Announcement

**pm530** · 10-04-2008, 04:25 AM

Daily Sports Roundup

Saturday, October 4

Daily Sports Roundup: October 4

There's plenty of action on the college gridiron on Saturday, including three matchups between ranked teams. Here's a look at the schedule in your Daily Sports Roundup.

The Gridiron Spotlight

Southern Cal's big loss to Oregon State knocked them from the top spot in the rankings all the way down to No. 9, which is where they sit this weekend for their game at home against No. 23 Oregon. The Trojans, though, still have their supporters, as they've been pegged as 16-point favorites to beat the Ducks and get right back on the winning track.

The other two ranked matchups on Saturday are No. 14 Ohio State at No. 18 Wisconsin, and No. 13 Auburn at No. 19 Vanderbilt. The Buckeyes are listed as slim 1.5-point road favorites against the Badgers, while the Tigers are favored by 4 points.

Top-ranked Oklahoma will play at Baylor on Saturday as huge 26.5-point favorites. Other games involving ranked teams on the schedule: Kentucky at No. 2 Alabama (-16), No. 4 Missouri (-10.5) at Nebraska, No. 5 Texas (-13) at Colorado, No. 6 Penn State (-13) at Purdue, No. 7 Texas Tech (-7.5) at Kansas State, No. 12 Florida (-24.5) at Arkansas, No. 16 Kansas (-12.5) at Iowa State, Western Kentucky at No. 20 Virginia Tech (-28), Texas A&M at No. 21 Oklahoma State (-25), Hawaii at No. 22 Fresno State (-22.5), and finally No. 24 Connecticut at North Carolina (-7).

Other Notable Events

The Brewers and Cubs will both be trying to avoid elimination on Saturday night when they battle the Phillies and Dodgers, respectively, in the third game of their NL series.

The Phillies/Brewers matchup will be a pitching duel between Jamie Moyer (16-7, 3.71 ERA) and Dave Bush (9-10, 4.18 ERA). Moyer was on fire down the stretch, as the team is 9-1 in his last 10 trips to the mound; that includes a win over the Brewers on September 11. Bush (9-10, 4.18 ERA) last grabbed a win in his start against the Pirates on August 29, but he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in nine of his past 10 outings.

The Cubs/Dodgers game will feature Chicago's Rich Harden (5-1, 1.77 ERA in the National League) and Los Angeles' Hiroki Kuroda (9-10, 3.73 ERA). Harden has given up more than two earned runs in just one of his past 10 outings, and the Cubs are 8-2 in those contests. Kuroda tossed five shutout innings against the Giants in his last trip to the mound, and he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in eight of his last 10 starts.

The Rest of the Schedule

The cities of Prague and Stockholm will host the opening games of the NHL season on Saturday. The Rangers and Lightning will meet in the Czech Republic at 12:00pm ET, while the Penguins and Senators will take to the ice in Sweden at 2:30pm ET. Those teams will play once again on Sunday afternoon before returning home next week.

Finally, there are two Canadian Football League games on the Saturday schedule, with Montreal (-10) playing a road game in Hamilton, and Edmonton (-5) hosting Winnipeg.

A Peek at the Future

The National Football League's Sunday night game this week is Pittsburgh at Jacksonville, with the Jaguars listed as 4-point home favorites . . . other notable Sunday NFL matchups include Seattle at the Giants (-7), Washington at Philadelphia (-6), Tennessee (-3) at Baltimore, and Tampa Bay at Denver (-3). As well, the unbeaten Bills will play a road game in Arizona against the Cards in a game pegged as a pick'em.

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**pm530** · 10-04-2008, 04:28 AM

Canadian Football League – Long Sheet

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 15

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Saturday, October 4

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MONTREAL (9 - 4) at HAMILTON (2 - 11) - 10/4/2008, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-4 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 8-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (5 - 8) at EDMONTON (7 - 6) - 10/4/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-1 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**pm530** · 10-04-2008, 04:29 AM

Canadian Football League – Write up

CFL
Write-up

Week 15 CFL games

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Saturday, October 4

Montreal (9-4) @ Hamilton (2-11)-- Alouettes already beat Hamilton twice this season, 33-10 in road opener (+2.5), then 40-33 at home in Week 6 (-10). TiCats are winless except for two wins vs Toronto; last week, Hamilton had 95 passing yards, 94 penalty yards in a hideous 40-10 loss at British Columbia. TiCats lost last six games (1-5 vs the spread)- they haven't covered any of their five home losses. Five of last seven Montreal games stayed under the total.

