Announcement

**Udog** · 11-19-2008, 11:06 AM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 12

Thursday, November 20th

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, 8:15 ET NFL
Cincinnati: 6-0 Under off a non-conference game
Pittsburgh: 0-6 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards BB games

Sunday, November 23rd

Houston at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Houston: 6-0 Over off SU loss
Cleveland: 11-1 ATS off road game

Buffalo at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 14-5 ATS off an Over
Kansas City: 4-0 Over off DD loss

NY Jets at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
NY Jets: 5-1 Under at Tennessee
Tennessee: 9-1 ATS this season

New England at Miami, 1:00 ET
New England: 16-6 ATS in road games
Miami: 0-6 ATS Away off Under

San Francisco at Dallas, 1:00 ET
San Francisco: 0-4 ATS vs. NFC East
Dallas: 19-8 Over off SU win

Tampa Bay at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 80-56 Under in road games
Detroit: 0-9 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse

Philadelphia at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Philadelphia: 6-0 ATS as road underdog
Baltimore: 3-11 ATS off SU loss

Chicago at St. Louis, 1:00 ET
Chicago: 4-1 ATS off division loss
St Louis: 1-5 ATS off ATS loss

Minnesota at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 23-9 Over off BB ATS losses
Jacksonville: 18-7 ATS at home vs. NFC

(TC) Carolina at Atlanta, 4:15 ET
Carolina: 6-0 Under as a road underdog of 7 points or less
Atlanta: 11-3 Under as a favorite

Oakland at Denver, 4:05 ET
Oakland: 6-0 Under off SU Loss
Denver: 3-15 ATS as home favorite

Washington at Seattle, 4:15 ET
Washington: 2-6 ATS in weeks 10 through 13
Seattle: 7-1 ATS off BB losses

NY Giants at Arizona, 4:15 ET
NY Giants: 12-2 ATS in road games
Arizona: 2-11 ATS at home off BB wins

Indianapolis at San Diego, 8:15 ET
Indianapolis: 3-10 ATS vs. San Diego
San Diego: 6-0 ATS at home off ATS win

Monday, November 24th

Green Bay at New Orleans, 8:30 ET ESPN
Green Bay: 7-0 ATS in dome games
New Orleans: 31-53 ATS as home favorite

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 11-19-2008, 11:08 AM

NFL

Week 12

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Trend Sheet
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Thursday, November 20

8:15 PM CINCINNATI vs. PITTSBURGH
Cincinnati is 1-8-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cincinnati's last 16 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Sunday, November 23

1:00 PM BUFFALO vs. KANSAS CITY
Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Buffalo

1:00 PM CHICAGO vs. ST. LOUIS
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

1:00 PM HOUSTON vs. CLEVELAND
Houston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games

1:00 PM MINNESOTA vs. JACKSONVILLE
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Jacksonville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

1:00 PM NEW ENGLAND vs. MIAMI
New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
New England is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Miami
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games

1:00 PM NY JETS vs. TENNESSEE
NY Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games
NY Jets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tennessee's last 8 games when playing at home against NY Jets

1:00 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. DALLAS
San Francisco is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Dallas is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

1:00 PM TAMPA BAY vs. DETROIT
Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

4:05 PM OAKLAND vs. DENVER
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Denver
Denver is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games

4:15 PM CAROLINA vs. ATLANTA
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Carolina is 7-13-4 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

4:15 PM NY GIANTS vs. ARIZONA
NY Giants are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games on the road
NY Giants are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games on the road
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

4:15 PM WASHINGTON vs. SEATTLE
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

8:15 PM INDIANAPOLIS vs. SAN DIEGO
Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
San Diego is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Indianapolis

Monday, November 24

8:30 PM GREEN BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS
Green Bay is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay

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**Udog** · 11-19-2008, 11:10 AM

NFL

Sunday, November 23

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Tips and Trends
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New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins [CBS | 1 PM ET]

Patriots: New England QB Matt Cassel is coming off the best game of his career, completing 31-of-50 passes for 400 yards and rushing for 62 yards. Unfortunately for Cassel and the Pats, the effort resulted in a tough 34-31 overtime loss to the Jets that dropped them out of first place. “(When) you go through a game like that, you look back at 20, 25, 30 plays - any one of them could have made a little bit of a difference or maybe a big difference,” New England head coach Bill Belichick said. “I think everybody feels probably about the same way, that if I could have just done one thing differently or done one thing better or not done one thing or whatever. That’s the way I feel. I’m sure that’s the way all the players and assistant coaches feel.”

