Saturday Trends and Indexes 9/6

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Saturday September 6

Good Luck on day #250 of 2008!

FOR COLLEGE FOOTBALL, SEE SEPARATE THREAD: “NCAAF - Week 2 Trends and Indexes 9/4 through 9/6”

NFL info will be posted in this thread.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.
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[pm530]

Daily Sports Roundup

Saturday, September 6

There's only one more Sprint Cup race before The Chase gets underway - and that's the Chevy Rock & Roll 400 on Saturday night. Here's your Daily Sports Roundup . . .

Event of the day . . .

The drivers to watch on Saturday night will be those hovering around the cutoff line for the 2008 Chase - most notably Clint Bowyer, David Ragan, and Kasey Kahne. Bowyer currently holds down the 12th and final spot in the Sprint Cup Series playoffs; he's got a 17-point lead on Ragan and a 48-point advantage on Kahne heading into this race.

That urgency has put Bowyer at 12/1 on the Vegas odds to win the Chevy Rock & Roll 400, with Kahne at 20/1, and Ragan farther back of those two at 35/1. Standings leader Kyle Busch is pegged as the 9/2 race favorite, with the surging Jimmie Johnson at 6/1, Denny Hamlin at 8/1, and both Carl Edwards and Tony Stewart following at 10/1.

Bowyer picked up the win in the Crown Royal 400 at Richmond back in May, while Johnson visited victory lane at Richmond twice in 2007. Stewart has three career Richmond wins, as does Dale Earnhardt Jr. (who is sitting at 12/1 odds for Saturday). Jeff Gordon (who is back at 18/1 odds) has picked up two Cup victories at Richmond.

Non-event of the day . . .

No. 13 Alabama got off to an impressive start to the season last week, handily knocking off Clemson by a score of 34-10. So what are Tulane's chances of making a game of it at Bryant-Denny Stadium on Saturday night? Not very good, according to the oddsmakers - the Crimson Tide are pegged as huge 30-point favorites in the contest.

Also on the schedule . . .

Brandon Webb (19-6, 3.19 ERA) gets another shot at his 20th win on Saturday when Arizona plays in Los Angeles; the Dodgers will start Chad Billingsley (13-10, 3.13 ERA). Also on tap around the National League: Philadelphia at the Mets, San Diego at Milwaukee, the Cubs at Cincinnati, Washington at Atlanta, Florida at St. Louis, Houston at Colorado, and Pittsburgh at San Francisco.

Over in the American League Saturday's top pitching matchup will be in Chicago, where the Angels and John Lackey (11-3, 3.10 ERA) will be taking on the White Sox and Gavin Floyd (15-6, 3.61 ERA). Rounding out the AL slate: Tampa Bay at Toronto, Detroit at Minnesota, Cleveland at Kansas City, Boston at Texas, the Yankees at Seattle, and a doubleheader between the Orioles and the Athletics in Baltimore.

College football's top-ranked team, USC, doesn't play this weekend, but it'll be No. 2 Georgia vs. Central Michigan, No. 3 Ohio State vs. Ohio, No. 4 Oklahoma vs. Cincinnati, and No. 5 Florida vs. Miami. Those ranked teams are favored by 24, 33.5, 21.5, and 22.5 points, respectively, in those four contests. There are no matchups between ranked teams on the gridiron this weekend.

Finally, the B.C. Lions are pegged as 3.5-point road favorites in their CFL matchup against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats on Saturday night, and there are three games on the WNBA slate: Detroit at Washington, Los Angeles at Houston, Minnesota at Seattle.

News from the wire . . .

The Giants began their Super Bowl defense with a 16-7 win over the Redskins on Thursday night; Jason Taylor had been questionable for Washington with a knee injury, but he managed to play . . . the Phillies will skip Kyle Kendrick in their rotation on Sunday, instead using ace Cole Hamels (12-8, 3.01 ERA) against the rival Mets.

Peek at the future . . .

The Bears and Colts will cap off the first Sunday of National Football League action tomorrow night, with the Colts 10-point favorites to win at Lucas Oil Stadium . . . 20-game winner Cliff Lee (20-2, 2.32 ERA) will take on 10-game winner Zack Greinke (10-9, 3.67 ERA) in the Indians/Royals matchup on Sunday . . . Lewis Hamilton and the drivers of Formula One return to the track with the Belgian Grand Prix on Sunday.

