Announcement

**Udog** · 10-16-2008, 04:07 PM

NFL
Long Sheet

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Sunday, October 19

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TENNESSEE (5 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (1 - 4) - 10/19/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO (3 - 3) at BUFFALO (4 - 1) - 10/19/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (4 - 1) at CINCINNATI (0 - 6) - 10/19/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 74-47 ATS (+22.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (2 - 3) at MIAMI (2 - 3) - 10/19/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (4 - 2) at ST LOUIS (1 - 4) - 10/19/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 68-96 ATS (-37.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (3 - 3) at CHICAGO (3 - 3) - 10/19/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (3 - 3) at CAROLINA (4 - 2) - 10/19/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 4) at NY GIANTS (4 - 1) - 10/19/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (0 - 5) at HOUSTON (1 - 4) - 10/19/2008, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY JETS (3 - 2) at OAKLAND (1 - 4) - 10/19/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 25-50 ATS (-30.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
OAKLAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (2 - 3) at WASHINGTON (4 - 2) - 10/19/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 2) at GREEN BAY (3 - 3) - 10/19/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (1 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 2) - 10/19/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 63-88 ATS (-33.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 20

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DENVER (4 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (3 - 2) - 10/20/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 10-16-2008, 04:11 PM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 7

Sunday, October 19th

Tennessee at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 21-9 Over after a win by 3 or less points
Kansas City: 21-8 ATS off road loss by 14+ points

San Diego at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
San Diego: 12-4 ATS off ATS win
Buffalo: 35-20 Under after allowing 30+ points

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 2-11 ATS Away off SU win
Cincinnati: 17-4 Over off 6+ SU losses

Baltimore at Miami, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 39-18 Under Away off Under
Miami: 0-7 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points

Dallas at St. Louis, 1:00 ET
Dallas: 6-0 ATS after allowing 30+ points
St Louis: 4-13 ATS as an underdog

Minnesota at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 38-21 Over Away vs. division
Chicago: 16-4 Over in home games

New Orleans at Carolina, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 12-3 Over vs. NFC
Carolina: 10-2 ATS after scoring 6 points or less

San Francisco at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
San Francisco: 0-6 ATS after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play
NY Giants: 13-5 ATS vs. NFC

Detroit at Houston, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 18-5 Under Away if total is 45.5 or higher
Houston: 4-14 ATS off home win

NY Jets at Oakland, 4:15 ET
NY Jets: 8-1 Under off ATS win
Oakland: 10-23 ATS as home underdog

Cleveland at Washington, 4:15 ET
Cleveland: 10-1 ATS off an Over
Washington: 0-7 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards BB games

Indianapolis at Green Bay, 4:15 ET
Indianapolis: 6-0 Under after a win by 21+ points
Green Bay: 16-7 ATS L2 seasons

Seattle at Tampa Bay, 8:15 ET NBC
Seattle: 0-6 ATS Away off BB Overs
Tampa Bay: 35-15 Under after a win by 14+ points

Monday, October 20th

Denver at New England, 8:30 ET ESPN
Denver: 0-11 ATS if the total is between 42.5 and 49
New England: 10-1 ATS in October

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 10-16-2008, 04:21 PM

NFL

Week 7

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Trend Sheet
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Sunday, October 19

1:00 PM BALTIMORE vs. MIAMI
Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games
Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Baltimore

1:00 PM DALLAS vs. ST. LOUIS
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

1:00 PM MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO
Minnesota is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Chicago is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games at home

1:00 PM NEW ORLEANS vs. CAROLINA
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

1:00 PM PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM SAN DIEGO vs. BUFFALO
San Diego is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Diego's last 19 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY GIANTS
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
NY Giants are 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
NY Giants are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco

1:00 PM TENNESSEE vs. KANSAS CITY
Tennessee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

4:05 PM DETROIT vs. HOUSTON
Detroit is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games

