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home teams ranked 110 places or better at home are 16-1 to the under if favored by 21 +. i have two teams that fit that system this week.oregon state and fresno state. the totals are 55 in the oregon state game and 62.5 in the fresno state game. the fresno state game has no value according to my prediction, but the oregon state game does have value with the under.
WAST @ ORST -30 (55)
Lean: Under 55
First of all, my prediction shows a total of 48 pts scored. Second, the public likes the over, and also the big juicy road dog. Usually these games end under the vegas total. Washington State offense produced 17 pts or less in all of their games vs Div.I-A teams including 3 pts a piece against UCLA and California. Their defense is really bad, but showed some signs of improvement last week at UCLA. Oregon State has a solid D and both of their home wins went under the total.
WAST @ ORST -30 (55)
Lean: Under 55
First of all, my prediction shows a total of 48 pts scored. Second, the public likes the over, and also the big juicy road dog. Usually these games end under the vegas total. Washington State offense produced 17 pts or less in all of their games vs Div.I-A teams including 3 pts a piece against UCLA and California. Their defense is really bad, but showed some signs of improvement last week at UCLA. Oregon State has a solid D and both of their home wins went under the total.