Thursday Trends and Indexes 9/11

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Thursday September 11

Good Luck on day #255 of 2008!


FOR COLLEGE FOOTBALL, SEE SEPARATE THREAD: “NCAAF - Week 3 Trends and Indexes 9/11 through 9/13”

NFL and CFL info will be posted in this thread.


NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.
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[pm530]

Daily Sports Roundup

Thursday, September 11

The Milwaukee Brewers will be looking to bury the Philadelphia Phillies in the Wild Card race when they begin their series on Thursday. Here's your Daily Sports Roundup . . .

Event of the day . . .

The Brewers will be sitting comfortably in the National League's Wild Card spot if they manage to knock off the Phillies two or three (or four) times over the course of their four-game series this weekend. That huge series will get underway on Thursday night, and Milwaukee will get things going with co-ace Ben Sheets taking the mound.

Sheets (13-7, 2.82 ERA) is almost pitching in CC Sabathia's shadow now, but he's still greatly contributing to the team's success - the righthander hasn't given up a run in any of his past three outings. Sheets is coming off a complete-game shutout victory over the Padres last Saturday in which he gave up just five hits and fanned seven batters.

The Phillies will likely go with either Jamie Moyer (13-7, 3.64 ERA) or J.A. Happ (0-0, 5.71 ERA) in the series opener on Thursday. Lefthander Moyer would be making the start on three day's rest; he beat the Mets by tossing seven scoreless innings last Sunday. Happ has started just twice this season, and he pitched in relief on Tuesday.

Non-event of the day . . .

There is plenty of meaningless baseball on Thursday, with San Francisco at San Diego possibly the worst of the lot. The Giants, who have no hope of getting to the .500 mark this year, will send Matt Cain (8-11, 3.75 ERA) to the mound. The Padres, who are going to finish deep in the NL West basement, reply with Josh Geer (1-0, 3.60 ERA).

Also on the schedule . . .

The Cubs and Cardinals will close out their big NL series on Thursday night, with Chicago's Rich Harden (4-1, 1.50 ERA in the NL) scheduled to face St. Louis' Todd Wellemeyer (12-6, 3.74 ERA). Other games on the Senior Circuit slate for Thursday: Colorado at Atlanta, and Pittsburgh at Houston.

There are only five games on the AL schedule for Thursday as well. Francisco Liriano (5-3, 3.33 ERA) will try to pitch the Twins past the Royals, while Gavin Floyd (15-6, 3.72 ERA) will be looking to help the White Sox beat the Blue Jays. Rounding out the AL slate: Cleveland at Baltimore, Texas at Oakland, and Seattle at the Angels.

The WNBA offers up four games on Thursday: New York at Indiana, Washington at Detroit, Connecticut at San Antonio, and Atlanta at Los Angeles. New York, Indiana, Detroit, Connecticut, San Antonio, and Los Angeles have all clinched berths in the league's playoffs already. Washington and Atlanta have both been eliminated.

Finally, there's one college football game on tap for Thursday, with North Carolina at Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights are currently pegged as 5-point favorites in that contest.

News from the wire . . .

Saints WR Marques Colston is expected to miss over a month of action after having surgery on his thumb earlier this week . . . Titans QB Vince Young has a sprained knee and is likely going to miss the next few weeks . . . Cardinals 3B Troy Glaus left Tuesday's game with a shoulder injury . . . Twins OF Michael Cuddyer is still one to two weeks away from returning to the team's lineup.

Peek at the future . . .

It'll be Matt Garza (11-9, 3.55 ERA) vs. Sidney Ponson (8-5, 5.10 ERA) on Friday night when the Rays open a series at Yankee Stadium . . . Jimmie Johnson and Kyle Busch are the 5/1 co-favorites to win the Sylvania 300 this weekend, with Tony Stewart and Carl Edwards both at 8/1 on the Vegas odds . . . with Tom Brady out of action the Patriots are currently pegged as 1.5-point road underdogs versus the rival Jets.

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[pm530]

Six-pack for Thursday

Some knowledge for you to ponder, with Week 2 upon us.....

-- Ravens are 9-19 vs spread as single digit underdog.

-- Carolina failed to cover last five home openers.

-- Broncos covered three of last eleven as an underdog.

-- Seattle covered seven of last nine home divisional games.

-- Jaguars covered seven of last ten as home favorite.

-- Giants are 10-4 vs spread as non-divisional road favorite.

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[pm530]

Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but..........

13) David Ortiz had his first sacrifice bunt in seven years in the 12th inning Wednesday night. Carlos Pena hit a 3-run homer in 14th, then Hammel escaped bases loaded, no out jam to get the save, as Rays leave Boston with a 2.5-game lead in east.

12) There are millions of dollars tied up in NFL fantasy leagues and according to a story on espn.com today, 72% of the teams that have Tom Brady lost in Week 1. Have a nice year, fellas.

