Like JC said to me earlier ...that missed call on the punt return last yr should have the cards fired up at home. Im looking for more input from him before I pull the trigger....Cards have played a better schedule and Uconn got a scare from Baylor going up and down the field on them.
LOUISVILLE (-3.5) 27 Connecticut 21
05:00 PM Pacific Time Friday, Sep-26 - Stats Matchup
Louisville struggled offensively in their first two games, but it appears as if quarterback Hunter Cantwell is starting to adjust to his new receiving corps, as he averaged 7.4 yards per pass play in last week’s win over Kansas State. Louisville has actually improved every game offensively since being held to just 2.9 yards per play and zero offensive points in their 2-27 opening loss to Kentucky. Cantwell is still well below average throwing the ball for the season (5.5 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 6.7 yppp to an average quarterback), but he has proven the past 3 years that he can throw the ball (8.0 yppp on 168 pass plays the last 3 years) – so the Cardinals could be very good offensively if the new group of receivers continue to improve (they run the ball very well already). Connecticut’s defense, averaging 3.5 sacks (11 total sacks in two games with star DE Wittman playing – he has 4 of them), should put some pressure on Cantwell in this game and the Huskies are good against the pass (4.6 yppp allowed), but the Huskies are just mediocre defending the run, so Louisville should move the ball at a decent clip. The reason I like the Cardinals in this game is their much improved defense that’s limiting opponents to just 2.4 yards per rushing play (those opponents would combine to average 4.3 yprp against an average defense). Connecticut is a running team (67% running plays) that has averaged 6.0 yprp in 4 games this season (against teams that would allow 5.2 yprp), so the key to this game is stopping the Huskies’ rushing attack – which it appears Louisville can do. My math favors Louisville by 6 points, so I’ll lean with the Cardinals minus the points.
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