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**Udog** · 08-07-2008, 06:52 AM

Daily Sports Roundup

Thursday, August 7

Week 1 of the National Football League's preseason schedule kicks off Thursday, with the Pats hosting the Ravens at Gillette Stadium. Here's your Daily Sports Roundup . . .

Event of the day . . .

The Patriots were 16-0 during the regular season last year. The Ravens were 5-11. Still, that doesn't mean much in an exhibition contest, which is why New England is a mere 4-point home favorite (with the total sitting at 34) for Thursday night. Don't expect Golden Boy Tom Brady to see much action in this contest, and main weapons Randy Moss and Wes Welker aren't likely to be taxed either.

The Ravens, though, have a quarterback question to answer. Kyle Boller is slated to get the start behind center for Baltimore, with Troy Smith and Joe Flacco both getting an opportunity to impress as well. Local reports suggest that Smith is currently the favorite to win the team's starting quarterback gig, so Boller will want to avoid an off-night even if the game means nothing in the standings.

Non-event of the day . . .

There are several contending teams in the NL Central. The Astros and the Reds aren't among them. Houston and Cincinnati begin a series on Thursday night, with Astros ace Roy Oswalt (8-8, 4.74 ERA) taking on the Reds' Josh Fogg (2-3, 7.57 ERA). Oswalt has given up four earned runs in each of his last two outings, but Houston manage to win those contests. Fogg is 1-1 with three no-decisions since re-joining the rotation.

Also on the schedule . . .

Cole Hamels (9-7, 3.37 ERA) pitches for the Phillies at home against the Marlins on Thursday. Also on tap in the National League: San Diego at the Mets, the Dodgers at St. Louis, Washington at Colorado, and Atlanta at Arizona. In the AL it's Oakland at Toronto, the Yankees at Texas, Detroit at the White Sox, and Tampa Bay at Seattle.

The Giants will open their Super Bowl defense with a preseason game at Ford Field against the Lions on Thursday; Detroit is a 3-point favorite. Elsewhere, it's the Jets at Cleveland (-3), Kansas City at Chicago (-3), and New Orleans at Arizona (-2.5).

Up in the Canadian Football League the games are for real on Thursday, with Toronto at Hamilton, and Calgary at Saskatchewan. The Argonauts are a 2.5-point road favorite against the Tiger-Cats (with a total of 50), while the Roughriders are listed as 3-point favorites at home against the Stampeders (with a total of 52).

Finally, the 2008 PGA Championship tees off on Thursday, with favored Phil Mic KELSO n looking to take a lead into the tourney's later stages - and then avoid a major meltdown. Lefty is the 8/1 favorite to win the tournament, with Ernie Els at 12/1, and each of Vijay Singh, Padraig Harrington, Sergio Garcia, and Jim Furyk entering the event at 15/1.

News from the wire . . .

The Orioles' offense got a little weaker after outfielder Adam Jones was placed on the disabled list on Tuesday . . . Mets closer Billy Wagner went on the DL as well, while Cubs closer Kerry Wood is back from injury . . . Mariners DH Jose Vidro was designated for assignment . . . Saints WR Marques Colston, TE Jeremy Shockey, and RB Deuce McAllister will all miss Thursday's game. . . Bears QB Kyle Orton will get the start behind center on Thursday night, but Rex Grossman will get equal time.

Peek at the future . . .

Friday's NFL preseason schedule includes the battle of Pennsylvania (Philadelphia at Pittsburgh) and the battle of the Bay Area (San Francisco at Oakland) . . . Jon Lester will take on Mark Buehrle in Friday's Red Sox/White Sox matchup . . . Jeff Gordon is the 5/1 Vegas favorite to win this weekend's Centurion Boats at the Glen.

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**Udog** · 08-07-2008, 06:53 AM

Six-pack for Thursday

-- Rays scored six runs in 9th inning without making an out as they beat Cleveland, 10-7. Gross, Pena homered in ninth.

-- They drew 27,533 for a Wednesday day game at The Trop.

-- Derek Lowe gave up hits to 13 of 22 batters he faced as the Cardinals beat LA again, 9-6. Manny hit HR #3 as a Dodger.