Winnipeg (5-8) @ Edmonton (7-6)-- Eskimos lost 30-23 in Winnipeg last week (+3), their third loss in last four games; Edmonton is 5-1 at home, losing only to Calgary, with wins by 3-19-11-17-5 points. Last week was Bombers' third win in row; they're just 3-4 at home. Under is 6-2 in Winnipeg's last eight games. Bombers outrushed Eskimos by 156-35 last week, as Ray was 36-43/410 passing, but those numbers translated to just 23 Edmonton points.

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**pm530** · 10-04-2008, 04:30 AM

Canadian Football League – Additional Trends

CFL

Trends Sheet

Week 15

Saturday, October 4

4:00 PM MONTREAL vs. HAMILTON
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Montreal's last 15 games when playing Hamilton
Hamilton is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Hamilton is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:00 PM WINNIPEG vs. EDMONTON
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Winnipeg is 1-6-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games at home

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**pm530** · 10-04-2008, 04:31 AM

Canadian Football League – Previews and Picks

CFL
Previews and Picks

CFL games – Week 15

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Previews and Picks
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Saturday, October 4

Montreal Alouettes (9-4) at Hamilton Tiger Cats (2-11) (+10)

The Alouettes are riding a three-game win streak heading into Hamilton and are hoping to clinch the East Division title. Montreal won its last three in Hamilton and won the last eight contests against the Tiger Cats.

The Ti-Cats give up more sacks than any other team in the league and it was visibly painful watching their o-line trying to protect Quinton Porter last week. The unit promised to guard Porter better this week but it’s hard to imagine better results with the Alouettes’ Keron Williams and John Bowman rushing on every down.

Pick: Montreal

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-8) at Edmonton Eskimos (7-6) (-4)

There is bad blood between these two teams after last week’s game. Eskimos linebacker Agustin Barrenechea gave a violent helmet-to-helmet hit on Winnipeg QB Kevin Glenn in the final minutes. Winnipeg backers are irate that Barrenechea was only fined and not suspended for the hit.

The Bombers have won three in a row while the Eskimos are trying to stop a two-game losing streak.

Last week, the Blue Bombers claimed victory in Winnipeg against these Eskimos, 30-23. Kevin Glenn completed 18 of 26 pass attempts for 268 yards while Edmonton’s QB, Ricky Ray, threw for 434 yards and two touchdowns. Once again expect an aerial showdown between these two, and lots of points on the board.

I think it comes down to the last possession.

Pick: Winnipeg

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**pm530** · 10-04-2008, 04:32 AM

National Hockey League – Long Sheet

NHL
Long Sheet

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Saturday, October 4
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NY RANGERS (47-30-0-15, 109 pts.) vs. TAMPA BAY (31-42-0-9, 71 pts.) - 10/4/2008, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 31-51 ATS (+31.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 3-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-4 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 4-4-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (61-33-0-8, 130 pts.) vs. OTTAWA (43-35-0-8, 94 pts.) - 10/4/2008, 2:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 61-41 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 43-43 ATS (+43.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 9-8 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 9-8-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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**pm530** · 10-04-2008, 04:33 AM

National Hockey League – Added Trends

NHL
Additional Trends

Saturday, October 4

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Trends Sheet
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12:00 PM NY RANGERS vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Rangers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of the NY Rangers last 12 games
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games

2:30 PM PITTSBURGH vs. OTTAWA
Pittsburgh is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

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**pm530** · 10-04-2008, 04:36 AM

Major League Baseball – Trend Sheet

MLB

Saturday, October 4

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Trend Sheet
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6:30 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. MILWAUKEE
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Philadelphia is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games

