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NFL Week 4 Trends and Indexes 9/28 and 9/29

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  • NFL Week 4 Trends and Indexes 9/28 and 9/29

    NFL
    Long Sheet


    Guys,

    For the last couple of weeks, we thought they would update these trends as gamedays approached. They didn't. We'll keep an eye peeled, though, and re-post if they update this week.



    Week 4


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Sunday, September 28

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (3 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (0 - 3) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    DENVER is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    DENVER is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    DENVER is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    DENVER is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    DENVER is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KANSAS CITY is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 3-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (0 - 3) at CINCINNATI (0 - 3) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
    CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    CINCINNATI is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
    CINCINNATI is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CINCINNATI is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (0 - 2) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 2) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    JACKSONVILLE is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
    HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARIZONA (2 - 1) at NY JETS (1 - 1) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 2) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) in home games in dome games since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 51-77 ATS (-33.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 51-77 ATS (-33.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 2-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (2 - 1) at CAROLINA (2 - 1) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    CAROLINA is 2-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (1 - 2) at TENNESSEE (3 - 0) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
    TENNESSEE is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GREEN BAY (2 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 1) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BUFFALO (3 - 0) at ST LOUIS (0 - 3) - 9/28/2008, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BUFFALO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
    BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
    ST LOUIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN DIEGO (0 - 2) at OAKLAND (1 - 2) - 9/28/2008, 4:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN DIEGO is 3-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
    SAN DIEGO is 4-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (2 - 1) at DALLAS (3 - 0) - 9/28/2008, 4:15 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 2-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) at CHICAGO (1 - 2) - 9/28/2008, 8:15 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Monday, September 29

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BALTIMORE (2 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 1) - 9/29/2008, 8:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BALTIMORE is 3-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
    BALTIMORE is 3-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    NFL
    Short Sheet



    Week 4


    Sunday, September 28th

    Denver at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
    Denver: 6-17 ATS as favorite
    Kansas City: 20-8 ATS off road loss by 14+ points

    Cleveland at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
    Cleveland: 8-0 ATS off road game
    Cincinnati: 0-4 ATS off loss by 6 points or less

    Houston at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
    Houston: 7-0 Over vs. division
    Jacksonville: 9-2 Over off a win

    Arizona at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
    Arizona: 10-4 Over as road underdog
    NY Jets: 11-2 ATS after playing on Monday night

    San Francisco at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
    San Francisco: 10-23 ATS Away off win by 14+ points
    New Orleans: 11-3 Over vs. conference opponents

    Atlanta at Carolina, 1:00 ET
    Atlanta: 13-4 Under in road games
    Carolina: 6-0 Under at home vs. division

    Minnesota at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
    Minnesota: 5-1 Under as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
    Tennessee: 6-0 ATS in September

    Green Bay at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
    Green Bay: 7-0 ATS Away off ATS loss
    Tampa Bay: 0-7 ATS at home off Away game where both teams scored 24+ points

    Buffalo at St. Louis, 4:05 ET
    Buffalo: 26-8 ATS off win by 3 points or less
    St. Louis: 0-7 ATS in September

    San Diego at Oakland, 4:05 ET
    San Diego: 8-1 ATS off BB ATS wins
    Oakland: 0-7 ATS as home dog of 7 points or less

    Washington at Dallas, 4:15 ET
    Washington: 46-68 ATS vs. division
    Dallas: 9-1 Over off DD win

    Philadelphia at Chicago, 8:15 ET NBC
    Philadelphia: 26-12 ATS off NFC North
    Chicago: 20-7 Over vs. conference



    Monday, September 29th

    Baltimore at Pittsburgh, 8:30 ET
    Baltimore: 0-8 ATS in road games
    Pittsburgh: 21-9 ATS at home off non-conf game

    ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

    Comment


    • #3
      NFL


      Week 4



      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trends Sheet
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Sunday, September 28

      1:00 PM ARIZONA vs. NY JETS
      Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games
      NY Jets are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games at home
      NY Jets are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games at home


      1:00 PM ATLANTA vs. CAROLINA
      Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Atlanta is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
      Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
      Carolina is 6-13-4 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Atlanta


      1:00 PM CLEVELAND vs. CINCINNATI
      Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
      Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
      Cincinnati is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home


      1:00 PM DENVER vs. KANSAS CITY
      Denver is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
      Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
      Kansas City is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Denver
      Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver


      1:00 PM GREEN BAY vs. TAMPA BAY
      Green Bay is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
      Green Bay is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
      Tampa Bay is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Green Bay
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Green Bay


      1:00 PM HOUSTON vs. JACKSONVILLE
      Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Jacksonville
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games when playing Jacksonville
      Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


      1:00 PM MINNESOTA vs. TENNESSEE
      Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
      Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
      Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
      Tennessee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota


      1:00 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. NEW ORLEANS
      San Francisco is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing New Orleans
      San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
      New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games


      4:05 PM BUFFALO vs. ST. LOUIS
      Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
      Buffalo is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
      St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
      St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo


      4:05 PM SAN DIEGO vs. OAKLAND
      San Diego is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Oakland
      San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
      Oakland is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games at home
      Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home


      4:15 PM WASHINGTON vs. DALLAS
      Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
      Washington is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Dallas
      Dallas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
      Dallas is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games


      8:15 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. CHICAGO
      Philadelphia is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Chicago
      Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
      Chicago is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home



      Monday, September 29

      8:30 PM BALTIMORE vs. PITTSBURGH
      Baltimore is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
      Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
      Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
      Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        Stats For The Last 3 Weeks Vs Ats

        Home 23 Games
        Away 24 Games

        Fav 26 Games
        Dogs 21 Games

        Overs 25 Games
        Under 22 Games

        Points That Matter
        7 Games Out Of 47........15%

        Comment


        • #5
          Philadelphia Eagles vs. Chicago Bears
          Circled Game
          Last Updated: 9/22/2008 3:49:45 PM
          Eagles QB Donovan McNabb left the game with a chest injury against the Steelers, but is listed as Probable against the Bears.
          Eagles RB Brian Westbrook left Sunday's Steelers game with an ankle injury, and is listed as Questionable against the Bears. Eagles TE LJ Smith is listed as Questionable against the Bears. Bears WR Devin Hester missed Sunday's game with a rib inury and is listed as Questionable against the Eagles.



          Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
          Circled Game
          Last Updated: 9/23/2008 8:53:26 PM
          Steelers RB Willie Parker has been declared out for Monday's game against the Ravens with a sprained left knee. Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger is Questionable with hand and shoulder injuries for Monday's game against the Ravens.

          Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys
          Circled Game
          Last Updated: 9/24/2008 2:57:14 AM
          Redskins DE Jason Taylor suffered a calf injury and underwent surgery on Monday. He is out against the Cowboys.

          Buffalo Bills vs. St. Louis Rams
          Circled Game
          Last Updated: 9/24/2008 3:33:14 AM
          The NFL Network is reporting Trent Green has been named the Rams' starter at QB against Buffalo.

          Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
          Circled Game
          Last Updated: 9/24/2008 3:33:13 AM
          Packers CB Al Harris left the game against the Cowboys with a kidney injury and is listed as Questionable against the Buccaneers. Buccaneers WR Joey Galloway missed last week's game with a foot injury and is listed as Questionable against the Packers.



          Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
          Circled Game
          Last Updated: 9/24/2008 4:42:05 AM
          Texans RB Ahman Green is listed as Questionable for Sunday's game against the Jaguars

          Comment


          • #6
            INJURY REPORT

            NFL Football


            Arizona Cardinals
            Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
            9/22/2008 3:06:55 PM Gabe Watson DT kneecap questionable Watson (kneecap) may not return until Week 5, according to the Arizona Republic. He has only participated in three full practices since fracturing his kneecap in April, so the Cardinals are easing him back into action. Once he is 100 percent, Watson will have minimal fantasy value as a part-time nose tackle.

            9/22/2008 3:05:16 PM Jerame Tuman TE hamstring questionable Head coach Ken Whisenhunt is optimistic that Tuman (hamstring) will be able to play in Week 4, according to the Arizona Republic. Tuman is mainly a blocker and he has very little fantasy significance.

            9/22/2008 3:04:05 PM Bertrand Berry DE groin questionable The Cardinals are optimistic that Berry (groin) will be able to play in Week 4, according to the Arizona Republic. He did some jogging on Monday. Berry's prognosis is favorable, but you'll want to check back later in the week to make sure that he will play on Sunday.

            9/22/2008 11:24:24 AM Steve Breaston WR hamstring probable Breaston (hamstring) is struggling as a returner and the Cardinals might give J.J. Arrington a chance, according to the Arizona Republic. This is just speculation and the article points out that Arizona's return team hasn't done a very good job of blocking for Breaston this season. Breaston is only averaging 18.8 yards per kickoff return and 7.6 yards per punt return this season, so it's possible that Arizona will give someone like Arrington a chance to do better. This would be a big blow to Breaston's value, because he isn't receiving many targets as a receiver.



            Atlanta Falcons
            Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
            9/22/2008 7:25:56 PM Laurent Robinson WR knee questionable Robinson (knee) has been diagnosed with a knee sprain, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports. Robinson typically plays in four wide receiver sets and is at his best when he can spread the offense deep with his speed and agility. Obviously this knee injury, though severity unknown, is going to present a major problem in his playing ability and could keep Robinson on the shelf for more than just a week. We wish Robinson a quick recovery, but slot receiver Harry Douglas' fantasy stock increases with this injury.



            Baltimore Ravens
            Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
            9/23/2008 8:52:57 PM Willis McGahee RB Eye probable McGahee may be limited in practice this week due to a cut on his right eyelid, the Baltimore Sun reports. It's starting to seem like McGahee is looking for any reason he can to miss practice time. Regardless, expect McGahee to be ready for Monday night's game against Pittsburgh in a similar timeshare role he played with Le'Ron McClain and rookie Ray Rice on Sunday.

            9/23/2008 8:46:37 PM Dawan Landry S Head questionable Landry (spine) is expected to return this season after being carted off the field on Sunday, the Baltimore Sun reports. "His stability tests are all normal," Head coach John Harbaugh said. "He will be in a cervical collar for at least a week, and then they'll evaluate him further and then we'll just take it from there. He'll be playing in some number of weeks, and it won't be too many weeks." Landry was on the ground for nearly ten minutes after taking a Jamal Lewis knee to the head near the end of the first half of Baltimore's win over Cleveland.

            9/23/2008 8:39:45 PM Yamon Figurs WR Hamstring probable Figurs plans to play in Monday night's game against the Steelers, the Baltimore Sun reports. Figurs biggest impact is clearly in the return game. His speed makes him a potential home run threat at wideout, but don't expect to see many targets his way.

            9/23/2008 8:35:43 PM Samari Rolle CB Shoulder probable Rolle plans to play Monday night against the Steelers after injuring his right shoulder in Sunday's win over Cleveland, the Baltimore Sun reports. Rolle plans to practice Wednesday despite the soreness in his shoulder. Expect him to trot out onto the field against Pittsburgh.



            Buffalo Bills
            Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
            9/22/2008 7:50:23 AM Darian Barnes FB questionable Barnes injured his right foot during the first half of Sunday's win over the Raiders and did not return. He was on crutches and wearing a walking boot in the locker room, The Buffalo News reports. Barnes said he has no idea how badly the foot is injured, but should know more in the next day or two. "It's still a lot of swelling," he said. Barnes was having a good game before the injury, making a few strong plays. He's the only true fullback on the roster, so if he needs to miss some time the Bills might have to look at bringing Jonathan Evans back or moving a tight end into a hybrid role.



            Carolina Panthers
            Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
            9/22/2008 4:13:19 PM Dan Connor LB Out Connor will miss the rest of the season with a torn ACL in his left knee, the Associated Press reports. The third-rounder had played on special teams in the first three games, but it's a tough blow to the Panthers' linebacker depth since it was hoped that Connor could evolve into a regular contributor this year.

            9/22/2008 3:54:52 PM Ryne Robinson WR knee questionable Robinson (knee) is expected to practice on Wednesday and he could make his season debut on Sunday, the Panthers' official site reports. We'll revisit his status later in the week.

            9/22/2008 3:51:50 PM Charles Johnson DE probable Johnson, who recorded his first sack of the season in Week 1, is day-to-day with a hamstring injury, the Panthers' official site reports. It doesn't sound like anything serious, so we expect him to play in Week 4. Beyond that, Tyler Brayton also had a decent game on Sunday, so Johnson will likely share time with him against Atlanta regardless of how healthy he is.



            Cincinnati Bengals
            Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
            9/23/2008 11:08:26 AM Ben Utecht TE Ribs questionable Utecht (sternum) worked out vigorously before Sunday's game and lifted weights on Monday, but left both feeling short of breath, Bengals.com reports. It doesn't look too good for him to play on Sunday against the Browns.