-- Dodger pitching coach Honeycutt went to mound to talk to Lowe with Pujols up and bags full in a 3-3 game. As soon as Honeycutt went back to dugout, Pujols crushed the ball about 420 feet. Game over. Wonder what Honeycutt said.

-- Lincecum beat Atlanta 3-2, is now 11-3 for a bad ballclub.

-- Bronx castoff Karstens two-hit Arizona 2-0, is now 2-0 as a Pirate, tossing 15 shutout innings at two first-place teams.

**Udog** · 08-07-2008, 06:53 AM

Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) Michigan might not have a such a great football season; in their season opener vs Utah, Wolverines are favored by a mere 3.5 points over the Utes. In Ann Arbor. An ominous number.

12) Mets have used twelve different leftfielders this season.

11) BJ Upton, Ryan Garko both got benched in Tampa for not running out ground balls. Dog days of August are here.

10) Think people at the Packer Gift Shop who ordered all those green #12 jerseys were relieved when Brett Favre got back on the plane for Mississippi?

9) According to my calculations, from November 10-March 20, from start of college basketball season to end of first week of NCAA tournament, is 131 days. According to a terrific website www.statsheet.com, college hoop referee Steve Welmer reffed 111 games last season. Not many days off there.

8) Interesting year looms for Tennessee's football team; Vols have lot of new assistant coaches, a new QB- they've finished in top 10 just twice in last nine years, with no SEC titles. In the wacky world of the SEC, this isn't good news.

7) NC State's football team can make a quantum leap forward if they can just break even in turnovers; the last four years, their turnover ratios: -16/-11/even/-17, for total of -44. The year they were even in turnovers, they went 7-5. Tom O'Brien is a terrific coach-- expect the Wolfpack to go bowling soon.

6) Hey, did you know Moscow, Idaho is the day pea and lentil capital of the world? You learn fun stuff here every day.

5) Marlins have been invigorated by returns of Anibel Sanchez and Josh Johnson; they've won six of their seven starts. These two helped Joe Girardi's Marlins overachieve two years ago-- seeing as Hughes/Chamberlain are also now hurt, is it fair to ask if Girardi knows how to handle young pitchers?

4) If you go see the Tigers when Nate Robertson pitches, you get your money's worth; four of his last seven starts went to extra innings, including 11-10/14-12 and 10-8 games.

3) The 2004 Colorado Rockies blew 34 saves, most of any team since 1954; this year's Cardinals have already blown 27 saves.

2) Olympic hoop team shot 3-18 from arc, 20-33 from foul line in a closer-than-expected 87-76 win over Australia; teams have to try and create a half-court game against the Americans, hoping they don't shoot well. Fast games will result in American wins. Interesting to see how other teams handle their pressure.

1) I once rebounded for a guy who made 137 foul shots in row; very weird thing; I stood under the hoop, held my right hand out, caught the ball out of the net, and flicked it back to him. For like an hour. This guy is terrific guy, but shooting was his one and only basketball skill-- if he could make 137 foul shots in a row, why can't our Olympic team shoot better than 65%?

**Udog** · 08-07-2008, 06:55 AM

NFL - Preseason
Long Sheet

Note: Limited trends are listed. There may be updates prior to play date.

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Thursday, August 7
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NY GIANTS (1 - 3) at DETROIT (2 - 2) - 8/7/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY JETS (3 - 1) at CLEVELAND (3 - 1) - 8/7/2008, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALTIMORE (1 - 3) at NEW ENGLAND (2 - 2) - 8/7/2008, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games in August games since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS CITY (0 - 4) at CHICAGO (3 - 1) - 8/7/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (3 - 2) at ARIZONA (0 - 4) - 8/7/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road lined games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, August 8
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PHILADELPHIA (1 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 1) - 8/8/2008, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (3 - 1) at MINNESOTA (2 - 2) - 8/8/2008, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 3) at OAKLAND (2 - 2) - 8/8/2008, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 1-1 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, August 9
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BUFFALO (2 - 2) at WASHINGTON (2 - 2) - 8/9/2008, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 3) at CAROLINA (1 - 3) - 8/9/2008, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ATLANTA (3 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 1) - 8/9/2008, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (3 - 1) at MIAMI (2 - 2) - 8/9/2008, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (2 - 2) at TENNESSEE (3 - 1) - 8/9/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DENVER (2 - 2) at HOUSTON (2 - 2) - 8/9/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (2 - 2) at SAN DIEGO (3 - 1) - 8/9/2008, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 11-31 ATS (-23.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, August 11
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CINCINNATI (1 - 3) at GREEN BAY (2 - 2) - 8/11/2008, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 08-07-2008, 06:55 AM

