College Football Week 7

[lewis]

Weekday leans

Tuesday

Florida Atlantic +3.5 It will be hard for me to play this team agian this week after they totally screwed me last week..... MOST LIKELY A NO PLAY


Thursday

Clemson +2.5 My numbers have the Tigers winning by 3 in this game which puts them on the list but I dont think I can trust a team with Bowden as the coach........He has proven he doesnt know how to win with talent over the years at Clemson.....Their running game does make them a good dog play but will Clemson be smart enough to run????? I mean WF lost to Navy at home which means they are not a great team.....but they are good and Grobe is a great coach so for now it is just a possibility

Friday

Memphis +6.5 It hurts me to type them but LOU is not a powerhouse and to giving up basically a TD on the road is ridiculous but so is the Memphis defense.........The Underdog has covered 8 out of the last 9 in this series and my numbers have this game right at the line so I will wait and see what the line does and possibly play it on Friday

back in a minute with the Saturday leans

lewis

[BigWeiner]

I like Clemson also

[Chado1]

line is up to 6 now for some reason but I would wait..........it should come back down closer to 3........I like this even more since 65% of the public is on LSU and the line went up.....

Some reverse line movement huh..

[lewis]

Saturday leans

Indiana +5 another one that hurts to even type their name after last weekend losing the cover with 22 seconds remaining in the game and not showing any signs of offense the entire game but my numbers have Iowa winning by 1 and the fact that Indiana stopped the run last week which is basically all Iowa has going for them should help the defense this week.....Iowa is also just 2-8 ATS vs losing teams their last 10 which means they play to their opponents level which can only help in this game........line opened at 6 and has dropped to 5 so someone else thinks that Indiana has a shot as well......

Northwestern +3 This team is 5-0 and their getting 3 points from a team that is as one dimensional as any other.....Hoyer has a completion % of 47%........just horrible!!!!!!!....while Bacher has a 59.5% completion %.......NW has stopped the run well this year and they will have to do it again this week because Ringer will get his 30++ carries and if they can contain him like Iowa did last week they will win the game because their offense is IMO is alot better than Iowa's....They are averaging 4.3 yds per carry and they are only giving up 3.4 yds per carry so if these stats hold up for this game NW will win this game SU at home and go to 6-0...........NW has also covered the last 3 in this series so they have had success vs MSU.........Right now I would say this is going to be a play.......and possibly a ML play at that!!!!!!!

Miss St +3 The Bulldogs have had some tough breaks this year in the SEC losing to Auburn by 1 and to LSU by 10.......and I think they are playing a team coming off another emotional win last week vs Auburn so there has to be some sort of letdown for Vandy in this game plus they have Georgia next on the slate so this is a perfect "sandwich game" for MSU to take advantage of.........Honestly I am not sure how Vandy has done it but I think their focus for this week by be off just a little and thats all it takes in the SEC to get beat.......MSU is also 6-2 ATS vs winning teams...........I think the Bulldogs win SU in this contest and I will most likely be on the ML in this one as well........

Oklahoma St +13.5 Cowboys have the fire power to keep up with the Tigers and they have plenty of weapons to expose the Tiger defense....Neb didnt!!!!!......The last 3 in this series have been decided by 7 points or less.......they dont play every year so really I dont put alot into those type of trends but I thought I would add just because some people do.......anyway, I look for a high scoring game so the OVER might be the better call here but MIZZOU just beat their bitter rival in NEB which they hadnt done in 32 years and then after the OSU game they have their biggest game of the year when they play Texas............another "sandwich game" which will help OSU..........not that I think they will look past a 5-0 OSU team but who knows..........Cowboys and Over is the way I am leaning for now..........

Tenn +12 Another hard team to play but Georgia got exposed vs Ala and Tenn should be able to move the ball vs the Ga defense......Tenn has owned Ga the last 2 years and Fulmer needs this win to save his job........right now I would lean as a no play.........

North Carolina -7.5 I think the Tar heels abuse the Irish this Saturday but I hate laying more than a TD........I will watch this line and see what happens if it moves the right way then I might play it but if not it will be a no play.........

Stanford +6.5 Stanford should have won last week but for some reason Pritchard thought he was supposed to throw to the Irish defenders instead of his own team.........anyway I also think that they should have ran the ball even more in the 1H because ND couldnt stop it but for some reason they would move the ball on the ground and then throw when they got close to red zone........Here is another game that if they stick to the run game they will be in it until the end but who knows what Harbaugh is going to do so hopefully the line will go over 7 and then it might become a play.........

Here are some other games that I am looking at........

Oklahoma -7 they have owned Texas but this line smells funny to me!!!!

New Mexico +23.5 could keep this game close if they decide to run the ball which will keep the high powered BYU offense off of the field

Syracuse +23.5 WVA this big of a favorite...but they have owned the CUSE lately

Ohio St -18.5 Favorite is 7-2 last 9 in this series and PU has no defense........especially rush defense (allowing 4.9yds per rush) which is what OSU is going to do......

Toledo +17 Mich giving up 17 points with that offense?????


back with plays later

lewis

[lewis]

Some reverse line movement huh..

YEP!!!!!!!!

