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College Football – Tips and Trends
NCAAF
Saturday, September 20
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Tips and Trends
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#4 Florida at Tennessee [CBS | 3:30 PM ET]
Florida (-7, O/U 51.5): The Gators had a week off after dismantling Hawaii to prepare for their first big road test of the season at Tennessee. While Tim Tebow and the offense get all the publicity, it’s a much-improved Gators defense that has only allowed one touchdown through two games that will need to continue its strong play against a physical Tennessee team. The Gators have struggled to run the football so far this season, so look for speedsters Percy Harvin and Chris Rainey to see time in the backfield this week against the Vols.
Florida is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
The OVER is 5-0 in Florida’s last 5 conference games.
Key Injuries - OL Jim Tart (shoulder) is probable.
RB Emmanuel Moody (ankle) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 31 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)
Tennessee: Tennessee came back to make short work of UAB after a disappointing loss to UCLA in the season opener. Quarterback Jonathan Crompton continues to develop, tossing for 240 yards and two scores against the Blazers. Look for the Vols to test Florida’s rush defense with their deep table of backs led by Arian Foster. Tim Tebow will need to be careful throwing into Tennessee’s ball-hawking secondary, which is among the best in the nation. The Vols have recorded seven interceptions in their first two games.
Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these teams.
The OVER is 5-1 in Tennessee’s last 6 games in September.
Key Injuries - S Daryl Vereen (knee) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 24
#6 LSU at #10 Auburn [ESPN | 7:45 PM ET]
LSU (-3, O/U 38): After two tune-up games against Appalachian State and North Texas, LSU heads to the Plains to battle Auburn, with the winner emerging as the early favorite to capture the SEC West title. While Andrew Hatch and Jarrett Lee have both seen time at quarterback so far, expect Hatch to get most of the snaps tonight. Whichever quarterback is under center they will be handing the ball off to Charles Scott, who has 266 yards and four scores in LSU’s first two games. LSU hasn’t won at Auburn since 1998, but the last two games there have been close. Auburn won 10-9 in 2004 and 7-3 in 2006.
LSU is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 conference games.
The UNDER is 4-0 in LSU’s last 4 games in September.
Key Injuries - LB Darry Beckwith (knee) is OUT.
PROJECTED SCORE: 20
Auburn: The Tigers are coming off a 3-2 win over Mississippi State in one of the ugliest college football games in recent history. Auburn’s defense dominated the Bulldogs, allowing just 116 totals yards and no third-down conversions. The offense, on the other hand, was putrid. Offensive coordinator Tony Franklin brought the spread offense with him from Troy but the Tigers are struggling mightily to learn the system. Chris Todd took all the snaps at quarterback against Mississippi State but couldn't get the Tigers into the end zone. If Todd struggles early against LSU, look for backup Kodi Burns - a much better runner than Todd - to see some playing time.
Auburn is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games in September.
The UNDER is 5-0 in Auburn’s last 5 home games.
Key Injuries - RB Brad Lester (neck) is doubtful.
RB/KR John Douglass (knee) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 17
#3 Georgia at Arizona State [ABC | 8 PM ET]
Georgia (-7, O/U 50.5): It wasn’t pretty against South Carolina but the Bulldogs left Columbia with a hard-fought 14-7 win. Georgia did not look sharp, as its young offensive line gave up four sacks and failed to open big holes for star RB Knowshon Moreno. The Bulldogs also committed 11 penalties. Georgia will need a much better performance this week if they plan on remaining unbeaten after a cross-country trip to Arizona State. Quarterback Matthew Stafford needs to rebound. He connected on just 15-of-25 passes for 146 yards against the Gamecocks. Stafford was under heavy pressure a week ago and it could be more of the same against the Sun Devils speedy defensive front.
Georgia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 non-conference games.
The UNDER is 9-4 in Georgia’s last 13 road games.
Key Injuries - DE Roderick Battle (neck) is questionable.
LB Marcus Washington (shoulder) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 31 (Side Play of the Day)
Arizona State: This game was supposed to be a highly-touted matchup of unbeatens, but someone forgot to tell UNLV. The Rebels shocked Arizona State 23-20 in overtime to ruin the much-ballyhooed inter-conference showdown. In a classic look-ahead game, the Sun Devils offense was sluggish and it cost them. ASU allowed 55 sacks a year ago and quarterback Rudy Carpenter was pressured a lot by UNLV. That could be a huge problem this week, as the Dawgs defensive will pose a much tougher test and pressure Carpenter from all angles. If the offensive line falters, it will be a long night for the Sun Devils.
Arizona State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games.
The UNDER is 6-1 in Arizona State’s last 7 non-conference games.
Key Injuries - RB Keegan Herring (hamstring) is questionable.