            9/23/2008 10:38:40 AM Jonathan Joseph CB ankle questionable The Bengals seem optimistic that Joseph (ankle) will play this week against the Browns, Bengals.com reports. We'll have a better idea about Joseph's status following Wednesday's practice. The Bengals' secondary did much better than expected in light of Joseph and Dexter Jackson's absences.



            Cleveland Browns
            Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
            9/22/2008 11:59:31 PM Eric Steinbach G shoulder questionable Steinbach (shoulder) will not require surgery on his rotator cuff, the Cleveland Plain Dealer reports. He has not been ruled out for Sunday's game of Cincinnati yet, but it wouldn't be surprising to see him take another week and show up after the week five bye week.



            Dallas Cowboys
            Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
            9/23/2008 11:19:41 AM Felix Jones RB Calf probable Jones had his right calf heavily wrapped after Sunday's win over the Packers, the Ft. Worth Star-Telegram reports. The injury isn't thought to be serious, but we should have a better idea of Jones' status after the team returns to practice on Wednesday.

            9/23/2008 11:14:30 AM Kyle Kosier G Foot Out Kosier re-injured his right foot in Sinday's win over the Packers, and will be out for another 2-3 weeks, the Ft. Worth Star-Telegram reports. The Cowboys offensive line didn't skip a beat while he was out before, so don't expect there to be much of an impact from his absence this time either.

            9/22/2008 11:25:09 AM Miles Austin WR probable Austin caught one 52-yard TD pass, and had another 63-yard reception, in Dallas' win over Green Bay Sunday. Those were the only two passes he pulled down, but that was plenty. Austin's speed should allow him to hang onto the #3 WR job even when the other options, such as Sam Hurd, get healthy, and the Cowboys' passing attack is potent enough that he should have a little value in deeper fantasy leagues.



            Denver Broncos
            Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
            9/23/2008 5:04:22 PM Tom Nalen C Knee IR Nalen was placed on injured reserve with a left knee injury on Tuesday. A five-time Pro Bowl selection, Nalen was in his 15th season with the team. He was unable to bounce back from two surgical procedures on his knee prior to the season, and failed to appear in a game this season.


            Green Bay Packers
            Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
            9/22/2008 4:01:14 PM Al Harris CB blood in urine doubtful Harris (blood in urine) may have ruptured his spleen during Sunday's loss to the Cowboys and could miss the season, according to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Not having Harris would be a big blow to the Packers defense. Harris will get a second opinion, but things don't look to bright for him right now.

            9/22/2008 3:36:28 PM James Jones WR probable Jones dropped the only two passes thrown his way on Sunday and then left with knee and wrist injuries. Jones is slowly dropping down behind Jordy Nelson on the depth chart, mainly due to a number of dropped passes this season. He'll still see time with Ruvell Martin out, but don't expect much fantasy production.

            9/22/2008 3:08:53 PM Nick Barnett LB probable Barnett suffered an elbow sprain during Sunday's loss and recorded just five tackles. Barnett was on and off the field at various times during the night due to the injury. He's usually more productive than five tackles so the injury may have affected his play.

            9/22/2008 2:55:00 PM Ryan Grant RB hamstring probable Grant (hamstring) rushed 13 times for 54 yards in Sunday's loss to the Cowboys. Grant has been hampered by a hamstring injury and an ineffective Green Bay running game overall. The Packers started out this way last season and were able to turn it around so there is still some hope that Grant can be productive this year.


            Houston Texans
            Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
            9/22/2008 9:22:01 PM Ahman Green RB ankle questionable Texans head coach Gary Kubiak said Green (ankle) should practice this week, the Texans' official site reports. "I expect him to practice this week, but it has been awhile so we'll see how he does. But I do expect him to practice," said Kubiak. With the early season success of Steve Slaton, the Texans will not rush Green, who may have lost his starting job to the rookie.

            Comment


            • #7
              Jacksonville Jaguars
              Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
              9/23/2008 8:46:46 AM Reggie Nelson S questionable Nelson's knee injury is not serious, Jags coach Jack Del Rio told the Florida Times-Union. Expect Nelson to play on Sunday.

              9/23/2008 8:45:47 AM Dennis Northcutt WR questionable Northcutt's hip flexor injury is not serious, Jags coach Jack Del Rio told the Florida Times-Union. Northcutt should be set to play on Sunday, though his touches may be limited if Jerry Porter returns.

              9/22/2008 3:43:01 AM Brian Williams S probable Williams had five tackles and an interception in the Jags' 23-21 win over the Colts on Sunday. Williams is the top IDP player on a stout Jags defense, especially in leagues that count tackles.

              9/22/2008 3:37:26 AM Fred Taylor RB toe probable Taylor (toe) had a huge game in Sunday's 23-21 win over the Colts, rushing for 121 yards on 26 carries, and catching two passes for nine yards. The Jags finally figured out on Sunday that to win, they'll have to feature Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew in heavy doses. Expect this to be a trend for the Jags.



              New Orleans Saints
              Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
              9/23/2008 6:12:42 PM Jamar Nesbit G Suspension Out Nesbit has been suspended four games without pay for for violating the league's policy on anabolic steroids and related substances. The suspension begins immediately for Nesbit, who will be eligible to return to the Saints' active roster following the team's October 19 game against the Carolina Panthers. Nesbit will be unable to participate in team activities until the week of October 20. New Orleans heads to London that week to face the San Diego Chargers in Wembley Stadium on October 26.

              9/22/2008 4:51:19 PM Mark Campbell TE questionable With reports that Jeremy Shockey will miss three to six weeks after undergoing sports hernia surgery, Campbell's fantasy value gets a boost. Campbell missed last Sunday's game with a hamstring injury, and his availability for this weekend's contest against San Francisco is unclear. Even if he is healthy enough to play, however, he is likely to split time with Billy Miller. Unless either Campbell or Miller can establish themselves as the team's clear No. 1 tight end while Shockey is out, it's best to steer clear of both of them for fantasy purposes.

              9/22/2008 4:34:25 PM Jeremy Shockey TE Out Shockey will have sports hernia surgery this week and is expected to miss three to six weeks, the Times-Picayune reports. The injury has reportedly been bothering Shockey for weeks, but it was aggravated in Sunday's loss to the Broncos.

