announcement

**Udog** · 12-09-2008, 08:52 PM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 15

Thursday, December 11th

New Orleans at Chicago, 8:15 ET NFL
New Orleans: 6-0 Over in December
Chicago: 16-4 Over as home favorite

Sunday, December 14th

Green Bay at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 9-0 ATS off non-conference game
Jacksonville: 0-6 ATS in home games

Detroit at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 9-2 Over vs. AFC
Indianapolis: 5-1 ATS after allowing 9 points or less

Washington at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Washington: 8-0 Under L8 games
Cincinnati: 8-22 ATS off loss by 21+ points

Tampa Bay at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: n/a
Atlanta: 5-0 ATS off road division loss

San Francisco at Miami, 1:00 ET
San Francisco: 0-6 ATS Away off ATS win
Miami: 0-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

Seattle at St. Louis, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 8-2 ATS off BB ATS losses
St. Louis: 3-11 ATS off division game

Buffalo at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 0-6 ATS off an Under
NY Jets: 8-2 ATS off DD loss

Tennessee at Houston, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 6-0 ATS as road favorite
Houston: 10-1 Over vs. division opponents

(TC) Pittsburgh at Baltimore, 4:15 ET
Pittsburgh: 7-2 Over vs. AFC
Baltimore: 8-2 ATS vs. AFC

(TC) Denver at Carolina, 4:15 ET
Denver: 5-17 ATS off SU win
Carolina: 3-0 ATS vs. NFC

San Diego at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
San Diego: 13-3 ATS off home win by 21+ points
Kansas City: 1-5 ATS off an Under

Minnesota at Arizona, 4:05 ET
Minnesota: 1-6 ATS off SU win
Arizona: 18-5 Over off ATS win

New England at Oakland, 4:15 ET
New England: 17-7 ATS in road games
Oakland: 3-11 ATS in home games

NY Giants at Dallas, 8:15 ET
NY Giants: 8-1 ATS vs. NFC
Dallas: 1-8 ATS L4 Weeks of regular season

Monday, December 15th

Cleveland at Philadelphia, 8:30 ET ESPN
Cleveland: 7-0 ATS off a road loss
Philadelphia: 7-0 Under as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

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**Udog** · 12-09-2008, 08:53 PM

NFL

Week 15

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Trend Sheet
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Thursday, December 11

8:15 PM NEW ORLEANS vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
New Orleans is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

Sunday, December 14

1:00 PM BUFFALO vs. NY JETS
Buffalo is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
NY Jets are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo

1:00 PM DETROIT vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Indianapolis is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games

1:00 PM GREEN BAY vs. JACKSONVILLE
Green Bay is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:00 PM SAN DIEGO vs. KANSAS CITY
San Diego is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
San Diego is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 2-20 SU in its last 22 games

1:00 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. MIAMI
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

1:00 PM SEATTLE vs. ST. LOUIS
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM TAMPA BAY vs. ATLANTA
Tampa Bay is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

1:00 PM TENNESSEE vs. HOUSTON
Tennessee is 11-1-1 ATS in its last 13 games
Tennessee is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tennessee

1:00 PM WASHINGTON vs. CINCINNATI
Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 1-11-1 SU in its last 13 games

4:05 PM MINNESOTA vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Arizona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

4:15 PM DENVER vs. CAROLINA
Denver is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:15 PM NEW ENGLAND vs. OAKLAND
New England is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
New England is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

4:15 PM PITTSBURGH vs. BALTIMORE
Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:15 PM NY GIANTS vs. DALLAS
NY Giants are 6-11-1 ATS in their last 18 games when playing on the road against Dallas
NY Giants are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games at home

Monday, December 15

8:30 PM CLEVELAND vs. PHILADELPHIA
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

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**bcmoats** · 12-10-2008, 11:50 AM

thanx for the trend Udog.....
that just solidifies my big play on sunday.....

keep up the great work Udog!!!!

gl2ya

**Udog** · 12-10-2008, 12:28 PM

NP, bcmoats! Good luck to you, too, this week!

