Announcement

**Udog** · 11-24-2008, 10:44 PM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 13

Thursday, November 27th

Tennessee at Detroit, 12:30 ET CBS
Tennessee: 7-0 ATS as road favorite
Detroit: 0-6 ATS at home in weeks 10 through 13

Seattle at Dallas, 4:15 ET FOX
Seattle: 1-8 ATS Away if the total is between 42.5 and 49
Dallas: 12-1 Over off ATS win

Arizona at Philadelphia, 8:15 ET NFL
Arizona: 22-8 Over after the first month of the season
Philadelphia: 16-5 ATS after a loss by 21+ points

Sunday, November 30th

(TC) Denver at NY Jets, 4:15 ET
Denver: 6-0 Over off home loss
NY Jets: 6-0 ATS off BB SU underdog wins

San Francisco at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
San Francisco: 7-16 ATS as an underdog
Buffalo: 17-5 ATS vs. NFC West

New Orleans at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
New Orleans:
Tampa Bay: 5-1 ATS after scoring 30+ points

Carolina at Green Bay, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 15-5 ATS off road division loss
Green Bay:

NY Giants at Washington, 1:00 ET
NY Giants: 4-1 ATS vs. Washington
Washington: 6-0 Under L6 games

Miami at St. Louis, 1:00 ET
Miami: 7-2 Over after after allowing 30+ points
St. Louis: 0-6 ATS after scoring 6 points or less

Baltimore at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 0-6 ATS as road favorite
Cincinnati: 1-7 ATS vs. conference

Indianapolis at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 5-0 ATS vs. AFC North
Cleveland: 1-8 ATS off DD loss as favorite

Atlanta at San Diego, 4:05 ET
Atlanta: 3-12 ATS off SU win as dog
San Diego: 8-2 Over vs. NFC

Pittsburgh at New England, 4:15 ET
Pittsburgh: 3-11 ATS off SU win
New England: 4-0 Over off division game

Kansas City at Oakland, 4:15 ET
Kansas City: 20-7 ATS Away off DD loss
Oakland: 0-6 ATS as home favorite

Chicago at Minnesota, 8:15 ET NBC
Chicago: 6-0 Under in road games
Minnesota: 3-13 ATS at home after game with +3 TO margin

Monday, December 1st

Jacksonville at Houston, 8:30 ET ESPN
Jacksonville: 8-1 Over as road underdog
Houston: 9-2 Over this season

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 11-24-2008, 10:45 PM

NFL

Week 13

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Trend Sheet
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Thursday, November 27

12:30 PM TENNESSEE vs. DETROIT
Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

4:15 PM SEATTLE vs. DALLAS
Seattle is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:15 PM ARIZONA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Arizona
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Arizona

Sunday, November 30

1:00 PM BALTIMORE vs. CINCINNATI
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

1:00 PM CAROLINA vs. GREEN BAY
Carolina is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Carolina is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina

1:00 PM INDIANAPOLIS vs. CLEVELAND
Indianapolis is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

1:00 PM MIAMI vs. ST. LOUIS
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
St. Louis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

1:00 PM NEW ORLEANS vs. TAMPA BAY
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

1:00 PM NY GIANTS vs. WASHINGTON
NY Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Washington
NY Giants are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home

1:00 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. BUFFALO
San Francisco is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

4:05 PM ATLANTA vs. SAN DIEGO
Atlanta is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Atlanta

4:15 PM DENVER vs. NY JETS
Denver is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Denver is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
NY Jets are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing Denver
NY Jets are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Denver

4:15 PM KANSAS CITY vs. OAKLAND
Kansas City is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

4:15 PM PITTSBURGH vs. NEW ENGLAND
Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New England
Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing New England
New England is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home
New England is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home

8:15 PM CHICAGO vs. MINNESOTA
Chicago is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Minnesota is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Chicago

Monday, December 1

8:30 PM JACKSONVILLE vs. HOUSTON
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Jacksonville's last 13 games on the road
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