              9/22/2008 2:28:14 PM Randall Gay CB questionable Gay left Sunday's game with a hamstring injury, the Times-Picayune reports. Gay was recovering from a hamstring injury prior to Sunday's game, so it seems likely that he re-aggravated the injury. Even when healthy, Gay's role in the defense is likely to be reduced now that Mike McKenzie (knee) has returned to action.

              9/22/2008 2:17:09 PM David Patten WR questionable Patten left Sunday's against the Broncos with a strained groin, the Times-Picayune reports. Patten's injury helps explain his poor performance (two catches for 12 yards) in Sunday's game. Patten's status for this weekend's contest is unclear. Devery Henderson and Robert Meachem's value would get a boost if Patten missed the game.



              New York Jets
              Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
              9/23/2008 6:18:57 PM Brett Favre QB Ankle probable Favre (ankle) expects to play Sunday against Arizona, the Associated Press reports. Mangini didn't seem concerned about Favre's injury, saying "Brett usually plays, and I would anticipate the same [Sunday]."

              9/22/2008 11:55:39 PM Laveranues Coles WR thigh probable Coles (thigh) had six catches for 75 yards and a touchdown in Monday's loss at San Diego. He continues to look better and better every week, as he gets more comfortable with Brett Favre.

              9/22/2008 7:38:07 PM Justin Miller CB foot inactive Miller (foot) is inactive for Monday's game against the Chargers. We'll check back on his status next week.



              Oakland Raiders
              Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
              9/23/2008 10:38:25 AM Darren McFadden RB probable Head coach Lane Kiffin said he expects McFadden's turf toe to clear up this week, the Santa Rosa Press Democrat reports. McFadden claims that his toe injury wasn't a factor on Sunday, but he slipped several times before getting touched and went through three pairs of cleats. A healthy McFadden is obviously a better McFadden, so hopefully Kiffin's prognosis is correct.

              9/23/2008 10:32:59 AM Derrick Burgess DE questionable Burgess injured his triceps in the Raiders' loss to the Bills on Sunday, the Santa Rosa Press Democrat reports. Burgess underwent an MRI exam on Monday and the results of the exam should be available in the next couple days.

              9/23/2008 10:30:54 AM Gerard Warren DT Out Warren suffered a torn pectoral muscle in the Raiders' loss to the Bills on Sunday, the Oakland Tribune reports. Warren has been Oakland's best interior defender and his loss could really hurt the Raiders' run defense. Terdell Sands will likely take Warren's spot in the starting lineup while he's out.

              9/23/2008 10:30:54 AM Cooper Carlisle G questionable Carlisle suffered an ankle injury in the Raiders' loss to the Bills on Sunday, the Oakland Tribune reports. Carlisle may not practice this week. His status for next Sunday's game is uncertain at this point. Chris Morris will start at guard if Carlisle is unable to play next Sunday.

              9/22/2008 11:02:27 AM Javon Walker WR probable Walker caught his first two passes of the season in the Raiders' loss to the Bills on Sunday, the Oakland Tribune reports. Walker caught the two passes early on and then didn't catch another for the rest of the afternoon. It looks like it take some time for Walker to develop into a contributing fantasy performer again.



              Philadelphia Eagles
              Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
              9/22/2008 2:43:54 PM Shawn Andrews OT back questionable It dose not sound as if Andrews (back) is close to returning to the lineup, the Philadelphia Inquirer reports. Coach Andy Reid said Andrews' lower back injury has not improved. Max Jean-Gilles replaced him Sunday.

              9/22/2008 2:41:43 PM Donovan McNabb QB chest probable Coach Andy Reid expects McNabb (chest) to be ready to play Week 4 against the Bears, the Philadelphia Inquirer reports. It sounds like McNabb and the offense will be without Brian Westbrook (ankle), so he may be asked to throw even more than usual as long as his health permits.

              9/22/2008 2:30:59 PM Kevin Curtis WR sports hernia inactive Curtis (sports hernia) is expected to work with the scout team this week, the Eagles' official site reports. There's still no timetable for Curtis' return, but we should have a better idea where he is after he practices with the scout team this week.

              9/22/2008 1:16:18 PM Brian Westbrook RB questionable An MRI Monday revealed no tears or structural damage to Westbrook's ankle, the Philadelphia Inquirer reports. The team is calling the injury a strain, and labeling his status as day-to-day. Eagles coach Andy Reid said that Westrbook is no longer using crutches to walk, though he does have a limp. It seems like a decision on Westbrook's availability may not come until Sunday, so make sure you have a contingency plan if he's unavailable. Correll Buckhalter will get the carries out of the Philly backfield if Westbrook is on the shelf.



              Pittsburgh Steelers
              Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
              9/23/2008 6:15:38 PM Brett Keisel DE Calf Out Keisel will miss his second consecutive game Monday night against Baltimore, the Associated Press reports. Not a surprise, Keisel will likely miss at least 1-2 more games.

              9/23/2008 12:25:53 PM Ben Roethlisberger QB Hand probable The Steelers expect Roethlisberger (hand, shoulder) to play against Baltimore Monday night. Coach Mike Tomlin did not list Roethlisberger among the team's injured players during his press conference on Tuesday. He did, however, say that the Steelers QB could be limited in practice early in the week.

              9/23/2008 12:16:55 PM Casey Hampton DT Groin Out Hampton will miss Monday's game against Baltimore with a strained groin, according to coach Mike Tomlin. Hampton is the rock of a Pittsburgh defensive line that has little depth. Chris Hoke will replace Hampton with Travis Kirschke serving as his backup.

              9/23/2008 12:12:54 PM Willie Parker RB Knee Out Parker will not play Monday night against the Ravens because of a sprained left knee, coach Mike Tomlin said at his press conference on Tuesday. Parker was injured late in the fourth quarter of Sunday's loss to Philadelphia. Tomlin saidthat rookie Rashard Mendenhall will serve as Pittsburgh's primary back in Parker's absence.



              San Diego Chargers
              Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
              9/23/2008 6:32:20 PM Luis Castillo DE Knee probable Castillo took a shot to the knees during the Jets game on Monday night, the Associated Press reports. Castillo returned after the hit and is expected to be fine. An MRI on Tuesday revealed no damage.

              9/23/2008 12:47:05 PM LaDainian Tomlinson RB Toe probable Tomlinson stated that his toe felt good after San Diego's game on Monday night and that he may be able to get a full week of practice in, the San Diego Union Tribune reports. While we'd still guess he's given a lighter work load in practice this week, it seems like he should be near 100 percent healthy for the Chargers' Week 4 matchup against the Raiders, barring a setback.

