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Wednesday Trends and Indexes 10/22 (World Series, NHL, Misc.)

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  • #16
    MLB


    Wednesday, October 22



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    Hot Lines: Wednesday's best MLB bet
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    Philadelphia Phillies at Tampa Bay Rays (-105, 7.5)

    While Cole Hamels' dominant performance keyed Philadelphia wrapping up the NL championship series, it was Scott Kazmir who helped give Tampa Bay the home-field advantage for this matchup.

    He was the winning pitcher in the All-Star game, working a scoreless 15th inning before Phillies closer Brad Lidge gave up the winning run to the AL in the bottom half. It's the only loss suffered all year by Lidge, who has converted all 46 of his save opportunities - five in the postseason.

    The victory meant the AL would get the extra home game in this series and that means a city which before this year had never seen a playoff game, or even a winning record during the Rays' first 10 years of existence, will be the focus of all baseball fans as the Fall Classic begins.

    Tampa Bay never finished with more than 70 wins and was a major league-worst 66-96 in 2007 before all of its young talent, directed by manager Joe Maddon, came together this season to win the AL East with a 97-65 record.

    "People were happy when we got our 71st win. People were excited when we got our 81st win, saying you guys have cleared the .500 mark. We still kept going," said Rays pitcher Matt Garza , the ALCS MVP after beating the Red Sox twice. "We've proved doubters wrong this entire time."

    Both teams feature powerful lineups with plenty of speed mixed in, as well as young starting pitching - the only starter in this series not in his 20s is 45-year-old Jamie Moyer of Philadelphia.

    The youngest position players in this series have become the Rays' biggest stars.

    Evan Longoria , the likely AL Rookie of the Year winner, had four homers and eight RBIs over the final six games of the ALCS. B.J. Upton, a 24-year-old center fielder, hit nine homers during the regular season but has seven in 11 playoff games while driving in 15 runs.

    Neither Upton nor Longoria have faced Hamels (3-0, 1.23 ERA) - only four Tampa Bay hitters have - and his lone start versus the Rays was a loss during his 2006 rookie season.

    Maybe no pitcher in this postseason has been better. The NLCS MVP has allowed three runs and six walks in 22 innings, striking out 22 while holding opposing batters to a .173 average.

    "Being in that parade down Broad Street (in Philadelphia) is what we all want," Hamels said. "Getting a World Series ring and trophy is what really matters. Getting there is great, but winning it all is the best."

    Hamels has given up more than two earned runs once in 13 starts since Aug. 1, pitching at least seven innings in nine of those games. Including his series-clinching NLCS win over the Los Angeles Dodgers , Hamels is 4-1 with a 2.09 ERA in his last seven road starts.

    Pick: Philadelphia


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    Comment


    • #17
      MLB
      Dunkel



      Philadelphia at Tampa Bay
      The Phillies look to steal Game One on the road behind starter Cole Hamels, who has allowed just 13 hits and three runs in 22 postseason innings. Philadelphia is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-105). Here are all of today's games

      WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 22

      Game 951-952: Philadelphia at Tampa Bay
      Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 17.437; Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 16.358
      Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
      Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-105); 7 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-105); Under

      Comment


      • #18
        NHL
        Dunkel



        San Jose at Philadelphia
        The Flyers look for their first win of the season after benching struggling goalie Martin Biron (5.74 GAA in 3 starts). Philadelphia is the underdog pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Flyers favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+110). Here are all of today's games.

        WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 22

        Game 51-52: Florida at Ottawa
        Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.979; Ottawa 11.158
        Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 5
        Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-175); 5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Florida (+155); Under


        Game 53-54: Dallas at New Jersey
        Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.006; New Jersey 12.719
        Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
        Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-145); 5
        Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-145); Over


        Game 55-56: San Jose at Philadelphia
        Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 10.311; Philadelphia 11.453
        Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 4 1/2
        Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-130); 5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+110); Under


        Game 57-58: Detroit at St. Louis
        Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.692; St. Louis 11.035
        Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5
        Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-140); 5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-140); Under


        Game 59-60: Edmonton at Chicago
        Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.447; Chicago 12.742
        Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
        Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-125); 5 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-125); Over

