Announcement

**Udog** · 12-03-2008, 07:12 AM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 14

Thursday, December 4th

Oakland at San Diego, 8:15 ET NFL
Oakland: 12-4 Under at San Diego
San Diego: 9-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points

Sunday, December 7th

Cincinnati at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 1-8 ATS vs. conference
Indianapolis: 5-1 Over after scoring 14pts or less

Jacksonville at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 8-0 Over L4 weeks of the regular season
Chicago: 5-1 ATS off division loss

Houston at Green Bay, 1:00 ET
Houston: n/a
Green Bay: 6-1 Over off home loss

Cleveland at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 6-1 Over off BB home games
Tennessee: 10-2 ATS this season

Minnesota at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 1-5 ATS off SU win
Detroit: 5-0 Over L5 games

(TC) Washington at Baltimore, 8:15 ET NBC
Washington: 2-7 ATS vs. AFC
Baltimore: 7-0 Over L7 games

Philadelphia at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Philadelphia: 12-2 Over as an underdog
NY Giants: 8-0 ATS vs. NFC

Atlanta at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 0-6 ATS off BB SU wins
New Orleans: 6-0 Over at home 2nd half of season

NY Jets at San Francisco, 4:05 ET
NY Jets: 6-0 ATS Away in December
San Francisco: 7-1 Over off non-conference game

Miami vs. Buffalo, 4:05 ET (in Toronto, Canada)
Miami: 5-15 ATS off road game
Buffalo: 13-4 ATS the line is +3 to -3

Kansas City at Denver, 4:05 ET
Kansas City: 4-1 Under off ATS win
Denver: 0-6 ATS as home favorite

St. Louis at Arizona, 4:15 ET
St. Louis: 6-1 Over after scoring 14 points or less BB games
Arizona: 0-8 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points

Dallas at Pittsburgh, 4:15 ET
Dallas: 7-0 ATS if the line is +3 to -3
Pittsburgh: 1-10 ATS after scoring 30+ points

(TC) New England at Seattle, 4:05 ET
New England: 17-6 ATS in road games
Seattle: 13-2 Over at home off loss by 21+ points

Monday, December 8th

Tampa Bay at Carolina, 8:30 ET ESPN
Tampa Bay: 9-13 ATS in road games
Carolina: 8-0 Under at home vs. divison

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 12-03-2008, 07:14 AM

NFL

Week 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Sheet
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, December 4

8:15 PM OAKLAND vs. SAN DIEGO
Oakland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

Sunday, December 7

1:00 PM ATLANTA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 4-19-1 ATS in its last 24 games when playing at home against Atlanta
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

1:00 PM CINCINNATI vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Cincinnati is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 1-10-1 SU in its last 12 games
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

1:00 PM CLEVELAND vs. TENNESSEE
Cleveland is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Tennessee is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

1:00 PM HOUSTON vs. GREEN BAY
Houston is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Houston is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Green Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Green Bay's last 21 games

1:00 PM JACKSONVILLE vs. CHICAGO
Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games at home

1:00 PM MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. NY GIANTS
Philadelphia is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Giants are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of the NY Giants last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

4:05 PM KANSAS CITY vs. DENVER
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 14 games when playing Denver
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

4:05 PM MIAMI vs. BUFFALO
Miami is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

4:05 PM NEW ENGLAND vs. SEATTLE
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New England

4:05 PM NY JETS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
NY Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
NY Jets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets

4:15 PM DALLAS vs. PITTSBURGH
Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Dallas is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

4:15 PM ST. LOUIS vs. ARIZONA
St. Louis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing St. Louis
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis

8:15 PM WASHINGTON vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Monday, December 8

8:30 PM TAMPA BAY vs. CAROLINA
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Carolina
Carolina is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-03-2008, 06:42 PM

NFL

Sunday, December 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants [FOX | 1 PM ET]

Eagles: What a difference a few days makes. One week after being benched against the Ravens, Donovan McNabb returned to the field and shredded the Arizona defense. He completed 27 of 39 passes for 260 yards and a passer rating of 121.7. But now comes an even bigger test for Philly, as they travel to take on the defending Super Bowl Champions and red-hot Giants. New York handled the Eagles in Philly on Nov. 9, racking up 401 yards of offense, including 217 yards on the ground.

Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Key Injuries - T Shawn Andrews (back) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17

Giants (-7, O/U 44.5): Another week, another test for the Giants. With a win over the Eagles and a Cowboys loss to Pittsburgh on Sunday, New York will wrap up the NFC East. The Giants will try and put the Plaxico Burress fiasco behind them and take care of business on the field for the second week in a row. In their first meeting the Giants defense held Brian Westbrook to just 26 yards. Look for the Giants to key on Westbrook again today and force Donovan McNabb to beat them through the air.

Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Key Injuries - WR Plaxico Burress (suspension) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 27 (Side Play of the Day)

Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers [FOX | 4:15 PM ET]

Cowboys: The Cowboys have won three straight games since Tony Romo returned from a broken pinky. However, those wins came against the Redskins, 49ers and Seahawks. Today Dallas makes a jump in class when they travel to Pittsburgh to battle the 9-3 Steelers. Injuries could affect the Cowboys on Sunday. Running back Marion Barber (toe) and OLB DeMarcus Ware (knee) will both be game-time decisions. Look for the Cowboys to test the Steelers secondary down the field today with receivers Terrell Owens and Roy Williams, along with tight end Jason Witten.

Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in December.

Key Injuries - RB Marion Barber (toe) is questionable.
OLB DeMarcus Ware (knee) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Steelers (-3, O/U 41.5): The Steelers are coming off an impressive 33-10 hammering of the Patriots but there’s little time to rest with the explosive Cowboys coming to town. If defense wins championships, Pittsburgh is in good shape. The Steelers are allowing 14.2 points per contest and have the NFL’s top pass defense, giving up just 166 yards a game. That will be tested today against a Dallas offense that puts up 244 yards per game through the air. Outside pass rushers James Harrison and LaMarr Woodley will try and make life miserable for Tony Romo. The duo has already combined for 25.5 sacks on the year.

Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 14.

Key Injuries - T Marvel Smith (groin) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24

Washington Redskins at Baltimore Ravens [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

Redskins: The Redskins are just 1-3 in their last four games and need a win in the worst way to avoid falling out of playoff contention. Washington is fighting injuries, as RB Clinton Portis, LB London Fletcher, LT Chris Samuels and DE Andre Carter are all hurting. Quarterback Jason Campbell has been struggling of late and now must face a Ravens defense that has hammered opposing quarterbacks all year. Head coach Jim Zorn stood by Campbell this week, but the young quarterback needs to step up his game if he wants to remain the 'Skins starter.

Redskins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
Redskins are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Key Injuries - RB Clinton Portis (neck) is questionable.
DE Jason Taylor (calf) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 16

Ravens (-5, O/U 36.5): The surprising Ravens continue to roll, winning six of their last seven games. While the offense is improving under rookie quarterback Joe Flacco, it’s the defense that’s once again leading the charge in Baltimore. It’s going to be tough sledding for Clinton Portis tonight against a Ravens defense that only allows 78 yards per game on the ground. Willis McGahee did not receive a carry last Sunday, but coach John Harbaugh didn’t rule out playing him this week against the Redskins.

Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win.
Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**pm530** · 12-04-2008, 01:44 AM

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up

Week 14 games

Thursday, December 4

Raiders (3-9) @ Chargers (4-8)-- Oakland led first meeting 15-0 at half, lost 28-18, despite its 22-37/251 passing day and outgaining Bolts by 28 yards. Raiders lost five of last six games, but are 4-2 vs spread on road, losing away games by 1-31-18-2 points (wins at KC, Denver). Chargers lost last three and five of last six games, with only win by point over the 2-10 Chiefs- they've run ball for 100+ yards in just two of last 8 games. SD is 2-4 as home favorite- seven of their last eight games stayed under the total. Home teams are 1-6 against the spread in AFC West contests.

Sunday, December 7

Bengals (1-10-1) @ Colts (8-4)-- Indy won last five games, but is 1-4 as home favorite this year, losing first two in new stadium, winning three in row by 28-3-6 points-- Colts have one win this season (Week 6, 31-3 vs Ravens) by more than six points. Bengals lost last two games by total of 61-13, they're 2-3 as road dog, losing away games by 7-3-9-12-29 and 17 points. In its last three games, Cincinnati has two TDs on 43 drives with 23 3/outs. AFC North road dogs are 10-5 vs spread in non-division tilts. AFC South home favorites are 3-11.