**pm530** · 12-11-2008, 04:43 AM

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up

Week 15 games

Thursday, December 11

Saints (7-6) @ Bears (7-6)-- Winner stays in playoff contention, loser is done; Saints won three of last four games, but are 1-5 on road, winning at 2-11 Chiefs- they've allowed 20+ points in their last seven games, and as a dome team going to night game in cold place, would seem to be at a big disadvantage here. Bears won four of last five home games; they're 5-1 if they allow 20 or less points, 2-5 otherwise. NFC South road dogs have covered eight of 11. NFC North home favorites are 4-5 against spread. Over is 4-1-1 in last six New Orleans games, 1-4 in last five Bear games.

Sunday, December 14

Packers (5-8) @ Jaguars (4-9)-- Jax lost four in row, six of its last seven games, scoring 17 or less points last four weeks (six TDs on 48 drives in last four games, with nine turnovers in last three). Jags lost five of their six home games this season, losing last four. Packers lost last three in a row, giving up 61-35-24 points, losing last two by combined total of 7 points. Packers lost last three rtoad games, by 3-1-22 pts. NFC North favorites are 6-7 out of division, 2-2 on road. AFC South dogs are 6-3 vs spread; this is first time this year an AFC South team is home dog in non-divisional game.

Lions (0-13) @ Colts (9-4)-- Detroit may be winless, but they covered last four road games; their road losses this season are by 13-18-2-7-4-9 points, so tough to lay 17 with Indy club that has won two games this season by more than six points. Colts are 2-4 as home favorite this year, winning last four at home by 28-3-6-32 points. Lions were outscored in second half of last seven games by 102-33 margin. NFC North road dogs are 8-5 vs spread. AFC South home favorites are 5-11 vs spread. Over is 6-1-1 in Lions' last eight games, 0-3 in last three Indianapolis contests.

Redskins (7-6) @ Bengals (1-11-1)-- Lot of turmoil in Washington this week, with Portis criticizing the coach, and both tackles getting hurt last Sunday night in Baltimore; Skins lost four of last five games, winning by FG at 2-11 Seattle. Bengals lost last two games by combined 69-3 score, so you can make argument they're in tank for season-- in their last eight games, Cincinnati was outscored 143-16 in second half. NFC East faves are 17-9 vs spread, 6-5 on road; AFC North home dogs are 4-2 against the spread. Under is 8-0-1 in last nine Washington games.

Buccaneers (9-4) @ Falcons (8-5)-- Atlanta lost 24-9 in Tampa back in Week 2 (-7.5), getting outrushed 164-105, as Ryan's offense went 3/out on 6 of 11 drives in his first road start, averaging 3.5 yards/pass attempt. Falcons are 5-1 at home, losing to Denver, winning games by 13-24-14-2-17 points (3-1 as home favorite). Bucs gave up 299 rushing yards in loss at Charlotte Monday; they're 3-4 on road, winning at Bears, Lions and Chiefs. Six of last nine Buc games stayed under the total. NFC South home favorites are 8-2 vs spread in non-divisional games.

49ers (5-8) @ Dolphins (8-5)-- Niners won three of last four games, are 4-1 vs spread with Singletary as coach; they're 3-3 as road dog, losing on foreign soil by 14-12-5-13 points, winning at Seattle, Buffalo. Miami is 6-1 in its last seven games, depsite scoring 17-16-16 points in last three wins. Dolphins are 1-4 as home favorite this year- this is their last home game of '08, unless they win AFC East. Miami hasn't allowed a TD in last two games, after giving up 48 pointso to Patriots in Week 12 loss. NFC West road underdogs are 5-11 vs spread; AFC East home favorites are 6-11. Six of last seven Miami games stayed under the total.