11) Sounds like Brady tore both his MCL and ACL, and needs 6-9 months of rehab after the operation, which can't be for at least another month. Wonder if he'll do any TV work this year.

10) Trouble in Tennessee, where Vince Young is having some issues adjusting to life in the fishbowl as an NFL quarterback. He has to realize that 90% of people are frontrunners, he just has to block out the naysayers and play ball. Its not personal, everyone who has played the position has gone through it.

When I was in high school, remember reading John Brodie's book; he talked about his career as a 49er QB and how the fans would always prefer the backup, and the ups and downs of a guy quarterbacking a mediocre team that finally got good. The sooner Young realizes it is a business, the better off he'll be.

9) 49er signal caller Alex Smith has broken shoulder and is out for season; next time we see Smith, he'll likely be wearing some other uniform. Another top draft choice that didn't work out.

8) Gary Sheffield hit the 250,000th home run in history of the major leagues Monday night.

7) Official scorers in major leagues earn $130 a game.

6) When Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco both won their debuts on Sunday, they became first rookie QB combo to win in Week 1 since 1971, when Archie Manning, Jim Plunkett both won.

5) ESPN ran graphic last weekend that showed 344 Texas kids were given D-I football scholarships last spring, 27 more than any other state. 15 Texas kids are starting QBs at D-I level.

4) Former Cleveland Brown QB Brian Sipe is now a high school coach in San Diego area, where he is 66-10 in his first 76 games

3) Buffalo scored their first TD Sunday because Seattle didn't challenge an official's call quickly enough. Replays showed a long pass was juggled and would have been overturned, but the red flag came out too late to challenge the ruling.

2) In a typical NFL game, there are two footballs set aside, that are used just for kicks/punts. There is guy that gets paid just to keep track of these two footballs. Now thats a job I'd want.

1) I'm not 100% positive on this, but I think Brady's injury and Brett Favre's first TD pass as a Jet both came at exactly 1:18 on Sunday afternoon. I know Favre's pass was at 1:18- that could be the exact minute the balance of power in AFC East shifted.

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Long Sheet

CFL
Long Sheet


Week 12

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Friday, September 12
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WINNIPEG (2 - 7) at TORONTO (4 - 6) - 9/12/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on a Friday this season.
TORONTO is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
TORONTO is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) off a loss against a division rival since 1996.
TORONTO is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-4 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-4 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONTREAL (7 - 3) at CALGARY (6 - 4) - 9/12/2008, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Saturday, September 13
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HAMILTON (2 - 8) at EDMONTON (6 - 4) - 9/13/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 3-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (7 - 2) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (5 - 5) - 9/13/2008, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 123-92 ATS (+21.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 123-92 ATS (+21.8 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 82-50 ATS (+27.0 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-4 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-4 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Write up

CFL
Write-up


Week 12 CFL games

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Friday, September 12

Winnipeg (2-8) @ Toronto (4-6)-- Bombers had a 31-14 lead at home in fourth quarter last week, lost 34-31 to Saskatchewan; they're 0-4 on road, losing by 14-9-7-13 points, 1-5 vs spread as underdog. Argonauts lost three of last four games, giving up a hefty 38.3 ppg since beating Bombers 18-11 in Week 6 (-3.5). In season's first meeting, Argos (+2.5) won 23-16 at Winnipeg.

Montreal (7-3) @ Calgary (6-4)-- Red-hot Alouettes won five in row, scoring 37.2 ppg, but they lost 23-19 at home to Calgary in Week 3 (-4.5), their first loss of season, and only time in '08 Als scored less than 30 points. Road team won last five Stampeder games, with Stamps losing last two at McMahon, to Eskimos, Riders. Five of last seven Calgary games went over the total.


Saturday, September 13

Hamilton (2-8) @ Edmonton (6-4)-- TiCats lost last three games, by 13-3-23 points; they allowed 33.4 ppg in last five games and lost last three on road by 27-7-13 points. Eskimos won 19-13 in Week 5 at Hamilton (-2)- they scored 31+ points in seven of last nine games, are 6-0 this year when they allow less than 34 pts. Seven of the last nine Hamilton games went over the total.

Saskatchewan (8-2) @ BCLions (5-5)-- Roughriders (+6) came back from 17 down in 4th quarter last week, beat the Bombers 34-31 to avoid third loss in last four games; they won 26-16 in Vancouver back in Week 2 (+6). Lions won three of last four at home since the Week 2 loss- last week was first time in last six games they allowed less than 20 points.

