Friday Trends and Indexes 9/5

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Friday September 5

Good Luck on day #249 of 2008!

FOR COLLEGE FOOTBALL, SEE SEPARATE THREAD: “NCAAF - Week 2 Trends and Indexes 9/4 through 9/6”

NFL info will be posted in this thread.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.
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[pm530]

Daily Sports Roundup

Friday, September 5

The Milwaukee Brewers will continue their playoff push on Friday night when they continue their four-game set against the Padres. Here's your Daily Sports Roundup . . .

Event of the day . . .

CC Sabathia is an impressive 15-8 with a 2.82 ERA overall on the season, but his numbers as a member of the Brewers are even better: a 9-0 record, and a 1.43 ERA.

Sabathia will get a chance to dazzle opposing hitters yet again on Friday night when the Brewers host the Padres. The big lefthander is coming off a compete-game shutout victory versus the Pirates in which he allowed just one (questionable) hit while fanning 11 batters. Sabathia handily beat San Diego in his outing against them August 13.

How do you counter a pitcher as dominant as Sabathia? Send out someone who has never lost in his Major League career. Padres probable starter Josh Geer made his big-league debut in style on August 30, allowing two earned runs on five hits over five innings to beat the Rockies. The righthander fanned five and walked three that day.

Non-event of the day . . .

The Athletics were contending in the AL West earlier in the season, while the Orioles were at least looking like they were going to take a run at a .500 record in the tough AL East. Neither team has held up through the summer. The O's will send Chris Waters (2-1, 5.45 ERA) to the mound Friday against Oakland's Dallas Braden (4-3, 3.88 ERA).

Also on the schedule . . .

Roy Halladay (17-9, 2.69 ERA) will be looking to pad his impressive record on Friday when the Jays host the Rays. Elsewhere around the American League it's Boston at Texas, Cleveland at Kansas City, Detroit at Minnesota, the Angels at the White Sox, and the Yankees at Seattle.

Brett Myers (8-10, 4.40 ERA) will take on Mike Pelfrey (13-8, 3.66 ERA) in the key Phillies/Mets matchup on Friday night. In other National League action it'll be the Cubs at Cincinnati, Washington at Atlanta, Florida at St. Louis, Houston at Colorado, Arizona at the Dodgers, and Pittsburgh at San Francisco.

Up in the Canadian Football League the Eskimos (-3.5) will play host to the Stampeders on Friday; Edmonton knocked off Calgary 37-16 on Monday. There's also a college football game on Friday, with Ball State pegged as 7-point favorites against Navy.

Finally, there are five games on a busy WNBA schedule on Friday night, including Chicago at Connecticut, Atlanta at New York, Indiana at Detroit, and Los Angeles at San Antonio. As well, Phoenix will get a visit from Sacramento in a 10pm ET start.

News from the wire . . .

Quarterback Tom Brady (foot) is expected to be ready for the Patriots' Week 1 game on Sunday . . . quarterback Peyton Manning (knee) is expected to be ready for the Colts' Week 1 game on Sunday . . . quarterback Derek Anderson (concussion) is expected to be ready for the Browns' Week 1 game on Sunday . . . quarterback Tarvaris Jackson (knee) is expected to be ready for the Vikings' Week 1 game on Monday.

Peek at the future . . .

Diamondbacks pitcher Brandon Webb (19-6, 3.19 ERA) will try again to pick up his 20th win of the season when Arizona plays the Dodgers on Saturday afternoon . . . No. 2 Georgia will take on Central Michigan on Saturday afternoon, while it's Ohio at No. 3 Ohio State, Cincinnati at No. 4 Oklahoma, and Miami (Florida) at No. 5 Florida . . . Monday's NFL doubleheader is Minnesota at Green Bay, and Denver at Oakland.

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[pm530]

Six-pack for Friday

Some football knowledge to think about in Week 1........

-- Falcons covered four of last twenty as a home underdog, but Lions failed to cover last seven as road favorite.

-- Buffalo covered ten of last thirteen home games.

-- Saints are 1-10 as home favorite vs divisional rivals.

-- Titans are 6-0 as underdog in divisional games.

-- Rams are 10-21-1 vs spread in last 32 games on grass.

-- Chiefs covered last four tries as double digit underdog.

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[pm530]

Friday's List of 13: Our first college football List of 13.......

This isn't a ranking of our top 13 teams; hell, the NFL hasn't even started yet. It is 13 teams that impressed us last week......

13) Louisiana Tech-- Tech coach Derek Dooley is Vince's son, so he knows the SEC. Beating Mississippi State is a big deal in Ruston, and for the WAC. Trouble is, they go to Kansas next, and that'll be lot harder than beating the Bulldogs was.

12) UCLA-- Would love to know how many teams have won a game when their QB threw four INTs......in the first half. What a great coaching job, keeping the Craft kid pasted together.

11) Kentucky-- Underrated fact is that when Falcons made the Super Bowl after 1998 season, Rich Brooks was the defensive coordinator. The man can coach, and now he has Wildcats on track to be a perennial bowl team. The '08 defense is good.

10) Boston College-- New QB, all new RBs, five of the ten guys on OL are new, so they go on road, win 21-0, committing zero penalties with no turnovers. Very well-coached team.

9) Vanderbilt-- Coach Bobby Johnson won big in I-AA, he has come close to breaking through in Nashville, but after tonight, Commodores are looking good to break 26-year bowl drought.

8) Ole Miss-- Best situation for a new coach is following a guy who was a great recruiter but a poor coach, which describes Ed Orgeron to a tee. Houston Nutt can coach, and he'll reap lot of benefits from following Coach O to Oxford.

7) Oklahoma State-- While T. Boone Pickens was on sidelines promoting wind power and natural gas as an alternative source of fuel, the Cowboys program he funds was crushing Wazzu in Seattle. Maybe Mike Gundy can be calmer in press room now.

6) Oregon-- Crushed rival Washington, scoring TD with less than minute to go, when it was already 37-10; unless they want Willingham fired, not sure why Duck coaches would really try to embarrass the Huskies.

5) California-- Beating Michigan State will look better as year progresses. Not sure if tree huggers are still trying to prevent Cal from refurbishing their stadium, but for Bears to remain a serious threat in Pac-10, they need better facilities.

4) Utah-- Wonder how many times Michigan has been totally dominated in a first half at home, outgained by 200+ yards??? Now Utes looked scared as hell late in game, but they won, are now rooting like hell for Michigan to have a terrific season.

3) Missouri-- OK, their defense resembled Arenaball, but Illini are a good team, and Mizzou hung 52 on them. Big 12 North is getting better, with Tigers, Kansas and Nebraska on upswing.

2) USC-- The names and numbers change, but the results stay the same, crushing most every opponent. Pete Carroll is just a perfect fit for the Trojans. USC-UCLA tilts the next few years will be almost good as their recruiting competitions.

1) Alabama-- They didn't just beat Clemson in Georgia Dome, they tore their hearts out and stomped on them. I mean, a club with a senior QB, two NFL running backs get zero yds rushing. Doesn't look like the Tide wants to go back to Shreveport.

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Long Sheet

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 11

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Friday, September 5
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CALGARY (5 - 3) at EDMONTON (5 - 3) - 9/5/2008, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Saturday, September 6
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BRITISH COLUMBIA (4 - 5) at HAMILTON (2 - 6) - 9/6/2008, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Sunday, September 7
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TORONTO (3 - 5) at MONTREAL (6 - 3) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 since 1996.
MONTREAL is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (6 - 2) at WINNIPEG (2 - 6) - 9/7/2008, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 122-92 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 122-92 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Write up

CFL
Write-up


Week 11 CFL games

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Friday, September 5

Calgary (5-4) @ Edmonton (6-3)-- Eskimos thrashed Stamps last week in Calgary, 37-16, outgaining hosts 496-268, completing 26 of 38 passes for 376 yards- they earlier beat Stampeders 34-31 on this field in Week 2. Road team won last four Calgary games. Eskimos won four of last five games; they're 4-0 at home, 2-0 as home favorite, with wins at home by 3-19-11-17 points.


Saturday, September 6

BCLions (4-5) @ Hamilton (2-7)-- TiCats ran ball for 679 yards in last three games, but their only wins came against Toronto-- they allowed 33+ points in six of nine games. Lions lost three of last four games- they are 1-3 on road, with Winnipeg their only win. BC has a -8 turnover ratio in their last five games. Seven of last eight Hamilton games, four of last five BC tilts went over.


Sunday, September 7

Toronto (4-5) @ Montreal (6-3)-- Trestman's offense scored 30+ in eight of nine games; Alouettes won last four games, scored an average of 36.3 ppg in last six games. Als won 32-14 couple of weeks ago in Toronto (-5.5), holding the Argos to 86 passing yards on 38 attempts. Toronto lost three of last four road tilts, with losses by 19-6-24 points. Under is 3-0 last 3 Alouette tilts.

Saskatchewan (7-2) @ Winnipeg (2-7)-- Roughrider troubles on offense shown with recently-acquired Bishop being thrown in at QB last week. Riders scored 10-19 points in last two games, after they averaged 32.4 ppg in first five games. Bombers lost in Regina last week, 19-6; they've thrown 17 INTs in nine games. Four of last five Saskatchewan games stayed under the total.

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Additional Trends

CFL

Trend Sheet


Week 11

Friday, September 5

9:00 PM CALGARY vs. EDMONTON
Calgary is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games



Saturday, September 6

4:00 PM BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. HAMILTON
British Columbia is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
British Columbia is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Hamilton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia



Sunday, September 7

1:00 PM TORONTO vs. MONTREAL
Toronto is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Montreal is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto


4:00 PM SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
Saskatchewan is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Winnipeg is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

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[pm530]

National Football League – Dunkel Index

NFL

Dunkel Index

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 7

Game 453-454: Cincinnati at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 128.092; Baltimore 130.817
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 3; 38
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+1); Under

Game 455-456: NY Jets at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 128.618; Miami 123.637
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 5; 32
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-3); Under

Game 457-458: Kansas City at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 129.212; New England 143.292
Dunkel Line: New England by 14; 51
Vegas Line: New England by 17; 48
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+17); Over

Game 459-460: Houston at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 129.678; Pittsburgh 138.473
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 9; 41
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-6 1/2); Under

Game 461-462: Jacksonville at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 136.712; Tennessee 136.458
Dunkel Line: Even; 33
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3); Under

Game 463-464: Detroit at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 123.425; Atlanta 124.899
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3); Under

Game 465-466: Seattle at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 131.097; Buffalo 129.061
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2; 36
Vegas Line: Pick; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle; Under

Game 467-468: Tampa Bay at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 127.936; New Orleans 133.538
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3 1/2); Over

Game 469-470: St. Louis at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 125.390; Philadelphia 131.242
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 6; 48
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 7 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+7 1/2); Over

Game 471-472: Dallas at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 132.356; Cleveland 133.450
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 51
Vegas Line: Dallas by 4 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+4 1/2); Over

Game 473-474: Carolina at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 129.950; San Diego 137.624
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 8; 44
Vegas Line: San Diego by 9 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+9 1/2); Over

Game 475-476: Arizona at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 126.237; San Francisco 125.916
Dunkel Line: Even; 37
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3); Under

Game 477-478: Chicago at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 133.231; Indianapolis 140.920
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 7 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 9 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+9 1/2); Under


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 8

Game 479-480: Minnesota at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 132.394; Green Bay 132.714
Dunkel Line: Even; 37
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3); Under

Game 481-482: Denver at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 130.277; Oakland 126.408
Dunkel Line: Denver by 4; 36
Vegas Line: Denver by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-3); Under

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[pm530]

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL

Long Sheet


Week 1

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Sunday, September 7
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CINCINNATI (7 - 9) at BALTIMORE (5 - 11) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (4 - 12) at MIAMI (1 - 15) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 3-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 4-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (4 - 12) at NEW ENGLAND (18 - 1) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (8 - 8) at PITTSBURGH (10 - 7) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 73-45 ATS (+23.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (12 - 6) at TENNESSEE (10 - 7) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (7 - 9) at ATLANTA (4 - 12) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
DETROIT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (11 - 7) at BUFFALO (7 - 9) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (9 - 8) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 9) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-77 ATS (-34.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-77 ATS (-34.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-39 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) in home games in dome games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (3 - 13) at PHILADELPHIA (8 - 8) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 118-84 ATS (+25.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DALLAS (13 - 4) at CLEVELAND (10 - 6) - 9/7/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (7 - 9) at SAN DIEGO (13 - 6) - 9/7/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 72-45 ATS (+22.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (8 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 11) - 9/7/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (7 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (13 - 4) - 9/7/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Monday, September 8
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MINNESOTA (8 - 8) at GREEN BAY (14 - 4) - 9/8/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 112-84 ATS (+19.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (7 - 9) at OAKLAND (4 - 12) - 9/8/2008, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 66-91 ATS (-34.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

National Football League – Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet


Week 1

Sunday, September 7th

Cincinnati at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 13-9 ATS as road favorite
Baltimore: 3-13 ATS last season

NY Jets at Miami, 1:00 ET
NY Jets: 6-1 Over in September
Miami: 2-9 ATS vs. division

Kansas City at New England, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 5-0 ATS as DD underdog
New England: 10-5 Over as DD favorite

Houston at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Houston: 5-10 ATS as road underdog
Pittsburgh: Pit 42-19 Over in home games

Jacksonville at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 8-1 Over in road games
Tennessee: 10-2 ATS vs. division

Detroit at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 0-7 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
Atlanta: 8-1 Over as home underdog

Seattle at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 13-4 Under Away 1st 2 weeks of season
Buffalo: 15-4 ATS vs. NFC West

Tampa Bay at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 26-5 Under 1st 2 Weeks of season
New Orleans: 3-11 ATS as home favorite

St. Louis at Philadelphia, 1:00 ET
St. Louis: 7-0 Under in September
Philadelphia: 15-6 Under as favorite

Dallas at Cleveland, 4:15 ET
Dallas: 7-0 Over Away 1st half of season
Cleveland: 12-4 ATS last season

Carolina at San Diego, 4:15 ET
Carolina: 6-0 Under the total is between 42.5 and 49
San Diego: 8-1 ATS at home

Arizona at San Francisco, 4:15 ET
Arizona: 9-3 Over vs. division
San Francisco: 1-6 ATS at home the total is between 38.5 and 42

Chicago at Indianapolis, 8:15 ET NBC
Chicago: 23-9 Under Away vs. AFC
Indianapolis: 8-1 ATS vs. NFC


Monday, September 8th

Minnesota at Green Bay, 7:00 ET ESPN
Minnesota: 3-0 ATS 1st two weeks season
Green Bay: 13-4 Over in all lined games

Denver at Oakland, 10:15 ET ESPN
Denver: 5-15 ATS as favorite
Oakland: 4-0 ATS vs. Denver


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[pm530]

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up

2008 Week 1 NFL analysis

Sunday, September 7

Bengals @ Ravens-- Baltimore starting rookie Flacco at QB by default; he is their only healthy QB. Cincinnati has injury issues at WR. Bengals won three in row, six of last seven in series; they scored 20+ points in last four visits here. Average total in the last five Bengal road openers: 51.4. Baltimore won last three openers at home: 30-13/28-6/20-13. Bengals won nine of last 12 openers on road. Palmer playing QB for Bengals with a broken nose.

Jets @ Dolphins-- Pennington has to know Jet system inside and out, plus he has lot to prove. Jets won seven of last eight series games, winning last four (three of four by three points). Miami is 0-15 in series last 15 times they scored less than 20 points. Jets are 7-3 in last ten visits to Miami- since '88, they are 3-0 as fave in road openers. Under is 12-6 in Miami's last 18 home openers, 6-3 in last Jets' last nine road openers. Best storyline of the week.

Chiefs @ Patriots-- How healthy is Brady? Patriots' backup QBs are dismal. Him not playing in preseason is not good. Pats won last six home openers (3-1-1 vs spread in last five); over is 7-2 in their last nine home openers. Chiefs' main problem is that Croyle isn't much better than Pats' backup QB. KC is 3-8 vs spread in the last 11 games as underdog in road opener. Chiefs lost last three visits to Foxboro by 30-6-3; their last win here was back in 1990.

Texans @ Steelers-- Road team won both series games; Texans won 24-6 in only visit here, six years ago. Houston is 2-4 in road openers, losing by 21-12-15-19 points. Steelers won their last five home openers, covering last three (wins by 19-3-22-27-23-11 pts). Over is 5-1 in last six Steeler home openers, 4-1 in Houston's last five road openers. Texans are 5-10 vs spread as road dog the last two years. Steelers are 10-6 as home favorites last two seasons.

Jaguars @ Titans-- Jags won three of last four visits to Nashville, with two wins by FG; they won four of last five openers on road, with only one win by more than FG. Titans lost three of last four home openers; they also lost first meeting with Jaguars in three of last four years. Underdog is 9-2 vs spread in Jags' last eleven road openers, with Jax 1-4 as favorite. Vince Young struggled in preseason with Heimerdinger's new offense.

Lions @ Falcons-- Rookie Ryan gets nod under center for Falcon club that is totally rebuilding; they're 4-7 vs spread as home dog the last three years. Detroit as road favorite? First time since '05. Lions are 11-4 in last fifteen series games, 5-2 in last seven visits here; they lost five of last seven road openers, scoring seven pts or less in four of the five losses. Atlanta covered last three times they opened season at home. Game both sides desperately need.

Seahawks @ Bills-- Seattle has injury issues on offense, with WR Branch yet to practice, and QB Hasselbeck nursing bad back, but Bills have issues too- their best OL is holding out, though they're saying they've replaced him. Holmgren covered two of last nine road openers- this is Seattle's first visit to Buffalo since '01. Bills lost five of last seven home openers. Under is 17-3 in last twenty Seattle road openers, 7-2 in Buffalo's last nine home openers.

Bucs @ Saints-- Payton's team in Indianapolis this week, waiting out hurricane; they're expected back in town late Friday. Tampa won four of last five games at the Saints, with all five decided by seven points or less. Favorite is 7-2 vs spread in Bucs' last nine road openers. New Orleans is 7-3 in last ten home openers; under is 9-2 in their last 11 home openers, 14-2 in Tampa's last 16 road openers. Tough game to peg, with so many Saints' distractions.

Rams @ Eagles-- St Louis looks like easy mark, until you realize Philly started 0-1 six of last seven seasons; they're 3-5 in their last eight home openers, and have Monday night date vs Cowboys next week. Rams failed to cover last eight road openers, losing its last six, five by 7+ points. Rams are 9-15 vs spread as a road dog the last four years; adding Saunders as offensive coordinator is going to help. Eagles just 6-13 as home fave last three seasons.