Seahawks (2-11) @ Rams (2-11)-- St Louis lost last seven games (1-5 vs spread in last six); they scored two TDs on 37 drives in losing last three at home. Seattle lost last six games, though they did put up good fight at home vs Patriots last week, losing 24-21. Rams (+9) lost 37-13 at Seattle back in Week 3, giving up 245 rushing yards- they actually have a better record than Hawks since then, are -15 in turnovers in the last six games, coughing ball up 21 times. Under is 5-1 in the last six Seattle games, 5-2 in the last seven Ram games. Faves are 6-2 vs spread in NFC West tilts, 3-0 on road.

Bills (6-7) @ Jets (8-5)-- Buffalo is about to join short list of NFL clubs that started season 4-0, but missed playoffs; they'e 1-6 in last seven, 0-6 vs spread in the six losses (by 9-9-10-2-7-13 points)- they're without a TD on 18 drives in last two games (two FGAs). Jets won first meeting 26-17 at Buffalo, getting five sacks, three takeaways (+3), one of which was a long defensive TD that turned game in Jets' favor. Gang Green lost to Denver, 49ers in last two games, running ball 31 times, dropping back to pass 79. Jets are 3-3 as home favorite, Bills 1-3 as a road underdog.

Titans (12-1) @ Texans (6-7)-- Houston won last three games, allowing 14.7 ppg, after giving up 34 ppg in three games before that; Texans lost first meeting 31-12 in Week 3, when their lives had been disrupted by a hurricane (their Week 2 game was postponed). Houston won four of last five home games, covered five of last six as an underdog. Tennessee won all six road games (6-0 vs spread); they're 9-2 vs spread as favorite this season. AFC South home teams are 3-5 vs spread in division games, 1-2 as underdog. Titans held four of their last five opponents under 4.3 ypa.

Steelers (10-3) @ Ravens (9-4)-- First place in AFC North on line, with undercurrent of Ravens having rumored bounty on Hines Ward. Ravens lost first meeting 23-20 in OT at Heinz (+5), blowing 13-3 halftime lead. Steelers won last four games, covered last three; they're 3-1 as underdog this season, 5-1 SU on road, losing 15-6 at Philly in Week 3. Ravens are 7-1 in last eight games, losing only to Giants; they outscored last three opponents 94-20 since that loss (57-10 in second half), are 5-1 at home, losing only to 12-1 Titans. Home faves are 2-3 vs spread in AFC North.

Broncos (8-5) @ Panthers (10-3)-- Carolina knows it gets home field in NFC playoffs if they win out, but short week for them here, with trip to Swamp to play Giants in primetime next week, so they better not look past Denver team that won four of last five games, with underdogs 6-0 vs spread in their last six. Panthers are 7-0 at home (4-2-1 as home fave), winning by 3-15-34-23-4-9-15 points. Denver is 4-2 on road, winning its last three games on foreign soil. NFC South home favorites are 8-5 vs the spread in non-league games; AFC West road underdogs are 8-6 vs spread

Chargers (5-8) @ Chiefs (2-11)-- San Diego escaped with 20-19 win in first meeting, when Chiefs scored in last minute, but went for a winning 2-point conversion and failed, rather than kick simple game-tying PAT, which would have forced OT. Chiefs don't win much, but they're 5-2 vs spread in last seven games- they're 1-5 at home, 3-3, as home dog, with home losses by 15-24-3-10-23 points. Chargers had three extra days to prepare after beating Raiders, just their second win in last seven games- they're 1-5 on road, and were down 15-0 in game they won, at Oakland.

Vikings (8-5) @ Cardinals (8-5)-- Arizona clinched first division title in 33 years last week; they're 5-1 at home, losing only to Giants, are 6-1 vs spread as favorite this season. Minnesota won three in row, five of last six. Last I heard (this is on Wednesday) was that Frerotte didn't practice Wednesday, making Jackson likely starter Sunday. Cardinals allowed 24 or less points in all eight wins, an average of 38.4 in their losses. Vikes have six INTs in last three games, after having total of six in their first 10 games. Seven of last ten Arizona games, five of last seven Viking games went over the total.