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Additional Trends

CFL

Trends Sheet


Week 12

Friday, September 12

7:00 PM WINNIPEG vs. TORONTO
Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg


10:00 PM MONTREAL vs. CALGARY
Montreal is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games



Saturday, September 13

7:00 PM HAMILTON vs. EDMONTON
Hamilton is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Edmonton
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


10:00 PM SASKATCHEWAN vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Saskatchewan is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games when playing British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games
British Columbia is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games

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[pm530]

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL

Long Sheet


Week 2

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Sunday, September 14
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OAKLAND (4 - 12) at KANSAS CITY (4 - 12) - 9/14/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (10 - 7) at CINCINNATI (7 - 9) - 9/14/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANAPOLIS (13 - 4) at MINNESOTA (8 - 8) - 9/14/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (7 - 9) at WASHINGTON (9 - 8) - 9/14/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (14 - 4) at DETROIT (7 - 9) - 9/14/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 4-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (7 - 9) at CAROLINA (7 - 9) - 9/14/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY GIANTS (14 - 6) at ST LOUIS (3 - 13) - 9/14/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 67-94 ATS (-36.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (7 - 9) at JACKSONVILLE (12 - 6) - 9/14/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (4 - 12) at TAMPA BAY (9 - 8) - 9/14/2008, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 11) at SEATTLE (11 - 7) - 9/14/2008, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-2 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (1 - 15) at ARIZONA (8 - 8) - 9/14/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games against AFC East division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (18 - 1) at NY JETS (4 - 12) - 9/14/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 70-43 ATS (+22.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
NY JETS are 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (5 - 11) at HOUSTON (8 - 8) - 9/14/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN DIEGO (13 - 6) at DENVER (7 - 9) - 9/14/2008, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 4-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (10 - 7) at CLEVELAND (10 - 6) - 9/14/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 74-45 ATS (+24.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-2 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Monday, September 15
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PHILADELPHIA (8 - 8) at DALLAS (13 - 4) - 9/15/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 119-84 ATS (+26.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

National Football League – Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet


Week 2

Sunday, September 14th

Oakland at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 5-14 ATS off DD home loss
Kansas City: 23-8 Under 1st two weeks of season

Tennessee at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 12-2 ATS Away off home division win
Cincinnati: 5-15 ATS after allowing 200+ rushing yards

Indianapolis at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 21-5 Over Away off SU loss as favorite
Minnesota: 6-0 Over at home off road loss

New Orleans at Washington, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 17-5 ATS off home division win
Washington: 7-21 ATS at home in September

Green Bay at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 10-1 ATS Away off home game
Detroit: 7-2 Over 1st month of season

Chicago at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Chicago: 19-6 Over vs. NFC
Carolina: 0-6 ATS at home 1st half of season

NY Giants at St. Louis, 1:00 ET
NY Giants: 9-1 ATS in road games
St. Louis: 8-0 Under in September

Buffalo at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 5-1 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
Jacksonville: 13-3 Over off road game

Atlanta at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 8-1 Under on grass field
Tampa Bay: 26-6 Under 1st 2 Weeks of season

San Francisco at Seattle, 4:05 ET
San Francisco: 12-26 ATS Away if the total is between 38.5 and 42
Seattle: 16-4 Over at home after loss by 14+ points

Miami at Arizona, 4:15 ET
Miami: 0-6 ATS in September
Arizona: 13-3 Over off SU win

New England at NY Jets, 4:15 ET
New England: 70-43 ATS as an underdog
NY Jets: 6-19 ATS at home in September

Baltimore at Houston, 4:15 ET
Baltimore: 0-8 ATS in road games
Houston: 5-1 Over off road loss by 14+ points

San Diego at Denver, 4:15 ET
San Diego: 12-3 ATS vs. conference
Denver: 7-17 ATS playing with 6 or less days rest

Pittsburgh at Cleveland, 8:15 ET NBC
Pittsburgh: 0-7 ATS after scoring 35+ points
Cleveland: 6-0 ATS off SU loss


Monday, September 15th

Philadelphia at Dallas, 8:30 ET ESPN
Philadelphia: 8-1 ATS as a road underdog
Dallas: 8-1 Over off ATS win

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[pm530]

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up


2008 Week 2 NFL analysis

Sunday, September 14

Raiders (0-1) @ Chiefs (0-1)—Long road trip on short work week for Raiders, who allowed 12 yards/pass attempt by Denver, and were crushed 41-14.- they’ve lost 10 of last 11 games in rivalry, five of six at Arrowhead (only one of the five was by more than four points). Oakland also lost its last five road openers, with three of five losses by five or less points. Chiefs had ball on the Patriot 5-yard line in last minute Sunday, with chance to tie game behind backup QB Huard, who is now back to being the starter. KC was 8-16 on third down in Foxboro, but lost to QB who hasn’t started a game since high school (Matt Cassel).

Titans (1-0) @ Bengals (0-1)— Kerry Collins gets nod under center for Titans, which may help Tennessee since he seems to have better grasp of new offense than Young. Titans upset Jags last week, despite an 18-yard deficit in average field position. They outrushed Jags 137-33. Bengals had just 89 passing yards in loss at Baltimore, getting just eight first downs (outgained 358-154). Cincinnati was 14-18 on third down last year, racking up 30 first downs in 35-6 home win vs Titan squad that scored just six points on five trips inside Bengal 20. Bengals won last four home openers; Titans lost six of eight road openers.

