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Monday Trends and Indexes 8/11

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  • #16
    MLB


    Monday, August 11


    Updated

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    Tips and Trends
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    St. Louis Cardinals at Florida Marlins [7:10 PM ET]

    Cardinals: Joel Pineiro finally got a win his last time out against the Dodgers but it was far from an impressive effort. Pineiro gave up four runs over seven innings, making it the sixth time in 10 outings that he allowed at least four runs. Pineiro's short win streak may not last long. He's been roughed up on the road this year, going 2-4 with an ERA of 5.75. The OVER is 4-1 in Pineiro's last five starts.

    Cardinals are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.
    The OVER is 10-1-1 in St. Louis' last 12 road games.

    Key Injuries - OF Rick Ankiel (.282; abdomen) is expected to return.
    OF Chris Duncan (.248; neck) is on the 15-day DL.

    PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

    Marlins (-125, O/U 9.5): Anibal Sanchez takes the mound for the third time this season after getting hit pretty hard his last time out against the Phillies. In just five innings of work, Sanchez allowed five hits and four runs. Sanchez's other start this year was at home against Colorado, where he faired better, giving up just two runs over 5.2 innings. Walks have been a concern for Sanchez. He's given out five free passes in 10.2 innings pitched this season.

    Marlins are 10-1 in Sanchez's last 11 home starts.
    The OVER is 12-3-2 in Florida's last 17 Monday games.

    Key Injuries - NONE

    PROJECTED SCORE: 6



    Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox [NESN | 8:11 PM ET]

    Red Sox (-135, O/U 9): Josh Beckett gets the call for the Red Sox tonight after snapping a personal three-game slide his last time out versus Kansas City. Before beating the Royals, Beckett had allowed 14 runs in his previous 20.1 innings on the mound. Beckett is 3-0 in four career starts against the White Sox, although his ERA is an average 4.64 in those outings. The OVER is 4-2 in Beckett's last six starts.

    Red Sox are 19-8 in Beckett's last 27 road games.
    The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

    Key Injuries - 1B Kevin Youkilis (.317; hand) has returned.

    PROJECTED SCORE: 5

    White Sox: John Danks hasn't lost a decision in 10 straight starts but three of his last four outings have been shaky. Before shutting down Detroit in his most recent start, Danks had allowed 15 runs in his previous 16 innings of work. Danks has been tough at home this season but he's struggled badly against the Red Sox, going 0-2 with a lofty 8.68 ERA. Not surprisingly, four of Dank's last five starts have gone OVER the total.

    White Sox are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings.
    The OVER is 17-6-1 in Chicago's last 24 games overall.

    Key Injuries - 3B Joe Crede (.255; back) is on the 15-day DL.

    PROJECTED SCORE: 4



    Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers [ESPN2 | 10:10 PM ET]

    Phillies: Kyle Kendrick has been fantastic for the Phillies over his last three starts, allowing just three runs in 18.2 innings pitched. Kendrick is 6-2 on the road this year but his ERA is 4.79, compared to 3.90 at home. Kendrick has been strong over his last 10 starts, allowing three runs or less seven times. You can't go wrong betting the OVER with Kendrick on the hill. It's cashed seven times in his last 10 appearances.

    Phillies are 11-4 in their last 15 games as an underdog.
    The OVER is 8-3 in Philadelphia's last 11 Monday games.

    Key Injuries - 3B Pedro Feliz (.256 back) is on the 15-day DL.

    PROJECTED SCORE: 3

    Dodgers (-140, O/U 8): Derek Lowe was hammered his last time out against St Louis, allowing an unreal 13 hits and 8 runs in just 3.1 innings. Luckily for Lowe, he returns home tonight where he's been much more effective this season. Lowe's home ERA is a strong 2.72 but it's more than three runs higher on the road. Lowe's last five starts at Dodger Stadium have gone UNDER the total.

    Dodgers are 8-3 in their last 11 home games.
    The OVER is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.

    Key Injuries - SS Nomar Garciaparra (.279; knee) is on the 15-day DL.

    PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side Play of the Day)

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    • #17
      Major League Baseball - Short Sheet

      MLB
      Short Sheet



      Monday, August 11th

      National League

      Pittsburgh at NY Mets, 1:10 ET
      Zach Duke (L) vs. Pedro Martinez (R)
      Duke: 6-28 TSR as a road underdog of +100 or higher
      Martinez: NYM 33-15 after 2+ consecutive home games

      Washington at Milwaukee, 2:05 ET
      Garrett Mock (R) vs. Dave Bush (R)
      Mock: Wash 2-14 AWAY against NL Central
      Bush: 18-6 TSR at home after a team win

      St Louis at Florida, 7:10 ET
      Joel Pineiro (R) vs. Anibal Sanchez (R)
      Pineiro: 13-6 TSR as an underdog of +100 or higher
      Sanchez: FLA 17-5 versus a division rival

      San Francisco at Houston, 8:05 ET
      Jonathan Sanchez (L) vs. Brandon Backe (R)
      Sanchez: SF 16-8 Over as a road underdog of +150 or more
      Backe: 17-4 TSR at home when the total is 10 or higher

      Philadelphia at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
      Kyle Kendrick (R) vs. Derek Lowe (R)
      Kendrick: 10-2 TSR in AWAY games
      Lowe: LAD 4-11 at home after a one run loss


      American League

      Baltimore at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
      Dennis Sarfate (R) vs. Fausto Carmona (R)
      Sarfate: 0-2 TSR, 10.29 ERA in 2 starts
      Carmona: 12-2 TSR after 2+ consecutive team wins

      Toronto at Detroit, 7:05 ET
      Shaun Marcum (R) vs. Justin Verlander (R)
      Marcum: 10-3 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +150
      Verlander: 8-14 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10

      Boston at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
      Josh Beckett (R) vs.John Danks (L)
      Beckett: 4-9 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5
      Danks: White Sox 8-0 as a home underdog of +100 to +125

      NY Yankees at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
      Sidney Ponson (R) vs. Glen Perkins (L)
      Ponson: Yankees 13-7 against Twins
      Perkins: MIN 31-40 after having won 3 of their last 4

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