Patriots (8-5) @ Raiders (3-10)-- Father of QB Cassel passed away this week; he has left team, will update when/if he returns. Backups QB have no NFL experience (O'Connell, Gutierrez). Oakland lost six of last seven games, beating Broncos in Denver- they're 1-5 at home, beating Jets but losing games by 27-10-24-11-7 points. Patriots are staying in California this week after winning in Seattle Sunday; they're 4-2 on road, winning by 9-9-20-3 points, losing at San Diego, Indy. AFC East road favorites are 2-5 vs spread. AFC West home underdogs are 2-5 against spread.

Giants (11-2) @ Cowboys (8-5)-- Desperate times for Dallas squad in fight for playoff life; they lost first meeting 35-14 (+8.5) in Week 9, the last game Romo missed. Giants had 200 rushing yards in that game, but Jacobs (knee) is banged up, and Cowboys need this game more. Giants gained just 211 yards in loss to Eagles last week, their first loss in eight games. Home teams are just 2-6 vs spread in NFC East divisional games. Dallas is 5-1 at home, losing only to Eagles; they scored 35-34 points in last two home games. Under is 3-1 in last four games for both games.

Monday, December 15

Browns (4-9) @ Eagles (7-5-1)-- Philly won last two games, close with Redskins/Cowboys, so they can make playoffs if they run table- they're 4-2 as home favorite, with home wins by 35-9-13-28 points. Cleveland is down to Dorsey at QB; in their last three games, they've scored 6-6-9 points (no TDs/nine TOs/11 3-outs/30 drives). AFC North road dogs are 10-7 vs spread. NFC East home favorites are 11-4 against the spread. Last three Cleveland games, four of six Eagle home games stayed under total. Two of Browns' wins this season came on Monday night (against Giants, Bills).

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**pm530** · 12-11-2008, 05:01 AM

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL

Thursday, December 11

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Tips and Trends
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New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears [NFL | 8:15 PM ET]

Saints: New Orleans has seen its season end in Chicago each of the last two years and hopes to still have something to look forward to after Thursday night. The Saints lost last year's regular-season finale at Soldier Field 33-25 to miss out on the playoffs which followed a 39-14 defeat in the NFC Championship 11 months earlier. They are tied with the Bears at 7-6 and will likely need to win this game in order to stay alive for a Wild Card berth.

Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
The OVER is 13-4-1 in New Orleans' last 18 games overall.

Key Injuries - S Roman Harper (shoulder) is probable.
CB Randall Gay (concussion) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Bears (-3, O/U 45): Chicago rookie RB Matt Forte will be facing his hometown team and broke Gale Sayers' record for most yards from scrimmage in his very first year during last week's 23-10 win over Jacksonville. “I couldn’t even imagine coming in and going past Gale Sayers’ yards as a rookie,” Forte said. “I really don’t even look at stats. I just go out there and play.” Bears QB Kyle Orton will also be very motivated against the Saints considering one of the main reasons he went to Purdue was to follow in the footsteps of New Orleans QB Drew Brees.

Bears are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 15.
The OVER is 19-7 in Chicago's last 26 home games.

Key Injuries - DT Dusty Dvoracek (arm) is OUT.
CB Nathan Vashar (thumb) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 27

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**Udog** · 12-11-2008, 10:14 AM

NFL
Dunkel - Thur.

New Orleans at Chicago
The Bears look to take advantage of a New Orleans team that is just 3-5 ATS over the past three seasons as a road underdog of 3 points or less. Chicago is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Bears favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3).