Colts (0-1) @ Vikings (0-1)—Home team is 11-0-1 in last dozen games of seldom-played series, with Colts 0-5-1 in last six visits to city where they haven’t played in 11 years. Both teams lost last week, so loser behind 8-ball early. Colts gave up 183 rushing yards to Bears, will have hands full vs. Peterson (Vikes had 187 yards on ground at Lambeau Monday night). Extreme mismatch at QB favors Colts, who had first September loss since ’04 last week. Indy is 7-1 in last eight road openers, with five of last six decided by five or less points. Under is 13-5 in Colts’ last 18 road openers, 14-5-1 in Vikings’ last 20 home openers.

Giants (1-0) @ Rams (0-1)—Defending champs won last 11 road games (10-1 vs spread), are on letdown alert coming off divisional win, visiting lame St Louis squad that was pathetic at Philly last week, giving up 414 passing yards to team playing without its two best WRs. Rams are 13-3 in last sixteen home openers, with underdog 5-0-1 vs spread in last six. Male Sheep lost last five games vs Giants, but won five of last six series games played here. Not lot of enthusiasm for Rams in St Louis these days— game still wasn’t sellout early in week. Giants allowed 36.3 pg in losing three of last four road openers. Trap game for Big Blue.

Saints (1-0) @ Redskins (0-1)—Saints’ top WR Colston (thumb) is out, as vagabond Saints (worked out in Indy last week because of hurricane) on road again—they won six of their last eight road openers, covered eight of last ten. Road team won last five series games, with Saints winning last two visits here (last in ’03). Skins have three extra days to prepare since they played in Thursday opener (outgained 354-209 by Giants). New Orleans needed late pick to hold off Bucs at home, winning despite starting eight of their 12 drives 80+ yards from paydirt- they had two TD drives of 80+ yds. Redskins’ last five home openers stayed under.

Packers (1-0) @ Lions (0-1)— Much like St Louis and Rams, lot of negativity around Lions’ squad. Detroit was gashed for 318 rushing yards last week, allowed rookie QB Ryan to average 11.1 yards/attempt- but they have won four of last five home openers. Packers hit road on short work week after solid win over Vikings Monday; Rodgers was 18-22/178 passing in impressive showing, but life on road can be tough. GB is 2-6 vs spread in last eight Week 2 road openers, but they also scored 68 points in winning last two visits here; they’ve won five in row, 13 of last 15 vs. Detroit. Under is 13-5 in Packers’ last 18 road openers.

Bears (1-0) @ Panthers (1-0)— Underdog is now 22-2 vs spread when you combine Carolina home/road openers over last 11+ years; dog covered 11 of their last 12 home openers. Panthers lost last four home openers, three by 10+ points. Both sides had impressive road wins last week, with Bears running ball for 183 yards, converting 10-16 on 3rd down, in easy win at Indy. Only Panther offensive TD was scored on last play of game in dramatic win at Qualcomm—this is second game of Smith’s suspension, so Carolina’s offense still little shorthanded. Chicago held Colts to 4.7 yards/pass attempt last week.

Bills (1-0) @ Jaguars (0-1)—Jax offense very thin on OL after losing three guys last week; they lost at Tennessee despite 18-yard edge in field position, which doesn’t happen much. Buffalo used two special teams TDs to rout Seattle- they lost five of last seven road openers that weren’t in Week 1, scoring 10-3-3 points in losing last three. Jags won nine of last 12 home openers, covered six of last eight as fave in such role. Jax got outrushed 137-33 last week; hard to see that turning around with two OL starters out for extended time. Last four Buffalo road openers stayed under, as did nine of last 13 Jaguar home openers.

Falcons (1-0) @ Bucs (0-1)—Atlanta steamrolled Lions with 318 rushing yards in 34-21 win last week, now visit tough Tampa site for Ryan’s first road start—Falcons lost 11 of last 15 vs Bucs, dropping five of last seven visits here, with only one of losses by less than nine points. Atlanta covered just one of last six road openers that weren’t in Week 1. Tampa had tough loss to Saints in Superdome; they lost four of last six home openers. Last four Falcon road openers stayed under, as did 12 of last 16 Buc home openers. Ryan hit on 62-yard TD pass on first pro throw, was 9-13/156 in debut, but will have to do more than that here.

Patriots (1-0) @ Jets (1-0)—Belichick is 87-24 as head coach with Brady, 41-57 without, and now sees Favre on other sideline as Spygate Rivalry kicks into new gear. Patriots won 12 of last 14 in series, taking last seven series games here (four wins by 10+ points). Both teams held off late challenges in red zone to win last week; Favre averaged 7.2 ypa in Miami, Pats averaged 6.8 vs Chiefs, and had two TD drives of 80+ yards. Jets covered just two of last 16 home openers; Patriots won three of last four road openers. Over is 6-2-2 in last 10 NE road openers, 5-7 in Jets’ last seven Swamp openers. Must-win for the Jets.