NFL - Preseason
Short Sheet

Thursday, August 7th

NY Giants at Detroit, 7:00 ET
NY Giants: 4-16 ATS on artifical turf
Detroit: 6-1 Over at home if total is 35 or less

NY Jets at Cleveland, 7:30 ET
NY Jets: 7-1 ATS on Thursday
Cleveland: 7-1 Under vs. AFC

Baltimore at New England, 7:30 ET
Baltimore: 6-1 Under if total is 35 or less
New England: 17-8 ATS as home favorite

Kansas City at Chicago, 8:00 ET
Kansas City: 0-4 ATS as road underdog
Chicago: 5-1 Under vs. AFC West

New Orleans at Arizona, 8:00 ET ESPN
New Orleans: 22-10 ATS in road games
Arizona: 3-0 Over if the line is +3 to -3

Friday, August 8th

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh, 7:30 ET
Philadelphia: 1-9 ATS Away 1st 2 weeks of preseason
Pittsburgh: 8-1 Under L9 preseason games

Seattle at Minnesota, 8:00 ET
Seattle: 4-0 Over as road underdog
Minnesota: 6-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3 or less

San Francisco at Oakland, 10:00 ET
San Francisco: 13-7 Under as road underdog
Oakland: 4-0 ATS as home favorite

Saturday, August 9th

Buffalo at Washington, 7:00 ET
Buffalo: 26-11 Inder vs. NFC
Washington: 1-9 ATSD at home off an Over

Indianapolis at Carolina, 7:30 ET
Indianapolis: 10-1 ATS off DD loss
Carolina: 6-0 Under vs. AFC

Atlanta at Jacksonville, 7:30 ET
Atlanta: 11-8 Over 1st 2 weeks of preseason
Jacksonville: 5-1 ATS vs. NFC

Tampa Bay at Miami, 7:30 ET
Tampa Bay: 26-10 Under if the total is 35 or less
Miami: 2-6 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less

St. Louis at Tennessee, 8:00 ET
St. Louis: 0-4 ATS an an underdog
Tennessee: 17-7 ATS if the line is +3 to -3

Denver at Houston, 8:00 ET
Denver: 22-7 ATS on Saturday
Houston: 5-0 Over on Saturday

Dallas at San Diego, 10:00 ET
Dallas: 5-18 ATS 1st 2 weeks of preseason
San Diego: 14-8 Over as a home favorite of 7 points or less

Monday, August 11th

Cincinnati at Green Bay, 8:00 ET ESPN
Cincinnati: 3-0 ATS as underdog
Green Bay: 1-5 ATS vs. AFC

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 08-07-2008, 06:56 AM

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 7

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Thursday, August 7

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TORONTO (3 - 3) at HAMILTON (1 - 5) - 8/7/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALGARY (3 - 3) at SASKATCHEWAN (6 - 0) - 8/7/2008, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) versus division opponents since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-4 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-3 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, August 8

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MONTREAL (3 - 3) at WINNIPEG (1 - 5) - 8/8/2008, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 6-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-4 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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EDMONTON (4 - 2) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (3 - 3) - 8/8/2008, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in August games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 08-07-2008, 06:57 AM

CFL
Write-Up

Week 7 CFL games

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Thursday, August 7

Toronto (3-3) @ Hamilton (1-5)-- TiCats ran ball 41 times for 311 yards in Week 2's 32-13 upset of Argos at Rogers Centre, only win in '08 for Hamilton- they're 0-3 at home, losing by 23-5-6 pts Argos allowed 75 points in losing two road games- they gave up 28+ points in four of last five games. Only once in their last five games has Hamilton lost by more than seven points.