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**Udog** · 11-26-2008, 10:48 PM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 13

Tennessee at Detroit
The Titans look to bounce back from their first loss of the season and take advantage of a Detroit team that is 0-5 ATS at home this season. Tennessee is the pick (-11) according to Dunkel, which has Tennessee favored by 17. Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-11). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 27

Game 305-306: Tennessee at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 139.721; Detroit 122.764
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 17; 40
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 11; 44
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-11); Under

Game 307-308: Seattle at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 126.534; Dallas 135.871
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 9 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Dallas by 12 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+12 1/2); Over

Game 309-310: Arizona at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 133.354; Philadelphia 133.373
Dunkel Line: Even; 42
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3); Under

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 30

Game 389-390: Denver at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 128.542; NY Jets 139.941
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 11 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 7 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-7 1/2); Under

Game 391-392: San Francisco at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 123.463; Buffalo 133.514
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 10; 47
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 6 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-6 1/2); Over

Game 393-394: New Orleans at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 131.954; Tampa Bay 137.662
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 6; 44
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-3 1/2); Under

Game 395-396: Carolina at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 131.538; Green Bay 138.686
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 7; 48
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-3); Over

Game 397-398: NY Giants at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 140.154; Washington 132.603
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 7 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-3); Under

Game 399-400: Miami at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 128.058; St. Louis 119.226
Dunkel Line: Miami by 9; 47
Vegas Line: Miami by 7; 44
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7); Over

Game 401-402: Baltimore at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 139.436; Cincinnati 127.066
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 12 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 7; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-7); Over

Game 403-404: Indianapolis at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 135.875; Cleveland 130.413
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 5 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 4 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-4 1/2); Under

Game 405-406: Atlanta at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 135.061; San Diego 135.050
Dunkel Line: Even; 45
Vegas Line: San Diego by 5; 49
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+5); Under

Game 407-408: Pittsburgh at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 137.220; New England 139.922
Dunkel Line: New England by 2 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: New England by 1; 40
Dunkel Pick: New England (-1); Under

Game 409-410: Kansas City at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 120.786; Oakland 130.212
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Oakland by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-3); Over

Game 411-412: Chicago at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 132.081; Minnesota 138.090
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 6; 45
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Over

MONDAY, DECEMBER 1

Game 413-414: Jacksonville at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 129.080; Houston 133.004
Dunkel Line: Houston by 4; 43
Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3); Under

**pm530** · 11-27-2008, 04:13 AM

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL

Thursday, November 27

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Tips and Trends
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Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles [NFL | 8:15 PM ET]

Cardinals: Arizona QB Kurt Warner has thrown for 300 yards in five straight games but faces another tough task here against the Eagles on Thanksgiving. Warner struggled at times in a 37-29 loss to the Giants at home last week, and now he has to go up against a similar blitzing defense on the road. “I’d always rather play at Sunday noon, certainly no Thanksgiving at 8 (p.m.) - that definitely wouldn’t be my chosen time,” Warner said. “But this is kind of one of those novelty things that’s always fun. You know everybody’s sitting back watching.”

Cardinals are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
The OVER is 18-6 in Arizona's last 24 games on grass.
S Adrian Wilson (shoulder) is probable.

Key Injuries - TE Ben Patrick (knee) is day-to-day.
LB Clark Haggans (foot) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Eagles (-3, O/U 46.5): Philly QB Donovan McNabb has committed seven turnovers in the last six quarters he has played, completing less than 50 percent of his passes in three straight games. Still, Eagles head coach Andy Reid is intent on sticking with McNabb as his guy even if the season continues to go down the tubes. “As I sit here right now, he’s my starting quarterback,” Reid said on Monday. “I need to coach better. Donovan needs to play better and the guys around Donovan need to play better.”

Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. NFC.
The OVER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Key Injuries - RB Brian Westbrook (knee, ankle) is questionable.
CB Asante Samuel (neck) is doubtful.
RB Correll Buckhalter (knee) is OUT

PROJECTED SCORE: 27

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**pm530** · 11-27-2008, 05:27 AM

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up

Thursday, November 27

Titans (10-1) @ Lions (0-11)-- Tennessee lost its first game Sunday, is travelling on short week, visiting Motor City side desperate for its first win of season. Game finally sold out Wednesday, first time in last four home games that Ford Field has been sold out. Titans covered seven of nine as favorite, are 5-0 on road, winning by 17-3-24-7-10 points. Lions are 0-5 vs spread at home, losing by 23-27-8-24-18 points. Henson now is #2 for Detroit, with Kitna-Orlovsky-Stanton all hurt. Over is 5-0-1 in Detroit's last six games, with Lions allowing 25+ points in all six.

Seahawks (2-9) @ Cowboys (7-4)-- In three games that Romo wasn't in starting lineup, Dallas averaged 5.9/2.8/3.3 yards per pass attempt-- the last two games, with Romo back, Pokes averaged 7.3/8.4, so they're on right track again. Dallas is 4-1 at home this season, 2-3 as home favorite, with home wins by 4-9-4-13 points. Seattle lost four in row, seven of its last eight games; they're 3-2 vs spread on road (1-4 SU- win at SF) with losses by 24-38-10-2 points. Hawks were held under 235 total yards in six of last eight games. Four of five Dallas home games went over total.

Cardinals (7-4) @ Eagles (5-5-1)-- Tough spot for Redbirds, travelling long way on very short week (kickoff is 97 hours after last game ended) when they're 8-16-1 vs spread in last 25 games in eastern time zone to begin with, and are desert team playing a November night game in chilly Philly. Eagles are 0-2-1 in their last three games, with one offensive TD on last 31 drives- they benched McNabb in second half last week- when backup Kolb was awful, McNabb is back as starter, but what damage has been done? Six of last eight Cardinal games went over the total.

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**pm530** · 11-28-2008, 02:12 PM

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL

Sunday, November 30

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Tips and Trends
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New York Giants at Washington Redskins [FOX | 1 PM ET]

Giants (-4, O/U 41.5): New York has won its last six games, with the last five coming against teams battling for the playoffs. This game will be no different, as the Redskins remain in the hunt for one of the NFC's wild-card spots. “Well, we have known that we have had a tough schedule,” Giants QB Eli Manning said. “We knew that five weeks ago - that it was going to be a tough road ahead of us and we were going to be playing a lot of good teams. And it is going to continue.”

Giants are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. teams with a winning record.
Giants are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 road games.

Key Injuries - RB Brandon Jacobs (knee) is questionable.
WR Plaxico Burress (hamstring) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20

Redskins: It will be an emotional day in Washington, as safety Sean Taylor will be inducted into the Ring of Fame in a **** ceremony. Taylor was shot during a robbery at his home in Florida nearly a year ago and died the very next day. “I think this is a great organization and I think Sean did a lot for this organization and I think Mr. Snyder (owner Dan Snyder) is doing the right thing in honoring Sean for everything that Sean brought to this organization and the effect that he has had around the world,” said Redskins running back Clinton Portis.

Redskins are 1-4 SU & ATS in the last 5 meetings.
The UNDER is 6-0-1 in Washington's last 7 games overall.

Key Injuries - DE Jason Taylor (calf) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 23 (Side Play of the Day)

Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots [CBS | 4:15 PM ET]

Steelers: Defense could very well be the difference in this game, and Pittsburgh would seem to have a big advantage there. The Steelers have not allowed an opponent to total over 300 yards this season and held the Bengals to just 208 yards and 11 first downs in a 27-10 victory last Thursday. “It is a huge challenge,” Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels said of the Pittsburgh D. “Obviously, there aren’t a lot of weaknesses. There really aren’t any.”

