First of all, lets look at this NEV/Fresno game.....
Line is Nev -1/total set at 70 1/2....
Nev is 4-4, Fres is 5-3....Nev has played slightly tougher teams, not much though, so we'll treat it as SOS equal....
PF/PA
NEV 38/32
FRS 33/30....Nev avgs winning by 6, FRS x 3....
TYPG
NEV 514
FRS 420.............big adv to NEV
RYPG
NEV 305
FRS 196...........big adv to NEV
PYPG
NEV 209
FRS 223..........even
Defensive
TYPG
NEV 396
FRS 406..........even
PYPG
NEV 327
FRS 198..........big adv to FRS
RYPG
NEV 69
FRS 208.........big adv to NEV
appears to me they both can score in the 30's or better, and both yield in the 30's...
NEV via the ground and FRS via the AIR....appears FRS will be able to score against NEV using the pass, and appears NEV will be able to score on FRS using the ground.....
Based on common opponents, I see no big significant difference in the 2....Home field should be an advantage, but FRS is only 1-2 at home and NEV is 2-2 on the road....no advantage here....
Line opened up FRS -2 and is npw NEV -1....PUBLIC, or wise guys have moved it 3 points.....
I see the line and the over as just about right.....so I'm gonna pad it, and give myself a 7 pt buffer.....playing
2 team 7 pt teaser -130 ties Push
NEV +6
OVER 63 1/2...............................................3*
NBA -110
504 Wash -5 1/2...............5*
514 San Ant -6...........2*
515 Phnx -4 1/2..........2*
518 UTAH -11...................5*
522 Denv -1...............2*
524 G St -7................2*
NHL
3 Montreal Canadiens -150..............2*
5/6 Atl/Buff OVER 5 1/2 -120.......................5*
gl to all----lock and load----I've got some more capping to do for tomorrow, and have a 10:00 AM soccer game......lock and load....
Line is Nev -1/total set at 70 1/2....
Nev is 4-4, Fres is 5-3....Nev has played slightly tougher teams, not much though, so we'll treat it as SOS equal....
PF/PA
NEV 38/32
FRS 33/30....Nev avgs winning by 6, FRS x 3....
TYPG
NEV 514
FRS 420.............big adv to NEV
RYPG
NEV 305
FRS 196...........big adv to NEV
PYPG
NEV 209
FRS 223..........even
Defensive
TYPG
NEV 396
FRS 406..........even
PYPG
NEV 327
FRS 198..........big adv to FRS
RYPG
NEV 69
FRS 208.........big adv to NEV
appears to me they both can score in the 30's or better, and both yield in the 30's...
NEV via the ground and FRS via the AIR....appears FRS will be able to score against NEV using the pass, and appears NEV will be able to score on FRS using the ground.....
Based on common opponents, I see no big significant difference in the 2....Home field should be an advantage, but FRS is only 1-2 at home and NEV is 2-2 on the road....no advantage here....
Line opened up FRS -2 and is npw NEV -1....PUBLIC, or wise guys have moved it 3 points.....
I see the line and the over as just about right.....so I'm gonna pad it, and give myself a 7 pt buffer.....playing
2 team 7 pt teaser -130 ties Push
NEV +6
OVER 63 1/2...............................................3*
NBA -110
504 Wash -5 1/2...............5*
514 San Ant -6...........2*
515 Phnx -4 1/2..........2*
518 UTAH -11...................5*
522 Denv -1...............2*
524 G St -7................2*
NHL
3 Montreal Canadiens -150..............2*
5/6 Atl/Buff OVER 5 1/2 -120.......................5*
gl to all----lock and load----I've got some more capping to do for tomorrow, and have a 10:00 AM soccer game......lock and load....
![clapping](http://www.bettorschat.com/forums/images/smilies/th_bravo_2_cut.gif)
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