Patriots are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings at Miami.
The UNDER is 10-3 in New England's last 13 November games.

Key Injuries - RB LaMont Jordan (leg) is questionable.
LB Adalius Thomas (forearm) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17

Dolphins (-2, O/U 42): Miami has won four straight games to surge into a second-place tie in the AFC East with New England, a team the Dolphins beat handily 38-13 in Foxboro back in Week 3. New Miami head coach Tony Sparano has done an outstanding job of keeping his players focused from week to week, and it has already resulted in a great turnaround from 1-15 last season. The Dolphins are coming off a17-15 win over the Raiders and have been accused of playing to the level of their competition. “Three, four weeks ago, nobody cared about what the Miami Dolphins were doing, so I find it hard to believe that my guys are playing down to any level," Sparano said. "I think these guys go out and they sell out and they play pretty hard when they’re out there."

Dolphins are 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 games vs. AFC East.
The UNDER is 4-0 in Miami's last 4 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (Side Play of the Day)

New York Giants at Arizona Cardinals [FOX | 4:15 PM ET]

Giants (-3, O/U 49): New York is coming off a dominant performance in a 30-10 victory against the Ravens last week, improving to 6-0 at home and 9-1 overall. The Giants rolled over the NFL's top-ranked run defense en route to 207 yards on the ground, topping the 200-yard mark for the third game in a row. “They have a great defense, a great front, great linebackers with a lot of experience,” New York OT David Diehl said. “You watch film and you see teams get frustrated by only making 2 or 3 yards or getting tackled for a loss. The great thing is, we just stuck to our game plan. We knew that if we just kept pounding away that eventually they were going to crack.”

Giants are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games overall.

Key Injuries - S James Butler (ankle) is questionable.
OL Gerris Wilkinson (knee) is questionable.
LB Jonathan Goff (concussion) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 31 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Cardinals: Arizona can clinch the NFC West with a win against the Giants, which would be their first division title since 1975. The Cardinals will be hosting the team that won the Super Bowl in their stadium just nine months ago, and former New York QB Kurt Warner will also get an opportunity to exact some revenge. “We know we are going to meet the best,” Cardinals defensive tackle Darnell Dockett said. “This is the best team in football.”

Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
The OVER is 23-9 in Arizona's last 32 games overall.

Key Injuries - TE Ben Patrick (knee) is questionable.
TE Jerame Tuman (ankle) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 28

Indianapolis Colts at San Diego Chargers [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

Colts: Indy is finally starting to gain some momentum, winning three straight games after sitting at 3-4. Colts head coach Tony Dungy believes the win over the Texans last week was a good challenge and showed him they were certainly capable of winning a shootout. “(The Houston game) was a big win for us, one we definitely needed to get that home win and another division win,” Dungy said. “But our offense really clicked, maybe for the first time all year on all cylinders. We got our running game going, and that got us some looks at some one-on-one (pass) coverage on the outside. I thought we had some clutch drives answering some of the (Texans’) scores."

Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
The OVER is 6-2 in Indy's last 8 games vs. AFC.

Key Injuries - CB Kelvin Hayden (knee) is questionable.
S Bob Sanders (ankle) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 23

Chargers (-3, O/U 49): San Diego RB LaDainian Tomlinson has been vocal about his desire to see the Chargers become more of a running team, and he is becoming increasingly concerned about their playoff hopes following a tough 11-10 loss at Pittsburgh last week. "Whenever you keep blowing opportunities, then at some point as they say, opportunities don’t come about anymore,” Tomlinson said. “It’s like when the opportunity comes, you open the door and take it, and if you don’t, it will pass you by and go to someone else.”

Chargers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
The UNDER is 5-1 in San Diego's last 6 games overall.

Key Injuries -CB Cletis Gordon (knee) is questionable.
CB Steve Gregory (shoulder) is questionable.
DE Jacques Cesaire (knee) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 27

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**Udog** · 11-20-2008, 08:42 AM

NFL
Dunkel - Thur.

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
The Bengals look to take advantage of a Pittsburgh team that is just 5-15 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1993. Cincinnati is the underdog pick (+11) according to Dunkel, which has the Steelers favored by only 8. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+11). (Note: I will post all of this week's picks later today).

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 20

Game 105-106: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 126.772; Pittsburgh 134.644
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 8; 31
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 11; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+11); Under

**Udog** · 11-20-2008, 11:12 AM

NFL

Thursday, November 20

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Tips and Trends
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Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers [NFL | 8:15 PM ET]

Bengals: Cincinnati QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is coming off one of his best games of the season, throwing for a season-high 261 yards in a 13-13 tie with the Eagles despite being sacked eight times. Fitzgerald could be in for more of the same here against the Steelers, who sacked him seven times in a 38-10 rout back on October 19th. In fact, the left side of the offensive line for the Bengals will face an even tougher test with starters Levin Jones and Andrew Whitworth sitting out due to injuries. “They try to make you uncomfortable back there,” Fitzpatrick said. “And with their rush, and how hard they come sometimes, it’s uncomfortable. You’ve just got to make decisions and get the ball out.”

Double-digit NFL underdogs are 14-1 ATS this season.
Bengals are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 12.

Key Injuries - WR Chad Johnson (suspension) is OUT.
DE Antwan Odom (shoulder) is OUT.
SS Chinedum Ndukwe (foot) is OUT.
LT Levi Jones (leg) is OUT.
LG Andrew Whitworth (ankle) is OUT.
WR Antonio Chatman (back) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 10

Steelers (-11, O/U 34): Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger bounced back from a rough stretch on Sunday against the Chargers, completing 31-of-41 passes for 308 yards with no interception in the 11-10 victory. Roethlisberger has missed practice regularly to rest a lingering shoulder injury, and that certainly helped him rebound after throwing only one touchdown pass and eight interceptions in the previous three games. “It was time for me to do it,” Roethlisberger said. “I don’t like to say it’s time for us to do it because some of these guys have been doing it all year. It was time for me to step up and make some plays.”

Home team is 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
The OVER is 8-2 in Pittsburgh's last 10 games vs. AFC.

Key Injuries - TE Heath Miller (ankle) is probable.
CB Deshea Townsend (hamstring) is OUT.
CB Bryant McFadden (forearm) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24

**Udog** · 11-20-2008, 11:40 AM

NFL
Write-Up

Week 12 games

Thursday, November 20

Bengals (1-8-1) @ Steelers (7-3)-Pitt (-9.5) won first meeting 38-10, outgaining Cincy 375-212, holding Bengals to 2.8 yds/pass attempt, sacking Fitzpatrick seven times, in game that was just 10-7 at half. Bengals are 1-0-1 in last two games, so they haven't quit; they're 2-3 on road, 2-2 as road dog, with away losses by 7-3-9-12-29 points. Double digit dogs are 13-1 against spread this season. Steelers are 0-4 vs. spread in last four home games; they're 3-2 SU, with wins by 21-1-3 points. Under is 3-1-1 in Bengals' last five games. Dogs are 5-2 vs spread in AFC North divisional games.

Sunday, November 23

Texans (3-7) @ Browns (4-6)- Cleveland scored 29-30 points in Quinn's first two starts, but were handed three first quarter picks by Edwards Monday, and still barely won- they led by 13+ points in each of last three games, gave up lead in all three. Browns are 1-4 at home (only win vs. Giants- go figure), giving up 24.6 pg, are 0-2 as favorite. Texans lost last three games, giving up 34 pg; they're 0-5 on road (2-3 as road dog) giving up 34 pg. AFC North home favorites are 2-4 outside the division; AFC South road dogs are 3-2. Over is 9-1 in Texan games this season.

Bills (5-5) @ Chiefs (1-9)- Buffalo travels on short week after discouraging Monday night home loss, their fourth loss in row- they're 2-3 on foreign soil, losing last three. At least Chiefs have QB now, as Thigpen has emerged as decent signal caller; KC covered three of last four games, but they've still lost six games in row, are 2-2 as home dog, with home losses by 15-24-3-10 points. AFC west home dogs are 2-4 vs. spread outside their division, AFC East road favorites are 1-2. Leaguewide, home dogs in non-divisional games are 12-16. Under is 3-1-1 in Buffalo's last five games, 2-5-1 in Chiefs' last eight.

Jets (7-3) @ Titans (10-0)- Tennessee special teams have won average starting field position battle last seven weeks (five of seven by 10+ yards). Jets have three extra days to prepare after big OT win in Foxboro; they won last four games, scoring 26.3 pg- they're 3-2 on road, with both losses on west coast. Jets have nine takeaways in last three games (+7); over is 7-0-1 in their last eight games, but 0-3 in last three Tennessee tilts. Titans are 3-1 as home favorite, winning in Music City by 7-12-13-10-3 points. AFC South home faves are 3-9 vs. spread in non-divisional games; AFC East road dogs are 5-3.

Patriots (6-4) @ Dolphins (6-4)-Miami won first meeting 38-13 in Week 3, running ball for 216 yards, passing for 245 as they outgained Pats 461-216, scoring five TDs on ten drives (went 3/out on four of other five). Fish won last four games, last two by two points each; this is their fifth home game in last six weeks. NE had three extra days to prepare after Jet loss; they're 2-2 on road, winning at Jets, 49ers, but losing last two trips. Patriots are 6-1 when they allow 21 or less points, 0-3 otherwise. Home favorites are 1-4 vs. spread in AFC East divisional games. Last four Miami games stayed under the total.

49ers (3-7) @ Cowboys (6-4)-Niners scored 33-31-35 points in their wins, average of 18.7 in losses; they're 2-2 on road (2-2 as road dog) losing by 14 in Superdome, 12 in Swamp, where they were only double digit dog not to cover so far this year. Dallas allowed 26+ points in all its losses; they're 1-5 vs. spread when laying more than three points. Dallas is 4-0 if their games stays under total, 2-4 if it goes over, which five of last six 49er games have. SF has run ball for 124-119-135 yards in last three games. NFC West road dogs are 4-8 vs. spread outside its division; NFC East home favorites are 8-4.

Bucs (7-3) @ Lions (0-10)- Lions are one of Garcia's many ex-teams, so he'll be glad to stick it to winless squad that is 0-4 as home underdog this season, with eight points (Redskins) closest loss; not only are they starting a QB who was on street three weeks ago, they've allowed average of 177.5 rushing yards/game over last four weeks. Tampa has allowed total of six second half points in last three games; they're 2-3 on road, though, with both wins in OT. NFC North home dogs are 2-5 vs. spread in non-divisional games; NFC South favorites are 10-6 vs. spread, 3-1 on road. Over is 4-0-1 in Bucs' last five games.

Eagles (5-4-1) @ Ravens (6-4)-Harbaugh came to Ravens from job as Eagle special teams coach, so lot of familiarity here; Baltimore were gashed for 207 rushing yards by Giants last week, after not allowing more than 76 in any previous game, so they'll be an angry bunch here. Unsure of Eagles' state of mind after rare tie that was followed by McNabb's strange admission of his ignorance of NFL rules. Not sure you want your field general to not know the rules of engagement. Philly is 2-2-1 on road; none of their losses are by more than six points. Ravens are home for first time in month- they're 3-1 at home.

Bears (5-5) @ Rams (2-8)- Have never seem team quit way Rams do; at first sign of adversity, they go south, are non-competitive without Jackson (thigh, out). No home field edge here, as Bear fans will be in majority, and locals will boo Bulger unmercifully. Rams are 1-6, with all six losses by 19+ points when they average less than six yards per pass attempt. Luckily for St Louis, Bears secondary has been leaky, holding just one of last five foes under 6.8 ypa. Bears are 5-1 if they score 21+ points, with only loss vs. 10-0 Titans. Rams allowed 34-47-35 points in last three games.

Vikings (5-5) @ Jaguars (4-6)-Jags had unbeaten Titans down 14-3 at half last week, let them slip away, are now pretty much out of contention, while 5-5 Vikes are in three-way tie for first in NFC North. Vikings are 1-4 on road, 0-4 on grass (won in Superdome by 3); they didn't score in second half at Tampa last week, after leading 13-6 at half. Jags are 1-3 since their bye. Underdogs are 9-5 vs. spread in NFC North teams' non-division road games; road team is 16-7 vs. spread in AFC South non-divisional games. Five of last seven Minnesota games went over the total.

Panthers (8-2) @ Falcons (6-4)-Carolina (-7) won first meeting 24-9 in Week 4, as Delhomme averaged 10.1 yards/pass attempt; in the Panthers' last two games, Jake has averaged 2.9/4.9 yds/attempt, completing just 17 of 46 passes, a huge red flag for team that lost its only previous game on carpet, 20-10 at Minnesota in Week 3. Atlanta lost first home game in five tries last week; they score an average of 29.6 pg in Georgia Dome. Home favorites are 5-1 vs. spread in NFC South games this season. Four of last five Falcons games stayed under total, as did seven of last nine Carolina tilts.

Raiders (2-8) @ Broncos (6-4)-Never forget that Shanahan hates Al Davis and loves to stick it to Oakland, after Al Davis screwed him out of $250,000 20 years ago after he fired him as coach of Raiders. Denver is 5-0 when it scores 20+ points; they're 3-2 at home though, with wins by 1-2-3 points (dog 5-0 vs. points). Broncos won first meeting 41-14 in Week 1, averaging 12 yards/ pass attempt, scoring five TDs on nine drives, two of which were 80+ yards. Raiders lost last four games, scoring total of 31 points; their only TD in last three games (34 drives) was 93-yard PR by Higgins in Miami last week.

Redskins (6-4) @ Seahawks (2-8)- Washington lost three of last four games, scoring one TD on 22 drives in last two games; they've won last three road games, though and have played better on foreign soil than at home. Seattle has been held to 261 or less total yards in six of last seven games; last time they gained 300+ yards was in Week 3; they're 1-4 at home, with only win vs. woeful Rams-- Seahawk passing game averaged less than five yards an attempt in six of last seven games. Favorite is 8-3 vs. spread in NFC West teams' non-divisional home games (NFC West teams 2-5 as home dogs).

Giants (9-1) @ Cardinals (7-3)- Big Blue won, covered last five games since lone loss, at Cleveland- they gave up 454 yards on Lake Erie, 107 more than any other game this year. Cardinals gain average of 441.8 yds/game over last four weeks. Can Redbirds stop the run? Giants ran for 200+ yards in each of their last three games. Redbirds held nine of ten opponents (Redskins) to 119 or less yards on ground. Arizona is averaging 31.1 pg in last seven games; Redskins are only team to hold them under 23 points in '08; Redbirds are 4-0 at home, scoring 32.8 pg (14 TDs/38 drives).

Colts (6-4) @ Chargers (4-6)- Indy is back into playoff race, winning last three games, by 3-4-6 points; they lost at home to Chargers in playoffs LY, when Rivers played with damaged knee. Colts are 25 for 41 on third down in last three games, as Manning's timing has improved, keeping suspect defense off field. Desperate times for San Diego squad that always finds its way into refereeing issues (Hochuli play in Week 2, Polamalu play last week); Bolts won their last three home games. AFC West home sides are 4-9 vs. spread in non-division games, AFC South road teams are 8-4.

Monday, November 24

Packers (5-5) @ Saints (5-5)-First home game in six weeks for Saints, who are 4-1 when scoring 30+ points, 1-4 otherwise; they're 4-1 if they don't lose turnover battle, and since allowing 146-149 rushing yards in first two games, allowed only one of last eight foes (Carolina) to rush for more than 124 yards. Packers covered their last five games (3-2 SU, losses by 1-3 points); over is 3-1-1 in their road games this year. Packers held four of last five opponents under 5.0 yards/pass, so good matchup here. NFC North road dogs are 7-4 in non-divisional games; NFC South home favorites are 7-5.

**BettorsChat** · 11-20-2008, 04:07 PM

Rivalry Dogs:
In their last home game, play any college team as a dog if they are not
off consecutive losses and today's opponent is an in-state rival.

Pointspread Record Since 1990:
61-36 (62.8%)

This week’s application:
Northwestern

Icy Homer:
Play against any NFL home team that has lost at least three consecutive
games straight up facing a team that has lost at least two consecutive games straight
up.

Pointspread Record Since 1986
: 23-9 (71.9%)

This week’s application:
Chicago Bears (play against St. Louis Rams)

Fond Farewell:
Play on any college dog of more than 4 points in its Last Home Game
of the season if they have 17 or more starters from last year's team and are playing with
revenge.