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 11

Game 301-302: New Orleans at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 130.485; Chicago 135.581
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 5; 41
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3); Under

**pm530** · 12-12-2008, 01:17 PM

National Football League – Dunkel Index

NFL

Dunkel Index
Sunday/Monday

Denver at Carolina
The Panthers look to go a perfect 8-0 SU at home this season against a Denver team that is 3-8 ATS in non-conference games over the last three seasons. Carolina is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Panthers favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-7 1/2). Here are all of this week's games.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 14

Game 303-304: Green Bay at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 132.443; Jacksonville 132.080
Dunkel Line: Even; 48 1/2
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 2 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+2 1/2); Over

Game 305-306: Detroit at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 118.615; Indianapolis 139.397
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 21; 40
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 17; 45
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-17); Under

Game 307-308: Washington at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 129.487; Cincinnati 120.406
Dunkel Line: Washington by 9; 33
Vegas Line: Washington by 7; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-7); Under

Game 309-310: Tampa Bay at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 134.678; Atlanta 139.686
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 5; 42
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3); Under

Game 311-312: San Francisco at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 123.463; Miami 131.112
Dunkel Line: Miami by 7 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Miami by 6; 44
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-6); Over

Game 313-314: Seattle at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 120.431; St. Louis 120.619
Dunkel Line: Even; 48
Vegas Line: Seattle by 2 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+2 1/2); Over

Game 315-316: Buffalo at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 130.514; NY Jets 135.857
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 5; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 7 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+7 1/2); Over

Game 317-318: Tennessee at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 137.547; Houston 136.345
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1; 38
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3); Under

Game 319-320: Pittsburgh at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 139.910; Baltimore 144.436
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 4 1/2; 31
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 2 1/2; 34
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-2 1/2); Under

Game 321-322: Denver at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 127.199; Carolina 140.015
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 13; 53
Vegas Line: Carolina by 7 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-7 1/2); Over

Game 323-324: San Diego at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 130.340; Kansas City 127.089
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 3; 51
Vegas Line: San Diego by 6; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+6); Over

Game 325-326: Minnesota at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 131.032; Arizona 137.129
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 6; 50
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-3); Over

Game 327-328: New England at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: New England 136.922; Oakland 124.671
Dunkel Line: New England by 12; 46
Vegas Line: New England by 7; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-7); Over

Game 329-330: NY Giants at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 135.724; Dallas 139.607
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 4; 49
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3); Over

MONDAY, DECEMBER 15

Game 331-332: Cleveland at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 126.089; Philadelphia 142.924
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 17; 36
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 14; 39
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-14); Under

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**Udog** · 12-12-2008, 06:27 PM

NFL

Sunday, December 14

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Tips and Trends
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons [FOX | 1 PM ET]

Bucs: Tampa Bay is coming off a 38-23 loss at Carolina on Monday night and will need to find a way to stop Atlanta's Michael Turner in order to pull off the season series sweep. The Bucs did not give up 100 yards to any running back this season until the latest meeting with the Panthers, as DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart each topped the century mark and rushed for two touchdowns apiece. Turner was held to a season-low 42 yards in the first meeting but ranks second in the NFL in rushing and has tied a franchise record with 14 TDs on the ground.

Bucs are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
The OVER is 9-2 in Tampa Bay's last 11 road games.
QB Jeff Garcia (calf) is questionable.
C Sean Mayan (back) is questionable.
G Jeremy Zuttah (ankle) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21

Falcons (-3, O/U 44.5): Home teams in the NFC South are an unbelievable 24-2 straight-up this season, although one of those losses came at Atlanta. The Falcons lost 24-20 at home to Denver on November 16th, but all of their divisional games this year have followed this pattern. They are coming off a 29-25 loss at New Orleans last Sunday and suffered their first setback of the season at Tampa Bay 24-9 in Week 2. In fact, Atlanta will be trying to snap a three-game series skid against the Bucs. The Falcons are averaging 32.2 points per game at home compared to just 18.6 on the road.

Falcons are 5-1 SU & ATS at home this season.
The OVER is 8-2 Atlanta's last 10 home games.

