Friday Trends and Indexes 10/24 (CFL, NHL, MLB, Misc.)

[pm530]

National Hockey League - Short Sheet

NHL
Short Sheet


Friday, October 24th

NY Rangers at Columbus, 7:05 ET
NY Rangers: 2-11 SU in non-conference games
Columbus: 55-44 SU as a home underdog of +100 to +150

Philadelphia at New Jersey, 7:05 ET
Philadelphia: 4-14 SU after 3+ consecutive losses
New Jersey: 9-1 SU after a non-conference game

Anaheim at Ottawa, 7:05 ET
Anaheim: 19-13 SU AWAY after winning their previous game in OT
Ottawa: 3-9 SU off a home loss by 2+ goals

San Jose at Florida, 7:35 ET
San Jose: 9-0 SU AWAY off a road win by 1 goal
Florida: 34-54 SU at home in non-conference games

Atlanta at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Atlanta: 19-10 SU after 3+ consecutive unders
Detroit: 3-6 SU as a home favorite of -300 or higher

Los Angeles at St Louis, 8:35 ET
Los Angeles: 5-18 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +150
St Louis: 20-14 SU after having won 3 of their last 4 games

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[pm530]

National Hockey League – Power Index

NHL


Friday, October 24

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NHL Power Index
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YESTERDAY 3-4
Season to Date: 58-40 (.592)

Ottawa* (-119) even with Anaheim (+119)
New Jersey* (-142) ½ over Philadelphia (+142)
N.Y. Rangers (-135) ½ over Columbus* (+135)
San Jose (-142) ½ over Florida* (+142)
Detroit* (-216) 1½ over Atlanta (+216)
St. Louis* (-140) ½ over Los Angeles (+140)

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[Udog]

CFL


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Week 18 Previews and Picks
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Calgary Stampeders (11-5) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-13) (Calgary -10.5)

After destroying Winnipeg 37-16 last week, the Stamps can't miss this golden opportunity to secure first place of the Western Division, especially since they will end the season against the talented B.C. Lions.

Henry Burris completed 28 of 36 pass attempts for 337 yards for the Stampeders in Week 17 while Brett Ralph had 70 yards receiving with two touchdowns. These teams met once this season in mid-July and the Stampeders won 43-16. But Calgary has to beware of these resilient Tabbies who surprised the Alouettes at Ivor Wynne a few weeks ago and gave a good scare to the Roughriders last week. Hamilton dropped its 13th game of the season, 30-29, but only because of a Saskatchewan field goal with only seconds left.

Because of the 10-point spread, I would go with the Tiger-Cats, who will want to keep it a close one in front of their loyal fans.

Pick: Hamilton (+10.5)


Edmonton Eskimos (9-7) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-6) (Saskatchewan -3)

Edmonton was on the verge of beating the Lions last week before collapsing and giving up 20 points in the fourth quarter to finally lose 43-28. But for Danny Maciocia's team, this could provide good news and a possible berth to the Eastern Division semifinals against Winnipeg. The Eastern path would probably be a safer one to the Grey Cup than facing a semifinal on the Western side against the likes of Calgary, B.C., or Saskatchewan.

A loss to the Roughriders in Week 18 will mean Edmonton will play the Bombers in the playoffs. But Saskatchewan hasn’t been playing great football over the past few weeks, which was clear last week in the squeaker against struggling Hamilton.

Will the Riders want to finish their season with some momentum, or would they prefer to play in Winnipeg a week prior to the Grey Cup?

We didn’t learn much from the first two showdowns between these teams earlier this season: The Riders won 34-13 in June when they were red-hot but got crushed 27-10 in late August when they were struggling. Unless the Eskimos desperately want to play in the Eastern semifinals, they should win this one.

Pick: Edmonton (+3)



Toronto Argonauts (4-12) vs. B.C. Lions (10-6) (B.C. -14)

The Lions are still in the hunt for the top spot in the Western Division after a comeback win against Edmonton at Commonwealth Stadium. Buck Pierce had one of his fine games of the year with 25 of 40 passes for 378 yards and three touchdowns.

Running back Charles Roberts added a pair of scores with 168 total rushing yards. The Argonauts have shown some signs of improvement since Don Matthews took over and last year's MVP Kerry Joseph threw for 400 yards last week at Rogers Centre against the Alouettes, but they came short and Montreal won 43-34.

These teams met only once this season and it was a close one, with the Lions winning earlier this month 24-20 in Toronto. But the stakes are too high for them to take the Argos lightly a second time in a row. And this time, they should cover, even with a 14- point spread.

Pick: B.C. (-14)



Winnipeg Blue Bombers (6-10) vs. Montreal Alouettes (11-5) (Montreal -9.5)

This is a meaningless game for both teams as far as the playoff picture is concerned. Winnipeg will host the Eastern Division semifinal and Montreal will host the Eastern Division final the next week.

That said, there is a strong possibility the Bombers will be the Alouettes’ opponents Nov. 15, with the winner staying in Montreal for the Grey Cup. So, this may quite be a game where both teams will want to establish some sort of psychological advantage.

Montreal won both its games against Winnipeg so far this season, a 38-24 victory at home in July and a 39-11 triumph in Winnipeg in August.

Avon Cobourne will be absent for the Alouettes but Mike Imoh has been pretty efficient replacing him. Safety Etienne Boulay, who missed the last three games with an ankle injury, will be back in action.

The Montreal defensive unit will want to redeem itself after giving up 34 points last week to the weakest offense in the CFL.

Pick: Montreal (-9.5)


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[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Saturday, October 25th


World Series
Best of Seven
Game Three
Series Tied, 1-1
TV: FOX
Tampa Bay at Philadelphia, 8:20 ET
Matt Garza (R) vs. Jamie Moyer (L)

Garza:
12-18 TSR when favored
TB 7-29 Away off 3+ home games

Moyer:
19-9 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10
Philadelphia 27-18 as an underdog of +150 or less

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Saturday, October 25th


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TAMPA BAY (105 - 70) at PHILADELPHIA (100 - 73) - 8:20 PM
MATT GARZA (R) vs. JAMIE MOYER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 100-73 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 99-72 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 73-49 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-40 (+5.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-19 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
MOYER is 233-160 (+41.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 105-70 (+31.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 39-27 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 68-48 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 62-42 (+15.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 59-40 (+19.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 43-41 (-17.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-12 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
MOYER is 24-40 (-23.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

MATT GARZA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

JAMIE MOYER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
MOYER is 8-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.090.
His team's record is 11-4 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-4. (+6.0 units)


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