Calgary (3-3) @ Saskatchewan (6-0)-- Roughriders beat Calgary 22-21 last week, despite scoring just one point in second half- they're home and 6-0, but still just 3-point favorite against a 3-3 team that lost its last two games, allowing 27 ppg. Stampeders' losses this season are by 3-1-4 points; they're 0-3 if they allow more than 19 points. Saskatchewan is averaging 30.7 ppg.

Friday, August 8

Montreal (3-3) @ Winnipeg (1-5)-- Alouettes lost three of four since 38-24 home win vs Bombers in Week 2. Montreal is 3-1 if they run ball for at least 123 yards, scoring 36.3 ppg- they're 0-2 if they don't, scoring 26 ppg. Bombers had 23 penalties in their last two games- they upset Calgary in last home game for their only win this season. Last three Montreal games went over.

Edmonton (4-2) @ BC Lions (3-3)-- Ray was 23-30/379 passing in last week's 35-24 home win vs Lions-- Eskimos' fourth win in their last five games- they allowed 34-35 points in their losses, 31 or less (avg of 24) in their wins. BC had a 3-game win streak ended last week; they're 2-1 at home, winning by 9-2 pts. Over is 4-1 in Edmonton's last five games.

**Udog** · 08-07-2008, 06:59 AM

CFL

Week 7

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Trend Sheet
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Thursday, August 7

7:00 PM TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Hamilton is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games

10:00 PM CALGARY vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Calgary is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Calgary

Friday, August 8

7:30 PM MONTREAL vs. WINNIPEG
Montreal is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Winnipeg
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

10:30 PM EDMONTON vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Edmonton is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Edmonton is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
British Columbia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton

**Udog** · 08-07-2008, 07:01 AM

CFL

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CFL Week 7 Previews
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The Bookmaker have adjusted their totals the last 3 weeks of the CFL season, the average O/U during Week 1 to Week 3 was between 48.0 and 48.5. However, now that the offenses have gelled and are putting up some big numbers on the board, the oddsmakers have raised their totals between 51.0 to 53.0 the last 3 weeks. Look for more games to go UNDER the total in Week 7, as you had all four totals go under the total in week 1, the OVER was 3-1 Week 2, 3 and 4. Then, we had a few "even-Stevens" of 2-2 during Week 5 and 6.

Plus, many teams have some key injuries this week, so look for the lines to start going down.

Here are my CFL previews for Week 7. Enjoy!

Thursday, August 7

Toronto (-2.5) vs. Hamilton (50.5)

Argonauts @ Tiger Cats History: The Argos are 11-10-1 (ATS), 12-9-1 (SU) and the Over/Under is 9-13-0 since '96.

Comment: Whenever I watch a Hamilton Tiger Cats football game, I'm wondering if Head Coach Charlie Taaffe has a game plan in mind. In fact, not only should the blame go towards Charlie Taaffe, but what exactly is Bob O'Billovich doing as the GM for Bob Young's Football club. Shouldn't O'Billovich be bringing real receivers to help out the QB by committee these days? When is Timmy Chang expected to save the season? Furthermore, it's time the Tiger Cats trade Jesse Lumsden, because in 2 seasons in the CFL, he's shown to be injury prone and the Tiger Cats can't afford to have a running back with this much potential on the IR each week. Now is the time to release Lumsden to another team and try to get a more consistent player who will be in the line up 80% of the season. You cannot establish a running game when your top running back is always injured. Jesse Lumsden seems to be a great kid and is well respected by his teammates and peers, but he's useless to the Tiger Cats if he's always injured. As for the Week 7 meeting between the Argonauts and Tiger Cats, it could be a game that decides the faith of the Tiger Cats head coach and you might get a better performance from the Ti-Cats. Hamilton has been labeled a -2.5 point road favorite vs. the Tabbies and whenever Hamilton is a +3.0 or less home underdog, they are 8-9-0 ATS, 5-11-1 SU and the O/U is 7-10-0 since 1996. The Argos seemed to have avoided a QB controversy, as Kerry Joseph seems to have taken the reigns of the offense and they've been averaging 25.33 points per game in their last 3 contest. Toronto is 2-1 SU in their last 3 games and their defense stepped up to the plate last weekend vs. Winnipeg.

