Announcement

**Udog** · 11-05-2008, 03:53 PM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 10

Thursday, November 6th

Denver at Cleveland, 8:15 ET NFL
Denver: 0-12 ATS if total is between 42.5 and 49
Cleveland: 11-1 ATS off an Over

Sunday, November 9th

Jacksonville at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 0-6 ATS as favorite
Detroit: 9-1 ATS off 7+ SU losses

Tennessee at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 29-14 ATS vs. NFC
Chicago: 2-14 ATS after scoring 25+ points BB games

Buffalo at New England, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 14-5 Under off SU loss
New England: 0-7 ATS at home off BB Unders

New Orleans at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 6-0 Over after a win by 6 or less points
Atlanta: 3-14 ATS at home off win by 14+ points

St. Louis at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
St. Louis: 2-9 ATS off DD loss
NY Jets: 7-0 Under off a SU win

Seattle at Miami, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 13-4 Over as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
Miami: 13-28 ATS off SU win off dog

Green Bay at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 6-0 ATS in dome games
Minnesota: 16-3 Under as a home favorite of 3 points or less

Carolina at Oakland, 4:05 ET
Carolina: 7-0 Under after a win by 6 or less points
Oakland: 0-6 ATS vs. NFC

Kansas City at San Diego, 4:15 ET
Kansas City: 6-0 ATS as a DD underdog
San Diego: 6-1 Over after allowing 30+ points

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh, 4:15 ET
Indianapolis: 8-1 ATS off BB ATS win
Pittsburgh: n/a

NY Giants at Philadelphia, 8:15 ET
NY Giants: 10-2 ATS as an underdog
Philadelphia: 9-2 Under as home favorite

Write-In Game

Baltimore at Houston, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 25-12 ATS off road win
Houston: 7-1 Over in all games

Monday, November 10th

San Francisco at Arizona, 8:30 ET ESPN
San Francisco: 6-0 Under if the total is between 42.5 and 49
Arizona: 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 11-05-2008, 03:59 PM

NFL

Week 10

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Trend Sheet
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Thursday, November 6

8:15 PM DENVER vs. CLEVELAND
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 14 games

Sunday, November 9

1:00 PM BALTIMORE vs. HOUSTON
Baltimore is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games
Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

1:00 PM BUFFALO vs. NEW ENGLAND
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

1:00 PM GREEN BAY vs. MINNESOTA
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay

1:00 PM JACKSONVILLE vs. DETROIT
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

1:00 PM NEW ORLEANS vs. ATLANTA
New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM SEATTLE vs. MIAMI
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

1:00 PM ST. LOUIS vs. NY JETS
St. Louis is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
St. Louis is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
NY Jets are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games at home
NY Jets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home

1:00 PM TENNESSEE vs. CHICAGO
Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee

4:05 PM CAROLINA vs. OAKLAND
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

4:15 PM INDIANAPOLIS vs. PITTSBURGH
Indianapolis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

4:15 PM KANSAS CITY vs. SAN DIEGO
Kansas City is 1-16 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
San Diego is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Kansas City

8:15 PM NY GIANTS vs. PHILADELPHIA
NY Giants are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
NY Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

Monday, November 10

8:30 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
San Francisco is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 11-05-2008, 04:01 PM

NFL

Sunday, November 9

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Tips and Trends
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Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings [FOX | 1 PM ET]

Packers: Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers is looking to redeem himself after a shaky performance in last Sunday's 19-16 overtime loss at Tennessee. Rodgers threw a season-high 41 passes but completed just 22 of them and turned the ball over on consecutive possessions in the third quarter. "I take this one on myself," Rodgers said. "The two turnovers, you just can’t have. It takes points off the board for you and gives them points. I’m very disappointed." The good news is that Rodgers played very well in the season opener against the Vikings, completing 18-of-22 passes for 178 yards and a touchdown in a 24-19 win.

Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Packers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games.

Key Injuries - OT Chad Clifton (illness) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (Side Play of the Day)

Vikings (-2, O/U 45.5): Minnesota QB Tarvaris Jackson took a lot of heat for the team's season-opening loss to the Packers, and rightfully so. Jackson threw a key interception late in the game and completed only 16-of-35 passes for 178 yards. This time around, the Vikings will have Gus Frerotte under center. They are 4-2 with Frerotte as the starter, and he believes he has been able to keep the team loose and provide leadership. "I just go out and play and have a lot of fun," Frerotte said. "I think the coaches have a lot of confidence in me to be able to throw the ball downfield."

Vikings are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
The OVER is 4-1 in Minnesota's last 5 games overall.

Key Injuries - DE Jared Allen (shoulder) is questionable.
LB David Herron Jr. (ankle) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers [CBS | 4:15 PM ET]

Colts: It wasn't a pretty win last Sunday against the Patriots, but the 18-15 victory got Indy back to the .500 mark and got back into the race for a playoff spot. "We’re not going to make any game too big or too small, but with the hole we’re in, each win is big," TE Dallas Clark said. "But we have another one next week and the week after that and the week after that, so we’re going to enjoy it. It’s definitely a positive and a momentum-builder." The Colts are now fighting with several other teams for a wild-card berth. "We feel like every game right now is almost like a playoff game," said WR Reggie Wayne.

Colts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
The UNDER is 8-2 in Indy's last 10 games in November.

Key Injuries - CB Kelvin Hayden (knee) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20

Steelers (-3, O/U 40): Pittsburgh moved to 6-2 with a gritty 23-6 victory at Washington on Monday night, but it may turn out to be a costly one. Despite the fact that the Steelers play their next three games at home, QB Ben Roethlisberger suffered a shoulder injury against the Redskins that could leave the team no choice but to give him a break and let him heal. That would lead to Byron Leftwich's first start in Pittsburgh. It's also important to keep in mind that the first two games of this homestand are against teams battling for the playoffs who are far more desperate than the Steelers at this point.

Steelers are 3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
The UNDER is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings.

Key Injuries - QB Ben Roethlisberger (shoulder) is questionable.

TE Heath Miller (ankle) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles [NBC | 8:15 PM ET] | Full Matchup

Giants: New York did not have a problem disposing of the Cowboys for the second straight time last Sunday, and now the team faces another NFC East rival - this time on the road. The Giants are 13-1 in their last 14 games away from home, and their best trait seems to be their neverending goal of always trying to become a better team. "Believe me, the best thing about this team is that nobody is in here popping the champagne and ordering bottles of Cristal," New York center Shaun O’Hara said. "We’re 7-1 and we don’t get a trophy for that."

Giants are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. teams with a winning record.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Key Injuries - S James Butler (ankle) is probable.
OL Gerris Wilkinson (knee) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Eagles (-3, O/U 44): Philly was dominant on both sides of the ball in a 26-7 victory at Seattle last week, but the players know they will be facing a completely different animal here in the defending Super Bowl champs. The Giants have won three of the last four meetings at Philadelphia, with all of the wins coming when they were 3-point underdogs or less. The key to this game will likely depend on whether or not Eagles QB Donovan McNabb can handle New York's pass rush. McNabb was sacked 15 times in two meetings with the Giants last year.

Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. NFC.
The UNDER is 15-6 in Philly's last 21 games on grass. CB Lito Sheppard (groin) is questionable.

Key Injuries -TE L.J. Smith (concussion) is questionable

PROJECTED SCORE: 20

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**Kaptain** · 11-05-2008, 04:53 PM

BUMP---as always---thanks Fellows

**pm530** · 11-06-2008, 06:02 AM

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up

Week 10 NFL games

Thursday, November 6

Broncos (4-4) @ Browns (3-5)-- Cleveland switches to Quinn as its QB after Ravens outscored them 24-0 in final 21:06 of 37-27 home loss last week, their third home loss in four tries. Denver has long road trip on a short week; they've covered just one of last nine road games. Denver is 1-4 in last five games, scoring 13.7 ppg during its three-game skid where they turned ball over 11 times. Browns are just 9 for last 40 on third down, but are 8-3 vs spread in last 11 tries as home favorite. AFC West road dogs are 3-6 in non-division games; AFC North home faves are 2-1.

Sunday, November 9

Ravens (5-3) @ Texans (3-5)-- Baltimore scored 31 ppg in winning last three games, running ball for 175 ypg; despite having a rookie QB, they turned ball over only twice in last three games. Houston won last three home games, scoring 30.7 ppg; Rosenfels starts at QB for next month, with Schaub having torn MCL. Texans covered six of last nine at home vs non-division opponents. Ravens won first two series games, winning 16-15 at home in '05, 23-19 here in '03. Houston is -8 in turnovers, but they have converted 23 of 38 on third down over their last three games.

Jaguars (3-5) @ Lions (0-8)-- Detroit is incredibly fouled up; Culpepper may play in this game, even though Wednesday was his first practice, not a good sign. Jags are just 5-14 vs spread as road favorite, but they're 10-6 when playing an NFC club- they've lost three of last four games, have held only two of eight opponents (Titans, Broncos, both on road) under 20 points- their three '08 wins are by 2-3-7 points. Lions are 3-1 vs spread in last four games, with none of those losses by more than 8 points. AFC South road favorites are 3-2 against the spread this year.

Titans (8-0) @ Bears (5-3)-- Unsure if Orton/Grossman QBs Bears, but its has been big week in Chicago, and Bears are hot, winning four of last five games- their '08 losses are by 3-3-2 points (2-0-1 as underdog this season). Chicago averages 30.8 ppg at home; they have seven takeaways in last two games (+5). Unheralded Titans yet to lose, with road wins by 17-3-24 points- they haven't turned ball over in last three games, are +10 for season, and won field position battle in last five games. Tennessee is 9-4 in last 13 tries as road favorite, Bears 12-6 in last 18 as a home dog.

Bills (5-3) @ Patriots (5-3)-- New England won last nine series games, last three by 22+ points (won 38-7/56-10 LY). Bills lost last seven trips to Foxboro, with five of seven by 10+ points. If ever Patriots are going to be dethroned in AFC East, this is year, but Bills lost three of last four games, are 1-3 when they allow more than 14 points. Patriots scored 7 TDs on 21 drives in last two home games, scoring 41-23 points. Buffalo covered six of last seven as road dog in division games. Patriots are 3-7 in last 10 tries as home favorite in AFC East games. Three of Patriots' last four games stayed under the total.

Saints (4-4) @ Falcons (5-3)-- New Orleans won last four series games in what is underrated rivalry, with three of the four wins by 18+ points; they scored 31-34 points in last two visits here. Saints are off bye after London trip- they're 1-3 if they score less than 31 points. Falcons held Raiders to three first downs, 77 yards last week, their third win in last four games- they're 4-0 if they allow less than 24 points. Atlanta is 3-0 at home, scoring 31.3 ppg, but they failed to cover last five games in the NFC South. Saints are 21-5 vs the spread in last 26 division road games.

Rams (2-6) @ Jets (5-3)-- Huge trap game for Gang Green, after win at Buffalo, and before Thursday night date with Patriots. Rams got smoked at home by Arizona last week, a team Jets beat 56-35. Rams aren't good but they try hard under Haslett- last week was first time in four games under Haslett they didn't win turnover battle (-4). Favre has thrown INT for TD in fourth quarter in each of last two games. For whatever reason, Rams won last seven series games, last losing to Jets in OT in '83 at Shea Stadium, in Eric Dickerson's rookie season.

Seahawks (2-6) @ Dolphins (4-4)-- Tough to lay big number with much-improved Dolphins (4-4, after being 1-15 LY); Miami is 4-19 vs spread in last 23 tries as home favorite- their wins this season are by 25-7-9-9 points. Seneca Wallace isn't NFL-quality QB, and Hasselbeck isn't back for Seattle until next week-- Seahawks are 1-10 vs spread in its last 11 road games vs AFC opponents. NFC West teams are 5-12 as underdogs in non-division games, 3-7 on road. Seattle lost four of last five games, with all four losses by 10+ points. Under is 3-1 in Miami's home games.

Packers (4-4) @ Vikings (4-4)-- Minnesota lost 24-19 at Lambeau back in Week 1 Monday night game, despite running ball for 187 yards, their sixth straight series loss. Pack won four of last five visits to Metordome winning last two visits here, 23-17/23-16. Pack is 0-3 when they score less than 24 points, 3-0 if they score more than 24. Vikings allowed 59 points in four home games (14.8 ppg), winning last three. Peterson may be in line for big day vs Green Bay defense that allowed 176+ rushing yards in four of last six games. Over is 5-2-1 in Packer games this year.

Panthers (6-2) @ Raiders (2-6)-- Oakland had three first downs in 24-0 home loss to Atlanta last week, their fourth loss in last five games- they allowed average of 202 rushing yards the last three weeks. Carolina won four of five games before its bye, but are just 1-2 on road, winning 26-24 on last play of game in San Diego, then getting thumped at Minnesota, Tampa. Panthers averaged 8.2+ yards/pass attempt in four of their last five games. NFC South favorites are 7-3 vs spread in non-division tilts, AFC West dogs are 5-8. Under is 4-0 in last four Oakland games, 6-1 in last seven Carolina contests.

Chiefs (1-7) @ Chargers (3-5)-- San Diego off bye after loss in London, their third loss in last four games; Bolts are 2-1 at home, winning its last two at Qualcomm, 48-29 vs Jets, 30-10 vs Patriots. Chiefs lost three of last four visits here, but none of losses were by more than 11 points- they've lost last four games overall, but with an improved Thigpen under center, scored 51 points in last two games, losing by 4 at the Jets, and in OT at home to Bucs last week, blowing a 24-3 lead. Five of Chiefs' last six games went over. Road teams are 3-1 vs spread in AFC West games.

Colts (4-4) @ Steelers (6-2)-- Steelers won 10 of last 11 series games, as three of last four wins came in playoff games; Colts lost last 12 visits to Steel City- their last win here was in 1968. Indy is 2-2 on road this year and trailed by double digits in second half of both wins- they're 6-3-1 vs spread as non-division road dog. Health of Roethlisberger main variable in this game-- Leftwich played well in relief Monday, but without Big Ben, Steelers are in trouble. Last three Colt road games went over total, but Indy defense has just two takeaways in last two games (-2). Pitt covered just two of last seven as a home favorite, is on short week here.

Giants (7-1) @ Eagles (5-3)-- Big Blue won five of last seven in series, with three of last four wins by three points or in OT; Giants are 3-1 in last four visits here, with all four decided by three points or in OT. NY is on serious roll, winning last three games by 12-7-21 points- they have 11 takeaways in those games (+8). Five of last seven Giant games went over the total. Eagles scored 31 ppg in winning last three games; they're 3-1 at home, losing to Redskins, winning other three games by 35-9-13 points. This is third road night game of season for Giants- they lost at Cleveland in night game, for their only loss this season.

Monday, November 10

49ers (2-6) @ Cardinals (5-3)-- Arizona has three-game lead in West, so they're virtually assured of playoff spot, now have to battle complacent attitude, vs Niner squad coming off bye after losing 34-13 to Seattle at home in Singletary's debut as interim coach. Cards won 23-13 at SF in season opener (-2.5), forcing five turnovers (+5) in game that was even statistically otherwise. Seven of last ten series totals were 45+. Niners are switching to Shaun Hill at QB; they're 1-2 as road dog, winning at Seattle (+7.5), then losing 31-17 at Superdome (+4.5), 29-17 at Giants (+10). Arizona is 3-0 at home, winning by 21-24-6 points

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**pm530** · 11-06-2008, 06:12 AM

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL

Thursday, November 6

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Tips and Trends
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Denver Broncos at Cleveland Browns [NFL | 8:15 PM ET]

Broncos: Denver has failed to score 20 points in any of its last five games after averaging 38 during a 3-0 start. Broncos QB Jay Cutler is partially to blame even though he has continued to post solid numbers. Cutler threw for 307 yards and two touchdowns in a 26-17 home loss to the Dolphins last Sunday, but he also threw three interceptions, one of which was returned for a touchdown. In fact, top receiver Brandon Marshall has now gone four straight games without scoring a TD after scoring in each of his first three games.

Broncos are 7-24-1 ATS in their last 32 games overall.
The OVER is 7-2-1 in Denver's last 10 road games.

Key Injuries - RB Selvin Young (groin) is questionable.
TE Tony Scheffler (groin) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21

Browns (-3, O/U 46): The Brady Quinn era begins in Cleveland after head coach Romeo Crennel decided to give the former Notre Dame QB his first career start over Derek Anderson. The Browns rank 28th in the NFL in total offense, and Crennel realizes he needed to make the change in order to try to salvage the season. “We’re not throwing in the towel - we’re not giving up on the season,” Crennel said. “I think Quinn will represent himself and represent the Browns very well. This is a lifetime opportunity for Brady to be the quarterback of the Browns.”

Browns are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
The UNDER is 11-3 in Cleveland's last 14 games overall.

Key Injuries - LG Eric Steinbach (ribs) is doubtful.
WR Donte Stallworth (quad) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 27 (Side Play of the Day)

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**Udog** · 11-06-2008, 09:00 AM

NFL
Dunkel - Thursday

Denver at Cleveland
The Browns look to bounce back from their loss to Baltimore last week and take advantage of a Denver team that is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games. Cleveland is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Browns favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-3). (Note: I will post all of this week's NFL picks later today.)

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 6

Game 107-108: Denver at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 127.254; Cleveland 134.359
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 7; 50
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 3; 46
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-3); Over

**BettorsChat** · 11-06-2008, 11:37 AM

Won’t Get That Lucky Again:
Play against any NFL favorite off a double-digit win in
which it overcame a negative turnover differential.

Pointspread Record Since 1990:
74-50 (59.6%)

This week’s application:
New York Giants (play against Eagles)

Defensive Favorite:
Play on any NFL favorite coming off a road shutout win in their
last game in which they scored 21 points or more.

Pointspread Record Since 1984
: 23-14 (62.2%)

This week’s application:
Atlanta Falcons

OT Loser:
Play against any college conference home favorite off an overtime loss in
their last game.

Pointspread Record since 1996 OT Rule:
36-18-2 (67%)

This week’s application:
NC State (play against Duke)

**BettorsChat** · 11-06-2008, 11:39 AM

Nfl

stats for the year

home 62
away 68

dogs 65
fav 65

over 65
under 65

points that matter 21 out of 130 games 16%

**Udog** · 11-07-2008, 12:45 PM

NFL
Dunkel - Sun. & Mon.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 9

Game 211-212: Jacksonville at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 129.969; Detroit 125.082
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 5; 48
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 6 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+6 1/2); Over

Game 213-214: Tennessee at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 140.611; Chicago 136.122
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 4 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3); Over

Game 215-216: Buffalo at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 128.459; New England 135.267
Dunkel Line: New England by 7; 45
Vegas Line: New England by 3 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-3 1/2); Over

Game 217-218: New Orleans at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 133.435; Atlanta 132.252
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 1; 44
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 1; 50
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+1); Under

Game 219-220: St. Louis at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 121.959; NY Jets 134.184
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 12; 48
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 9; 44
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-9); Over

Game 221-222: Seattle at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 126.132; Miami 131.082
Dunkel Line: Miami by 5; 39
Vegas Line: Miami by 8 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+8 1/2); Under

Game 223-224: Green Bay at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 136.665; Minnesota 134.747
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 2; 48
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (+2 1/2); Over

Game 225-226: Carolina at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 135.669; Oakland 122.700
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 13; 34
Vegas Line: Carolina by 9 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-9 1/2); Under

Game 227-228: Kansas City at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 121.031; San Diego 137.807
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 17; 51
Vegas Line: San Diego by 15 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-15 1/2); Over

Game 229-230: Indianapolis at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 134.391; Pittsburgh 141.040
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3); N/A

Game 231-232: NY Giants at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 140.970; Philadelphia 140.775
Dunkel Line: Even; 47
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Over

Game 235-236: Baltimore at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 131.240; Houston 132.226
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 1; 42
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+1); Over

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 10

Game 233-234: San Francisco at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 122.451; Arizona 135.853
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 13 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Arizona by 9 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-9 1/2); Over

**pm530** · 11-09-2008, 06:46 AM

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL

Sunday, November 9

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Tips and Trends
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Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings [FOX | 1 PM ET]

Packers: Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers is looking to redeem himself after a shaky performance in last Sunday's 19-16 overtime loss at Tennessee. Rodgers threw a season-high 41 passes but completed just 22 of them and turned the ball over on consecutive possessions in the third quarter. "I take this one on myself," Rodgers said. "The two turnovers, you just can’t have. It takes points off the board for you and gives them points. I’m very disappointed." The good news is that Rodgers played very well in the season opener against the Vikings, completing 18-of-22 passes for 178 yards and a touchdown in a 24-19 win.

Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Packers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games.

Key Injuries - OT Chad Clifton (illness) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (Side Play of the Day)

Vikings (-2, O/U 45.5): Minnesota QB Tarvaris Jackson took a lot of heat for the team's season-opening loss to the Packers, and rightfully so. Jackson threw a key interception late in the game and completed only 16-of-35 passes for 178 yards. This time around, the Vikings will have Gus Frerotte under center. They are 4-2 with Frerotte as the starter, and he believes he has been able to keep the team loose and provide leadership. "I just go out and play and have a lot of fun," Frerotte said. "I think the coaches have a lot of confidence in me to be able to throw the ball downfield."

Vikings are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
The OVER is 4-1 in Minnesota's last 5 games overall.

Key Injuries - DE Jared Allen (shoulder) is questionable.
LB David Herron Jr. (ankle) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers [CBS | 4:15 PM ET]

Colts: It wasn't a pretty win last Sunday against the Patriots, but the 18-15 victory got Indy back to the .500 mark and got back into the race for a playoff spot. "We’re not going to make any game too big or too small, but with the hole we’re in, each win is big," TE Dallas Clark said. "But we have another one next week and the week after that and the week after that, so we’re going to enjoy it. It’s definitely a positive and a momentum-builder." The Colts are now fighting with several other teams for a wild-card berth. "We feel like every game right now is almost like a playoff game," said WR Reggie Wayne.

Colts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
The UNDER is 8-2 in Indy's last 10 games in November.

Key Injuries - CB Kelvin Hayden (knee) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20

Steelers (-3, O/U 40): Pittsburgh moved to 6-2 with a gritty 23-6 victory at Washington on Monday night, but it may turn out to be a costly one. Despite the fact that the Steelers play their next three games at home, QB Ben Roethlisberger suffered a shoulder injury against the Redskins that could leave the team no choice but to give him a break and let him heal. That would lead to Byron Leftwich's first start in Pittsburgh. It's also important to keep in mind that the first two games of this homestand are against teams battling for the playoffs who are far more desperate than the Steelers at this point.

Steelers are 3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
The UNDER is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings.

Key Injuries - QB Ben Roethlisberger (shoulder) is questionable.

TE Heath Miller (ankle) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles [NBC | 8:15 PM ET] | Full Matchup

Giants: New York did not have a problem disposing of the Cowboys for the second straight time last Sunday, and now the team faces another NFC East rival - this time on the road. The Giants are 13-1 in their last 14 games away from home, and their best trait seems to be their neverending goal of always trying to become a better team. "Believe me, the best thing about this team is that nobody is in here popping the champagne and ordering bottles of Cristal," New York center Shaun O’Hara said. "We’re 7-1 and we don’t get a trophy for that."

Giants are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. teams with a winning record.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Key Injuries - S James Butler (ankle) is probable.
OL Gerris Wilkinson (knee) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Eagles (-3, O/U 44): Philly was dominant on both sides of the ball in a 26-7 victory at Seattle last week, but the players know they will be facing a completely different animal here in the defending Super Bowl champs. The Giants have won three of the last four meetings at Philadelphia, with all of the wins coming when they were 3-point underdogs or less. The key to this game will likely depend on whether or not Eagles QB Donovan McNabb can handle New York's pass rush. McNabb was sacked 15 times in two meetings with the Giants last year.

Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. NFC.
The UNDER is 15-6 in Philly's last 21 games on grass. CB Lito Sheppard (groin) is questionable.

Key Injuries -TE L.J. Smith (concussion) is questionable

PROJECTED SCORE: 20

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**Udog** · 11-09-2008, 09:51 AM

Six-pack for Sunday

Some more trends for Sunday's pro football games........

-- Patriots covered seven of last nine games against Buffalo.

-- Jets are 5-2 vs spread as home favorite in non-divisional games.

-- Chargers covered one of last seven when laying double digits.

--Texans covered six of last nine at home vs non-division foes.

-- Colts are 5-10 vs spread in their last fifteen games on grass.

-- Road team is 5-1-1 vs spread in 49er-Cardinal series.

**meaiken** · 11-09-2008, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by BettorsChat View Post

Nfl

stats for the year

home 62
away 68

dogs 65
fav 65

over 65
under 65

points that matter 21 out of 130 games 16%

Like this helps,

It should tells me I can flip a coin.

**Udog** · 11-09-2008, 11:11 AM

"points that matter 21 out of 130 games 16%"

meakin,

Am I wrong in thinking this plainly tells you that, if you can correctly predict the straight up winner, you're going to cover the spread 84% of the time in the NFL?

Announcement

NFL Week 10 Trends and Indexes 11/6 through 11/10

NFL Week 10 Trends and Indexes 11/6 through 11/10

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