10:00 PM CHI CUBS vs. LA DODGERS
Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs

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**pm530** · 10-04-2008, 04:46 AM

Major League Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB

Saturday, October 4

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Tips and Trends
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Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers [TBS | 6:37 PM ET]

Phillies: The Phillies are 9-1 in Jamie Moyer’s last 10 starts and have won seven consecutive games with the veteran on the mound. Moyer has allowed three runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts. He’s 10-3 on the road this season and owns a solid 9-5 career mark against the Brewers to go along with a 3.63 ERA. In Moyer’s most recent outing against Milwaukee, he got the win after allowing three runs in 5.2 innings.

Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. NL Central.
Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 Saturday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

Brewers (-115, O/U 9): Milwaukee will go with Dave Bush in Game 3 even though the team has lost five of the last six times he has gone to the mound. Bush has been good at home this season, going 6-4 in 17 appearances with a solid 3.50 ERA. However, he has not fared well against the Phillies during his career, going winless with a 5.88 ERA in six starts.

Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
Brewers are 0-9 in their last 9 vs. NL East.

Key Injuries - 3B Russell Branyan (back) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers [TBS | 10:07 PM ET]

Cubs (-130, O/U 7): Rich Harden has been remarkably consistent over his last 10 starts, allowing two runs or less eight times. Overall, the Cubs are 8-2 during that span. Harden has been strong away from home this season, going 5-2 with a solid 2.50 ERA. Surprisingly, Harden’s last two starts overall and three of his last four on the road have all gone OVER the total.

Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. NL West.
Cubs are 0-8 in their last 8 playoff games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Dodgers: Hiroki Kuroda takes to the mound tonight after closing out the season strong. In his last 16 innings of work, Kuroda allowed just three runs. The Dodgers are 4-1 in Kuroda’s last five starts. He’s pitched well at home this season, going 6-2 with a 3.68 ERA. Kuroda has been masterful in two career starts against the Cubs, possessing a 0.59 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.

Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. NL Central.
Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 Saturday games.

Key Injuries - OF Andruw Jones (knee) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

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**Udog** · 10-04-2008, 08:00 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers
The Dodgers go for the sweep today behind starter Hiroki Kuroda, who allowed only one earned run in 15 1/3 innings against the Cubs this season. LA is the underdog pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored straight up by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+130). Here are all of today's games

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 4

Game 967-968: Philadelphia at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Moyer) 16.752; Milwaukee (Bush) 14.601
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+105); Under

Game 969-970: Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Harden) 15.142; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.403
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+130); Over

**Udog** · 10-04-2008, 08:07 AM

MLB

Saturday, October 4

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Hot Lines: Saturday's best MLB bets
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Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers (-117, 9)

The Phillies look to complete a sweep and advance to the NLCS on Saturday night when they visit the Brewers, who are still looking for their first playoff victory in nearly 26 years.

Philadelphia ended a 13-year playoff drought by rallying to win the NL East title in 2007, only to lose three straight playoff games to eventual NL champion Colorado.

The Phillies have looked determined to get the bad taste of last year's playoffs out of their mouths this year. After a dominant pitching performance from Cole Hamels led them to a 3-1 victory in Game 1 Wednesday, Shane Victorino hit a second-inning grand slam off Milwaukee ace CC Sabathia in a 5-2 win Thursday.

If history is any indication, Philadelphia has a very good shot at closing out this series. All four teams that have come back from 0-2 deficits to win division series since baseball introduced its current wild-card format in 1995 were AL clubs, while all 16 teams that have been down 0-2 in NL division series have gone on to lose - 13 in sweeps.

The Brewers are just as willing to overlook the long odds of a potential comeback in the series. To accomplish the feat, though, they'll likely need to improve at the plate. Milwaukee, which won six of its last seven regular-season games to capture the wild card and its first playoff berth since 1982, has three runs and seven hits in the first two games of the postseason.

Pick: Phillies

Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers (+122, 7 ½)

On the verge of another disappointing October, Chicago will try to avoid a ninth straight postseason loss and a second consecutive division series sweep on Saturday, while Los Angeles looks to secure its first playoff series victory in 20 years in Game 3 at Dodger Stadium.