              9/22/2008 7:24:55 PM Darren Sproles RB hamstring probable Sproles (hamstring) is listed as active for Monday's game against the Jets. LaDainian Tomlinson is listed as active too, but we expect to see Sproles get his share of the carries, if not a majority, depending on how Tomlinson feels. In fact, ESPN reports that Sproles will have his return duties scaled back so that he can focus on being in on the offense.



              San Francisco 49ers
              Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
              9/23/2008 7:47:46 PM Shawntae Spencer CB Knee IR Spencer will miss the rest of the season with a torn ligament in his left knee, the Associated Press reports. Spencer injured the knee during the 49ers' Sept. 14 win over the Seahawks. He underwent surgery last Wednesday. Tarell Brown or Donald Strickland will step up to fill the vacant third cornerback spot.



              St. Louis Rams
              Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
              9/22/2008 9:06:44 PM Antonio Pittman RB Out Pittman will be sidelined the next 4-to-6 weeks with a cracked fibula, the Sports Network Sports Network reports. As a result of Pittman's injury, Brian Leonard will step into the Rams' backup RB role behind Steven Jackson.

              Comment


              • #8
                Tampa Bay Buccaneers
                Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
                9/22/2008 12:28:28 PM Derrick Brooks LB hamstring probable Brooks (hamstring) had four tackles for Tampa Bay on Sunday. For the second straight week, Brooks did not practice but was able to play on Sunday.

                9/22/2008 12:27:41 PM Aqib Talib CB hamstring questionable Talib (hamstring) is questionable for Tampa Bay against Green Bay on Sunday, the St. Petersburg Times reports. Talib had to sit out Sunday's game at Chicago due to the injury.

                9/22/2008 12:27:05 PM Ryan Sims DT questionable Sims suffered a hamstring strain in Sunday's Buccaneers-Bears game. Sims registered no tackles or sacks on Sunday, and it's not clear if he left the game due to the injury. Still, he's questionable for Sunday's game against the Packers.

                9/22/2008 12:04:05 PM Joey Galloway WR foot questionable Galloway (foot) is still questionable for Tampa Bay going into Sunday's game against Green Bay, the St. Petersburg Times reports. Galloway did not make the trip to Sunday's game at Chicago due to the injury. Antonio Bryant had a big game in Galloway's place on Sunday, with Mike Clayton and Ike Hilliard both contributing as well, so the Bucs may not feel forced to rush Galloway back.

                9/22/2008 11:58:37 AM B.J. Askew FB questionable Askew suffered a hamstring strain in Sunday's Buccaneers-Bears game, the St. Petersburg Times reports. He's questionable for Tampa Bay's Week 4 contest against Green Bay. Askew had no carries and two receptions for 18 yards (three targets) for the Bucs on Sunday before suffering the injury early in the overtime period. Askew was limited all through camp with a foot injury that required minor surgery, so we may be seeing a cascade effect here.



                Tennessee Titans
                Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
                9/23/2008 11:16:39 AM Nick Harper CB Quadriceps questionable Harper, who suffered a quad injury against the Texans, was sore and will probably be day-to-day this week, the Tennessean reports. "It's not as bad as we thought," coach Jeff Fisher said. "He's just got a little thigh bruise going."

                9/23/2008 11:15:11 AM Justin Gage WR Groin questionable Coach Jeff Fisher did not give an update on Gage, who missed Sunday's game with a groin injury, the Tennessean reports. Gage missed Sunday's game with a groin injury and had been the Titans leading receiver after two games.

                9/22/2008 9:54:38 AM Vince Young QB inactive The Titans owner Bud Adams said on Sunday he has no doubt quarterback Vince Young will succeed in the NFL. And despite recent events, using the franchise's first pick of the 2006 was not a mistake, the Tennessean reports. "No, no,'' Adams said as he left LP Field after the Titans defeated the Texans. "It has been a terrible thing, what he's been going through. But I still think he is going to be a great one. Down the years I think we'll be glad to have him. He'll bounce back. He's liable to be playing here 15 years.'' Titan fans do have to wonder how good the team might be had they drafted local Vanderbilt star Jay Cutler instead of Young.


                Washington Redskins
                Updated Player Pos. Injury Status Update Rotowire Analysis
                9/22/2008 1:09:35 PM Jason Taylor DE Out Taylor will be out for this coming weekend's game against Dallas after having blood released from his left calf muscle, the Washington Post reports. "He'll be fine," according to coach Jim Zorn. "It's about healing now." That said, Zorn would not say whether Taylor would be back for Week 5's contest against Philadelphia.

                9/22/2008 9:50:58 AM Fred Smoot CB hip probable Smoot (hip) is still bothered by the injury he suffered in Week 1, the Washington Post reports. He played sparingly in Week 3. He plans to practice more this week and hopes to be at full strength for Week 4.

                Comment


                • #9
                  National Football League – Write up

                  NFL
                  Write-up


                  Week 4 NFL games

                  Sunday, September 28

                  Broncos (3-0) @ Chiefs (0-3)-- Major trap game for Denver squad that scored 38 ppg in winning first three games, scoring 13 TDs on 20 drives. Chiefs started three different QBs in first three weeks, lost all three by 7-15-24 points, allowing 204 rushing yards/game. Broncos are 8-4 in the last dozen series games, but lost seven of last nine visits to Arrowhead. Denver led last two games 21-3, had to hang on for dear life to win, but that was against tougher competition than this. Chiefs have four TDs on 34 drives with 14 three/outs, are -9 in sacks.

                  Browns (0-3) @ Bengals (0-3)-- Desperate times in Ohio; loser here falls to 0-4. Bengals showed life in OT loss at Swamp last week, converting 10-17 on third down, but they had only one TD in four trips to Giants' red zone, and have just one sack, no INTs in three games. Browns have two TDs on 28 drives. may be thinking about switching QB- they lost six of last seven in series, losing last four visits here by 10-3-17-5 pts. Only three of last 18 series games were won by less than seven points. Neither team stops run well; Browns allow 145 yds/game, Bengals 174.

                  Texans (0-2) @ Jaguars (1-2)-- Life still isn't back to normal in Houston area (most stoplights were still out, as of Wednesday); Texans have to be distracted, have allowed 69 points in losing first two games (gave up eight TDs on 22 drives) and are mulling QB change to Rosenfels, after Schaub (42-70, 330 passing, 4.2/4.3 ypa) was banged up last week by the Titans. Jaguars averaged 7.6 ypa in win at Indy last week, after they averaged 3.7/4.8 in first two games- they also ran ball for 236 yards with an OL that was missing two starters. In six visits here, Texans have gone WLWLWL-- home side won seven of last ten series games.