4:15 PM CLEVELAND vs. WASHINGTON
Cleveland is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 11 games
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

4:15 PM INDIANAPOLIS vs. GREEN BAY
Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Indianapolis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Green Bay is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

4:15 PM NY JETS vs. OAKLAND
NY Jets are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
NY Jets are 7-15 SU in their last 22 games
Oakland is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Oakland is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets

8:15 PM SEATTLE vs. TAMPA BAY
Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle

Monday, October 20

8:30 PM DENVER vs. NEW ENGLAND
Denver is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
New England is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
New England is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

**pm530** · 10-17-2008, 03:06 PM

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up

Week 7 NFL games

Sunday, October 19

Titans (5-0) @ Chiefs (1-4)- Upset alert for Titans, as Chiefs just dismantled Denver in their last home game, sandwiched between losses by 15-24-34 points. Highly unlikely that Tennessee would be NFL's only unbeaten, especially with Collins at QB, but they are, winning road games 24-7 at Cincinnati (+1), 13-10 at Baltimore (-1); they've also covered all five games but were favored by more than three points only once (31-12 vs Texans, -5). Gonzalez asked to be traded but wasn't, Johnson was charged with assault during KC's bye week. Titans haven't allowed a sack in last three games.

Chargers (3-3) @ Bills (4-1)- Bolts are on way to London after this game, so start of very long trip for them. San Diego won three of last four games after rocky start, but lost two of three road games, are 0-2 if they score less than 28 points. Bills expect to have QB Edwards (concussion) back here, are off bye, were allowing 15.8 pg before they got drilled 41-17 at Arizona in their last game. Four of five Buffalo games went over total. Chargers have run ball for more than 107 yards only once this season, but have averaged over 10 yards/pass attempt in three of last five games. Home side won six of last seven series games.

Steelers (4-1) @ Bengals (0-6)- Palmer still out here (elbow); Bengal offense is putrid without him (171 TY last week, lost by 12 despite +2 TO margin). Home side lost seven of last eight in this rivalry, with Pitt winning last seven visits here, by average of 14 points. Steelers are 13-4 in last 17 series games overall, winning last three by 6-11-14 points. Pitt should be little healthier after its bye; their last three wins are by 4-3-5 points. Losing teams don't have big home field edge; Bengals are 0-2 at home, losing 24-7 to Titans (-1), 20-12 to then-winless Browns (-3.5)- they're 3-8 as home dog since 2004.

Ravens (2-3) @ Dolphins (2-3)- Miami won one game LY, beating Ravens 22-16 here in OT, fifth win in last seven series games. Baltimore lost four of last five visits here, with the last two games going OT. Dolphins are favored for first time this year, but won two of last three games, scoring 27.7 pg- only last-second Texan TD last week kept them from 3-game win streak. Wildcat offense has helped passing game (averaged 11.7/7.4/10.1 ypa last three games, after 4.9/4.8 in first two, non-Wildcat games). AFC non-divisional favorites are 5-2 vs spread; AFC North dogs are 4-5. Four of Ravens' five games stayed under total.

Cowboys (4-2) @ Rams (1-4)- Lot of turmoil in Big D; Johnson starts at QB, newly-acquired WR Williams is expected to play (how much of their offense can he possibly know?), they have new punter and their DBs are banged-up. That said, they're playing Ram squad they clubbed 35-7 LY; even in their upset of Redskins last week, St Louis had only eight first downs and no offensive TDs- they've converted just 15-53 (28.3%) on third down this season, truly awful. Three of Cowboys' four wins this year are by 9+ points-all four Ram losses are by 17+, but they did play lot harder for Haslett last week.