Steelers are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Key Injuries - RB Willie Parker (knee) is questionable.
CB Deshea Townsend (hamstring) is day-to-day.
CB Bryant McFadden (forearm) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 23 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Patriots (-1, O/U 39.5): New England QB Matt Cassel has silenced his critics over the last couple weeks after becoming the fifth player in NFL history to throw for 400 yards in consecutive games. Cassel has completed 30 passes and thrown three touchdowns in each of those games as well, and he has certainly gotten the attention of Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin. “I think that it is obvious that they have a lot of confidence with what this young man is doing for them,” Mike Tomlin said. “I think that his numbers speak for themselves; he has a 90-plus passer rating. He is showing that he is a player in this league at that position.”

Patriots are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.
The UNDER is 8-2-2 in New England's last 12 home games.

Key Injuries - RB LaMont Jordan (calf) is questionable.
LB Adalius Thomas (forearm) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

Bears: Chicago QB Kyle Orton has not thrown an interception in his last 186 pass attempts and will be facing a secondary that has just eight interceptions in 11 games. Orton lit up the Vikings in the last meeting, completing 21-of-32 passes for 283 yards and two touchdowns, and he has not thrown for more than 139 in three starts since then. Defensively, the Bears need to focus on limiting Minnesota RB Adrian Peterson, who has averaged 141 yards in three games against them.

Bears are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
The OVER is 26-11-1 in Chicago's last 38 games vs. NFC.

Key Injuries - S Mike Brown (leg) is day-to-day.
TE Desmond Clark (knee) is day-to-day.
CB Nathan Vashar (thumb) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20

Vikings (-3, O/U 42): Minnesota has focused more on the running game since the last meeting with the Bears, and rightfully so. The Vikings simply couldn't keep up with Chicago through the air, as QB Gus Frerotte attempted 40 passes and threw four interceptions. They have cut down Frerotte's passing attempts to 21.5 over the last four games while running the ball an average of 34 times. That has resulted in a 3-1 mark and given the team hope of winning the division. “Right now we’re in a position, and so are the Bears, to kind of control where we want to go,” said Vikings defensive end Jared Allen.

Vikings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Key Injuries - TE Garrett Mills (ankle) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 23

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**pm530** · 11-29-2008, 03:18 AM

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up

Sunday, November 30

Broncos (6-5) @ Jets (8-3)-- Gang Green won last five games, covering last four- they scored 47-34-34 points in last three games, running ball for average of 179.3 ypg. Jets are 4-3 as favorite this year- they won last four home games by 21-12-4-44 points. Broncos won last road games, are 3-1 vs spread as underdog- they're -12 in turnovers in last eight tilts. AFC East home faves are 6-8 vs spread in non-division tilts. AFC West road dogs are 7-6. Over is 7-1-1 in Jets' last nine games, 2-5 in Denver's last seven. Broncos allowed 139+ rushing yds in six of last eight games.

49ers (3-8) @ Bills (6-5)-- Buffalo snapped 4-game skid by crushing KC in Arrowhead last week; they're 3-2 at home (2-3 as home favorite) with home wins by 24-1-9 points- they lost last two at home. 49ers are 1-7 in last eight games, with only win vs woeful Rams- they're 2-3 as road dog, losing away games by 14-12-5-13 pts. AFC East home favorites are 6-8 vs spread; NFC West road underdogs are 4-9. Over is 6-1 in 49ers' last seven games. 49ers are 1-8 when they allow more than 16 points. Bills scored 27-54 points in last two games (seven TDs on last 25 drives).

Saints (6-5) @ Buccaneers (8-3)-- Home teams are 6-1 vs spread in NFC South games this season; Bucs lost 24-20 at Superdome in season opener (+3) as Brees was 23-32/337 passing (10.2 yds/attempt). Bucs won last three games, are 5-0 at home, winning by 15-9-24-10-6 points. Four of their five home games stayed under total. Saints won three of last four, but are travelling on short week after Monday night win- they're 2-4 on road, winning on neutral field in London and at 1-10 Kansas City. Bucs covered just three of last 10 in series, have nine sacks in last two games.