                  Cardinals (2-1) @ Jets (1-2)-- Arizona stayed on east coast after loss in Washington; Jets flew home cross-country early Tuesday morning, after hideous loss in San Diego, when they ran ball just 13 times, dropping to pass 50 times. Favre is prone to turnovers, but Arizona hasn't forced a turnover in last two games, after getting five in the opener. Arizona has four TD drives of 80+ yards in last two games; if Chargers can average 10 yards/pass attempt vs Jets, Arizona should do damage as well, with Fitzgerald/Boldin running amok. Jets getting killed in field position; they started eight more drives 80+ yards from end zone than their foes have.

                  49ers (2-1) @ Saints (1-2)-- Disappointing 0-2 road swing for Saint club that scored 56 points in two games but couldn't finish either game- they allow 133 rushing yards/game. 49ers scored 64 points in winning its last two games, as O'Sullivan becomes latest signal caller to thrive under the tutelage of QB guru Martz. Niners lost five of last six visits to Big Easy, with four of five losses by 8+ points. Saints won seven of last nine in a series that used to be divisional rivalry, winning last four by 8-3-24-21 points. Nine of last 11 series totals were 41+. Niners had good balance last week, running ball for 182 yards, passing for 188.

                  Falcons (2-1) @ Panthers (2-1)-- Home side won all three Atlanta tilts, with Ryan averaging 11.1/10.7 yds/pass attempt in his two home wins, but only 3.5 in his road debut at Tampa. Falcons ran ball for 318-186 in their wins, scoring eight TDs on 19 drives, but didn't score TD vs Bucs, running ball for 105 yards. Carolina went 3/out on 11 of last 22 drives, with just two TDs- they allowed 105-115-119 yards in three games so far in '08. Home side lost last five Falcon-Panther games, with Atlanta
                  6-2 in last eight visits here- they won last two visits here, 20-6/20-13. Six of last seven series totals at this site were 33 or less.

                  Vikings (1-2) @ Titans (3-0)-- Minnesota passing game improved to 6.0 ypa with Frerotte under center, after averaging 4.7/4.4 in Jackson's two starts; they're still weak in red zone, with one TD, six FG tries in eight visit inside opponents' 20-yard line, but that could be attributed to the absence of OT McKinnie (this is last game of his four-game suspension). Titans allowed just 29 points in three games (forced 15 three/outs, gave up three TDs on 35 drives)- they've run ball for 154.5 ypg. Minnesota won its only previous visit here, ten years ago- they won last four games in this seldom-played series by 6-10-18-17 points.

                  Packers (2-1) @ Buccaneers (2-1)-- Brian Greise turned into Dan Fouts last week, going 38-67/407, rallying Bucs from down 23-13 in last 4:40, and winning game in OT. Bucs held Atlanta to 234 yards in 24-9 win in Week 2, its only home game, vs QB making his first road start- Rodgers is making his second start on foreign soil. After running ball for 310 yds in first two games, they were just 17-47 on road last week, as Chicago committed to stopping run. Home team won ten of last twelve in series, which used to be division rivalry. Packers lost five of last six visits to this site. Six of last sever series totals were 35 or less.

                  3-month old son of Bucs' kicker Bryant passed away during the week, so Bucs will play this game with heavy hearts.

                  Bills (3-0) @ Rams (0-3)-- 38-year old Green starts at QB for a woeful St Louis club that was outscored 116-29 in first three games; if OL does not protect better than they've been doing, Green will never last a whole game, since he has concussion issues. Rams were outgained 445-133 on ground in last two games, so huge trap game for 3-0 Bills, who struggled at home vs Raiders last week, rallying at end for 24-23 win- their wins last two weeks are by combined total of five points. Rams once fired the Bills' special teams coach April, generally considered the best at his job in NFL. Game not expected to sell out; natives are very restless.

                  Chargers (1-2) @ Raiders (1-2)-- San Diego won last nine series games, with five of last six wins by 13+ points; they won last four visits here by 6-13-27-13 points. Oakland soap opera swirls around coach Kiffin, but Raiders are improved, scoring 23 points in each of last two games- last week's loss was bitter- they led almost whole way. Oakland had one TD on four trips inside red zone last week, bad news in a one-point loss. Chargers averaged 11.1/10.0 ypa in last two games- they've run ball for just 97.3 ypg so far. Six of last eight series totals were 40+; all three San Diego games this season went over the total.

                  Redskins (2-1) @ Cowboys (3-0)-- Home side won six of last seven in this intense rivalry, with Redskins 2-14 in last 16 visits here, losing last two visits here 27-10/28-23. Dallas is off pair of primetime games; they were held to 6.9 ypp last week, after averaging 10.0/10.4 in first couple games. Redskins are already +5 in turnovers, but allowed couple of 80+-yard TD drives to Cardinals last week. Double-digit favorites are 0-4 vs spread in NFL this season. Cowboys are 21-35 on third down, Skins are just 11-35, but Cowboys have yet to pick off pass thus year. Difficult to give double digits in rivalry game to capable underdog.

                  Eagles (2-1) @ Bears (1-2)-- Homecoming for McNabb; Bears lost last two games, both by FG-- they led 17-3 at Carolina, led Bucs 24-14 with 4:40 left, but lost both. Eagles won five of last six series games, winning last four visits here. Johnson's blitzed pummeled Big Ben last week, as they sacked Steeler QBs nine times (Pitt averaged just 3.6 ypa). Hard to imagine Orton thriving vs Johnson's blitzes after he coughed up INT/TD last week vs Bucs. Bears ran ball for 183-115-158 yards so far, but the Eagles allowed just 36-68-33 rushing yards so far. After road loss to the Cowboys, Philly needs road win to justify contender status in NFC.


                  Monday, Sepember 29

                  Ravens (2-0) @ Steelers (2-1)-- First NFL road game for rookie Flacco is in incredibly tough spot, on Monday night vs a wounded division rival (plus, Flacco transferred to Delaware from Pitt). Ravens lost six of last seven visits to this site, but won four of last five overall in series-- they ran ball for 380 yards in first two games, allowing only one TD so far on 24 drives, with 14 three/outs, but the road hasn't always been as kind to Ravens. Steelers better work on blitz pickup; Roethlisberger was sacked nine times last week, and hit lot more than that. Wouldn't be confident in Steeler chances here if Leftwich had to play instead of Big Ben.