49ers (2-4) @ Giants (4-1)-Big Blue on short week after first loss of year; they're 3-0 at home (2-1 as HF) winning at home by 9-3-38 points. Manning was banged up by Browns but will start here. 49ers lost last three games by 14-9-14 points; they're 0-4 if they score less than 31 points. Niners turned ball over 14 times in their four losses (-9), once in their two wins (+4). Giants have only two takeaways in five games, are only team yet to recover a fumble by an opponent this season. NFC West road dogs are 1-6 vs spread out of division (NFC East home faves are 4-3). Last four Giants games went over the total.

Vikings (3-3) @ Bears (3-3)- Bears last week were just third team in last 40 years to take lead in last 0:15 of game, but still lose it in regulation. Home side won ten of last 12 series games, with Vikes 1-6 in last seven visits here; Bears swept season series LY for first time since 2000. Chicago's two home games were decided by total of seven points (Bears are 1-3 in 2008 in games decided by four points or less). Vikings won last two games by total of five points; they're 1-2 on road, losing by 5-13 pts at Packers/Titans, winning by FG in NO. If Devin Hester watched Vikings punt to Reggie Bush (ran two back for TDs) two weeks ago, he should be raring to go here.

Saints (3-3) @ Panthers (4-2)-Visitor won eight of last nine series games, with Saints 3-1 in last four visits here (only loss by FG); New Orleans has scored 24+ points in every game, but only teams they've held under 20 were struggling 49ers/Raiders. Carolina scored 26 pg in its four wins, 10-3 in its losses. Doubtful Saints can hold Panthers to 10 or less points. Panthers were held to 47-40 rushing yards in their losses; Saints allow an average of 103.3/game, but did hold last three foes to 91-44-85. Carolina is 3-0 at home, winning by 3-15-34 points. NFC South home favorites of 3+ points are 4-0 vs spread this season.

Lions (0-5) @ Texans (1-4)- Winless Lions got three draft picks in Roy Williams trade this week, but that won't help them until April; they're 1-4 vs spread this season, losing road games by 13-18-2 points. Kitna is out for year, so QB duties fall to shaky Orlovsky/ Stanton combo that has combined total of one NFL start. Texans got first win last week, scoring on the last play to beat improved Miami; they've run ball for average of 123.8 yds/game in last four games, they've just been playing good teams. NFC North teams are 5-9 vs spread in non-division games, AFC South teams 6-4. All five Texan games went over.

Jets (3-2) @ Raiders (1-4)-Favre put up 111 points in last three games, with Gang Green winning last two; only teams that beat them are Patriots/Chargers, perennial playoff clubs, so this is trap game vs Raider team that changed coaches last week, then went out and lost 34-3 on Bourbon Street- coaching change isn't at all positive. Oakland is 0-2 at home, losing 41-14/28-18 to Broncos/ Chargers (they led San Diego 15-0 at half). AFC East favorites are 5-2 vs spread in non-division games; AFC West teams are 4-7 vs spread in non-divisional games. Last three Jet games all went over the total.

Browns (2-3) @ Redskins (4-2)-Cleveland travels on short week after winning second game in row Monday; they ran ball for 139 yards/game in last two games, after gaining just 72.3/game in first three games. Bye week helped offense (gained 454 yards Monday after averaging 210.8/game in first four). Redskins had 4-game streak snapped last week by Rams; they allowed last three foes average of just 59.3 rushing yards/game. Skins' wins are by 5-7-2-6 points (1-1 as favorite in '08). Browns have eight INTs in last three games. Four of five Cleveland games, three of last four Redskin tilts stayed under the total.

Colts (3-2) @ Packers (3-3)-Indy won both road games in dramatic style after trailing by double digits in second half; they have 10 TDs on last 28 drives over last three games, after getting just four on first 22 drives, so offense is rounding into shape. Packers snapped three-game skid last week; they gave up 217-178-176 rushing yards in their three losses, 116.3 yards/game in their wins. Addai got hurt last week; Colts have run ball for more than 79 yards in just one game (114 at home vs. Jags). AFC South teams are 4-1 vs spread in non-divisional road games. NFC North teams are 5-9 against the spread.