        Comment


        • #19
          NHL
          Long Sheet



          Wednesday, October 22

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          FLORIDA (2-4-0-0, 4 pts.) at OTTAWA (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/22/2008, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          FLORIDA is 197-223 ATS (-75.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
          OTTAWA is 45-46 ATS (+93.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          OTTAWA is 14-18 ATS (-16.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
          OTTAWA is 9-13 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
          OTTAWA is 20-23 ATS (-18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          OTTAWA is 7-1 (+5.6 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
          OTTAWA is 7-1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)


          DALLAS (3-3-0-1, 7 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/22/2008, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DALLAS is 22-17 ATS (+41.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
          DALLAS is 30-23 ATS (+53.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEW JERSEY is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
          NEW JERSEY is 1-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)


          SAN JOSE (5-1-0-0, 10 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (0-3-0-2, 2 pts.) - 10/22/2008, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          SAN JOSE is 17-6 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 11-26 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS (+20.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SAN JOSE is 3-0 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          SAN JOSE is 3-0-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)


          DETROIT (3-1-0-1, 7 pts.) at ST LOUIS (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/22/2008, 8:35 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ST LOUIS is 8-8 (+7.0 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
          ST LOUIS is 8-8-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
          8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)


          EDMONTON (4-0-0-0, 8 pts.) at CHICAGO (2-2-0-2, 6 pts.) - 10/22/2008, 9:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CHICAGO is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
          CHICAGO is 18-12 ATS (+31.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
          CHICAGO is 22-19 ATS (+45.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          CHICAGO is 11-6 ATS (+20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          EDMONTON is 45-41 ATS (+94.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          EDMONTON is 160-124 ATS (+26.3 Units) after a division game since 1996.
          EDMONTON is 22-15 ATS (+5.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          EDMONTON is 5-3 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          EDMONTON is 5-3-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

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          Comment


          • #20
            NHL
            Write-Up



            Wednesday, October 22

            Hot teams
            -- Devils won four of their first five games.
            -- Sharks won five of their first six games.
            -- Red Wings won three of their last four games. Blues won three games in a row, scoring 15 goals.
            -- Chicago won last two home games, allowing three goals. Oilers are off to a 4-0 start, allowing nine goals.

            Cold teams
            -- Panthers, Senators are both off to 2-3 starts.
            -- Stars lost four of their first six games.
            -- Flyers are off to an 0-5 start, allowing 22 goals.

            Series Records
            -- Home side won last two Dallas-New Jersey games.
            -- Senators won seven of last eight games vs Florida.
            -- Sharks won last three games vs Philadelphia, including 5-4 OT win in their last meeting Saturday night.
            -- Red Wings are 8-4 in last dozen visits to St Louis.
            -- Oilers lost three of last four visits to Chicago.

            Totals
            -- Three of last Florida games stayed under the total.
            -- Four of five New Jersey games stayed under the total.
            -- Four of Flyers' five games went over the total.
            -- All five St Louis games went over the total.
            -- Three of four Edmonton games stayed under the total.

            Comment


            • #21
              NHL


              Wednesday, October 22



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              Trend Sheet
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              7:00 PM DALLAS vs. NEW JERSEY
              Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
              New Jersey is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
              New Jersey is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Dallas


              7:00 PM FLORIDA vs. OTTAWA
              Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Florida's last 11 games on the road
              Ottawa is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games at home
              Ottawa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Florida


              7:00 PM SAN JOSE vs. PHILADELPHIA
              San Jose is 5-0-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
              San Jose is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
              Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games


              8:30 PM DETROIT vs. ST. LOUIS
              Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Detroit's last 22 games when playing St. Louis
              St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
              St. Louis is 4-13-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Detroit


              9:00 PM EDMONTON vs. CHICAGO
              Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
              Edmonton is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Chicago
              Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
              Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games


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              Comment


              • #22
                NHL


                Wednesday, October 22



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                Ice picks: Wednesday's best NHL bets
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                San Jose Sharks at Philadelphia Flyers (+123, 5.5)

                The Philadelphia Flyers haven't won a game this season and they haven't beaten the San Jose Sharks in nearly eight years - both skids that were extended in their most recent defeat.

                They didn't have to wait long for another chance to end both.

                The NHL's last winless team will try to shed that label when the Flyers and Sharks complete a rare cross-country home-and-home series Wednesday night at Philadelphia's Wachovia Center.

                Defensive struggles have plagued this season's Flyers, as they've allowed 22 goals in five games for a league-worst 4.40 goals-against average. Starting goalie Martin Biron has a 5.74 GAA in three starts - all regulation losses - while backup Antero Niittymaki took the loss despite making 40 saves Saturday, when Philadelphia closed a three-game road trip with a 5-4 overtime defeat at San Jose.

                The Flyers will try to regroup with Niittymaki again in net, as the goalie - 0-0-2 with a 2.84 GAA this season - will earn another start on Wednesday in place of the struggling Biron.

                The Sharks (5-1-0) are off to a much better start to the season than Philadelphia. On Saturday, they outshot the Flyers 45-17, but still trailed for most of the game until Devin Setoguchi tied it late in the third period and defenseman Dan Boyle scored his first San Jose goal in overtime.

                The Sharks were the NHL's best road team last season, going 27-10-4, but they struggled on their most recent trip, losing 4-0 at Anaheim Friday despite outshooting the Ducks 38-20.

                Look for the Flyers to turn things around with a big home win over the Sharks tonight.

                Pick: Flyers



                Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators (-179, 5.5)

                Struggling to find the back of the net despite generating plenty of opportunities, the Panthers look to end their road woes against the Senators when the teams meet at Scotiabank Place on Wednesday night.

                Florida (2-3-0) has been held to two goals or less in each of its last three games, including Monday's 3-1 defeat at Montreal.

                "We have to have more traffic, more of a killer instinct and hunt down rebounds," Panthers coach Peter DeBoer told the team's official Web site. "We have to stand in there and take a shot to score a goal. We're a little outside and a little on the perimeter and we have to have that killer instinct around the net."

                DeBoer, though, said he doesn't feel a need to shuffle his lines, with Florida averaging 34.0 shots per game.

                The Senators (2-2-1) have won four straight home games against the Panthers, and are 13-3-1 against them there since the start of the 1999-00 season. Florida has averaged 2.06 goals during that span.

                Overall, Ottawa is 21-5-1 against the Panthers since losing the previous two meetings. The Senators won last season's series 3-1-0.

                Ottawa, though, has had its own problems on offense, scoring two goals in two of its last three games.Following a 4-2 loss to Boston on Saturday night, Senators coach Craig Hartsburg talked about playing hard with the puck.

                "You've got to be able to play with the puck to create offense and to compete for loose pucks," Hartsburg said.

                Unlike DeBoer, Hartsburg has decided to change up his lines, moving Mike Fisher between captain Daniel Alfredsson and Dany Heatley on the No. 1 unit. Jason Spezza, meanwhile, will add experience on a line with second-year forward Nick Foligno and rookie Jesse Winchester.

                Pick: Under


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                Comment


                • #23
                  NHL


                  Wednesday, October 22



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                  Power Index
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                  NHL POWER INDEX

                  LAST NIGHT 3-2
                  Season to Date: 51-35 (.593
                  )

                  Ottawa* (-170) 1 over Florida (+170)
                  New Jersey* (-132) ½ over Dallas (+132)
                  San Jose (-104) even with Philadelphia* (+104)
                  Detroit (-149) ½ over St. Louis* (+149)
                  Chicago* (-118) even with Edmonton (+118)


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                  Comment


                  • #24
                    NHL
                    Short Sheet



                    Wednesday, October 22nd

                    Florida at Ottawa, 7:05 ET
                    Florida: 7-0 SU after scoring 2 goals or less 3 straight games
                    Ottawa: 7-14 SU off home loss

                    Dallas at New Jersey, 7:05 ET
                    Dallas: 91-78 SU as a road underdog of +150 or less
                    New Jersey: 11-16 SU at home off road win

                    San Jose at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
                    San Jose: 12-4 SU Away off 1 goal win
                    Philadelphia: 7-23 SU at home off road loss

                    Detroit at St. Louis, 8:35 ET
                    Detroit: 25-5 SU off BB Overs
                    St. Louis: 4-16 SU off home game where both teams score 3+ goals

                    Edmonton at Chicago, 9:05 ET
                    Edmonton: 15-6 Under off division win
                    Chicago: 11-1 SU playing with 2 days rest

                    Comment

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