Key Injuries - DE John Abraham (shoulder) is questionable.
DT Grady Jackson (knee) is questionable.
WR Harry Douglas (head) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens [CBS | 4:15 PM ET]

Steelers: Pittsburgh used the NFL's top-ranked defense to beat the Cowboys last week, rallying back from a 13-3 deficit in the fourth quarter for a 20-13 victory. Deshea Townsend picked off Dallas QB Tony Romo in the final minutes and returned it for just the team's second defensive touchdown of the season. “We’re going to win by any means necessary,” Steelers LB James Harrison said. “If the defense has to score, if the special teams have to kick in a score, or if the offense has to score 50 points - whatever it takes to win.”

Steelers are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Key Injuries - S Troy Polamalu (calf) is questionable.
OT Marvel Smith (groin) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Ravens (-2, O/U 34): Baltimore owns the league's second-best defense and has scored six TDs, including another interception return by All-Pro safety Ed Reed in last week's 24-10 win over the Redskins. “Ed is going to always be Ed,” Ravens LB Ray Lewis said, “But the way our defense came out and set down (Redskins running back) Clinton Portis, the guys up front did an extremely incredible freaking job.” This is a rematch of an earlier Monday night football matchup in which LB Terrell Suggs told the media there was a bounty on Pittsburgh rookie RB Rashard Mendenhall, who ended up breaking his shoulder in the game on a hard hit by Lewis.

Ravens are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
The OVER is 14-3-1 in Baltimore's last 18 games on grass.

Key Injuries - WR Mark Clayton (knee) is questionable.
K Matt Stover (knee) is questionable.
RB Ray Rice (shin) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: 23

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

Giants: New York finally showed a chink in its armor last week in a 20-14 home loss to Philadelphia, and the team is eager to get back on track here and clinch a first-round bye in the playoffs. “We have some cleaning up to do,” Giants LB Danny Clark said. “For all intents and purposes, it’s good that we got a little chip. We don’t feel good about the performance we had yesterday. At the end of the day, we took a shot under our chin. We are going to lick our wounds and bounce back.” The loss of WR Plaxico Burress finally seemed to affect New York, and his presence could be missed again against the Cowboys.

Giants are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games vs. teams with a winning record.
The UNDER is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings at Dallas.

Key Injuries - WR Domenik Hixon (ankle) is questionable.
DE Justin Tuck (leg) is questionable.
RB Brandon Jacobs (knee) is questionable.
WR Plaxico Burress (suspension) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17

Cowboys (-3, O/U 44): It will be interesting to see how Dallas comes out for this critical game against the defending Super Bowl champs. The Cowboys melted down in the final minutes of a 20-13 loss at Pittsburgh last week, a game they clearly should have won. “The way that game ended, it’s almost like a blur,” Dallas DE Marcus Spears said. “What happened?” The Cowboys are just 18-32 in their last 50 games played in December or January but should get RB Marion Barber back after he was held out of last week's game with a dislocated toe.

Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. NFC East.
The UNDER is 3-1 in Dallas' last 4 games overall.

Key Injuries - RB Marion Barber (toe) is probable.
WR Roy Williams (foot) is questionable.
TE Jason Witten (ankle) is questionable.
CB Adam Jones (neck) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 27 (Side Play of the Day)

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**Kaptain** · 12-12-2008, 07:22 PM

Trends and angles for the remainder of the NFL menu for Week 15 appear below.

PACKERS (5-8, 7-6) at JAGUARS (4-9, 3-10)

Green Bay has cashed at a 15-5-1 clip on the road while Jacksonville is 0-6 ATS at home this season. The Jaguars have 'covered' 18 of 26 at Municipal Stadium versus NFC foes and they are 7-1 ATS after a two-game road trip. The Packers have cashed nine straight off a non-conference game. Green Bay has been on the high side in 21 of 29 games overall and in 10 of 12 on the highway. Jacksonville has strayed 'over' at a 17-10-1 rate after scoring 10 or less and in eight of nine during the last four weeks of the season.

LIONS (0-13, 5-8) at INDIANAPOLIS (9-4, 6-6-1)

Detroit has come away with the green in its last four road games. Indianapolis has faltered in four of six ATS at the RCA Dome. The Colts have 'covered' 16 of 23 as non-conference favorites. The Lions have topped the number in 15 of 18 as double-digit dogs and in 18 of 25 on the road against AFC opponents. Indianapolis has bounced 'over' in 15 of 23 against NFC rivals.