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    NFL
                    Dunkel


                    Week 4



                    Minnesota at Tennessee
                    The Titans have continued their strong start with veteran Kerry Collins at QB and come into this contest with a 15-3 ATS record at home when favored by 3 points or less. Tennessee is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Titans favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3). Here are all of this week's picks.

                    SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 28

                    Game 195-196: Denver at Kansas City
                    Dunkel Ratings: Denver 132.130; Kansas City 127.684
                    Dunkel Line: Denver by 4 1/2; 42
                    Vegas Line: Denver by 10; 47
                    Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+10); Under

                    Game 197-198: Cleveland at Cincinnati
                    Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 124.114; Cincinnati 129.662
                    Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5 1/2; 38
                    Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-3 1/2); Under

                    Game 199-200: Houston at Jacksonville
                    Dunkel Ratings: Houston 127.472; Jacksonville 137.480
                    Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 10; 39
                    Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 7 1/2; 42
                    Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-7 1/2); Under

                    Game 201-202: Arizona at NY Jets
                    Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 127.970; NY Jets 131.453
                    Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 3 1/2; 50
                    Vegas Line: NY Jets by 1 1/2; 45
                    Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-1 1/2); Over

                    Game 203-204: San Francisco at New Orleans
                    Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 121.811; New Orleans 132.399
                    Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 10 1/2; 44
                    Vegas Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 48
                    Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-5 1/2); Under

                    Game 205-206: Atlanta at Carolina
                    Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 124.977; Carolina 134.971
                    Dunkel Line: Carolina by 10; 35
                    Vegas Line: Carolina by 7; 39 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-7); Under

                    Game 207-208: Minnesota at Tennessee
                    Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 132.987; Tennessee 139.918
                    Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 7; 40
                    Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 35 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3); Over

                    Game 209-210: Green Bay at Tampa Bay
                    Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 136.388; Tampa Bay 133.812
                    Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 2 1/2; 39
                    Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 42 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (+1 1/2); Under

                    Game 211-212: Buffalo at St. Louis
                    Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 126.362; St. Louis 122.445
                    Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 4; 37
                    Vegas Line: Buffalo by 8; 41 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+8); Under

                    Game 213-214: San Diego at Oakland
                    Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 136.772; Oakland 126.767
                    Dunkel Line: San Diego by 10; 51
                    Vegas Line: San Diego by 7 1/2; 45
                    Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-7 1/2); Over

                    Game 215-216: Washington at Dallas
                    Dunkel Ratings: Washington 128.582; Dallas 143.894
                    Dunkel Line: Dallas by 15; 52
                    Vegas Line: Dallas by 11; 46 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-11); Over

                    Game 217-218: Philadelphia at Chicago
                    Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 138.598; Chicago 138.946
                    Dunkel Line: Even; 36
                    Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 41
                    Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3 1/2); Under


                    MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 29

                    Game 219-220: Baltimore at Pittsburgh
                    Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 128.016; Pittsburgh 139.648
                    Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 11 1/2; 38
                    Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7; 34 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-7); Over

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      National Football League - Tips & Trends

                      NFL


                      Sunday, September 28

                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      Tips and Trends
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                      Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers [FOX | 1 PM ET]

                      Packers: The Packers got handled by Dallas at home last week in a game that was really never close. Green Bay’s defense – normally a strength – allowed 217 rushing yards and 6.2 yards per carry to the Cowboys. Overall, the Packers rush defense is giving up an average of 151 yards per game in 2008. And to make matters worse, Pro Bowl CB Al Harris will miss the rest of the season with a ruptured spleen. Ryan Grant - who has been dogged by a hamstring injury - has been a non-factor this year, putting more pressure on Aaron Rodgers and the passing game..

                      Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
                      Packers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 road games.

                      Key Injuries - CB Al Harris (spleen) is OUT.
                      S Atari Bigby (hamstring) is day-to-day.

                      PROJECTED SCORE: 23 (Side Play of the Day)

                      Bucs (-1, O/U 43): The Bucs are flying high after their 27-24 overtime win at Chicago. Getting his first start of the year for Tampa Bay, Brian Griese started off slow throwing three interceptions but he was close to perfect in helping the Bucs overcome a 10-point deficit late in the fourth quarter. Overall, the former Bear was 38-of-67 for 407 yards and two touchdowns. Griese is now 7-1 in his last eight starts for the Bucs. Tampa needs to sure up its usually strong pass defense. In three games, the Bucs are giving up an average of 237 yards through the air.

                      Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
                      Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.

                      Key Injuries - WR Joey Galloway (foot) is questionable.
                      CB Aqib Talib (hamstring) is day-to-day.

                      PROJECTED SCORE: 20



                      Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys [FOX | 4:15 PM ET]

                      Redskins: The Redskins are coming off two impressive wins at home over New Orleans and Arizona but now must take to the road to battle the mighty Cowboys. Washington will short-handed against the explosive Dallas offense, as six-time Pro Bowler Jason Taylor will miss the game with a calf injury. On offense, quarterback Jason Campbell is getting more and more comfortable in Jim Zorn’s West Coast offense. After a tough opener against the Giants, Campbell has been getting the ball down the field to WR Santana Moss and TE Chris Cooley. In the last two games, Moss has caught 14 passes for 239 yards and two scores.

                      Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
                      Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.

                      Key Injuries - DE Jason Taylor (calf) is OUT.

                      PROJECTED SCORE: 27 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

                      Cowboys (-11.5, O/U 46): The Cowboys are coming off two big wins over Philadelphia and Green Bay and even though the Redskins are a hated division rival, they must guard against a letdown here after two emotional victories. The Cowboys offense has been extremely balanced, averaging 289.3 yards through the air and 150.7 yards on the ground. The Cowboys much maligned pass defense stepped up against the Packers, sacking Aaron Rodgers five times. Clinton Portis could have a tough time finding running room tonight against a Cowboys rush defense that allows just 84 yards per game.

                      Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
                      Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.

                      Key Injuries - S Roy Williams (forearm) is OUT.
                      OLB Anthony Spencer (knee) is day-to-day.