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Long Sheet

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 11

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Saturday, September 6
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BRITISH COLUMBIA (4 - 5) at HAMILTON (2 - 6) - 9/6/2008, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Sunday, September 7
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TORONTO (3 - 5) at MONTREAL (6 - 3) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 since 1996.
MONTREAL is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (6 - 2) at WINNIPEG (2 - 6) - 9/7/2008, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 122-92 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 122-92 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Write up

CFL
Write-up


Week 11 CFL games

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Saturday, September 6

BCLions (4-5) @ Hamilton (2-7)-- TiCats ran ball for 679 yards in last three games, but their only wins came against Toronto-- they allowed 33+ points in six of nine games. Lions lost three of last four games- they are 1-3 on road, with Winnipeg their only win. BC has a -8 turnover ratio in their last five games. Seven of last eight Hamilton games, four of last five BC tilts went over.


Sunday, September 7

Toronto (4-5) @ Montreal (6-3)-- Trestman's offense scored 30+ in eight of nine games; Alouettes won last four games, scored an average of 36.3 ppg in last six games. Als won 32-14 couple of weeks ago in Toronto (-5.5), holding the Argos to 86 passing yards on 38 attempts. Toronto lost three of last four road tilts, with losses by 19-6-24 points. Under is 3-0 last 3 Alouette tilts.

Saskatchewan (7-2) @ Winnipeg (2-7)-- Roughrider troubles on offense shown with recently-acquired Bishop being thrown in at QB last week. Riders scored 10-19 points in last two games, after they averaged 32.4 ppg in first five games. Bombers lost in Regina last week, 19-6; they've thrown 17 INTs in nine games. Four of last five Saskatchewan games stayed under the total.

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Additional Trends

CFL

Trend Sheet


Week 11

Saturday, September 6

4:00 PM BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. HAMILTON
British Columbia is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
British Columbia is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Hamilton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia



Sunday, September 7

1:00 PM TORONTO vs. MONTREAL
Toronto is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Montreal is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto


4:00 PM SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
Saskatchewan is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Winnipeg is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Previews and Picks

CFL
Previews and Picks


CFL games – Week 11

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Previews and Picks
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Saturday, September 6

B.C. Lions (4-5) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-7) (B.C. -4 1/2)

It will be family day in Hamilton in a battle of the felines. The Lions have won their last seven games against the Tiger-Cats and it should be eight consecutive after this matchup.

Casey Printers seems to have secured the No. 1 spot at QB for Hamilton. Last week against the Argos, he ran for two touchdowns in a 34-31 loss to Toronto but completed only 12 of 22 pass attempts and 161 yards.

In any case, Printers should not be the No. 1 worry for Hamilton. For the first time this season, they will have their hands full trying to stop the run. Stefan Logan is exceptionally fast and could give the Ti-Cats some of their own medicine after Hammertown’s Jesse Lumsden has helped the Tabbies become one of the best rushing squads in the CFL.

But the B.C Lions, who turned the ball over five times last week in a 30-25 loss to the Alouettes, will have to show more consistency and avoid costly mistakes.

Pick: B.C.



Sunday, September 7

Toronto Argonauts (4-5) at Montreal Alouettes (6-3) (Alouettes -6 1/2)

The Alouettes will likely be without star running back Avon Cobourne who nurses an ankle injury. Mike Imoh is expected to replace him but the running game probably won’t be as efficient without Cobourne.

The good news for Montreal is that Toronto’s rush defense is not one of the strongest in the CFL. Last time those two teams met, the Alouettes won 32-14. But Kerry Joseph seems more at ease since the departure of Michael Bishop and last week against Hamilton, he threw for 399 yards.

Arland Bruce caught 10 passes for 149 yards and a touchdown in a very close 34-31 win against the Tiger-Cats. Dominique Dorsey also had a great game, gaining 74 yards off two kickoff returns, another 105 yards on two pass receptions and 25 yards on six rushes.

The Alouettes are on a four-game winning streak after beating the Lions 30-25 in Week 10. They should pick up a fifth win in a row against the Argos but it will be much closer than the spread indicates.

Pick: Toronto


Saskatchewan Roughriders (7-2) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (2-7) (No line yet)

Everything seems to point towards a Saskatchewan win in this matchup but let’s not forget that in Regina last Sunday, the Roughriders won a defensive showdown against those same Blue Bombers, 19-6.