Seahawks (1-4) @ Buccaneers (4-2)- Double digit underdogs are 7-0 so far in NFL this season. Trap game for Bucs, with wounded Seahawks (QB Hasselbeck out) visiting Bay Area trip with to Dallas on deck for hot Tampa team that won four of last five after waxing divisional rival Carolina last week. Seattle's only win was vs then-mutinous Rams; three of their four losses (34-10/44-6 on road) are by 10+ points. Tampa wins this season are by 15-3-9-24 points. NFC West non-divisional underdogs are 2-10 vs. spread, 1-6 on road. NFC South teams are 12-3 vs. spread, 5-1 as HFs.

Monday, October 20

Broncos (4-2) @ Patriots (3-2)- After scoring 41-39-34 points in first three games (13 TD/six FGA/29 drives), Denver cooled off to 19-16-17 in last three (four TD/nine FGA/32 drives); Patriots gave up 38-30 in their two losses, are 3-0 allowing less than 30 points (1-1 at home). NE averaged over six yards/pass attempt in its three wins, 3.5/4.6 in its losses. Broncos allowed four of six foes to pass for 6+ yds/attempt (held Chiefs/Bucs under that figure). AFC West teams are 4-7 vs spread out of division (2-3 as road dog). AFC East favorites are 5-2 vs spread out of their division. Both Denver road games went over the total.

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**pm530** · 10-17-2008, 03:08 PM

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL

Sunday, October 19

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Tips and Trends
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San Diego Chargers at Buffalo Bills [CBS | 1 PM ET]

Chargers: The Chargers have shown that they can beat good teams at home, now they have to do it on the road as they travel cross-country to take on the Bills. San Diego’s defense played well against New England but this is still a unit that allows 23.2 points and 365.7 yards per game. With LaDainian Tomlinson still nursing a toe injury, the Chargers have struggled to run the football this season. And to make matters worse, Darren Sproles is now nursing a sprained ankle and was limited in practice this week.

Chargers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Chargers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win.

Key Injuries - WR Chris Chambers (leg) is questionable.
RB Darren Sproles (ankle) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20

Bills (Pick'em, O/U 44.5): It looks as if Trent Edwards will be able to return to action and play against San Diego on Sunday. While that will give the Bills offense a boost, one of the biggest keys to success against the Chargers will be whether Buffalo can get its running game in gear. Heading into Week 7, the Bills rank 23rd in the NFL in rushing at 98.4 yards a game. When the running game has bogged down, opposing defenses have been able to get the Bills in obvious passing situations. The Bills quarterbacks have been sacked 16 times after going down just 26 times in all of 2007.

Bills are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.
The OVER is 6-0 in Bills last 6 home games.

Key Injuries - QB Trent Edwards (concussion) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 23

Indianapolis Colts at Green Bay Packers [CBS | 4:15 PM ET]

Colts (-1, O/U 47): After a series of up-and-down performances in the first four games, the Colts defense finally displayed a glimpse of being able to stop someone during Sunday’s 31-3 win over the Baltimore Ravens. Indianapolis held the Ravens without a touchdown and limited Baltimore’s offense to 260 total yards. The run defense, in particular, stepped up its play and allowed just 51 total yards. Colts RB Joseph Addai tweaked his right hamstring in the first quarter of the Baltimore game. He did not return to the game after incurring the injury. It would be unfortunate for the Colts if Addai can’t play on Sunday against a Packers rush defense allowing 153 yards per game.

Colts are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Key Injuries - RB Joseph Addai (hamstring) is questionable.
S Bob Sanders (ankle) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 28 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Packers: The Packers poor run defense took another blow last week when DT Ryan Pickett left the game with a strained triceps muscle. With a bye week coming up, it’s doubtful Pickett will play against the Colts. Aaron Rodgers completed 21 of 30 passes for 208 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions last week against Seattle and showed no ill effects from the bruised shoulder he suffered two weeks ago. The Packers have struggled to run the ball this year but will look to get the ground game going against a Colts defense that ranks last in the NFL defending the run, giving up 161 yards per game.

