Monday Trends and Indexes 8/18

[pm530]

Major League Baseball - Short Sheet

MLB
Short Sheet


Monday, August 18th

National League

NY Mets at Pittsburgh, 12:35 ET
John Maine (R) vs. Paul Maholm (L)
Maine: 38-16 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10
Maholm: Pit 8-25 as a home underdog of +125 or more

San Francisco at Atlanta, 4:35 ET
Barry Zito (L) vs. Jorge Campillo (R)
Zito: 3-16 TSR in day games
Campillo: Atl 19-8 Over as a favorite of -200 or more

Houston at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Randy Wolf (L) vs. CC Sabathia (L)
Wolf: 13-4 Under in night games
Sabathia: Mil 44-15 as a favorite of -150 or more


American League

Boston at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Jon Lester (L) vs. Jeremy Guthrie (R)
Lester: 13-2 TSR vs. division
Guthrie: Bal 1-12 after scoring and allowing 8+ runs

LA Angels at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Jon Garland (R) vs. Andy Sonnanstine (R)
Garland: Angels 14-5 Under after a loss by 2 runs or less
Sonnanstine: TB 30-14 at home off win

Detroit at Texas, 8:05 ET
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Scott Feldman (R)
Rogers: Det 13-26 as an underdog
Feldman: Tex 31-13 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

Oakland at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Justin Duchscherer (R) vs. Nick Blackburn (R)
Duchscherer: Oak 1-10 after a loss by 8+ runs
Blackburn: Min 27-10 as a home favorite

Seattle at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Jarrod Washburn (L) vs. Mark Buehrle (L)
Washburn: Sea 3-23 as a road underdog of +175 to +250
Buehrle: 16-1 TSR as a home favorite of -175 to -200

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[pm530]

Major League Baseball – Database Stats & Trends

MLB


Monday, August 18

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MLB Database Stats and Trends
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Here’s some ATS Stats concerning today’s short baseball card for Monday, August 18th 2008.

New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh: When PITTSBURGH team played as a Home team - Vs Conference Opponent - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Coming off a Loss vs. NL EAST opponent - Coming off 1 under; The OVER is 9-1-1 for the Pirates in this role.

San Francisco vs. Atlanta: When SAN FRANCISCO team played as a Road team - Coming off vs. National League opponent - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Coming off a 2 run win - Coming off 1 under; The OVER is 8-2-0 for the Giants in this spot.

Houston vs. Milwaukee: When MILWAUKEE team played as a Home team - Last 5 years - Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 - Coming off a 1 game loss - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series; Milwaukee is 12-2 SU the L5Y in this position.

Boston vs. Baltimore: When BOSTON team Played as Road team as a Favorite - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Coming off a Home loss - Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite; The Red Sox are 7-3 SU in this role.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay: When ANY MLB Team played as a 100 to 120 Road Underdog - 1st game of a series - Coming off vs. American League opponent - Vs AL Conference - Scored 3 or less runs FOR in their last game - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series - Coming off lost vs. Left handed pitcher; The OVER is 21-14-3 for the Road Underdog in this spot.

Detroit vs. Texas: When TEXAS team Played as Home team as a Underdog - After a non division game - During a night game - Coming off a Loss vs. AL EAST opponent - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series; The OVER is 6-4-0 for the Rangers in this role.

Oakland vs. Minnesota: When MINNESOTA team Played as home team as a Favorite - During the 2008 season - 1st game of a series; The Twins are 11-2 SU in this position this year.

Seattle vs. Chicago White Sox: When SEATTLE team played as a Road team - Vs Conference Opponent - 1st game of a series - Coming off a Road loss - Coming off a 3 run lost; The UNDER is 7-3-2 for the Mariners in this position since ’97.


Pick for Monday, August 18, 2008

Oakland – Minnesota: UNDER 8.0 (-130)

Listed pitchers must go: Duchscherer vs. Blackburn
Talk about two teams going North and South! The Oakland A’s seem to have fallen apart since the trade deadline and they’ll be facing the Minnesota Twins as a +115 road underdog tonight. The A’s are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games, while the Twins are 8-2 SU in their last 10. In fact, if you’re looking for a nice angle on the side, the Twins are 11-2 SU, as a Home Favorite the first game of a series this season.

However, I’m recommending the UNDER 8.0 (-130) in tonight’s AL showdown. Although both teams seem to have the OVER momentum going, especially for Minnesota whose last 3 games have gone OVER the total, the UNDER is the play.

Here’s a few betting system that support the UNDER. Here’s a team trend on the UNDER with the A’s that has cashed a ticket 81% of the time the last 5 years.

When OAKLAND team played as a Road team
• Vs Conference Opponent
• Last 5 years - Coming off a series loss
• Coming off a Loss vs. AL CENTRAL opponent;

The UNDER is 9-2-0 for the A’s in this spot L5Y.

Furthermore, if you’re looking for a league system which involves “any team” coming off an exact situation, here’s an UNDER system trend that has cashed 64% of the time this season.

When ANY MLB Road team this season;

• Coming off a non division game vs. American League opponent
• Coming off a 2 game losing streak
• Coming off a day game
• Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series;

The UNDER is 11-6-0 this season for the Road Team in this role.

Play the UNDER in tonight’s Oakland vs. Minnesota game and good luck.

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