The Roughriders defensive front has been successful putting pressure on Winnipeg’s quarterback Kevin Glenn, who never got comfortable in the pocket. But offensively, quarterback Michael Bishop - recently traded by Toronto - completed only 10 passes for Saskatchewan, gaining 107 yards passing and 51 yards running.

Winnipeg’s injury list is finally shrinking and center Dominic Picard, who suffered an ankle injury early in the season, is now listed as probable. For the Riders, quarterback Darian Durant won’t play, still bothered by a rib injury and Bishop will get another start.

Pick: Saskatchewan

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[pm530]

National Football League – Dunkel Index

NFL

Dunkel Index

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 7

Game 453-454: Cincinnati at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 128.092; Baltimore 130.817
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 3; 38
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+1); Under

Game 455-456: NY Jets at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 128.618; Miami 123.637
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 5; 32
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-3); Under

Game 457-458: Kansas City at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 129.212; New England 143.292
Dunkel Line: New England by 14; 51
Vegas Line: New England by 17; 48
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+17); Over

Game 459-460: Houston at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 129.678; Pittsburgh 138.473
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 9; 41
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-6 1/2); Under

Game 461-462: Jacksonville at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 136.712; Tennessee 136.458
Dunkel Line: Even; 33
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3); Under

Game 463-464: Detroit at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 123.425; Atlanta 124.899
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3); Under

Game 465-466: Seattle at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 131.097; Buffalo 129.061
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2; 36
Vegas Line: Pick; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle; Under

Game 467-468: Tampa Bay at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 127.936; New Orleans 133.538
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3 1/2); Over

Game 469-470: St. Louis at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 125.390; Philadelphia 131.242
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 6; 48
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 7 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+7 1/2); Over

Game 471-472: Dallas at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 132.356; Cleveland 133.450
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 51
Vegas Line: Dallas by 4 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+4 1/2); Over

Game 473-474: Carolina at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 129.950; San Diego 137.624
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 8; 44
Vegas Line: San Diego by 9 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+9 1/2); Over

Game 475-476: Arizona at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 126.237; San Francisco 125.916
Dunkel Line: Even; 37
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3); Under

Game 477-478: Chicago at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 133.231; Indianapolis 140.920
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 7 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 9 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+9 1/2); Under


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 8

Game 479-480: Minnesota at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 132.394; Green Bay 132.714
Dunkel Line: Even; 37
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3); Under

Game 481-482: Denver at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 130.277; Oakland 126.408
Dunkel Line: Denver by 4; 36
Vegas Line: Denver by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-3); Under

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[pm530]

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL

Long Sheet


Week 1

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Sunday, September 7
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CINCINNATI (7 - 9) at BALTIMORE (5 - 11) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (4 - 12) at MIAMI (1 - 15) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 3-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 4-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (4 - 12) at NEW ENGLAND (18 - 1) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (8 - 8) at PITTSBURGH (10 - 7) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 73-45 ATS (+23.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (12 - 6) at TENNESSEE (10 - 7) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (7 - 9) at ATLANTA (4 - 12) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
DETROIT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (11 - 7) at BUFFALO (7 - 9) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (9 - 8) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 9) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-77 ATS (-34.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-77 ATS (-34.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-39 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) in home games in dome games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (3 - 13) at PHILADELPHIA (8 - 8) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 118-84 ATS (+25.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DALLAS (13 - 4) at CLEVELAND (10 - 6) - 9/7/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (7 - 9) at SAN DIEGO (13 - 6) - 9/7/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 72-45 ATS (+22.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (8 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 11) - 9/7/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (7 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (13 - 4) - 9/7/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Monday, September 8
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MINNESOTA (8 - 8) at GREEN BAY (14 - 4) - 9/8/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 112-84 ATS (+19.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (7 - 9) at OAKLAND (4 - 12) - 9/8/2008, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 66-91 ATS (-34.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

National Football League – Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet


Week 1

Sunday, September 7th

Cincinnati at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 13-9 ATS as road favorite
Baltimore: 3-13 ATS last season

NY Jets at Miami, 1:00 ET
NY Jets: 6-1 Over in September
Miami: 2-9 ATS vs. division

Kansas City at New England, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 5-0 ATS as DD underdog
New England: 10-5 Over as DD favorite

Houston at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Houston: 5-10 ATS as road underdog
Pittsburgh: Pit 42-19 Over in home games

Jacksonville at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 8-1 Over in road games
Tennessee: 10-2 ATS vs. division