Jaguars (4-8) @ Bears (6-6)-- More travel on short work week for Jags, who've lost three in row, all by 10+ points; they've turned ball over eight times the last two weeks, were outscored 54-19 in second half of the last three games. Bears lost three of last four games; they're 3-2 at home, 1-2 as home favorite, losing only to 9-3 Bucs, 11-1 Titans at home. Jags are 3-3 on road, 2-1 as road dog- eight of their opponents' last 21 drives got started in Jaguar territory. Three of last four Bear games stayed under total. AFC South road underdogs are 5-2; NFC North home faves: 3-4.

Texans (5-7) @ Packers (5-7)-- Houston expected to get Schaub back at QB after Rosenfels led Texans to consecutive wins (eight takeaways, +5 turnover ratio)- they covered three of last four on road. Packers' playoff hopes in dire straits after home loss to Carolina; they've lost four of last five games, allowing 51-35 points in last two games (-16/-17 in average starting field position). Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Packer games, 8-3 in last eleven Houston games. NFC North home teams are 5-11 vs spread out of division, 3-4 if favored. AFC South road underdogs are 5-2.

Browns (4-8) @ Titans (11-1)-- Cleveland down to Dorsey at QB after Quinn/Anderson went out for year- they just signed Gradkowski during week to back up Dorsey, bad situation for Browns, who will be without Winslow here, too. Cleveland covered its last four road games (3-1 SU) but in last two games, both at home, they didn't score a TD on 10 drives with seven turnovers, six 3/outs. Titans had three extra days to prepare after jogging on Thanksgiving in Detroit- they're 3-2 as home fave, with wins in Nashville by 7-19-13-10-3 points. AFC North road dogs: 10-5.

Vikings (7-5) @ Lions (0-12)-- Fate of Viking DTs (suspensions) up in air as lawyers try to get injunction allowing them to play. Detroit is 0-6 at home, losing by 23-27-8-24-18-37 points (0-6 as home dog). They've had three extra days to prepare, but they've been outscored 85-23 in the second half of last six games. Vikings won four of last five games, scored 28+ in five of last six; they're 2-4 on road, winning by 3-18 pts. In first meeting, Minnesota won 12-10 (-13) in Week 6, in game Detroit led 3-2 at halftime. NFC North home dogs are 0-3 vs spread in divisional play.

Redskins (7-5) @ Ravens (8-4)-- Baltimore won, covered six of their last seven games (lost to Giants), despite playing four of last five on foreign soil- they're 3-0 as home favorite, winning at home by 7-18-19-29 pts. Redskins are fading, dropping three of last four games; in last five games, they've scored only five TDs on 52 drives, and have three TDs on last 13 trips to red zone. Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Redskin games, but 1-4 in last five Baltimore games. NFC East road dogs are 0-1; home faves in AFC North home favorites are 3-5 against the spread.

Eagles (6-5-1) @ Giants (11-1)-- Big Blue won first meeting 36-31 four weeks ago at The Linc, running ball for 219 yards, with two TD drives of 80+ yards- they've won, covered seven games in row, are 5-1 as fave at home, winning in Swamp by 9-3-38-12-21-20 points. Eagles scored a single TD on 31 drives in last two road games; they snapped out of funk with big Thursday night win vs Arizona last week, so they've had three extra days to prepare. Giants had chaotic week with drama surrounding Burress/Pierce saga. NFC East home favorites are 2-4 against the spread.

Falcons (8-4) @ Saints (6-6)-- Three Saints (two DL, McAllister) were suspended for last four games, unsure if that will stick; New Orleans got beat 34-20 in Georgia Dome four weeks ago (+1.5). Falcons averaged a hefty 10.8 yds/pass attempt in that game, picked Brees off three times, one for game-clinching TD, offsetting Brees' 416 passing yards. Saints are 4-1 in Superdome, scoring average of 33.4 ppg at home. Falcons are 8-0 if they score more than 20 points; nine of last 11 Saint foes topped 20 pts. Home faves in NFC South games this season are 6-2 vs spread.

Jets (8-4) @ 49ers (4-8)-- Gang Green had five-game win streak snapped in rainy Swamp last week; they're 0-2 in California this year, losing both in San Diego (48-29), Oakland (16-13,ot), their only losses in six games on foreign soil. Jets ran ball 19 times last week, dropped back to pass 45 times, a lousy ratio for them. Niners won two of last three games, were outgained by 155 yards in Buffalo last week, in an ugly 10-3 win- they are 2-4 at home, AFC East road favorites are 2-3 vs spread; NFC West home dogs are 3-7. 49ers' last four home games went over the total. This is a game the Jets have to win if they're a legitimate playoff team.