Cowboys @ Browns-- Huge game for Cleveland team with very high expectations for '08; they're 1-8 in home openers, scoring 14 or less points in seven of nine. Dallas is 3-5 in last eight openers on road, with ten of last eleven road openers going over the total Porous Cleveland secondary could get torched by Dallas aerial attack. Since '88, Dallas is 0-11 in its first road game if they score less than 26 points. Anderson had concussion, expected to play.

Panthers @ Chargers-- Carolina's best WR (Smith) is out, but the Panthers are 8-1 vs spread as underdog in road opener, 7-6 SU, with no losses by more than nine points. How effective will San Diego defense be with Merriman playing with two torn ligaments in his knee? Chargers are just 4-3 in last seven home openers, but wins are by 27-21-33-11 points. Under is 10-1 in Carolina's last 11 road openers. Road team won two of three games in this series.

Cardinals @ 49ers-- Teams split last eight series games, with all four 49er wins by three points or in OT. Arizona won two of last three visits here. O'Sullivan starting for the first time in his career; two-time MVP Warner starts for Arizona club that lost its last six road openers. Niners covered last five home openers, winning its last three by 3-5-3 points. Cards were 8-8 LY, have expectations for first time in long while. Seven of last nine series totals 46+.

Bears @ Colts-- Chicago's defense was awful in preseason, but Manning had knee scoped, didn't play in preseason, and center Saturday is out for six weeks too, so Indy not operating near full speed in opening of new Lucas Oil Stadium. Bears have revenge motive from Super Bowl 19 months ago- this is their first visit to Indy since '91. Colts won last five home openers, covering four/ Six of last seven chicago road openers stayed under the total. '


Monday, September 8

Vikings @ Packers-- Green Bay has no QB who has started game in NFL; they won last four games vs Minnesota, holding Vikings to seven points in last two games played here, but Pack is 1-6 as favorite in last seven home openers, scoring ust 12.5 ppg in last four. Vikings are without their #1 lineman McKinnie (suspended four games) and have QB with a gimpy knee (Jackson). Seven of last nine Minnesota road openers stayed under the total.

Broncos @ Raiders-- Denver won eight of last ten series games, four of five at Coliseum, with wins here by 14-28-14-4 points; the last 18 times Oakland scored less than 23 points in series, they've lost to Broncos. Denver lost three of last four road openers, with only win 15-14 at Buffalo (-3)- they scored 10.3 ppg in those four games. Raiders started last five seasons 0-1, failing to cover last five home openers. Under is 5-1 in last six Denver road openers, 4-1 in Oakland's last five home openers.

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[pm530]

National Football League – Added Trends

NFL
Additional Trends

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Trend Sheet
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Sunday, September 7

1:00 PM CINCINNATI vs. BALTIMORE
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games
Baltimore is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games


1:00 PM DETROIT vs. ATLANTA
Detroit is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Detroit is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Atlanta is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home


1:00 PM HOUSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home


1:00 PM JACKSONVILLE vs. TENNESSEE
Jacksonville is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 8 games on the road
Tennessee is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Tennessee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Jacksonville


1:00 PM KANSAS CITY vs. NEW ENGLAND
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
New England is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City


1:00 PM NY JETS vs. MIAMI
NY Jets are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing Miami
NY Jets are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Miami
Miami is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Miami is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home


1:00 PM SEATTLE vs. BUFFALO
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games


1:00 PM ST. LOUIS vs. PHILADELPHIA
St. Louis is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis


1:00 PM TAMPA BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home
New Orleans is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games at home


4:15 PM ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona


4:15 PM CAROLINA vs. SAN DIEGO
Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Carolina is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
San Diego is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games


4:15 PM DALLAS vs. CLEVELAND
Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


8:15 PM CHICAGO vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games



Monday, September 8

7:00 PM MINNESOTA vs. GREEN BAY
Minnesota is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
Green Bay is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games


10:15 PM DENVER vs. OAKLAND
Denver is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver

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[pm530]

Major League Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up


Friday, September 5

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Hot Pitchers
-- Mets won eight of last nine Pelfrey home starts. Myers is 5-1, 1.60 in his last seven starts.
-- Cubs are 6-2 in last eight Lilly road starts. Arroyo is 3-0, 1.57 in his last three starts.
-- Brewers won last six Sabathia starts (5-0, 1.30). Geer gave up two runs in five IP in his first start, a 9-4 win vs Colorado.
-- Florida is 10-3 in Nolasco's last thirteen road starts.
-- Moehler is 5-1, 3.37 in his last seven starts. Colorado is 7-3 in last ten Jimenez home starts.
-- Arizona won seven of last nine Haren road starts. Lowe has a 1.32 RA in his last four starts.

-- Braden is 1-0, 2.07 in his last two starts.
-- Halladay is 4-0, 2.48 in his last four starts.
-- Beckett has had sore elbow; he is 2-0, 1.84 in his last couple road starts. Millwood is 3-0, 1.46 in his last three starts.
-- Tigers are 9-4 on road when Galarraga starts. Liriano is 3-0 in his last three home starts, with a 1.50 RA.
-- Reyes is 2-1, 2.01 in five starts for Tribe. Royals won the first two Duckworth starts, scoring 20 runs.
-- White Sox are 10-1 in last eleven Buehrle home starts.
-- Morrow has 1.47 ERA in 36.2 relief innings; he was 1-2, 5.01 in his five starts at AAA level.

Cold Pitchers
-- Bergmann is 0-2, 10.80 in his last four starts. Jurrjens is 0-2, 7.29 in his last four starts.
-- Cardinals are 4-9 in Looper's last thirteen home starts.
-- Duke is 0-8, 7.85 in his last ten starts. Correia has 6.94 RA in his last four starts.

-- Waters has a 7.72 RA in his last three starts.
-- Rays are 1-4 in last five Sonnanstine road starts.
-- Moseley is 0-1, 6.16 in his last four starts.
-- Bronx lost six of last seven Pettitte starts.

Hot Teams
-- Mets won six of their last seven games.
-- Reds won five of their last seven home games.
-- Nationals won eight of their last ten games.
-- Rockies won four of their last five home games. Astros won last eight games, tossing shutouts in three of last four.
-- Dodgers won their last five games, allowing thirteen runs.

-- Angels won five of their last seven games.
-- Blue Jays won last five games, scoring 34 runs.
-- Red Sox won seven of last ten road games. Rangers are 3-1 in their last four games.
-- Rays won six of their last eight games.
-- Royals won their last three games, scoring 23 runs. Indians won their last nine road games.
-- Bronx won seven of their last nine road games. Mariners are 7-3 in last ten games, but lost last two.

Cold Teams
-- Phillies are 5-9 in their last fourteen road games.
-- Cubs lost their last five games, scoring 12 runs.
-- Braves lost five of their last six games.
-- Pirates lost eleven of their last thirteen games. Giants are 2-7 in their last nine games.
-- Padres lost nine of last ten road games. Brewers lost their last four games, scoring eleven runs.
-- Cardinals lost five of last six games. Marlins are 0-13 in game after their last thirteen wins.
-- Diamondbacks lost their last four road games.

-- A's are 7-24 in last 31 road games. Orioles lost eleven of last twelve games.
-- Tigers lost eight of their last eleven games. Twins lost four of their last five games.
-- White Sox lost five of their last seven games.

Totals
-- Over is 8-2 in Mets' last ten home games.
-- Over is 9-3 in last twelve Cincinnati home games.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta home games.
-- Over is 6-3 in last nine San Diego road games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Florida road games.
-- Under is 7-2 in Houston's last nine games.
-- Over is 5-2 in Pittsburgh's last seven road games.
-- Over is 7-1 in last eight Arizona games.

-- Over is 5-0-2 in Baltimore's last seven games.
-- Last seven Toronto home games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-1 in Boston's last seven road games.
-- Detroit's last four road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-3 in Royals' last nine home games.
-- Under is 8-3 in Angels' last eleven games.
-- Over is 7-1 in last eight Bronx road games.

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[pm530]

Major League Baseball – Trend Sheet

MLB


Friday, September 5

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Trend Sheet
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7:05 PM OAKLAND vs. BALTIMORE
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games


7:07 PM TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay


7:10 PM CHI CUBS vs. CINCINNATI
Chi Cubs are 15-8 SU in their last 23 games
Chi Cubs are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs


7:10 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
NY Mets are 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home


7:35 PM WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
Washington is 5-11-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Washington is 5-0-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 5-14-1 SU in its last 20 games at home


8:05 PM BOSTON vs. TEXAS
Boston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston


8:05 PM SAN DIEGO vs. MILWAUKEE
San Diego is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home


8:10 PM CLEVELAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland


8:10 PM DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 12 games when playing at home against Detroit


8:11 PM LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
LA Angels are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels


8:15 PM FLORIDA vs. ST. LOUIS
Florida is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida's last 11 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home


9:05 PM HOUSTON vs. COLORADO
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 9 games when playing Houston
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston


10:10 PM NY YANKEES vs. SEATTLE
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees


10:15 PM PITTSBURGH vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games


10:40 PM ARIZONA vs. LA DODGERS
Arizona is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games

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[pm530]

Major League Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB


We will update when projected scores are available.

Friday, September 5

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Tips and Trends
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Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers [NESN | 8:05 PM ET]

Red Sox (-140, O/U 10.5): After winning two straight games, Josh Beckett was blasted in his last start versus Toronto, allowing eight runs in just 2.1 innings of work. It’s the second time in four starts that Beckett has allowed eight runs. This will be Beckett’s first start since coming off the DL with right elbow inflammation. Beckett is just 6-5 on the road this season but he does posses a strong 3.17 ERA away from Fenway Park. The OVER is 3-1 in Beckett’s last four starts.

Red Sox are 8-1 in Beckett’s last 9 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. the AL West.

Key Injuries - 3B Mike Lowell (oblique) is questionable.
1B Kevin Youkilis (back) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Rangers: Kevin Millwood is currently riding a three-game winning streak where he’s allowed just four runs in 24.2 innings. Two of those starts were complete game gems where Millwood allowed just one run in each outing. Millwood is 4-3 in his career against Boston with a 4.05 ERA in 11 starts. Millwood is 5-2 at home this season, although his ERA is close to 5.00. The UNDER has cashed in each of Millwood’s last two starts.

Rangers are 1-7 in their last 8 during Game 1 of a series.
The UNDER is 5-1 in Texas' last 6 games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD



Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers [ESPN | 10:05 PM ET]

Diamondbacks: Dan Haren is having a strong season for the Diamondbacks but he’s been average over his last five starts, allowing 20 runs in 32.1 innings of work. Haren has pitched well on the road this year. Although he’s just 4-3 away from home, his ERA is a stellar 2.93. Haren was hit pretty hard in his last outing against the Dodgers, taking the loss after giving up 10 hits and five runs over six innings. The OVER is 5-2-1 in Haren’s last eight starts.

Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a day off.
The OVER is 7-1 in Arizona's last 8 games.

Key Injuries - OF Justin Upton (oblique) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Dodgers (-130, O/U 7): Derek Lowe has really found his groove in his last five starts, allowing just seven runs in 33.1 innings pitched. Lowe is a much different pitcher at home than he is on the road. At Dodger Stadium, Lowe is 8-5 with a stellar 2.64 ERA. Lowe has struggled in his career versus the Diamondbacks going 5-7 with a 4.01 ERA. The UNDER has cashed three of the last four times Lowe has taken the mound.

Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Dodgers are 4-1 in Lowe’s last 5 starts vs. Arizona.

Key Injuries - OF Juan Pierre (back) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

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