Detroit at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 0-7 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
Atlanta: 8-1 Over as home underdog

Seattle at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 13-4 Under Away 1st 2 weeks of season
Buffalo: 15-4 ATS vs. NFC West

Tampa Bay at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 26-5 Under 1st 2 Weeks of season
New Orleans: 3-11 ATS as home favorite

St. Louis at Philadelphia, 1:00 ET
St. Louis: 7-0 Under in September
Philadelphia: 15-6 Under as favorite

Dallas at Cleveland, 4:15 ET
Dallas: 7-0 Over Away 1st half of season
Cleveland: 12-4 ATS last season

Carolina at San Diego, 4:15 ET
Carolina: 6-0 Under the total is between 42.5 and 49
San Diego: 8-1 ATS at home

Arizona at San Francisco, 4:15 ET
Arizona: 9-3 Over vs. division
San Francisco: 1-6 ATS at home the total is between 38.5 and 42

Chicago at Indianapolis, 8:15 ET NBC
Chicago: 23-9 Under Away vs. AFC
Indianapolis: 8-1 ATS vs. NFC


Monday, September 8th

Minnesota at Green Bay, 7:00 ET ESPN
Minnesota: 3-0 ATS 1st two weeks season
Green Bay: 13-4 Over in all lined games

Denver at Oakland, 10:15 ET ESPN
Denver: 5-15 ATS as favorite
Oakland: 4-0 ATS vs. Denver


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[pm530]

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up

2008 Week 1 NFL analysis

Sunday, September 7

Bengals @ Ravens-- Baltimore starting rookie Flacco at QB by default; he is their only healthy QB. Cincinnati has injury issues at WR. Bengals won three in row, six of last seven in series; they scored 20+ points in last four visits here. Average total in the last five Bengal road openers: 51.4. Baltimore won last three openers at home: 30-13/28-6/20-13. Bengals won nine of last 12 openers on road. Palmer playing QB for Bengals with a broken nose.

Jets @ Dolphins-- Pennington has to know Jet system inside and out, plus he has lot to prove. Jets won seven of last eight series games, winning last four (three of four by three points). Miami is 0-15 in series last 15 times they scored less than 20 points. Jets are 7-3 in last ten visits to Miami- since '88, they are 3-0 as fave in road openers. Under is 12-6 in Miami's last 18 home openers, 6-3 in last Jets' last nine road openers. Best storyline of the week.

Chiefs @ Patriots-- How healthy is Brady? Patriots' backup QBs are dismal. Him not playing in preseason is not good. Pats won last six home openers (3-1-1 vs spread in last five); over is 7-2 in their last nine home openers. Chiefs' main problem is that Croyle isn't much better than Pats' backup QB. KC is 3-8 vs spread in the last 11 games as underdog in road opener. Chiefs lost last three visits to Foxboro by 30-6-3; their last win here was back in 1990.

Texans @ Steelers-- Road team won both series games; Texans won 24-6 in only visit here, six years ago. Houston is 2-4 in road openers, losing by 21-12-15-19 points. Steelers won their last five home openers, covering last three (wins by 19-3-22-27-23-11 pts). Over is 5-1 in last six Steeler home openers, 4-1 in Houston's last five road openers. Texans are 5-10 vs spread as road dog the last two years. Steelers are 10-6 as home favorites last two seasons.

Jaguars @ Titans-- Jags won three of last four visits to Nashville, with two wins by FG; they won four of last five openers on road, with only one win by more than FG. Titans lost three of last four home openers; they also lost first meeting with Jaguars in three of last four years. Underdog is 9-2 vs spread in Jags' last eleven road openers, with Jax 1-4 as favorite. Vince Young struggled in preseason with Heimerdinger's new offense.

Lions @ Falcons-- Rookie Ryan gets nod under center for Falcon club that is totally rebuilding; they're 4-7 vs spread as home dog the last three years. Detroit as road favorite? First time since '05. Lions are 11-4 in last fifteen series games, 5-2 in last seven visits here; they lost five of last seven road openers, scoring seven pts or less in four of the five losses. Atlanta covered last three times they opened season at home. Game both sides desperately need.

Seahawks @ Bills-- Seattle has injury issues on offense, with WR Branch yet to practice, and QB Hasselbeck nursing bad back, but Bills have issues too- their best OL is holding out, though they're saying they've replaced him. Holmgren covered two of last nine road openers- this is Seattle's first visit to Buffalo since '01. Bills lost five of last seven home openers. Under is 17-3 in last twenty Seattle road openers, 7-2 in Buffalo's last nine home openers.