Packers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The OVER is 7-1 in Green Bay's last 8 home games.

Key Injuries - S Atari Bigby (hamstring) is questionable.
DT Ryan Pickett (triceps) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: 27

Seattle Seahawks at Tampa Bay Buccaneers [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

Seahawks: The Seahawks will be missing quarterback Matt Hasselbeck for one more week, meaning they will be playing with a backup when they face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sunday night. Seattle is hoping that Seneca Wallace (strained hamstring) can go after Charlie Frye was miserable against the Packers, throwing for just 83 yards and two interceptions. Whoever lines up at quarterback will have another weapon at their disposal. Receiver Deion Branch, who missed last week’s game with a heel injury, is expected to return on Sunday.

Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Seahawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Key Injuries - QB Matt Hasselbeck (knee) is OUT.
WR Deion Branch (heel) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 10

Bucs (-10.5, O/U 38): Jeff Garcia gets the starting nod again this week after completing 15-of-20 passes with a touchdown and no interceptions last week against the Panthers. Garcia could be getting his favorite receiver back as well. Joey Galloway returned to practice and should start against the Seahawks. As usual, the Bucs are winning with defense. Tampa Bay only gives up 16.2 points and 312 yards per game, numbers that could improve after playing a Seattle squad struggling to find stability at quarterback.

Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.

Key Injuries - WR Joey Galloway (foot) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 28 (Side Play of the Day)

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**pm530** · 10-19-2008, 05:15 AM

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL

Monday, October 20

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Tips and Trends
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Denver Broncos at New England Patriots [ESPN | 8:30 PM ET]

Broncos: The Broncos look to continue their dominance over the Patriots when they travel to Foxboro for a Monday night matchup of AFC postseason contenders. Including playoff matchups, the Broncos have won 16 of the last 19 meetings between these original AFL franchises. For that streak to continue, Denver will need to play better on defense. Big plays have also plagued Denver’s defense, which is yielding an AFC-worst 6.24 yards per play. The Broncos have allowed 400 or more total yards three times this season, including 416 in last week’s 24-17 home loss to Jacksonville.

Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England.
Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings overall versus the Patriots.

Key Injuries - WR Eddie Royal (leg) is questionable.
TE Tony Scheffler (groin) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Patriots (-3, O/U 48): The Patriots are in the rare position of having to bounce back from being blown out. The Chargers manhandled New England and QB Matt Cassel, 30-10 last Sunday night. Cassel completed 22 of 38 passes for 203 yards but got intercepted for the third consecutive week and was sacked four times. His 19 sacks are the most among AFC quarterbacks compared to Denver's Jay Cutler, who has been taken down just twice. The Patriots defense has also had problems, giving up 89 points while losing two of the last three games. Much like the Broncos, allowing big plays has been a problem for New England. They are allowing 5.92 yards per play - 27th in the NFL.

Patriots are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Patriots are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.

Key Injuries - RB Laurence Maroney (shoulder) is doubtful.
LT Matt Light (knee) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24

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**pm530** · 10-19-2008, 01:58 PM

Six-pack for Sunday

Some NFL knowledge for Week 7

-- Lions covered two of their last ten road games.

-- Jets are 10-5 as a favorite outside of their division.

-- Colts covered 10 of last 12 on road vs NFC teams.

-- Browns are 8-3-1 as road dog of more than seven points.

-- Tampa Bay is 16-8-1 as non-divisional home favorite.

-- Denver is 15-4 vs spread in game before its last nineteen byes.

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Announcement

NFL Week 7 Trends and Indexes 10/19 and 10/20

NFL Week 7 Trends and Indexes 10/19 and 10/20

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