LB Gerald Munns (finger) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 21
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NCAAF
Saturday, September 20
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
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#4 Florida at Tennessee [CBS | 3:30 PM ET]
Florida (-7, O/U 51.5): The Gators had a week off after dismantling Hawaii to prepare for their first big road test of the season at Tennessee. While Tim Tebow and the offense get all the publicity, it’s a much-improved Gators defense that has only allowed one touchdown through two games that will need to continue its strong play against a physical Tennessee team. The Gators have struggled to run the football so far this season, so look for speedsters Percy Harvin and Chris Rainey to see time in the backfield this week against the Vols.
Florida is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
The OVER is 5-0 in Florida’s last 5 conference games.
Key Injuries - OL Jim Tart (shoulder) is probable.
RB Emmanuel Moody (ankle) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 31 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)
Tennessee: Tennessee came back to make short work of UAB after a disappointing loss to UCLA in the season opener. Quarterback Jonathan Crompton continues to develop, tossing for 240 yards and two scores against the Blazers. Look for the Vols to test Florida’s rush defense with their deep table of backs led by Arian Foster. Tim Tebow will need to be careful throwing into Tennessee’s ball-hawking secondary, which is among the best in the nation. The Vols have recorded seven interceptions in their first two games.
Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these teams.
The OVER is 5-1 in Tennessee’s last 6 games in September.
Key Injuries - S Daryl Vereen (knee) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 24
#6 LSU at #10 Auburn [ESPN | 7:45 PM ET]
LSU (-3, O/U 38): After two tune-up games against Appalachian State and North Texas, LSU heads to the Plains to battle Auburn, with the winner emerging as the early favorite to capture the SEC West title. While Andrew Hatch and Jarrett Lee have both seen time at quarterback so far, expect Hatch to get most of the snaps tonight. Whichever quarterback is under center they will be handing the ball off to Charles Scott, who has 266 yards and four scores in LSU’s first two games. LSU hasn’t won at Auburn since 1998, but the last two games there have been close. Auburn won 10-9 in 2004 and 7-3 in 2006.
LSU is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 conference games.
The UNDER is 4-0 in LSU’s last 4 games in September.
Key Injuries - LB Darry Beckwith (knee) is OUT.
PROJECTED SCORE: 20
Auburn: The Tigers are coming off a 3-2 win over Mississippi State in one of the ugliest college football games in recent history. Auburn’s defense dominated the Bulldogs, allowing just 116 totals yards and no third-down conversions. The offense, on the other hand, was putrid. Offensive coordinator Tony Franklin brought the spread offense with him from Troy but the Tigers are struggling mightily to learn the system. Chris Todd took all the snaps at quarterback against Mississippi State but couldn't get the Tigers into the end zone. If Todd struggles early against LSU, look for backup Kodi Burns - a much better runner than Todd - to see some playing time.
Auburn is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games in September.
The UNDER is 5-0 in Auburn’s last 5 home games.
Key Injuries - RB Brad Lester (neck) is doubtful.
RB/KR John Douglass (knee) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 17
#3 Georgia at Arizona State [ABC | 8 PM ET]
Georgia (-7, O/U 50.5): It wasn’t pretty against South Carolina but the Bulldogs left Columbia with a hard-fought 14-7 win. Georgia did not look sharp, as its young offensive line gave up four sacks and failed to open big holes for star RB Knowshon Moreno. The Bulldogs also committed 11 penalties. Georgia will need a much better performance this week if they plan on remaining unbeaten after a cross-country trip to Arizona State. Quarterback Matthew Stafford needs to rebound. He connected on just 15-of-25 passes for 146 yards against the Gamecocks. Stafford was under heavy pressure a week ago and it could be more of the same against the Sun Devils speedy defensive front.
Georgia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 non-conference games.
The UNDER is 9-4 in Georgia’s last 13 road games.
Key Injuries - DE Roderick Battle (neck) is questionable.
LB Marcus Washington (shoulder) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 31 (Side Play of the Day)
Arizona State: This game was supposed to be a highly-touted matchup of unbeatens, but someone forgot to tell UNLV. The Rebels shocked Arizona State 23-20 in overtime to ruin the much-ballyhooed inter-conference showdown. In a classic look-ahead game, the Sun Devils offense was sluggish and it cost them. ASU allowed 55 sacks a year ago and quarterback Rudy Carpenter was pressured a lot by UNLV. That could be a huge problem this week, as the Dawgs defensive will pose a much tougher test and pressure Carpenter from all angles. If the offensive line falters, it will be a long night for the Sun Devils.
Arizona State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games.
The UNDER is 6-1 in Arizona State’s last 7 non-conference games.
Key Injuries - RB Keegan Herring (hamstring) is questionable.
LB Gerald Munns (finger) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 21
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