Bucs @ Saints-- Payton's team in Indianapolis this week, waiting out hurricane; they're expected back in town late Friday. Tampa won four of last five games at the Saints, with all five decided by seven points or less. Favorite is 7-2 vs spread in Bucs' last nine road openers. New Orleans is 7-3 in last ten home openers; under is 9-2 in their last 11 home openers, 14-2 in Tampa's last 16 road openers. Tough game to peg, with so many Saints' distractions.

Rams @ Eagles-- St Louis looks like easy mark, until you realize Philly started 0-1 six of last seven seasons; they're 3-5 in their last eight home openers, and have Monday night date vs Cowboys next week. Rams failed to cover last eight road openers, losing its last six, five by 7+ points. Rams are 9-15 vs spread as a road dog the last four years; adding Saunders as offensive coordinator is going to help. Eagles just 6-13 as home fave last three seasons.

Cowboys @ Browns-- Huge game for Cleveland team with very high expectations for '08; they're 1-8 in home openers, scoring 14 or less points in seven of nine. Dallas is 3-5 in last eight openers on road, with ten of last eleven road openers going over the total Porous Cleveland secondary could get torched by Dallas aerial attack. Since '88, Dallas is 0-11 in its first road game if they score less than 26 points. Anderson had concussion, expected to play.

Panthers @ Chargers-- Carolina's best WR (Smith) is out, but the Panthers are 8-1 vs spread as underdog in road opener, 7-6 SU, with no losses by more than nine points. How effective will San Diego defense be with Merriman playing with two torn ligaments in his knee? Chargers are just 4-3 in last seven home openers, but wins are by 27-21-33-11 points. Under is 10-1 in Carolina's last 11 road openers. Road team won two of three games in this series.

Cardinals @ 49ers-- Teams split last eight series games, with all four 49er wins by three points or in OT. Arizona won two of last three visits here. O'Sullivan starting for the first time in his career; two-time MVP Warner starts for Arizona club that lost its last six road openers. Niners covered last five home openers, winning its last three by 3-5-3 points. Cards were 8-8 LY, have expectations for first time in long while. Seven of last nine series totals 46+.

Bears @ Colts-- Chicago's defense was awful in preseason, but Manning had knee scoped, didn't play in preseason, and center Saturday is out for six weeks too, so Indy not operating near full speed in opening of new Lucas Oil Stadium. Bears have revenge motive from Super Bowl 19 months ago- this is their first visit to Indy since '91. Colts won last five home openers, covering four/ Six of last seven chicago road openers stayed under the total. '


Monday, September 8

Vikings @ Packers-- Green Bay has no QB who has started game in NFL; they won last four games vs Minnesota, holding Vikings to seven points in last two games played here, but Pack is 1-6 as favorite in last seven home openers, scoring ust 12.5 ppg in last four. Vikings are without their #1 lineman McKinnie (suspended four games) and have QB with a gimpy knee (Jackson). Seven of last nine Minnesota road openers stayed under the total.

Broncos @ Raiders-- Denver won eight of last ten series games, four of five at Coliseum, with wins here by 14-28-14-4 points; the last 18 times Oakland scored less than 23 points in series, they've lost to Broncos. Denver lost three of last four road openers, with only win 15-14 at Buffalo (-3)- they scored 10.3 ppg in those four games. Raiders started last five seasons 0-1, failing to cover last five home openers. Under is 5-1 in last six Denver road openers, 4-1 in Oakland's last five home openers.

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[pm530]

National Football League – Added Trends

NFL
Additional Trends

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Trend Sheet
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Sunday, September 7

1:00 PM CINCINNATI vs. BALTIMORE
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games
Baltimore is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games


1:00 PM DETROIT vs. ATLANTA
Detroit is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Detroit is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Atlanta is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home


1:00 PM HOUSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home


1:00 PM JACKSONVILLE vs. TENNESSEE
Jacksonville is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 8 games on the road
Tennessee is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Tennessee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Jacksonville


1:00 PM KANSAS CITY vs. NEW ENGLAND
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
New England is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City


1:00 PM NY JETS vs. MIAMI
NY Jets are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing Miami
NY Jets are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Miami
Miami is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Miami is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home