The Cubs had the best record and the most runs in the NL during the regular season, and they went 55-26 on Chicago's North Side, but they struggled at home in almost every facet in the first two games against the Dodgers.

"It wasn't good baseball. In fact, the last two days, that's probably been the two worst games we've played all year, from a walking and errors standpoint," Cubs manager Lou Piniella said. "It wasn't fun to watch, I'll tell you that."

Piniella will shake things up a bit in hopes of turning the Cubs' fortunes. One guaranteed change will be benching Kosuke Fukudome, batting .173 since Aug. 2, after the rookie went 0-for-8 with four strikeouts in the first two games.

"From now on, I don't want to hear about Fukudome anymore as far as whether he's going to play or not," Piniella said. "I'm going to play (Mike) Fontenot or Reed Johnson or somebody else and that's the end of that story. The kid is struggling and there's no sense sending him out there anymore."

Former Athletics starter Rich Harden (5-1, 1.77 ERA) will try to help the Cubs begin such a run. Chicago acquired the right-hander from Oakland in July, and while Harden has delivered, allowing just 39 hits in 71 innings while striking out 89, there are concerns about wildness after he walked 11 in 11 innings in his last two starts.

Harden has made one previous postseason start, allowing three runs and walking five in 5 2-3 innings of a 3-0 loss to Detroit in the 2006 AL championship series.

The hard-throwing Canadian has never faced Los Angeles, but he has plenty of experience with Dodgers slugger Manny Ramirez. The former Red Sox outfielder is 3-for-11 in his career against Harden, but all three hits were home runs.

Pick: Cubs

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**Udog** · 10-04-2008, 09:13 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 4

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PHILADELPHIA (94 - 70) at MILWAUKEE (90 - 74) - 6:30 PM
JAMIE MOYER (L) vs. DAVE BUSH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MOYER is 24-39 (-22.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)
BUSH is 15-4 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 15-8 (+9.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 69-47 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-36 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MOYER is 22-11 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 13-4 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 22-11 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 10-2 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 8-2 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 35-38 (-8.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-20 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 (+6.1 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

JAMIE MOYER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MOYER is 3-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.66 and a WHIP of 1.082.
His team's record is 5-1 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.4 units)

DAVE BUSH vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
BUSH is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.88 and a WHIP of 1.515.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-0. (+6.2 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (97 - 66) at LA DODGERS (86 - 78) - 10:00 PM
RICH HARDEN (R) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 97-66 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 95-62 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-7 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
HARDEN is 30-10 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HARDEN is 30-10 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 86-78 (-6.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 86-78 (-6.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 55-57 (-11.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 5-4 (+0.3 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

RICH HARDEN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

HIROKI KURODA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
KURODA is 1-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 0.59 and a WHIP of 0.913.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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**Udog** · 10-04-2008, 10:47 AM

MLB
Short Sheet

Saturday, October 4th

National League Division Series
Best of Five
Game Three
Phillies Lead, 2-0
TV: TBS
Philadelphia at Milwaukee, 6:35 ET
Jamie Moyer (L) vs. Dave Bush (R)

Moyer:
13-4 TSR in road games
Philadelphia 7-1 vs. Milwaukee

Bush:
9-1 Over as home favorite
Milwaukee 1-10 after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games

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National League Division Series
Best of Five
Game Three
Dodgers Lead, 2-0
TV: TBS
Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers, 10:05 ET
Rich Harden (R) vs. Hiroki Kuroda (R)

Harden:
27-7 TSR as favorite
Cubs 17-4 after a loss by 4+ runs

Kuroda:
Dodgers 16-5 Over at home after scoring 10+ runs
Dodgers 24-11 Over at home off BB Road games

**pm530** · 10-04-2008, 12:06 PM

dup

Announcement

Saturday Trends and Indexes 10/4 (MLB, CFL, NHL, Misc.)

Saturday Trends and Indexes 10/4 (MLB, CFL, NHL, Misc.)

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