Tweet
Might add Denver, GB, Jax, Pitt. Good luck to all!!!
1*: 1/3 to 1/4 Unit
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
4* T.B. -4 over Minnesota
I love TB in this game! Tampa is coming off a bye and a bad game (and 3 ATS losses in a row) in K.C. and Gruden will have his troops ready. On the other side of the ball Minnesota is coming off a last second win against a division rival and is now forced to travel to one of the toughest places in the league. Tampa is 4-0 at home this year, and the Vikings are 1-3 on the road. Tampa is going to keep A.P. in check as they hold opponents to only 3.8 YPR and have only allowed one 100 yard rusher this year. This will put the pressure on Frerotte and the Bucs are going to dial up blitz packages to rattle him. Tampa's pass D is one of the best in the league allowing only 6.3 YPPA (6th). Minnesota is strong against the run (3.2 YPR), but they allow 7.2 YPPA (20th) and Garcia has been playing well this year and should take advantage of this. My mathSystem has the Bucs as 7 point favs. There are no trends favoring either team. Take the Bucs as a 4* play at -5 or lower!
2* Washington +1.5 over Dallas (Possible ugrade to 3*)
I don't understand this line! Washington beat Dallas 26-24 in their first meeting and now Dallas is a road fav? Romo is expected to be back, which apparently the public thinks is going to be a magic pill for the Cowboys, but they are 4-3 with him. Also, I think his pinkie will still be an issue. Portis is likely out, but Betts is a very good back up averaging 4.1 YPR over his career. The Redskins continue to be underrated, especially their D that allows only 3.5 YPR (6th) and 6 YPPA (5th). Offensively, the Skins are 2nd rushing the ball and 15th passing. Dallas' problem is their D which will not be solved with Romo's return, they allow 4.2 YPr (21st) and 6.6 YPPA (11th). My mathSystem has Wash as a 3.2 point favorite! Washington is off an ugly Monday night loss at home and a bye and I see them bouncing back big time here!
2* S.F. -6.5 over St. Louis
San Fran's stats are way to impressive for a 2-7 team, so why is there record so bad…turnovers. The Niners are -13 in turnover ratio (last in the league). With O'Sullivan benched, this will improve and the Niners should win this game easily. San Fran has been playing with more heart since Singletary took over and I see them winning easily at home here. SF averages 4.5 YPR (6th) and 7.3 YPPA (11th). They will face a Rams team that is ranked 29th and 31st against the run and pass, respectively. RB Jackson is out for the Rams which will make it even harder the them to move the ball. On the defensive side of the ball San Fran only allows 3.5 YPR (16th) and 7.2 YPPA (18th). St. Louis only averages 3.8 YPR (22nd) and 6.6 YPPA (25th). San Fran has lost six consecutive games and they will get their first W under Singletary in this game. My math System has the Niners as 11 point favs.
Math plays:
Mia at 10 or lower
Carolina
SF at 6 or lower
1*: 1/3 to 1/4 Unit
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
4* T.B. -4 over Minnesota
I love TB in this game! Tampa is coming off a bye and a bad game (and 3 ATS losses in a row) in K.C. and Gruden will have his troops ready. On the other side of the ball Minnesota is coming off a last second win against a division rival and is now forced to travel to one of the toughest places in the league. Tampa is 4-0 at home this year, and the Vikings are 1-3 on the road. Tampa is going to keep A.P. in check as they hold opponents to only 3.8 YPR and have only allowed one 100 yard rusher this year. This will put the pressure on Frerotte and the Bucs are going to dial up blitz packages to rattle him. Tampa's pass D is one of the best in the league allowing only 6.3 YPPA (6th). Minnesota is strong against the run (3.2 YPR), but they allow 7.2 YPPA (20th) and Garcia has been playing well this year and should take advantage of this. My mathSystem has the Bucs as 7 point favs. There are no trends favoring either team. Take the Bucs as a 4* play at -5 or lower!
2* Washington +1.5 over Dallas (Possible ugrade to 3*)
I don't understand this line! Washington beat Dallas 26-24 in their first meeting and now Dallas is a road fav? Romo is expected to be back, which apparently the public thinks is going to be a magic pill for the Cowboys, but they are 4-3 with him. Also, I think his pinkie will still be an issue. Portis is likely out, but Betts is a very good back up averaging 4.1 YPR over his career. The Redskins continue to be underrated, especially their D that allows only 3.5 YPR (6th) and 6 YPPA (5th). Offensively, the Skins are 2nd rushing the ball and 15th passing. Dallas' problem is their D which will not be solved with Romo's return, they allow 4.2 YPr (21st) and 6.6 YPPA (11th). My mathSystem has Wash as a 3.2 point favorite! Washington is off an ugly Monday night loss at home and a bye and I see them bouncing back big time here!
2* S.F. -6.5 over St. Louis
San Fran's stats are way to impressive for a 2-7 team, so why is there record so bad…turnovers. The Niners are -13 in turnover ratio (last in the league). With O'Sullivan benched, this will improve and the Niners should win this game easily. San Fran has been playing with more heart since Singletary took over and I see them winning easily at home here. SF averages 4.5 YPR (6th) and 7.3 YPPA (11th). They will face a Rams team that is ranked 29th and 31st against the run and pass, respectively. RB Jackson is out for the Rams which will make it even harder the them to move the ball. On the defensive side of the ball San Fran only allows 3.5 YPR (16th) and 7.2 YPPA (18th). St. Louis only averages 3.8 YPR (22nd) and 6.6 YPPA (25th). San Fran has lost six consecutive games and they will get their first W under Singletary in this game. My math System has the Niners as 11 point favs.
Math plays:
Mia at 10 or lower
Carolina
SF at 6 or lower
Comment