1:00 PM SEATTLE vs. BUFFALO
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games


1:00 PM ST. LOUIS vs. PHILADELPHIA
St. Louis is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis


1:00 PM TAMPA BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home
New Orleans is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games at home


4:15 PM ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona


4:15 PM CAROLINA vs. SAN DIEGO
Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Carolina is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
San Diego is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games


4:15 PM DALLAS vs. CLEVELAND
Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


8:15 PM CHICAGO vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games



Monday, September 8

7:00 PM MINNESOTA vs. GREEN BAY
Minnesota is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
Green Bay is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games


10:15 PM DENVER vs. OAKLAND
Denver is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver

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[pm530]

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL


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Tips and Trends
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Sunday, September 7

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans [CBS | 1 PM ET]

Jaguars (-3, O/U 37): The Jaguars come into the 2008 season with one main goal: improve their pass rush. That was evident on draft day when Jacksonville selected edge rushers Derrick Harvey and Quentin Groves. The Jags have been tough against the run in recent years but susceptible to the pass and the team is hoping to change that by getting more pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Another area where improvement is needed is at receiver. Jacksonville brought in former Raider Jerry Porter, but Porter just started practicing after recovering from hamstring surgery and won’t play this week. The OVER is 8-1 in Jacksonville’s road games the last two years.

Jaguars are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 season openers.
The OVER is 10-1-1 in Jacksonville's last 12 road games.

Key Injuries - RB Maurice Jones-Drew (ankle) is probable.
WR Jerry Porter (hamstring) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20

Titans: The Titans are hoping to find the end zone this week against Jacksonville, something they didn’t do very often in the preseason. In four preseason games, Tennessee’s starting offensive unit didn’t cross the goal line once. Last season the Titans finished 27th in passing offense and dead last in red-zone offense. Tennessee brought in TE Alge Crumpler, WR Justin McCareins and rookie RB Chris Johnson to help out Vince Young but if the preseason is any indicator, the Titans offense still has a long way to go. Luckily, Tennessee is fortunate enough to have one of the NFL’s best defensive units, led by Pro Bowl linemen Kyle Vanden Bosch and Albert Haynesworth, to keep them in most games. The Titans are 10-2 ATS in divisional games over the last two seasons.

Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC.
Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Key Injuries - QB Vince Young (hand) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17



Dallas Cowboys at Cleveland Browns [FOX | 4:15 PM ET]

Cowboys (-5, O/U 49.5): The Cowboys begin the season as the favorites to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl and while they are extremely talented on both sides of the ball, wide receiver is a position of major concern. Terrell Owens and Patrick Crayton are locked in as the starters but key reserves Sam Hurd and Miles Austin are both injured and won’t play in this game. Isaiah Stanback dislocated his left shoulder in the preseason but is hoping to play against Cleveland. If he does, he’ll be Dallas’ third receiver. If Stanback can’t go, the Cowboys will basically have two healthy receivers on their roster. Look for rookie RB Felix Jones to line up some at receiver and also return kicks, something the team was debating not having Jones do because they expect him to be an impact player on offense.

Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
The OVER is 13-4-2 in Dallas' last 19 road games.

Key Injuries - LB Kevin Burnett (knee) is questionable.
WR Isaiah Stanback (shoulder) is questionable.
LB Anthony Spencer (knee) is OUT.
WR Sam Hurd (shoulder) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 31 (Side Play of the Day)

Browns: The big question in Cleveland is how healthy is this team heading into the season? Quarterback Derek Anderson (concussion) and stud WR Braylon Edwards (foot) missed time during the preseason but both players are expected to start on Sunday. That is a big boost to a Browns offense that will most likely need to score some points to upset the Cowboys. While Anderson and Edwards appear ready to go, the status of RB Jamal Lewis (hamstring), S Brodney Pool (concussion) and KR Josh Cribbs is still uncertain. The Browns' last six games in 2007 all went UNDER the total.

Browns are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 season openers.
The UNDER is 6-0 in Cleveland's last 6 games overall.

Key Injuries - QB Derek Anderson (concussion) is probable.
RB Jamal Lewis (hamstring) is probable.
WR Braylon Edwards (foot) is probable.
KR Josh Cribbs (ankle) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21



Chicago Bears at Indianapolis Colts [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

Bears: It’s now the Kyle Orton show in Chicago. Orton beat out Rex Grossman this preseason and the former Purdue standout will now be in charge of leading the Bears punchless offense. Orton could be under heavy fire tonight as Chicago’s offensive line is a mess heading into the season. Rookie Chris Williams was being counted on to be the starting left tackle but he’ll be sidelined until at least midseason after having back surgery. The Bears shuffled around their offensive line all preseason with little success. As bad as the offensive line looks, the receiver position isn’t much better. Devin Hester remains a work in progress, while Marty Booker and Brandon Lloyd lack deep speed. Expect to see a lot of Rashied Davis, who is coming off a strong preseason.

Bears are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
The OVER is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Key Injuries - DE Mark Anderson (thumb) is probable.
TE Desmond Clark (knee) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17

Colts (-9.5, O/U 44): After missing six weeks of training camp and the entire preseason following minor knee surgery, Peyton Manning is ready to go in the season opener. And while the Colts are certainly excited to have their leader back under center, he won’t be under the normal center. Jeff Saturday was injured in a preseason game against Buffalo and is expected to be out for the first half of the season. He’ll be replaced by rookie sixth-round pick Jamey Richard. Expect the Colts to test the Bears rush defense in this game with the combination of Joseph Addai and Dominic Rhodes. The last time these two teams met in the Super Bowl, Rhodes was a major factor.

Colts are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. NFC.
The UNDER is 7-3 in Indy's last 10 September games.

Key Injuries - QB Peyton Manning (knee) is probable.
C Jeff Saturday (knee) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 27

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[pm530]

Major League Baseball – Trend Sheet

MLB


Saturday, September 6

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Trend Sheet
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1:05 PM OAKLAND vs. BALTIMORE
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Oakland is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games


1:07 PM TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
Tampa Bay is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Tampa Bay is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Toronto is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Tampa Bay
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


3:55 PM ARIZONA vs. LA DODGERS
Arizona is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Arizona is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Arizona
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games


3:55 PM DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit


3:55 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
Philadelphia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NY Mets are 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia


7:05 PM LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
LA Angels are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games on the road
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Chi White Sox are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games at home


7:05 PM OAKLAND vs. BALTIMORE
Oakland is 4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Oakland is 12-3-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 1-6-1 SU in its last 8 games at home


7:05 PM SAN DIEGO vs. MILWAUKEE
San Diego is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home


7:10 PM CHI CUBS vs. CINCINNATI
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Chi Cubs are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home


7:10 PM CLEVELAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Cleveland is 9-0-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Cleveland is 12-4-1 SU in its last 17 games
Kansas City is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Kansas City is 2-5-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland


7:10 PM WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
Washington is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Atlanta is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Washington
Atlanta is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games


7:15 PM FLORIDA vs. ST. LOUIS
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida


8:05 PM BOSTON vs. TEXAS
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston


8:05 PM HOUSTON vs. COLORADO
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
Colorado is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games


9:05 PM PITTSBURGH vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Pittsburgh is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
San Francisco is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games


9:10 PM NY YANKEES vs. SEATTLE
NY Yankees are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games on the road
NY Yankees are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing NY Yankees
Seattle is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

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[pm530]

Major League Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB


Saturday, September 6

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Tips and Trends
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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets [FOX | 3:55 PM ET]

Phillies: Jamie Moyer hasn’t lost a game since August 5 and he’s pitched well in his last five outings, allowing three runs or less four times over that span. Moyer has been sensational on the road this season, going 8-3 with an impressive ERA of 2.83. Moyer has had success against the Mets in his career (3.11 ERA) but he was blasted his last time out, allowing nine hits and six runs in just three innings. The UNDER is 3-1 in Moyer’s last four starts.

Phillies are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.
The UNDER is 7-2 in Moyer’s last 9 starts vs. the Mets. OF

Key Injuries - Geoff Jenkins (.246; hip) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Mets (-140, O/U 9): Pedro Martinez is 1-0 with two no-decisions in his last three starts but he hasn’t pitched his best in those games. In his last 18 innings of work, Pedro has allowed 14 hits and 11 runs. Martinez has faced the Phillies 20 times over his career, compiling a record of 8-5 to go along with a 3.50 ERA. The OVER has been a smart play with Pedro on the mound, going 7-2-1 in his last 10 starts.

Mets are 5-16 in Martinez’s last 21 starts with 5 days of rest.
The UNDER is 14-3-3 in Martinez’s last 20 home starts.