Dolphins (7-5) vs Bills (6-6) (@ Toronto)-- Buffalo lost five of last six games, now has "home" game under roof of Rogers Centre, instead of in wintry cold of Orchard Park, which you'd think would have been huge advantage vs South Florida Fish. Miami won five of last six games, with last three wins by 2-2-4 points- only one of their last six opponents has scored 20+ points. Edwards didn't play in second half last week, QB is Losman if he can't go here. Bills ran ball for 186-171-156 yards in their last three, which is terrific. Underdogs are 6-3 vs spread in AFC East.

Chiefs (2-10) @ Broncos (7-5)-- Broncos (-9) got waxed 33-19 in Week 4 at Arrowhead, as Chiefs ran ball for 213 yards, forced four turnovers (+3) and had 19-yard advantage in average field position. Unfortunately for Chiefs, that game and last week are their only wins. Denver has been horrible home favorite; they've lost last three at Invesco, and their three wins there this year are by 1-2-3 points, but big game by Cutler in win over Jets last week (27-43/357 in rainstorm) has Denver hopeful they've turned things around. Chiefs covered their last three road games.

Rams (2-10) @ Cardinals (7-5)-- Arizona had three extra days to ready for this after pair of losses to NFC East clubs, Warner Brothers figure to exploit dispirited Ram club (2-4 as road dog) that has eight losses by 17 or more points this season. Arizona won first meeting 34-13 in St Louis five weeks ago (-3), outgaining Rams 510-231, averaging 9.5 yards/pass attempt. Redbirds are 5-1 vs spread as favorite this year, 4-1 at home, with wins by 21-24-6-5 points. Would expect Cardinals to run ball little more here- in last four games, they've run ball 68 times for 170 yards.

Cowboys (8-4) @ Steelers (9-3)-- Both sides won last three games, but with Romo back under center, Dallas scored 35-34 points in last couple games- they have nine TDs on 22 drives in three games since their bye. Big Ben is banged up (left practice early Wednesday) but Steelers gave up 10 points in each of last three games, scored last 30 points of game in Foxboro last week- they're playing great defense. Surprising that Dallas has only been in opponents' red zone 31 times this year, T4th lowest in league. Steelers are 4-2 at home, losing to Giants/Colts. Three of Dallas' last four road games went over total.

Patriots (7-5) @ Seahawks (2-10)-- Hasselbeck, Tatupu faces team their dads played for, but Seahawks are having nightmarish season in farewell season for Holmgren, losing all nine games that weren't against Rams or 49ers- they're 1-5 at home, with losses by 3-10-19-6-3 points. Patriots are outside looking in on playoffs right now, 2-3 in last five games- they allowed 34-28-33 points in last three, and re-signed LB Colvin this week to shore up defense. Last five Seattle games stayed under the total. NFC West home underdogs are 3-7 vs spread; AFC East road favorites: 2-3.

Monday, December 8

Buccaneers (9-3) @ Panthers (9-3)-- Winner here leads NFC South with three games left; Carolina (+2) got clobbered 27-3 in first meeting, with Bucs outrushing Panthers 142-40, picking off three Delhomme passes, but Carolina is 5-1 since then, and is 6-0 at home, winning by 3-15-34- 23-4-9 points. Home favorites are 6-2 vs spread in NFC South contests. Tampa Bay won last four games; they're 3-3 on road, with two losses by three points. Last three Carolina games went over total, but five of last seven Bucs games stayed under. Tampa outscored last four foes by combined total of 64-16 in 2nd half- they trailed four of last five at half.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**pm530** · 12-04-2008, 02:07 AM

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL

Thursday, December 4

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers [NFL | 8:15 PM ET]

Raiders: If JaMarcus Russell is going to start showing signs of being a legitimate NFL quarterback, this should be the week against a Chargers defense allowing an NFL worst 260 yards per game through the air. Russell has completed only 50.5 percent of his passes (140-for-277) with seven touchdown passes. He is averaging only 6.2 yards per attempt. Russell is averaging only 6.2 yards per attempt on the season. This is a big game for the Raiders in the sense that if they pull the upset, they would actually be tied with the Chargers for second place in the AFC West.

Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in San Diego.
Raiders are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

Key Injuries - DE Derrick Burgess (tricep) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 14

Chargers (-9, O/U 42.5): Last Sunday brought with it the Chargers eighth loss in 12 games, all but eliminating any hopes for a playoff berth. The reeling Chargers trail the AFC West-leading Denver Broncos by three games with four to play. Things are so bad in San Diego that even Chargers general manager A.J. Smith recently admitted that the playoffs are a pipe dream.“I’ve thought about that, and the way I’m looking at it right now is yes, there’s a glimmer of hope, but to me, it looks very, very dim,” Smith said. Once considered a strong Super Bowl contender, it will be interesting to see how the Chargers respond now that they will likely be home for the playoffs.

Favorite is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
The UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in San Diego.

Key Injuries - FB Michael Tolbert (neck) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 28 (Side Play of the Day)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-04-2008, 08:33 AM

NFL
Dunkel - Thur.

Oakland at San Diego
The disappointing Chargers look to take out some frustration on an Oakland team that is just 2-8 ATS in December games over the last three seasons. San Diego is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Chargers favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-8 1/2).

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 4

Game 103-104: Oakland at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 123.754; San Diego 136.281
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 12 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: San Diego by 8 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-8 1/2); Over

**BettorsChat** · 12-05-2008, 11:09 AM

When The Going Gets Tough The Tough Get Going
: Play any team in the regular
season that is tied or leads their division yet is off consecutive losses.

Pointspread Record Since 1990:
71-49 (59.1%)

This week’s application:
Arizona Cardinals

Road Chalk Bounceback:
Play on any NFL road favorite that lost S/U at home in its
previous game.

Pointspread Record Since October, 2005:
33-17-1 (66%)

This week’s application:
New York Jets, New England Patriots

**Udog** · 12-05-2008, 09:18 PM

NFL
Dunkel - Sun. & Mon.

Washington at Baltimore
The Ravens bring a 9-3 ATS record into the contest against a Washington team that is just 2-7 ATS in non-conference games over the last three seasons. Baltimore is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Ravens favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-5). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 7

Game 135-136: Cincinnati at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 124.949; Indianapolis 138.131
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 13; 45
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 13 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+13 1/2); Over

Game 137-138: Jacksonville at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 127.067; Chicago 135.081
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 8; 37
Vegas Line: Chicago by 6 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-6 1/2); Under

Game 139-140: Houston at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 132.017; Green Bay 136.328
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 4; 43
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 6; 47
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+6); Under

Game 141-142: Cleveland at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 129.530; Tennessee 140.547
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 11; 32
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 13 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+13 1/2); Under

Game 143-144: Minnesota at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 131.092; Detroit 123.401
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 9 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+9 1/2); Under

Game 145-146: Washington at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 129.383; Baltimore 141.942
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 12 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 5; 36
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-5); Over

Game 147-148: Philadelphia at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 134.907; NY Giants 146.982
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 12; 41
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 6 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-6 1/2); Under

Game 149-150: Atlanta at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 133.208; New Orleans 137.912
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 4 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3); Under

Game 151-152: NY Jets at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 135.537; San Francisco 129.976
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 5 1/2; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-3 1/2); Under

Game 153-154: Miami at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.488; Buffalo 131.627
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5; 38
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1); Under

Game 155-156: Kansas City at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 124.143; Denver 130.199
Dunkel Line: Denver by 6; 46
Vegas Line: Denver by 9; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+9); Under

Game 157-158: St. Louis at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 115.869; Arizona 132.857
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 17; 53
Vegas Line: Arizona by 14; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-14); Over

Game 159-160: Dallas at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 135.989; Pittsburgh 139.646
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3); Over

Game 161-162: New England at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: New England 132.523; Seattle 129.557
Dunkel Line: New England by 3; 39
Vegas Line: New England by 4 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+4 1/2); Under

MONDAY, DECEMBER 8

Game 163-164: Tampa Bay at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 133.738; Carolina 137.604
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 4; 36
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-3); Under

**pm530** · 12-07-2008, 02:20 AM

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL

Sunday, December 7

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants [FOX | 1 PM ET]

Eagles: What a difference a few days makes. One week after being benched against the Ravens, Donovan McNabb returned to the field and shredded the Arizona defense. He completed 27 of 39 passes for 260 yards and a passer rating of 121.7. But now comes an even bigger test for Philly, as they travel to take on the defending Super Bowl Champions and red-hot Giants. New York handled the Eagles in Philly on Nov. 9, racking up 401 yards of offense, including 217 yards on the ground.

Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Key Injuries - T Shawn Andrews (back) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17

Giants (-7, O/U 44.5): Another week, another test for the Giants. With a win over the Eagles and a Cowboys loss to Pittsburgh on Sunday, New York will wrap up the NFC East. The Giants will try and put the Plaxico Burress fiasco behind them and take care of business on the field for the second week in a row. In their first meeting the Giants defense held Brian Westbrook to just 26 yards. Look for the Giants to key on Westbrook again today and force Donovan McNabb to beat them through the air.

Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Key Injuries - WR Plaxico Burress (suspension) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 27 (Side Play of the Day)

Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers [FOX | 4:15 PM ET]

Cowboys: The Cowboys have won three straight games since Tony Romo returned from a broken pinky. However, those wins came against the Redskins, 49ers and Seahawks. Today Dallas makes a jump in class when they travel to Pittsburgh to battle the 9-3 Steelers. Injuries could affect the Cowboys on Sunday. Running back Marion Barber (toe) is out while OLB DeMarcus Ware (knee) is a game-time decision. Look for the Cowboys to test the Steelers secondary down the field today with receivers Terrell Owens and Roy Williams, along with tight end Jason Witten.

Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in December.

Key Injuries - RB Marion Barber (toe) is OUT.
OLB DeMarcus Ware (knee) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Steelers (-3, O/U 41.5): The Steelers are coming off an impressive 33-10 hammering of the Patriots but there’s little time to rest with the explosive Cowboys coming to town. If defense wins championships, Pittsburgh is in good shape. The Steelers are allowing 14.2 points per contest and have the NFL’s top pass defense, giving up just 166 yards a game. That will be tested today against a Dallas offense that puts up 244 yards per game through the air. Outside pass rushers James Harrison and LaMarr Woodley will try and make life miserable for Tony Romo. The duo has already combined for 25.5 sacks on the year.

Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 14.

Key Injuries - T Marvel Smith (groin) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24

Washington Redskins at Baltimore Ravens [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

Redskins: The Redskins are just 1-3 in their last four games and need a win in the worst way to avoid falling out of playoff contention. Washington is fighting injuries, as RB Clinton Portis, LB London Fletcher, LT Chris Samuels and DE Andre Carter are all hurting. Quarterback Jason Campbell has been struggling of late and now must face a Ravens defense that has hammered opposing quarterbacks all year. Head coach Jim Zorn stood by Campbell this week, but the young quarterback needs to step up his game if he wants to remain the 'Skins starter.

Redskins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
Redskins are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Key Injuries - RB Clinton Portis (neck) is questionable.
DE Jason Taylor (calf) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 16

Ravens (-5, O/U 36.5): The surprising Ravens continue to roll, winning six of their last seven games. While the offense is improving under rookie quarterback Joe Flacco, it’s the defense that’s once again leading the charge in Baltimore. It’s going to be tough sledding for Clinton Portis tonight against a Ravens defense that only allows 78 yards per game on the ground. Willis McGahee did not receive a carry last Sunday, but coach John Harbaugh didn’t rule out playing him this week against the Redskins.

Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win.
Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 21

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**pm530** · 12-08-2008, 12:48 AM

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL

Monday, December 8

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers [ESPN | 8:30 PM ET]

Bucs: The Bucs have had a habit of slow starts on the road, where they overcame huge leads to engineer comeback wins at Kansas City and Detroit. They can’t afford that Monday night against the Panthers. The Bucs won the earlier meeting this season at Raymond James Stadium, 27-3. Tampa Bay scored an early touchdown when Geno Hayes blocked a Jason Baker punt and returned it 22 yards. Offensively, the Bucs have struggled of late in the passing game. QB Jeff Garcia is 6-1 as a starter since returning from his benching, but he also has only thrown six touchdowns with one interception during that stretch.

Bucs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC South.
Bucs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Key Injuries - DE Gaines Adams (hip) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 14

Panthers (-3, O/U 38): In the first meeting against Tampa Bay, Panthers quarterback Jake Delhomme threw three interceptions, and Carolina’s ground game wasn’t much of a factor. All of that has changed for the Panthers. Delhomme is protecting the ball better, and Carolina getting huge games from DeAngelo Williams and rookie Jonathan Stewart. But the problem in Carolina lately has been its defense. Over the past three weeks, the Panthers have surrendered an average of 30.3 points per game, and that’s excluding the punt return the special teams allowed for a touchdown two weeks ago against Atlanta.

Panthers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win.

Key Injuries - RB Jonathan Stewart (hamstring) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (Side Play of the Day)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

NFL Week 14 Trends and Indexes 12/4 through 12/8

NFL Week 14 Trends and Indexes 12/4 through 12/8

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment