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Course Handicap: 1) Favorable for players that are long off the tee as rough is short and cousre is lengthy. 2) Water is everywhere and will come into play occasionaly. Gotta stay out of the drink. 3) Sand bunkers litter the course. Also lots of waste areas which will result in penalty. 4) Very difficult greens.
Conclusion: Long hitters that find a high % of greens in regulation will have success. Average drivers that are above average putters should have success. Weather is an important factor here because the moisture will allow the greens to have more stick. This will help even things out for the shorter drivers as they will be using the longer irons in their approach shots. Weather.com is calling for rain on the weekend. We could be seeing 10-20mph winds which is very important when handicapping golf. Hopefully the two guys I'm going against will come up short of the cut so this won't have a factor. On to the plays.
Robert Allenby -125 over Carl Petterson (tournament matchup)
This one looks solid. I believe Allenby is one of the most underrated players on the tour and the conditions favor him this week. 1st off his is low hitter (wind) and has some length off the tee (66 out 196 on tour). He has eight top tens and has made the cut in his last 25 starts. He is #7 in greens in regulation out #196 players. This course does not suite Petterson. He usually plays consistent golf on the shorter more classic courses where golfers light up the scoreboard and mediocre power isn't a liability. Petterson is #106 out of #196 in driving distance. His greens in regulation is a putrid #137 out of #196. Carl is one of the better putters around but the difficult greens will help neutralize this.
Davis Love III -165 over Chris Dimarco (tournament matchup)
Don't like laying this much juice in anything but every key factor is in Love's favor to play well this week and vice versa for Dimarco. Davis also ensured his PGA card for 2009 last week so he will be playing with a little bit less pressure. He is very strong of the tee and usually doesn't play in this event which tells me he is here to win. He is also very close to home.
Conclusion: Long hitters that find a high % of greens in regulation will have success. Average drivers that are above average putters should have success. Weather is an important factor here because the moisture will allow the greens to have more stick. This will help even things out for the shorter drivers as they will be using the longer irons in their approach shots. Weather.com is calling for rain on the weekend. We could be seeing 10-20mph winds which is very important when handicapping golf. Hopefully the two guys I'm going against will come up short of the cut so this won't have a factor. On to the plays.
Robert Allenby -125 over Carl Petterson (tournament matchup)
This one looks solid. I believe Allenby is one of the most underrated players on the tour and the conditions favor him this week. 1st off his is low hitter (wind) and has some length off the tee (66 out 196 on tour). He has eight top tens and has made the cut in his last 25 starts. He is #7 in greens in regulation out #196 players. This course does not suite Petterson. He usually plays consistent golf on the shorter more classic courses where golfers light up the scoreboard and mediocre power isn't a liability. Petterson is #106 out of #196 in driving distance. His greens in regulation is a putrid #137 out of #196. Carl is one of the better putters around but the difficult greens will help neutralize this.
Davis Love III -165 over Chris Dimarco (tournament matchup)
Don't like laying this much juice in anything but every key factor is in Love's favor to play well this week and vice versa for Dimarco. Davis also ensured his PGA card for 2009 last week so he will be playing with a little bit less pressure. He is very strong of the tee and usually doesn't play in this event which tells me he is here to win. He is also very close to home.
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