Panthers (8-3) @ Packers (5-6)-- Green Bay lost three of four since bye, getting riddled for 416 yards, 51 points on Bourbon Street Monday nite. Carolina had 4-game win streak snapped in Atlanta last week, giving up 45 points. 9.3 ypa; they are 2-3 on road, 1-3 vs spread as dog. Packers scored 27-37-29 points in last three games, still lost two of three- they're 3-1 as favorite, but are favored for just second time in last seven games. Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Pack games. Carolina ran ball for 163.2 ypg over its last five games. NFC South road dogs are 6-3 against the spread.

Giants (10-1) @ Redskins (7-4)-- Burress was declared out for this game Friday, rematch of 16-7 Giants win in season opener, when Skins were held to 11 first downs, 209 total yards. Big Blue won, covered six games in row- they're 4-1 on road, with wins by 28-7-5-8 points. Redskins lost three of last four road games, scoring total of 47 points (five TDs on 45 drives). Under is 6-0-1 in Washington's last seven games. Skins are 2-2 as a dog this year. Giants are +11 in turnovers their last six games- they scored 35-36-30-37 points in last four games (three of four went over).

Dolphins (6-5) @ Rams (2-9)-- Rams were outscored 123-13 in first half of last four games; their OL can't protect their immobile QBs, so season is a nightmare, though Jackson might return here. Miami won four of last five games- they've only got one win by more than nine points. Four of last five Dolphin games stayed under total. Fish are 6-0 when they allow less than 20 points, 0-5 when they allow 20+. Rams scored total of 51 points during hideous five-game losing streak. Bad teams don't have any home field edge; Rams are 1-4 at home, with losses by 28-17-21-24 pts.

Ravens (7-4) @ Bengals (1-9-1)-- Baltimore (+2) won first meeting back in Week 1, 17-10, running ball for 229 yards, holding Bengals to total of 154 yards. Ravens are 3-3 on road, with wins by 14-10-28 points, and losses at Steelers-Colts-Giants. Lowly Bengals covered last two home games, tying Eagles, beating Jaguars, but in their two games since bye, they've run ball 50 times for 99 yards. Ravens were held to 10-3-10 pts in last three losses. Three of last four Baltimore games went over the total. Underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in AFC North games, 2-1 at home.

Colts (7-4) @ Browns (4-7)-- Quinn is out for year, so Browns go back to deposed Anderson as QB, not best situation, especially since they've already said Quinn is starter next year. Colts won last four games, all in close games (3-4-6-3 points); they're 4-2 on road, losing at Tennessee, Green Bay. Browns lost three of last four games- they're 1-5 at home, with only win vs 10-1 Giants. Over is 6-3 in last nine Indy games, 3-1 in last four Brown games. AFC South road favorites are 5-2 vs spread our of division. AFC North underdogs are 12-7 vs spread, 3-2 at home.

Falcons (7-4) @ Chargers (4-7)-- Atlanta RB Turner faces his old team, as surging Falcons (won five of last seven games) hit road for first time in month- they're 2-3 on road, with four of those five games going under total. Disappointing Chargers lost four of last five games- their last four games were all decided by five or less points. Bolts are 3-6 as favorites this season; Falcons are 3-3 as dog. AFC West home favorites are 2-6 in non-divisional games; NFC South road dogs are 6-3. Falcons ran ball for average of 204 ypg in last four weeks, but no takeaways last two games.

Steelers (8-3) @ Patriots (7-4)-- Pittsburgh is 4-1 on road, losing only at Philly- they've allowed one TD on 24 drives in last two road contests, but this is their first road game in four weeks. In last two games, Patriots passed ball for 386-408 yards, as Cassel earns himself big contract next spring. Pats are 4-2 at home, losing to division rivals Miami-Jets- they gave up 34-28 points in last two games. Opponents are 26 for last 49 on third down against them in last four games. AFC North road teams have covered nine of 14 out of division; AFC East home favorites are 6-8.