REDSKINS (7-6, 5-6-1)

Cincinnati has come up short in 20 of 28 as home dogs off a road game. The Bengals are 2-4 ATS at Paul Brown Stadium this year. Washington is 1-6-1 ATS since starting the season on a 4-1 spread run. The Redskins have won four of six on the road (3-2-1 ATS). Washington has trickled 'under' in 16 of 20 as non-conference favorites and at a 14-4-1 clip against AFC opposition.

BUCS (9-3, 7-5 prior to Monday) at FALCONS (8-5 SU&ATS)

Atlanta will be looking for revenge after dropping the initial series clash as eight-point road dogs, 24-9. The favorite is now 14-3 SU and 13-4 ATS in the past 17 showdowns. Tampa Bay has cashed at an 11-4-1 clip against the Falcons. Atlanta is 5-16 ATS at home after yielding 28 points or more. The Falcons have 'covered' at an 18-8-3 pace as division favorites. The 'over' is 7-3-1 in the last 11 skirmishes.

49ERS (5-8, 7-6) at DOLPHINS (8-5, 6-7)

San Francisco has its sights set on winning three in a row for only the second time since 2002. The 49ers are 5-16-2 ATS on the road after winning by seven or more and 3-15 ATS after allowing 200 or less passing yards in their previous game. Miami has lost nine of 11 (1-10 ATS) as home favorites of 3 1/2 or more. The Dolphins have dropped seven straight spread decisions as favorites of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2-points. In addition, they are 5-20 ATS at home after winning five or six of seven games.

SEAHAWKS (3-10, 5-7-1) at RAMS (2-11, 4-9)

Seattle trashed St. Louis in the first clash of the season as nine-point home favorites, 37-13. The Seahawks are 14-6 ATS versus a division foe over the last four weeks of the season. The Rams are 6-20 ATS avenging a same season setback. Assuming Seattle will be favored; the Seahawks are 7-16 as road favorites while St. Louis is 5-18-1 as division home dogs

BILLS (6-7, 5-8) at JETS (8-5, 7-6)

The New York Jets nipped Buffalo as 5 1/2-point pups in the first series encounter, 21-17. The Jets have cashed in 11 of the past 17 home meetings against the Bills. Buffalo has 'covered' eight of 12 division tests on the road and New York is 7-3 ATS at the Meadowlands against AFC East rivals. The Bills has slipped 'under' in 14 of 18 as division road dogs. The Jets have ended on the low side in 18 of 24 at home after scoring 14 points or less.

TITANS (12-1, 11-2) at TEXANS (6-7 SU&ATS)

Houston has won three straight for the first time in franchise history and also 'covered' four in a row for the first time. Tennessee has cashed six straight this year as road favorites and nine of its last 10 versus division foes. The Titans spanked the Texans as six-point home favorites in the initial series test, 31-12. Houston is 9-1 ATS at home avenging a loss where the opponent scored 28 points or more. The Texans have topped the 'total' in nine of 10 at home when the number was between 42 1/2 and 45 and in 10 of 12 as short-enders of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points. Nine of the last 11 series shootouts have zipped 'over.'

STEELERS (10-3, 7-5-1) at RAVENS (9-4, 10-3)

Baltimore fell short in the first meeting as seven-point road dogs, 23-20. The visiting team is 13-5-1 ATS in the past 19 series scuffles. The Ravens have 'covered' seven of their last eight. They are 5-1 SU and ATS at home and 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS versus division denizens.

BRONCOS (8-5, 5-8) at PANTHERS (9-3, 6-5-1 prior to Monday)

Denver is 34-20-1 as dogs. Carolina is 7-14-1 as non-division home chalk. The Panthers had 'covered' 35 of 54 in December prior to Monday's clash with Tampa Bay. The Broncos have zipped 'over' in five of six road outings this season.