Pointspread Record since 1990:
35-11 (76%)

This week’s application:
UAB

**BettorsChat** · 11-20-2008, 04:08 PM

Stats for the year

home 69
away 90

last 3 weeks away have won 32 vs home 11 as i away say no advanage for home teams in the 1st 11 weeks....home will com back as it always does from now to the super bowl.

Dogs 80
fav 79

over 79
under 80

points that matter
27 out of 159 games 17% avg for this year

**Udog** · 11-22-2008, 09:43 PM

NFL
Dunkel - Sun. & Mon.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 23

Game 195-196: Houston at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 127.462; Cleveland 133.139
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 5 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-3); Under

Game 197-198: Buffalo at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 127.299; Kansas City 127.180
Dunkel Line: Even; 40
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+3); Under

Game 199-200: NY Jets at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 137.789; Tennessee 140.742
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 3; 37
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 5 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+5 1/2); Under

Game 201-202: New England at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: New England 134.614; Miami 131.462
Dunkel Line: New England by 3; 46
Vegas Line: Miami by 1; 42
Dunkel Pick: New England (+1); Over

Game 203-204: San Francisco at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 122.102; Dallas 135.692
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 13 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Dallas by 10; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-10); Over

Game 205-206: Tampa Bay at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 130.466; Detroit 124.378
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 6; 37
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 8; 42
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+8); Under

Game 207-208: Philadelphia at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 135.778; Baltimore 138.350
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Pick; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore; Under

Game 209-210: Chicago at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 128.879; St. Louis 122.452
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 6 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Chicago by 8; 43
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+8); Under

Game 211-212: Minnesota at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 131.092; Jacksonville 135.077
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 4; 37
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-2); Under

Game 213-214: Carolina at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 134.604; Atlanta 138.774
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 4; 46
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 1; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1); Over

Game 215-216: Oakland at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 122.075; Denver 133.624
Dunkel Line: Denver by 11 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Denver by 9; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-9); Over

Game 217-218: Washington at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 129.474; Seattle 129.557
Dunkel Line: Even; 44
Vegas Line: Washington by 3 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3 1/2); Over

Game 219-220: NY Giants at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 142.248; Arizona 136.314
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 6; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3; 48
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-3); Under

Game 221-222: Indianapolis at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 135.991; San Diego 135.242
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 1; 54
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3; 49
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+3); Over

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 24

Game 225-226: Green Bay at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 132.106; New Orleans 136.311
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 4; 56
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-2 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 11-22-2008, 09:52 PM

NFL

Monday, November 23

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Tips and Trends
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Monday, November 23

Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints [ESPN | 8:30 PM ET]

Packers: Green Bay moved into a three-way tie atop the NFC North with Chicago and Minnesota after crushing the Bears 37-3 last Sunday. The Packers are just 2-3 on the road this season but hope their strong pass defense can cause problems for New Orleans QB Drew Brees, who is leading the top offense in the NFL with 411.5 yards per game. Green Bay is allowing just 176.3 passing yards per game and has totaled 16 interceptions. “The Saints possess an excellent challenge for us,” Packers head coach Mike McCarthy said. “They have the ability to attack you a lot of different ways. I think Drew Brees and Sean Payton are a very good match as far as the way Sean attacks a defense and Drew’s ability to run the wide-open offense.”

Packers are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 road games.
The OVER is 8-1-1 in Green Bay's last 10 road games.

Key Injuries - LB Nick Barnett (knee) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 27 (Side Play of the Day)

Saints (-2.5, O/U 51.5): New Orleans does not have the benefit of playing in a weak division like the Packers, so head coach Sean Payton knows this is a critical game for his team. “There is a sense of urgency that this game is important and it’s certainly important for Green Bay,” Payton said. “I think that after this game next week there’s going to be that same urgency because not only the division, but the rest of the NFC is playing pretty well.” The Saints have alternated wins and losses in their last six games, but they are 3-1 at home this season.

The OVER is 8-1-1 in New Orleans' last 10 home games.
The OVER is 11-3-1 in New Orleans' last 15 games overall.

Key Injuries - RB Reggie Bush (knee) is questionable.
CB Aaron Glenn (ankle) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24

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Announcement

NFL Week 12 Trends and Indexes 11/20 through 11/24

NFL Week 12 Trends and Indexes 11/20 through 11/24

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