Chiefs (1-10) @ Raiders (3-8)-- Oakland won first meeting 23-8 back in Week 2 (+3.5), running ball for 300 yards, holding Chiefs to 190 yards, sacking KC QBs five times. Raiders looked good in easy 31-10 win last week in Denver- they averaged 13.3 ypa, ran ball for 158 yards. Chiefs lost last seven games, allowing 32.9 ppg- they gave up 30-54 points in last two games. Home teams are 1-5 vs spread in AFC West divisional games this season. Last seven Oakland games stayed under the total; over is 4-1-1 in last six Chief games. Raiders were 8-13 on third down last week, after being 7-50 in previous four games.

Bears (6-5) @ Vikings (6-5)-- Chicago scored two special teams TDs in wild 48-41 home win vs Vikings in Week 7 (-3), first time in history of Bears they won while allowing 40+ points. Bears were +4 in turnovers, offsetting 28 Viking firat downs and 155-53 rushing edge. Chicago is on road for third week in a row- they're 3-3 on foreign soil, 0-4 when they score 20 points or less. Vikings allowed 20+ points in six of last eight games. Winner here leads NFC North with four games left. Favorites are 6-3 vs the spread in NFC North divisional games. Over is 6-2 in Bears' last eight games, 2-5 in Vikings' last seven.

Monday, December 1

Jaguars (4-7) @ Texans (4-7)-- Jax won the first meeting 30-27 in Week 4 (-8); Houston lost despite three TD drives of 80+ yards. Houston won three of last four home games, is 1-3 vs spread when favored this season. Jaguars lost four of last five games, scoring 14-12 points last two weeks with only win in that stretch vs 0-12 Lions- they're 2-1 as dog. In last week's home loss, Jags gave up defensive TD on first play of game, then fumbled ensuing kickoff and trailed 14-0 in first 5:00. Eight of Houston's last ten games went over total. Home sides are 3-5 in AFC South games.

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**Udog** · 11-29-2008, 08:53 PM

NFL

Monday, December 1

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Tips and Trends
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Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans [ESPN | 8:30 PM ET]

Jaguars: Jacksonville continues to stumble after losing for the fourth time in five games last week. The Jaguars committed five turnovers, surrendered four sacks, missed two field goals and were flagged eight times in a 30-12 home loss to the Vikings, marking their lowest point of the season. “It was an embarrassing performance,” Jacksonville head coach Jack Del Rio said. “Might have been as bad as I’ve felt postgame.”

Jaguars are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
The OVER is 9-2-2 in Jacksonville's last 13 road games.

Key Injuries - WR Troy Williamson (groin) is day-to-day.
CB Omar Lowe (knee) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21

Texans (-3, O/U 48.5): Houston is coming off a 16-6 win at Cleveland last week behind QB Sage Rosenfels, who completed 24-of-32 passes for 275 yards. Rosenfels connected with WR Andre Johnson 10 times for 116 yards and is growing more confident since replacing the injured Matt Schaub. “It’s a great feeling,” Rosenfels said. “It’s a huge, huge win for us. Cleveland’s a tough place to play. For us to come in here and play like this shows a lot about our players and our coaches.” There is also a chance that Schaub could return for this game, as he has been practicing with the team.

Texans are 1-3 SU in their last 4 games overall.
The OVER is 13-3 in Houston's last 16 games overall.

Key Injuries -QB Matt Schaub (knee) is questionable.
RB Ahman Green (knee) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 27 (Side Play of the Day)

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**BettorsChat** · 11-30-2008, 07:46 AM

Avoided Embarrassment:
Starting in Game 6, play any NFL team coming off a
double-digit win on the road over a winless team.

Pointspread Record Since 1990:
19-6 (76%)

This week’s application:
Tampa Bay over New Orleans

Announcement

NFL Week 13 Trends and Indexes 11/27 throught 12/1

NFL Week 13 Trends and Indexes 11/27 throught 12/1

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