Key Injuries - C Ramon Castro (ankle) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5



Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers [FOX | 3:55 PM ET]

Diamondbacks: After winning six games in a row, Brandon Webb has been hammered in his last two starts. The frontrunner for the Cy Young Award has allowed 17 hits and 14 runs in his last eight innings on the mound. Webb will try and get back on track today against a Dodgers squad he’s dominated over the years. Webb is 10-4 with a 2.94 ERA versus the Dodgers in his career. However, his last start was against LA and he was chased after giving up eight runs in just 3.1 innings.

Diamondbacks are 8-2 in Webb’s last 10 starts vs. the Dodgers.

The UNDER is 7-3 in Webb’s last 10 starts vs. the Dodgers.

Key Injuries - OF Justin Upton (.244; oblique) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 2 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Dodgers (-115, O/U 7.5): Chad Billingsley just got done beating the Dodgers last week, allowing two runs in seven innings of work. Billingsley is 5-2 with three no-decisions overall in his last 10 starts. He’s been tough to beat at Dodger Stadium this season where he’s 8-4 with a 3.26 ERA. Billingsley has been very consistent in his last 10 starts, allowing three runs or less in all of those outings. Not surprisingly, the UNDER is 7-3 over that stretch.

Dodgers are 4-1 in Billingsley’s last 5 home starts.
The UNDER is 5-1 in Billingsley’s last 6 Saturday starts.

Key Injuries - OF Juan Pierre (.274; back) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3



Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins [FOX | 3:55 PM ET]

Tigers: Justin Verlander hasn’t been impressive over his last 10 starts, allowing five runs or more six times. In his last two outings, Verlander has been bombed for 10 runs in just 7.2 innings pitched. His most recent start against the Yankees was particularly inept. Verlander lasted only 1.2 innings and allowed five runs versus the Bombers. Verlander is 4-4 in his career against the Twins with an ERA of 3.63. The OVER has cashed easily in each of Verlander’s last two starts.

The Tigers are 4-10 in Verlander’s last 14 road starts.
The UNDER is 7-2 in Verlander’s last 9 Saturday starts.

Key Injuries - 1B Carlos Guillen (back) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Twins (-140, O/U 9): Scott Baker is coming off a strong effort against the A’s where he allowed only one run over six innings. After pitching on the road for three consecutive starts and five of his last six, Baker returns home where he’s 5-3 with a 3.92 ERA. There are typically a lot of runs scored when Baker takes the mound. The over is 6-3-1 in his last 10 starts, although seven of those games were on the road.

Twins are 4-1 in Baker’s last five home starts.
The OVER is 5-0 in Baker’s last 5 vs. AL Central.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

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[pm530]

Major League Baseball – Streaking Pitchers

MLB

Saturday, September 6

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Streaking Starting Pitchers
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Saturday’s streaking and slumping pitchers

Streaking

Shaun Marcum, Toronto Blue Jays (8-6, 3.60)

Marcum has been a picture of consistency lately. He is 3-1 in his last four overall and has relinquished more than two earned runs just once in that period.

Marcum, who has 109 strikeouts against 43 walks, has 16 K’s in his last three starts. He is 2-0 and has a 1.06 ERA in two career outings against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Blue Jays are unbeaten in their last five overall and are 5-2 in Marcum’s past seven against the AL East.


Slumping

Sidney Ponson, New York Yankees (7-5, 5.13)

Ponson, who was acquired from the Texas Rangers in early June, has struggled since donning the pinstripes. He has just two triumphs in his last 10 and is 0-2 in his last three starts with a shaky 15.83 ERA.

Ponson is 0-2 in his last three road starts. He has conceded 17 earned runs and four homers in his last two starts. He also has four strikeouts against six walks in that period and is 3-4 with a 4.54 career-ERA against the Seattle Mariners.

The Yankees are 2-6 in their last eight versus a left-handed starter and are 2-5 in their last seven trips to Seattle.


Daniel Cabrera, Baltimore Orioles (8-8, 5.24)

Cabrera has just two triumphs in his last 10 starts and has conceded 13 earned runs in his last seven innings. He is 0-1 in his last three with a lofty 10.54 ERA.

Cabrera is 1-2 in his last five at home, including a loss to the New York Yankees in which he relinquished seven earned runs and one homer in 3.2 IP.

The Orioles are 3-14 in their last 17 overall and are 16-43 in their last 59 against the Oakland Athletics

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