CHARGERS (5-8 SU&ATS) at CHIEFS (2-11, 7-6)

San Diego struggled against Kansas City at home before pulling out a 20-19 win as 14-point favorites. The home team is 7-4-1 ATS in the past 11 series skirmishes and the SU winner is 23-4-2 ATS. The Chargers are 15-7 ATS off a double-digit division win and 23-9 ATS on the road after allowing 10 points or less. They have also cashed six straight on the highway in December.

VIKINGS (8-5, 5-8) at CARDS (8-5 SU&ATS)

Minnesota has failed to get the money in 22 of its last 26 road finales. The Vikings are 11-20-1 ATS on the road when facing a non-division foe. They have dropped five of seven spread decisions on the highway this year. Arizona has won five of six at home (4-2 ATS). Minnesota has blown 'over' in five of seven on the road and the Cards have followed suit in five of six at home. Arizona has strayed 'over' in nine of 11 in December.

PATRIOTS (8-5, 6-7) at RAIDERS (3-10, 5-8)

New England has cashed 17 of its last 24 on the road. The Patriots have dropped 18 of 24 ATS versus terrible teams - win percentage of less than 25 percent - during the second half of the season. Oakland is 5-20 ATS in its last 25 December starts. The Raiders are 0-7 ATS after losing two of three and 0-7 ATS at home after scoring 14 points or less two straight games. Oakland has snuck 'under' in 14 of 17 when facing winning teams and in six straight off a double-digit loss.

BROWNS (4-9, 5-6-2) at EAGLES (7-5-1, 7-6)

Cleveland is 13-7-1 as road short-enders of seven points or more. The Browns are 17-3-1 ATS after allowing 27 points or more and 7-0 ATS off a road loss. However, they have floundered in 11 of 16 on the highway against NFC foes. Philadelphia is 10-20 as non-conference favorites. Cleveland has ducked 'under' in 15 of 19 as non-conference pups. The Eagles have stayed on the low side in seven straight as home favorites of 7 1/2 to 14 points.

**pm530** · 12-13-2008, 03:35 AM

NFL

Monday, December 15

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Tips and Trends
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Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles [ESPN | 8:30 PM ET]

Browns: Cleveland is in rough shape offensively after losing QBs Derek Anderson (knee) and Brady Quinn (finger) to season-ending injuries. The Browns are averaging just seven points and 203.7 yards per game in their last three, all resulting in losses. Cleveland head coach Romeo Crennel is also rumored to be on the way out, with Marty Schottenheimer possibly replacing him after the season. “I can’t be worried about that,” Crennel said. “Rumors and stories, they’re going to be out there. When you lose, that’s what happens. Not only for me but for other people in the league.”

Browns are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-1 in Cleveland's last 8 December games.

Key Injuries - QB Derek Anderson (knee) is OUT.
QB Brady Quinn (finger) is OUT.
DT Corey Williams (shoulder) is questionable.
TE Kellen Winslow (ankle) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: 10

Eagles (-14, O/U 39): Philadelphia QB Donovan McNabb has silenced his critics over the last couple weeks, leading his team to back-to-back wins for the second time this season. McNabb has thrown for five touchdowns with no interceptions in beating the Cardinals and Giants, both division leaders who have clinched playoff spots. The Eagles can still earn a playoff spot, something that was considered nearly impossible following a three-game losing streak. “Anything can happen in the NFL, so you just have to make sure that you take care of your business and you can’t worry about really anything else,” said Philly head coach Andy Reid.

Eagles are 4-2 SU & ATS at home this season.
The UNDER is 6-2 in Philadelphia's last 8 home games.

Key Injuries - WR Reggie Brown (undisclosed) is questionable.
OG Shawn Andrews (back) is questionable.
RB Correll Buckhalter (knee) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 28 (Side Play of the Day)

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Announcement

NFL Week 15 Trends and Indexes 12/11 through 12/15

NFL Week 15 Trends and Indexes 12/11 through 12/15

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