                      PROJECTED SCORE: 38



                      Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

                      Eagles (-3.5): The Eagles put up the defensive performance of the year so far in a 15-6 win over Pittsburgh, sacking Ben Roethlisberger eight times and allowing just 180 total yards. The big news for the Eagles is the status of injured running back Brian Westbrook, who injured his ankle against the Steelers and has been on crutches all week. It looks like Philly will have to play this game without its most explosive offensive weapon. It could be a long night for Bears quarterback Kyle Orton. The Eagles defense is allowing just 45 yards per game on the ground through three games.

                      Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games.
                      Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.

                      Key Injuries - RB Brian Westbrook (ankle) is questionable.
                      WR Reggie Brown (hamstring) is questionable.

                      PROJECTED SCORE: 24

                      Bears: The Bears are coming off a tough loss at home against the Bucs in a game Chicago led by 10 with just over 3:00 minutes remaining. The usually stout Bears defense allowed 454 total yards to the punchless Bucs. In its first three games, Chicago is giving up close to 250 yards per game through the air. This is obviously an area of concern with Donovan McNabb and the Eagles coming to town. Rookie RB Matt Forte continues to be a bright spot for the Bears, averaging 101 yards rushing in his first three games.

                      Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.
                      Bears are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

                      Key Injuries - WR/KR Devin Hester (ribs) is questionable.

                      PROJECTED SCORE: 20

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                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Thanks for all your work.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          NFL
                          Long Sheet


                          Updated


                          Sunday, September 28



                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          DENVER (3 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (0 - 3) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          DENVER is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                          DENVER is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                          DENVER is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
                          DENVER is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
                          DENVER is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
                          DENVER is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          KANSAS CITY is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                          DENVER is 3-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
                          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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                          CLEVELAND (0 - 3) at CINCINNATI (0 - 3) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          CLEVELAND is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
                          CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
                          CINCINNATI is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
                          CINCINNATI is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                          CINCINNATI is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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                          HOUSTON (0 - 2) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 2) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                          JACKSONVILLE is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
                          HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
                          HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
                          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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                          ARIZONA (2 - 1) at NY JETS (1 - 2) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          NY JETS are 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
                          NY JETS are 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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                          SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 2) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          NEW ORLEANS is 51-77 ATS (-33.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
                          NEW ORLEANS is 51-77 ATS (-33.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
                          NEW ORLEANS is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
                          NEW ORLEANS is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) in home games in dome games since 1992.
                          NEW ORLEANS is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          NEW ORLEANS is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
                          NEW ORLEANS is 2-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
                          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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                          ATLANTA (2 - 1) at CAROLINA (2 - 1) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
                          CAROLINA is 2-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
                          3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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                          MINNESOTA (1 - 2) at TENNESSEE (3 - 0) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
                          TENNESSEE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
                          TENNESSEE is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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                          GREEN BAY (2 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 1) - 9/28/2008, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          GREEN BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
                          GREEN BAY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                          GREEN BAY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                          GREEN BAY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
                          GREEN BAY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                          GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
                          GREEN BAY is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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                          BUFFALO (3 - 0) at ST LOUIS (0 - 3) - 9/28/2008, 4:05 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          BUFFALO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
                          BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                          ST LOUIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                          ST LOUIS is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
                          ST LOUIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                          ST LOUIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                          ST LOUIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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                          SAN DIEGO (1 - 2) at OAKLAND (1 - 2) - 9/28/2008, 4:05 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          SAN DIEGO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                          SAN DIEGO is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                          SAN DIEGO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                          SAN DIEGO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                          SAN DIEGO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                          SAN DIEGO is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
                          SAN DIEGO is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
                          SAN DIEGO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
                          OAKLAND is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
                          OAKLAND is 23-47 ATS (-28.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          SAN DIEGO is 3-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
                          SAN DIEGO is 4-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
                          3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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                          WASHINGTON (2 - 1) at DALLAS (3 - 0) - 9/28/2008, 4:15 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          WASHINGTON is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                          DALLAS is 2-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                          2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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                          PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) at CHICAGO (1 - 2) - 9/28/2008, 8:15 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          PHILADELPHIA is 120-84 ATS (+27.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
                          PHILADELPHIA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) against NFC North division opponents since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          CHICAGO is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                          CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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                          Comment


                          • #14
                            National Football League – Long Sheet

                            NFL
                            Long Sheet


                            Updated

                            Week 4

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                            Monday, September 29
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                            BALTIMORE (2 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 1) - 9/29/2008, 8:30 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            BALTIMORE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                            BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                            BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                            BALTIMORE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                            BALTIMORE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                            BALTIMORE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                            PITTSBURGH is 74-46 ATS (+23.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
                            PITTSBURGH is 36-16 ATS (+18.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
                            PITTSBURGH is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games where the total is 35 or less since 1992.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            BALTIMORE is 3-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
                            BALTIMORE is 3-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
                            3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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                            Comment


                            • #15
                              National Football League - Tips & Trends

                              NFL


                              Monday, September 29

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                              Tips and Trends
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                              Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers [ESPN | 8:30 PM ET]

                              Ravens: Baltimore has started the year out 2-0 but now comes its toughest test to date: A road game at Pittsburgh. Rookie quarterback Joe Flacco has been efficient for the Ravens in their first two games but he’ll be making his first career road start in a very hostile environment. The Ravens are 2-6 at Heinz Field. Last season in Pittsburgh, the Ravens were blown out, 38-7, on Monday Night Football. To avoid a repeat performance, Baltimore will lean on a strong defense that leads the NFL, allowing an average 10 points and 161.5 yards per game so far this season.

                              Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings vs. the Steelers.
                              Ravens are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 road games.

                              Key Injuries - S Dawan Landry (head) is questionable.
                              NT Kelly Gregg (knee) is day-to-day.

                              PROJECTED SCORE: 10 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

                              Steelers (-5, O/U 33.5): If the Steelers offensive line doesn’t start playing better, Ben Roethlisberger isn’t going to last much longer. Against the Eagles last week, Big Ben was sacked eight times and hurried almost every time he dropped back to pass. It won’t help Roethlisberger to be without starting running back Willie Parker this week. Rookie Rashard Mendenhall will start in Parker’s place, with Mewelde Moore coming in on third downs. While the Steelers offense has struggled this year, their defense ranks second in the NFL (behind Baltimore). Pittsburgh is only giving up 64.3 yards per game on the ground, so Joe Flacco will likely need to generate some plays out of the passing game tonight.

                              Steelers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
                              Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.

                              Key Injuries - RB Willie Parker (knee) is OUT.
                              NT Casey Hampton (groin) is OUT.

                              PROJECTED SCORE: 17

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