[shoeman530]

thanks shoe........What do you think of Baylor this week????

they are pretty evenly matched teams with athletic QBs. I think Griffin gets the advantage here though. I think Baylor wins (maybe a homer line...) but I would probably take ISU plus 5 points. I most likely will not have a play on this one though.


Thanks for your write-ups lewis.

[lewis]

they are pretty evenly matched teams with athletic QBs. I think Griffin gets the advantage here though. I think Baylor wins (maybe a homer line...) but I would probably take ISU plus 5 points. I most likely will not have a play on this one though.


Thanks for your write-ups lewis.

thanks for your insight Shoe!!!!!!!!

[lewis]

OU game down to 6.5 at some places........kind of makes me think twice about this game.......

[GOLDENGREEK]

Indiana +5 another one that hurts to even type their name after last weekend losing the cover with 22 seconds remaining in the game and not showing any signs of offense the entire game but my numbers have Iowa winning by 1 and the fact that Indiana stopped the run last week which is basically all Iowa has going for them should help the defense this week.....Iowa is also just 2-8 ATS vs losing teams their last 10 which means they play to their opponents level which can only help in this game........line opened at 6 and has dropped to 5 so someone else thinks that Indiana has a shot as well......

Northwestern +3 This team is 5-0 and their getting 3 points from a team that is as one dimensional as any other.....Hoyer has a completion % of 47%........just horrible!!!!!!!....while Bacher has a 59.5% completion %.......NW has stopped the run well this year and they will have to do it again this week because Ringer will get his 30++ carries and if they can contain him like Iowa did last week they will win the game because their offense is IMO is alot better than Iowa's....They are averaging 4.3 yds per carry and they are only giving up 3.4 yds per carry so if these stats hold up for this game NW will win this game SU at home and go to 6-0...........NW has also covered the last 3 in this series so they have had success vs MSU.........Right now I would say this is going to be a play.......and possibly a ML play at that!!!!!!!

Miss St +3 The Bulldogs have had some tough breaks this year in the SEC losing to Auburn by 1 and to LSU by 10.......and I think they are playing a team coming off another emotional win last week vs Auburn so there has to be some sort of letdown for Vandy in this game plus they have Georgia next on the slate so this is a perfect "sandwich game" for MSU to take advantage of.........Honestly I am not sure how Vandy has done it but I think their focus for this week by be off just a little and thats all it takes in the SEC to get beat.......MSU is also 6-2 ATS vs winning teams...........I think the Bulldogs win SU in this contest and I will most likely be on the ML in this one as well........

Oklahoma St +13.5 Cowboys have the fire power to keep up with the Tigers and they have plenty of weapons to expose the Tiger defense....Neb didnt!!!!!......The last 3 in this series have been decided by 7 points or less.......they dont play every year so really I dont put alot into those type of trends but I thought I would add just because some people do.......anyway, I look for a high scoring game so the OVER might be the better call here but MIZZOU just beat their bitter rival in NEB which they hadnt done in 32 years and then after the OSU game they have their biggest game of the year when they play Texas............another "sandwich game" which will help OSU..........not that I think they will look past a 5-0 OSU team but who knows..........Cowboys and Over is the way I am leaning for now..........

Tenn +12 Another hard team to play but Georgia got exposed vs Ala and Tenn should be able to move the ball vs the Ga defense......Tenn has owned Ga the last 2 years and Fulmer needs this win to save his job........right now I would lean as a no play.........

North Carolina -7.5 I think the Tar heels abuse the Irish this Saturday but I hate laying more than a TD........I will watch this line and see what happens if it moves the right way then I might play it but if not it will be a no play.........

Stanford +6.5 Stanford should have won last week but for some reason Pritchard thought he was supposed to throw to the Irish defenders instead of his own team.........anyway I also think that they should have ran the ball even more in the 1H because ND couldnt stop it but for some reason they would move the ball on the ground and then throw when they got close to red zone........Here is another game that if they stick to the run game they will be in it until the end but who knows what Harbaugh is going to do so hopefully the line will go over 7 and then it might become a play.........

Here are some other games that I am looking at........

Oklahoma -7 they have owned Texas but this line smells funny to me!!!!

New Mexico +23.5 could keep this game close if they decide to run the ball which will keep the high powered BYU offense off of the field

Syracuse +23.5 WVA this big of a favorite...but they have owned the CUSE lately

Ohio St -18.5 Favorite is 7-2 last 9 in this series and PU has no defense........especially rush defense (allowing 4.9yds per rush) which is what OSU is going to do......

Toledo +17 Mich giving up 17 points with that offense?????


back with plays later

lewis

Love the ones in bold !!

GL Lewis !!

[lewis]

Love the ones in bold !!

GL Lewis !!

great to know GG...............gl!!!!!!!!!

[myrjimmy3]

gl lew i really like north carolina

[lewis]

gl lew i really like north carolina

my numbers have them winning by 14 but they have won some big games the last few weeks.........

[jt4545]

lewis i think your right the gators get this job done

[Cashmoneyasians]

Best of Luck this week Lewis!!!

[ultra7]

Fl-Atl probably no play this morning. So, Fl-Atl is a no play or play now?