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After posting two Special Situation plays just 1 day apart way back on September 14th, when the 49ers won SU at Seattle, it's taken 5 weeks to find another play that I can rate as a Special Situation.
Boise State is at San Jose State Friday night on ESPN2. We have a situation where the home team is a 7 point dog, yet they have the best home ATS record the past three years in all of college football, going 11-1 ATS. Since mid 2004, San Jose State is 15-2 SU at home. On the other hand, while Boise State is 11-2 SU on the road the past three years, they are only 4-6 ATS as a road favorite.
Now this is where this play gets even better. This will be the 4th time in the past 5 years that San Jose State has hosted an unbeaten Nationally ranked opponent. Back in 2004, when San Jose State was just 2-6, they lost in double OT to 8-0 Number 14 Boise State. Oh, BTW, San Jose was a 33 point dog. Two years later in 2006, Boise was 9-0 and Ranked Number 14, when they kicked a winning FG on the last play of the game to win by 3. San Jose covered as a 13 point dog. Last year it was Hawaii who came to San Jose 6-0 and Ranked Number 16. Again San Jose took a ranked team into OT, before losing 42-35. All close games, all cover s for San Jose at home.
This years San Jose State team is the best they have had in years, 3-0 in the conference and 5-2 overall. The field is green and history says San Jose, after 3 close home games against unbeaten ranked teams, will add to it's 11-1 ATS record at home and will cover the seven point spread. I'm posting this now because I have a feeling the spread may drop below 7 closer to game time.
SPECIAL SITUATION PLAY NUMBER SIX IS SAN JOSE STATE +7.
Boise State is at San Jose State Friday night on ESPN2. We have a situation where the home team is a 7 point dog, yet they have the best home ATS record the past three years in all of college football, going 11-1 ATS. Since mid 2004, San Jose State is 15-2 SU at home. On the other hand, while Boise State is 11-2 SU on the road the past three years, they are only 4-6 ATS as a road favorite.
Now this is where this play gets even better. This will be the 4th time in the past 5 years that San Jose State has hosted an unbeaten Nationally ranked opponent. Back in 2004, when San Jose State was just 2-6, they lost in double OT to 8-0 Number 14 Boise State. Oh, BTW, San Jose was a 33 point dog. Two years later in 2006, Boise was 9-0 and Ranked Number 14, when they kicked a winning FG on the last play of the game to win by 3. San Jose covered as a 13 point dog. Last year it was Hawaii who came to San Jose 6-0 and Ranked Number 16. Again San Jose took a ranked team into OT, before losing 42-35. All close games, all cover s for San Jose at home.
This years San Jose State team is the best they have had in years, 3-0 in the conference and 5-2 overall. The field is green and history says San Jose, after 3 close home games against unbeaten ranked teams, will add to it's 11-1 ATS record at home and will cover the seven point spread. I'm posting this now because I have a feeling the spread may drop below 7 closer to game time.
SPECIAL SITUATION PLAY NUMBER SIX IS SAN JOSE STATE +7.
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