NFL Week 5 Picks including biggest play of year

[S49erman]

Like it.. good luck!

[Stroker71]

Good luck today!

[Cashmoneyasians]

Best of Luck Rocco!!!

[LeRoy]

GL Rocco

[Chado1]

5* Arizona Pick over Buffalo
Arizona is the better team overall, but I love them because this is a classic "NFL" game. Let me explain. Buffalo is 4-0, but don't let this fool you because they have only played on decent team (Jax) and three bad teams (Seattle, Oakland, St. Louis). Arizona is coming off two road losses including a 56-35 blowout by the hands of the Jets last week, but Arizona had 7 turnovers (yes, 7)! This is the NFL and teams bounce back, especially coming home off two road losses and most recently an embarrassing loss. Also, the Cards were on the east coast for a week (they elected to stay there after playing Washington week 3) and they are now returning home. You have to realize that NFL players are like you and me. And you know how it feels after returning home from a week on business. Arizona will be in back in their comfort zone and ready for a victory. Let's break down the stats. Buffalo averages 5.4 yards/play, but this is against teams that have combined to allow 5.9 yards/play. The Bills only average 3.5 YPR (28th in NFL) and will face a pretty good Zona D that allows 4 YPR (13th). In the air T. Edwards is having a pretty good year averaging 7.9 YPPA (7th in the NFL) and Zona's D allows 7.4 YPPA. Arizona has a better offense than the Bills. They average 6 yards/play versus teams that have allowed 5.5 yards/play. On the ground the Cardinals are poor averaging 3.2 YPR (32nd), but Buffalo allows 4.2 YPR (20th). Arizona's strength is their air game that is averaging 8.7 YPPA (3rd) and 290 YPG (4th). They will face a Bills D that is average allowing 6.2 YPPA (11th). The loss of Boldin will result in a slight decrease in the passing game of the Cards but he has very able back ups. The line is right on the money, the Super System has Arizona as a 1 point favorite. There are no trends favoring either team. Arizona applies to a very strong 46-11 ATS trend because of their loss last week. But, this game isn't about stats or trends. It's about the cycles of the NFL and if a team has any heart (which I think Arizona does) they will rise to the challenge. Remember that even the best wager has about an 80% chance of winning because turnovers are unpredictable (75% are random and show no trend) so don't risk your entire bankroll. If Zona wins (or is even) in the turnover category I don't see them losing!

Thanks for the winner rocco!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I put even more on it because you were on them BIG!!!!!!!!!!!

[dirtymike]

Good call on Zona. But SF is not the better team.

[roccodean]

thanks chado...Zona was the biggest bet of my career!!!