Forecast: Toronto winning by 0.92 points and the O/U to land on 51.34 points.

Stat of the Game: When TORONTO team played as a pk to 3 Road Favorite - Coming off a game scored 17 points or more; The UNDER is 8-2-0 for the Argonauts.

Calgary (52.5) vs. Saskatchewan (-3)

Lions @ Eskimos History: The Stampeders are 10-9-0 (ATS), 10-8-1 (SU) and the Over/Under is 10-9-0 since '96.

Comment: When watching the Roughriders vs. Stampeders game last weekend, I started to think if the Saskatchewan Roughriders where our edition of the New England Patriots. However, New England was blowing out teams in the first 3 games and averaging 38 points per game. However, the Saskatchewan Roughriders have been living and dying by the sword, as they've been waiting until the last 3 minutes of the game to close out their opponents the last 4 weeks. In fact, there comes a point where one has to wonder if these Roughriders are for real? Ken Miller has the best defense in the league and it's very hard to run against these guys and Wes Cates is the early favorite on winning the Most Outstanding Player thus far. Cates has been spectacular on offense rushing or catching the ball out of the backfield and one has to wonder if he might get another sniff at the NFL if he continues this pace. The Roughriders are a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS and the UNDER is 4-2-0 on the season. The Green Riders have average 30.67 PF on offense and are only giving up 22.17 against, but things could get a little tougher for Miller's men in August. Because, when Saskatchewan is a home team during the month of August between weeks 4 to 8, they are 3-8 SU and ATS. Calgary got rolling late last weekend, as Henry Burris was very inconsistent for 2 and a half quarters, but once he got his confidence going, it was just a matter of time before they made a game out of it at home. I'm still wondering why John Hufnagel opted to run the ball with a running back late in the game on a 3rd and 1, when it would have been better to sneak it with Burris. The Stampeders are in a nice handicapping spot this week; they are 8-3-1 on the road coming off a 0-3 point home lost since '96.

Forecast: Saskatchewan winning by 2.52 points and the O/U to land on 52.91 points.

Stat of the Game: When SASKATCHEWAN team played as a Home team - Coming off a Road win as a Underdog; The OVER is 10-2-0 for the Roughriders in this role.

Friday, August 8

Montreal (-3) vs. Winnipeg (54)

Alouettes @ Blue Bombers History: The Alouettes are 7-11-1 (ATS), 10-9 (SU) and the Over/Under is 10-8-1 since '96.

Comment: The Montreal Alouettes finally delivered a victory to its fans last week at Molson Percival Stadium vs. the Hamilton Tiger Cats. OK, it's not that surprising they won as a -10.0 point home favorite, but considering they've lost 3 games prior to their tilt with the Tabbies, Montreal was always finding a way to lose games. Montreal is a good football team, but they lack the killer instinct to put teams away and I'm starting to wonder if Marc Trestman is too conservative as a head coach. Keep in mind, this was a offensive coordinator who was at NC State and seen 9 out of 10 games go under the total. Whenever you have that many unders in a season, this tells me the coach wants to control the clock and run the game out. In fact, according to his Wikipedia bio, it states the following phrase; "Trestman spent the 2004 season with the Miami Dolphins and in 2005 he returned to college football as the North Carolina State Wolfpack offensive coordinator where he was known for being a conservative play-caller." Does this sound like a head coach who wants to run and gun? The Alouettes get some players back on defense this week and they could use the help, as they've allowed 36.67 points against in their last 3 games. Furthermore, whenever you allowed the Hamilton Tiger Cats to hang 33 points on you at home, you know the Alouettes concentrated allot of minor details to defense and don't be surprised if they returned to the basics. Winnipeg on the other hand has gone from the Penthouse to the Outhouse in a matter of 9 months! The Blue Bombers are not in a good sports handicapping situation this Friday Night, they are 3-7 SU as a home underdog in August since '96 and the UNDER is 7-3-0. As for Doug Berry's move to replace Kevin Glenn with former Boise State star Ryan Dinwiddie. Well, Matt Dunnigan said it best last week on the CFL panel on TSN, Ryan Dinwiddie has a pop gun for an arm! Watching the game last week between the Bombers and Argos, I noticed allot of Dinwiddie's passes were floaters and had no tight spirals or speed. If you're a totals players, here's a great team trend that backs up the under. When a Montreal team played on the road on 7 days rest, during Week 4 to 8 and they care coming off a Home straight up win as a Favorite; the UNDER is 8-2-0 for the Alouettes in this spot since '96.

forecast: Montreal winning by 12.02 points and the O/U to land on 56.03 points.