49ers (0-1) @ Seahawks (0-1)—Seattle won last five home openers, with four wins by 11+ points, but their WRs are decimated by injury. Seahawks averaged just 3.6 ypa on drizzly day in Buffalo last week, but club from Seattle should be able to play in rain. 49ers lost eight of last ten in series, grtting outscored 47-3 in pair of losses to Hawks LY- they lost four of last five visits here, with three losses by 24+ points. Niners averaged 7.6 ypa last week, but had five turnovers, four in first half, when game was still tied. 49ers are 4-1-1 vs spread in last six road openers. Seattle’s last seven home openers stayed under total.

Dolphins (0-1) @ Cardinals (1-0)—Arizona did what playoff teams do, holding ball for 18 plays, 10:08 after 49ers had closed within 20-13 with 12:05 to play last week. Cards kicked clinching FG to end game and start season 1-0 behind the mistake-free QB Warner (19-30/176 passing), 100 rushing yards by James. Cards won last two home openers in their new dome (34-27/23-20) after losing 15 of previous 18 openers at home, but Arizona is 1-8 vs Miami, winning 24-23 in ’04, only series game in last nine years. Miami threw 43 passes, ran just 17 times last week; they’ll try to balance those numbers in this game.

Ravens (1-0) @ Texans (0-1)— First road start for rookie Flacco (15-29/129 passing last week, with 37-yard TD run); Baltimore held Bengals to ocho nuevo (89) passing yards last week, now go on road where they’ve lost six of last seven road openers (eight of last ten stayed under total). Favorite is 4-1 vs spread in Houston home openers, with Texans winning 20-3 LY; their red zone defense got torched for five TDs in five tries by Steelers last week, as Pitt ran ball for 183 yards and started three of ten drives in Texan territory. Ravens won both series meetings by combined total of just five points.

Chargers (0-1) @ Broncos (1-0)—Merriman wisely decided to have his knee fixed, so he is now out for year for Bolts’ defense, which only gave up one TD last week, but it came on last play of game, giving Carolina an unlikely road win. This makes Week 2 huge for San Diego, since loss puts them two games behind the Broncos (Chargers started 1-3 LY but still won division). San Diego came to Invesco and beat Denver 35-27/41-3 the last two years, after being 1-10 in previous 11 visits here. Broncos won last eight home openers- they looked sharp Monday, but hard to tell if it was them or Raiders’ sheer incompetence.

Steelers (1-0) @ Browns (0-1)—Steelers are 16-3 in series, taking last nine; they’ve won last seven visits here, will face desperate Cleveland team whose season is in dumper if they start with two home losses. Browns gave up 487 yards to Dallas last week (Romo averaged 10 yards/pass attempt), yielding four TDs on just eight drives, including pair of 80+ yard TD drives. Steelers ran ball for 183 yards in easy home win vs Houston- they’ve lost six of last eight road openers, but Pitt’s offense was perfect (35 points/five trips) in red zone last week. Anderson was just 11-24 passing last week; Browns had just 11 first downs.


Monday, September 15

Eagles (1-0) @ Cowboys (1-0)— Both teams cruised last week, this is early showdown to keep up with Giants in NFC East. Eagles are 12-4 in last 16 series games, winning six of last eight here; they covered eight of last nine road openers that weren’t in Week 1- they’re 7-4 vs. spread as dog in their road opener. Home side lost four of last five series games. Dallas is 6-4 vs spread in last ten home openers- Romo was 24-32/320 passing last week, McNabb was 26-39/414. Both sides figure to get more resistance here. Philadelphia’s last five road openers went under the total.

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[pm530]

National Football League – Added Trends

NFL
Additional Trends

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Trends Sheet
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Sunday, September 14

1:00 PM BUFFALO vs. JACKSONVILLE
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Jacksonville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo


1:00 PM CHICAGO vs. CAROLINA
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


1:00 PM GREEN BAY vs. DETROIT
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games


1:00 PM INDIANAPOLIS vs. MINNESOTA
Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home


1:00 PM NEW ORLEANS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing New Orleans


1:00 PM NY GIANTS vs. ST. LOUIS
NY Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing St. Louis
NY Giants are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home


1:00 PM OAKLAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Oakland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Oakland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games


1:00 PM TENNESSEE vs. CINCINNATI
Tennessee is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games


4:05 PM ATLANTA vs. TAMPA BAY
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta


4:05 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. SEATTLE
San Francisco is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
San Francisco is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing at home against San Francisco


4:15 PM BALTIMORE vs. HOUSTON
Baltimore is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games
Baltimore is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


4:15 PM MIAMI vs. ARIZONA
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games


4:15 PM NEW ENGLAND vs. NY JETS
New England is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games
NY Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against New England
NY Jets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against New England


4:15 PM SAN DIEGO vs. DENVER
San Diego is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home


8:15 PM PITTSBURGH vs. CLEVELAND
Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
Cleveland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games


Monday, September 15

8:30 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. DALLAS
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games

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[pm530]

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL


Sunday, September 14

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Tips and Trends
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Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers [FOX | 1 PM ET]

Bears: The Bears are coming off an impressive opening week thrashing of AFC powerhouse Indianapolis. As usual, defense was the name of the game for Chicago. The Bears aggressive defense harassed Peyton Manning all night long, limiting the high-powered Colts offense to just 293 yards. The Chicago’s offense was led by rookie running back Matt Forte, who ran over Indy for 123 yards, including a big 50-yard touchdown. Overall, the Bears ran the ball 39 times for 183 yards. The bottom line is the Bears defense is healthy - something it wasn’t last season – and if it stays that way, Chicago has a chance to be serious contenders in the NFC North.

Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Bears are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 17

Panthers (-3, O/U 37): No team got a bigger emotional boost in Week 1 than Carolina, who upset the Chargers on the final play of the game when Jake Delhomme hit tight end Dante Rosario in the back of the end zone for the winning score. Overall, Delhomme showed no ill effects from last season’s shoulder injury by throwing for 247 yards. Helping Delhomme was a Panthers ground game that rolled over a tough Chargers defense for 142 yards on 29 carries. Carolina’s combination of DeAngelo Williams and rookie Jonathan Stewart will be a handful for the Bears defense. Matt Forte had an impressive debut last week but could find things tougher today against a Panthers rush defense that held LaDainian Tomlinson to under 100 yards.

Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.
The UNDER is 6-1 in Panthers last 7 home games.

Key Injuries - WR Steve Smith (suspension) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20



New England Patriots at New York Jets [CBS | 4:15 PM ET]

Patriots: It’s the day that New England fans have dreaded. For the first time since 2001, someone other than Tom Brady will be taking snaps for the New England Patriots. With Brady out for the season with a knee injury, untested Matt Cassel will be handed the keys to the Patriots record-setting offense. Cassel looked good filling in for Brady last week, going 13-of-18 for 152 yards and a touchdown. However, Cassel hasn’t started a game since 1999 when he was a senior in high school, so you can expect Jets head coach Eric Mangini to show the inexperienced Cassel a lot of different looks on defense. Look for the Patriots to play more ball control and rely on their defense to win games now that they are without Brady.

Patriots are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games.
Patriots are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings vs. the Jets.

Key Injuries - QB Tom Brady (knee) is OUT for the season.
TE Ben Watson (leg) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 14

Jets (-2.5, O/U 36.5): So far so good for Brett Favre in the Big Apple. Favre threw two touchdown passes and looked comfortable leading the Jets offense. The new-look Jets offensive line played well in the opener, giving Favre time in the pocket and creating holes for Thomas Jones, who ran for 101 yards on 22 carries. Young corners Darrelle Revis and Dwight Lowery played well against the Dolphins but they’ll be stepping up in class this week when they take on Randy Moss, Wes Welker and Co. One area of concern for the Jets is at kicker, where Mike Nugent was injured last week. The Jets signed veteran Jay Feely, and he’s expected to handle the placekicking duties today against the Patriots.

Jets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 2.
The UNDER is 4-0 in New York's last 4 games following a SU win.

Key Injuries - K Mike Nugent (thigh) is day-to-day.
CB Justin Miller (toe) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (Side Play of the Day)



Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

Steelers (-6, O/U 44): The Steelers erased any concerns people had about them in the preseason by dismantling the Texans on opening day, 38-17. The Steelers offense was a well-oiled machine against Houston. Ben Roethlisberger connected on 13-of-14 pass attempts, while Willie Parker rambled for 138 yards and three touchdowns. On defense, the Steelers linebackers caused all kinds of havoc for Matt Schaub and the Texans offense. That’s not good news for a Browns offensive line that had trouble blocking Dallas’ edge rushers at times last week. Pittsburgh sacked Schaub five times and picked him off twice.

Steelers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings vs. the Browns.
The OVER is 10-4-1 in Steelers last 15 vs. AFC North.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 28 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Browns: If the Browns don’t play better defensively this week than they did against the Cowboys, they might as well not even get off the bus. Dallas did whatever they wanted to against the Browns punchless defense, racking up close to 500 yards of total offense. The biggest problem was the Browns pass rush. The problem being it was non-existent. If Cleveland lets Ben Roethlisberger just sit in the pocket all day, he’ll carve them up like Tony Romo did. Offensively, Cleveland looked out of sync against Dallas. Pro Bowl receiver Braylon Edwards had three big drops, while the running game was never a factor.

Browns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.

Key Injuries - T Ryan Tucker (hip) is day-to-day.
C Rex Hadnot (knee) is day-to-day.
KR Joshua Cribbs (ankle) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21

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[pm530]

Baseball Today

MLB


Thursday, September 11

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Baseball Today
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SCOREBOARD

Thursday, Sept. 11

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EDT). Rich Harden (9-2, 1.99 ERA), fresh after having his turn in the rotation skipped twice, will try to help the slumping Cubs get back on a roll. The Cardinals, sticking around in the wild-card race, counter with Todd Wellemeyer (12-6, 3.74).


