I hear you 4breakout!!
I gave Mary Dr. Bob's plays last thursday and he gave me shit about the plays. I can't belive someone would give someone shit about free service plays. Good Luck to all.
LOUISVILLE (-15.0) 44 Tulane 31
05:00 PM Pacific Time Friday, Oct-17
Tulane’s defense given up 63 points to Texas and 45 points to Houston the last 2 weeks and they don’t figure to be able to stop Louisville’s potent attack either. However, decent teams that have given up 41 points or more in consecutive games are actually pretty good bets on the road and the Green Wave qualify in a 40-17-1 ATS situation that is based on that premise. I’m not willing to make Tulane a play based on that angle, but the Green Wave have enough offense to have a chance to stay within a couple of touchdowns. Tulane has averaged a healthy 6.0 yards per play this season (against teams that combine to allow 5.4 yppl on defense) and they should continue to put up good numbers in this game against a mediocre Louisville defense that has surrendered 4.8 yppl to a schedule of teams that combine to average only 4.7 yppl on offense for the season. It will be up to Tulane’s porous defense (5.8 yppl allowed to teams that average 5.1 yppl on offense) to keep an explosive Cardinals attack (6.9 yppl with quarterback LeFors in the lineup, against teams that allow 5.6 yppl on defense) from scoring 45 points or more. My mathematical model favors Louisville by 15 ½ points, but the situation is worth a few points and I’ll lean slightly with underdog Tulane.
WASHINGTON (3-3 SU/1-4-1 ATS) at OREGON STATE (5-1 SU/2-3 ATS)
Washington was upset at home last week in a 28-17 loss to Nevada as -18 point favorites. RB Rich Alexis paced the Huskies in defeat with 120 rushing yards and a touchdown on 30 carries. QB Cody Pickett had a rough day, completing 19-of-37 passes for 337 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions. Washington outgained Nevada in total "O" 389-381, but could not over come 5 turnovers. 21st-ranked Oregon State had a bye last week after beating California 35-21 two weeks ago as +1½ point road underdogs. QB Derek Anderson completed 18-of-27 passes for 224 yards and two TD's and RB Steven Jackson pounded the Golden Bears defense for the second straight year, rushing for 227 yards and two touchdowns on 35 attempts in the win for the Beavers. Last season, Jackson burned the Golden Bears for 239 yards on the ground. Oregon State dominated the game with edges in total "O" (493-237) and had edges in first downs (24-19) and passing yards (224-52). The only drawback for the Beavers was the fact they committed 13 penalties for 151 yards. The visitor is 10-4 ATS the last 14 meetings between these two teams. Oregon State has fared well week after a bye, going 9-2 ATS. The Beavers are also a very impressive 15-2 as a home favorites of less than -17½ points, while the Huskies counter with a 4-10-1 ATS run their last 15 games as well as 8-18 ATS as a Pac Ten traveler. Oregon State's Jackson currently ranks 2nd in the nation in rushing (146 ypg average) and should control the tempo of this game. Something is obviously wrong with Washington as they have dropped three straight ATS, including losses to UCLA (46-16) as well as last weeks shocking home loss to Nevada. Last year, Washington won 41-29 as +6 point home dogs despite a 420-199 deficit in total "O". Oregon State revenge prevails in this one.
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