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Good luck to all
1*: 1/3 to 1/4 Unit
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
1* Detroit +7.5 over T.B.
Detroit will be playing their butts off to avoid a winless season. Winless home dogs of 7 or more are great plays in the NFL and I think the Lions get the cover here. T.B. is coming off a hard fought game against Minnesota and has a look-ahead where they face N.O. next week, so I think they will look past the Lions in this game. There is also a good 104-63 ATS trend favoring the Lions.
1* N.E. -1 over Miami
This game scares me because everyone and their mother is on New England. NE is overrated this year because of their name, but looking at the stats and angles of this game I like the Pats. NE is coming off a divsional loss, while Miami is coming off of four consecutive wins. The Pats should be able to throw against a Dolphin's D that is ranked 23rd in the league.
1* Phil +1.5 over Baltimore
Baltimore will not be able to move the ball against an Eagles team that allows 3.6 YPR (6th) and 6.5 YPPA (10th). On paper Balt's D is good, but their strength of schedule is so bad that I take this with a grain of salt. The Ravens offense is pitiful, being ranked 25th rushing and 21st passing. I like Philly to rebound from their embarrasing tie last week in Cinci.
1* Carolina +1.5 over Atlanta
Carolina is a very underrated football team this year and I thin they get the divisional win on the road this week. Atlanta showed their true colors against a bad Denver team last week. Carolinas defense is awesome; 4th against the run and the pass. While Atlanta's D allows 4.8 YOPr (28th) and 6.8 YPPA (15th). I see Carolina controlling this game easily.
1*: 1/3 to 1/4 Unit
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
1* Detroit +7.5 over T.B.
Detroit will be playing their butts off to avoid a winless season. Winless home dogs of 7 or more are great plays in the NFL and I think the Lions get the cover here. T.B. is coming off a hard fought game against Minnesota and has a look-ahead where they face N.O. next week, so I think they will look past the Lions in this game. There is also a good 104-63 ATS trend favoring the Lions.
1* N.E. -1 over Miami
This game scares me because everyone and their mother is on New England. NE is overrated this year because of their name, but looking at the stats and angles of this game I like the Pats. NE is coming off a divsional loss, while Miami is coming off of four consecutive wins. The Pats should be able to throw against a Dolphin's D that is ranked 23rd in the league.
1* Phil +1.5 over Baltimore
Baltimore will not be able to move the ball against an Eagles team that allows 3.6 YPR (6th) and 6.5 YPPA (10th). On paper Balt's D is good, but their strength of schedule is so bad that I take this with a grain of salt. The Ravens offense is pitiful, being ranked 25th rushing and 21st passing. I like Philly to rebound from their embarrasing tie last week in Cinci.
1* Carolina +1.5 over Atlanta
Carolina is a very underrated football team this year and I thin they get the divisional win on the road this week. Atlanta showed their true colors against a bad Denver team last week. Carolinas defense is awesome; 4th against the run and the pass. While Atlanta's D allows 4.8 YOPr (28th) and 6.8 YPPA (15th). I see Carolina controlling this game easily.
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