STARS

Wednesday

-David Wright, Mets, went 4-for-4 with four runs scored in New York's 13-10 victory over Washington. He hit his 28th homer and drove in three runs.

-Carlos Pena, Rays, hit a three-run homer in the 14th inning to lift Tampa Bay to a 4-2 win over the Boston Red Sox.

-Raul Ibanez, Mariners, had four hits and three RBIs to help Seattle edge Texas, 8-7.

-Manny Ramirez, Dodgers, hit two two-run homers, giving him 524 for his career, and Los Angeles beat San Diego 7-2.

-Kelly Johnson, Braves, homered twice to back James Parr's six shutout innings in Atlanta's 9-5 victory over Colorado.

-Miguel Tejada, Astros, hit his 11th career grand slam, which broke open a close game and helped Houston beat Pittsburgh 7-4. The Astros have won 14 of their last 15 games.


CLINCHING

The Los Angeles Angels became the first team in the majors to clinch a playoff berth this season, winning their fourth AL West title in five years with a 4-2 victory over the New York Yankees. The Angels (88-57), with the best record in baseball, can now spend their final 17 games resting and setting up their rotation for the playoffs while trying to maintain homefield advantage throughout.


CHASING WEE WILLIE

Ichiro Suzuki had four hits to move within 10 of an eighth straight season with at least 200 hits. That would tie Wee Willie Keeler for the most 200-hit seasons to start a career. "It's always been a clear goal for me,'' Suzuki said, "so there is not a reason that I wouldn't be motivated.''


STELLAR DEBUT

Scott Lewis allowed three hits over eight shutout innings in his major league debut to help Cleveland beat Baltimore 7-1. He fell just three outs short of becoming the first Indians pitcher since Luis Tiant in 1964 to throw a shutout in his major league debut. Lewis underwent elbow ligament replacement surgery while at Ohio State in 2003 before being drafted in the third round by Cleveland in 2004. He was limited to six starts in 2005 because of biceps tendinitis, then spent most of 2006 on a limited pitch count before finally pitching a full season last year with Double-A Akron.


DEJAVU

For the second straight game, Eugene Velez had the winning hit in the ninth inning to lift San Francisco past Arizona. His two-run triple with two outs on Wednesday gave the Giants a 4-3 victory. On Tuesday, his RBI single lifted San Francisco to a 5-4 win. "Same guy, same hero,'' Giants manager Bruce Bochy said. "He's a battler, I'll say that. He's still in the learning stage about the game ... but he's got great tools. He's done the things you want to see.''


ALMOST THERE

Albert Pujols has eight RBIs in his last four games and 99 on the season. He is one short of joining Al Simmons and Ted Williams as the only players in major league history to drive in 100 runs in their first eight seasons.


SNAPPED

Toronto fell one victory short of tying the longest winning streak in team history, set in 1987 and matched in 1998, when the Blue Jays saw their 10-game streak halted by Chicago.


SPEWING SCHILLING

A shoulder injury has kept Red Sox pitcher Curt Schilling sidelined all season, but his mouth is in good enough shape to take on New York. He blasted New York sports fans, calling them "bitter and mad and miserable'' for their apparent glee over New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady's season-ending knee injury. Schilling talked about Brady's injury Tuesday during his weekly appearance on WEEI radio: "The euphoria in New York is palpable. I mean, the Yankees suck this year. And they're bitter and mad and they're making excuses over that. And now, you know, now they got Tom going down, so, you know, New York's excited.''


STILL UNBEATEN

CC Sabathia remained unbeaten in the NL after Milwaukee rallied for a 4-3 victory over Cincinnati. Sabathia is 9-0 in 13 starts since coming over from Cleveland. He struck out eight and allowed eight hits in seven innings. He also drove an unearned run with a groundout in the third and added a double in the fifth.


SPEAKING

"I love it. I'm Michael Phelps. This is what it's all about.'' - Angels outfielder Torri Hunter, invoking the Olympic swimmer who won eight gold medals in Beijing, after Los Angeles clinched the AL West.


SEASONS

Sept. 11

1912 - Eddie Collins set a major league record with six stolen bases for the Philadelphia Athletics in a 9-7 win over the Detroit Tigers. Collins stole six more in a game on Sept. 22.

1918 - The Boston Red Sox beat the Chicago Cubs 2-1 behind the three-hit pitching of Carl Mays to win the World Series in six games.

1956 - Frank Robinson of the Cincinnati Reds tied a rookie record for home runs in a season with his 38th homer of the year. The blow came off Steve Ridzik of the New York Giants and the Reds went on to an 11-5 victory.

1959 - The Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 5-4, putting an end to reliever Roy Face's 22-game winning streak. It was his only loss of the season as he finished with an 18-1 record.

