Tweet
I am posting my selections now for the early games I have plays on. I will use this thread for my full card of Saturday action and post as they become available.
First I just wanted to share some interesting notes about this weekend's college action. Some points may be obvious to some but nevertheless I find them interesting and here they are:
1. Last year, chalk won and COVERED all 5 Championship games. (Last year the MAC Championship was played on Saturday, hence one more game than this year).
2. All Championship games stayed under the total.
3. Two of the 5 are rematches of last year, the ACC and Big12.
4. USC and UCLA will both be wearing their "home" jerseys even though UCLA is the true home team and the game is at the Rose Bowl.
5. In two games on Saturday the total is only 16 points higher than the current line on the game. They are the USC/UCLA and Washington/Cal games, both are PAC10 matchups. Seems that oddsmakers dont anticipate too much scoring from the dogs in those two. Taking a look and their "team totals" could prove to be profitable.
6. 11 Division 1A teams have STARTED 3 or more QBs this year. Due to injuries and lackluster play, the Cincy/Hawaii game involves two of the 11.
Okay, enough conversation and on to the plays.
134 Oklahoma -16 10 Units GOY
Full writeup for those interested here: http://www.bettorschat.com/forums/al...g-writeup.html
109 Navy -11 5 Units BIGGIE
The Mids have owned this series as of late going 4-2 ATS the last 6 but even more impressively outscoring the Black Knights by an average of 26ppg in that span (240-71, avg score 40-12). Their lowest margin of victory in this streak was 12 points, which would get the job done here. Talent-wise there is a large disparity and I dont see much to show that Army will do better than they have since 2001 as evidenced by 3 common opponents, Temple, Rutgers and Air Force. Navy was 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS with their only ATS loss by a point. Army, by contrast, was WINLESS SU and ATS. Navy wins in a romp.
128 Tulsa -12 3 Units
East Carolina 2-8 ATS last 10 and 0-6 ATS this season on the road. This game, although the CUSA Championship game, is at Tulsa. It matches EC's #1 CUSA defense against Tulsa's #1 CUSA offense. But Tulsa also ranks at the top nationally on offense with a #2 total offense NCAA ranking and qb Johnson ranks #1 in pass efficiency. They also rank #7 nationally in rushing, posting 259 yards a game. Tulsa is 5-0 SU and ATS at home with an average COVER of 21ppg. They struggle on defense at #94 but are sixth in sacks with 36. Tulsa averages 61ppg at home while EC averages 19 on the road. Tulsa wins in a romp.
16 California -35
California looking for a birth in the Holiday Bowl. Washington looking to not be the only winless 1-A. That tells me there is more pressure on Washington than on Cal and Washington obviously doesnt handle pressure well, or anything else for that matter. Cal wins in a romp.
Back with afternoon and night plays as well as NHL, NBA and NCAA baskets. Good luck all!
First I just wanted to share some interesting notes about this weekend's college action. Some points may be obvious to some but nevertheless I find them interesting and here they are:
1. Last year, chalk won and COVERED all 5 Championship games. (Last year the MAC Championship was played on Saturday, hence one more game than this year).
2. All Championship games stayed under the total.
3. Two of the 5 are rematches of last year, the ACC and Big12.
4. USC and UCLA will both be wearing their "home" jerseys even though UCLA is the true home team and the game is at the Rose Bowl.
5. In two games on Saturday the total is only 16 points higher than the current line on the game. They are the USC/UCLA and Washington/Cal games, both are PAC10 matchups. Seems that oddsmakers dont anticipate too much scoring from the dogs in those two. Taking a look and their "team totals" could prove to be profitable.
6. 11 Division 1A teams have STARTED 3 or more QBs this year. Due to injuries and lackluster play, the Cincy/Hawaii game involves two of the 11.
Okay, enough conversation and on to the plays.
134 Oklahoma -16 10 Units GOY
Full writeup for those interested here: http://www.bettorschat.com/forums/al...g-writeup.html
109 Navy -11 5 Units BIGGIE
The Mids have owned this series as of late going 4-2 ATS the last 6 but even more impressively outscoring the Black Knights by an average of 26ppg in that span (240-71, avg score 40-12). Their lowest margin of victory in this streak was 12 points, which would get the job done here. Talent-wise there is a large disparity and I dont see much to show that Army will do better than they have since 2001 as evidenced by 3 common opponents, Temple, Rutgers and Air Force. Navy was 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS with their only ATS loss by a point. Army, by contrast, was WINLESS SU and ATS. Navy wins in a romp.
128 Tulsa -12 3 Units
East Carolina 2-8 ATS last 10 and 0-6 ATS this season on the road. This game, although the CUSA Championship game, is at Tulsa. It matches EC's #1 CUSA defense against Tulsa's #1 CUSA offense. But Tulsa also ranks at the top nationally on offense with a #2 total offense NCAA ranking and qb Johnson ranks #1 in pass efficiency. They also rank #7 nationally in rushing, posting 259 yards a game. Tulsa is 5-0 SU and ATS at home with an average COVER of 21ppg. They struggle on defense at #94 but are sixth in sacks with 36. Tulsa averages 61ppg at home while EC averages 19 on the road. Tulsa wins in a romp.
16 California -35
California looking for a birth in the Holiday Bowl. Washington looking to not be the only winless 1-A. That tells me there is more pressure on Washington than on Cal and Washington obviously doesnt handle pressure well, or anything else for that matter. Cal wins in a romp.
Back with afternoon and night plays as well as NHL, NBA and NCAA baskets. Good luck all!
Comment