1974 - It took the St. Louis Cardinals 25 innings - seven hours, four minutes - to beat the New York Mets. A record 202 batters went to the plate, Felix Millan and John Milner had 12 appearances apiece.

1985 - Pete Rose of the Cincinnati Reds became the career-hits leader with his 4,192nd hit to break Ty Cobb's record. Rose lined a 2-1 pitch off San Diego pitcher Eric Show to left-center field for a single in the first inning. It was the 57th anniversary of Ty Cobb's last game in the majors.

1987 - New York Mets third baseman Howard Johnson, with 34 homers, became the first National League infielder to reach 30 home runs and 30 stolen bases in the same season. His 30th stolen base came in the fourth inning of a 6-4, 10-inning loss to the St. Louis Cardinals.

1996 - San Diego's Ken Caminiti broke his own major league record by homering from both sides of the plate in a game for the fourth time this season. In a 6-5 win over Pittsburgh, Caminiti homered left-handed in the fifth inning, hitting a two-run shot. Batting right-handed in the seventh, he hit a solo shot to break his record set last year.

2004 - Barry Bonds broke his major league record for walks in a season during San Francisco's 5-3 win over Arizona. Bonds walked three times, once intentionally, to run his season total to 201, surpassing the record of 198 he set two seasons ago.

2006 - Cody Ross tied two franchise records with three home runs and seven RBIs as Florida routed the New York Mets 16-5.

Today's birthdays: Jacoby Ellsbury 25; Frank Francisco 29.

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[pm530]

Major League Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up


Thursday, September 11

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Hot Pitchers
-- Sheets is 2-0, 0.00 in his last three starts (20 IP). Moyer is 4-1, 3.34 in his last six starts.
-- Oswalt is 6-1, 1.33 in his last seven starts. Duke is 1-1, 1.06 in his last two starts.
-- Harden is 3-0, 1.13 in his last four starts. Wellemeyer is 4-2, 2.91 in his last seven starts.
-- Geer is 1-0, 3.60 in two starts for San Diego.

-- Liriano is 5-0, 2.23 in his last seven starts.
-- White Sox are 13-2 at home when Floyd starts. Marcum is 4-1, 2.83 in his last five starts.
-- Morrow made first major league start six days ago; he had a no-hitter in 8th inning, beat Bronx 3-1.
-- Braden is 2-0, 2.50 in his last three starts. Nippert is 1-1, 2.18 in his last two starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Jurrjens is 2-4, 5.80 in his last eight starts. Jimenez is 2-3, 7.11 in his last five starts.
-- Cain is 0-2, 6.11 in his last three starts.

-- Duckworth has 6.60 RA in three starts for the Royals.
-- Bass is 3-4, 5.01 in 70 IP as reliever this year, mostly with the Twins; this is his first big league start. Jackson is 0-2, 5.93 in his five starts for Cleveland.
-- Weaver is 0-1, 3.86 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Astros won thirteen of their last fourteen games.
-- Cardinals won seven of last eleven home games.
-- Giants won six of their last seven games. Padres won six of their last nine home games.

-- Indians won thirteen of their last fifteen road games.
-- Blue Jays won ten of their last eleven games.
-- Angels are 8-4 in their last twelve home games.

Cold Teams
-- Brewers lost seven of their last ten games. Phillies lost three of their last four games.
-- Braves are 9-16 in their last 25 home games. Rockies are 1-5 in their last six games.
-- Pirates lost sixteen of their last nineteen games.
-- Cubs lost eight of their last ten games.

-- Royals lost nine of last eleven road games. Twins are 3-5 in their last eight games.
-- Orioles lost ten of their last eleven games.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games.
-- Rangers are 6-10 in their last sixteen road games.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Sheets starts stayed under the total.
-- Last four Jurrjens starts went over the total.
-- Last four Oswalt starts all stayed under the total.
-- Last four Harden starts stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Cain starts went over the total.

-- Three of last four Liriano starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Jackson starts.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Floyd starts.
-- Three of last four Weaver starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Braden starts.

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[pm530]

Major League Baseball – Trend Sheet

MLB


Thursday, September 11

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Trend Sheet
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1:10 PM KANSAS CITY vs. MINNESOTA
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City


7:05 PM CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
Cleveland is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Cleveland is 12-2-1 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-8-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Baltimore is 1-9-1 SU in its last 11 games


7:05 PM MILWAUKEE vs. PHILADELPHIA
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee


7:10 PM COLORADO vs. ATLANTA
Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


8:05 PM PITTSBURGH vs. HOUSTON
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


8:11 PM TORONTO vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games at home
Chi White Sox are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing Toronto


8:15 PM CHI CUBS vs. ST. LOUIS
Chi Cubs are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home


10:05 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games
San Diego is 6-2-1 SU in its last 9 games at home


10:05 PM SEATTLE vs. LA ANGELS
Seattle is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games at home
LA Angels are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games when playing at home against Seattle


10:05 PM TEXAS vs. OAKLAND
Texas is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games at home
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

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