Stat of the Game: When ANY CFL Team played as a Home team -Vs Montreal opponent -With 6 day off -Before a division game - Allowed score 17 points or more against; The OVER is 12-2-0 for the Home Team (Winnipeg) in this spot.

Edmonton (55) vs. BC Lions (-6)

Eskimos @ Lions History: The Eskimos are 11-7-2 (ATS), 9-11 (SU) and the Over/Under is 8-11-1 since '96.

Comment: The Edmonton Eskimos pulled off a Hollywood ending last week at home vs. the BC Lions. After starting slowly out of the gate, Ricky Ray hit Kamau Peterson over the middle and he got leveled by a Lions secondary. However, Peterson rose to his feet, flipped his jersey up and pointed to the 83 on his stomach in honor of his fallen comrade Jason Tucker who suffered a serious neck injury 2 weeks ago in Hamilton. It truly was an inspiring performance to see the Eskimos rally around their teammate and after that catch, it was all over for the Lions, as the Eskimos confidence grew on each play afterwards. The Eskimos have really turned the corner and have been playing with more consistency on offense and Ricky Ray has found some reliable receivers. Edmonton is on a 2 game winning streak and has won 4 of their last 5 games. However, they will be in a tough spot this Friday night at BC Place; the Lions have won 4 straight in BC and 6 of the last 7 meetings. If you're a law of average handicapper, the bookmakers agree with the theory, they've placed the Lions a -6.0 point home favorite, the Eskimos won game one of this back to back series. However, the Lions have a history of not showing up at home after scoring 24 points or less in their previous game. In fact, when the BC Lions played as a Home team during Week 4 to 8 and they are coming off a game where they scored 24 points or less; the Leo's are 2-9 SU. What bothers me with this Lions teams is the inconsistency at the QB position. One week Jarious Jackson is hitting his receivers in stride, other weeks he's 5 to 10 yards off his throws. Jackson is more dangerous when he's running the ball and Wally Buono should really consider using some sprint out passing plays that allows Jackson to pass or tuck it and run. One of the best type of plays for Jackson is one of those counter option plays, where the offense can run counter plays using the pulling guard and then option off that counter play and use a roll out to the opposite side to throw the ball. Nevertheless, Buono needs to find a way to get Jackson out of the pocket and get him in a situation where he can start running. When I look at Jarious Jackson I see Tracy Ham, Damon Allen, Kerry Joseph, and JC Watts, quarterbacks who knew when to tuck it and run.

forecast: Edmonton winning by 4.3 points and the O/U to land on 56.30 points.

Stat of the Game: When BRITISH COLUMBIA team played as Home team as a Favorite -Vs Division Opponent -Playing on Friday; the BC Lions are 14-3 SU in this role since '96.

Good luck and remember, this is the CFL, anything can happen during the 3 minute warning! Trust me; I've got the scars to prove it!

**Udog** · 08-07-2008, 07:06 AM

MLB

Thursday, August 7

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Today's Streaking and Slumping Pitchers
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Streaking

A.J. Burnett, Toronto Blue Jays (13-9, 4.57)

Don't let the mediocre ERA fool you; Burnett has been a major moneymaker for Jays backers. He's coming off a three-game winning streak during which he's allowed just five earned runs and struck out 21. That's what you call serious power. Overall, Burnett has racked up mucho dinero for bettors as he's led the Blue Jays to wins in seven of his last 10 starts. He's always been at his best in August, so the hot streak isn't likely to come to an end against Oakland today.

Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers (1-3, 4.02)

It's hard to call it a streak - Kershaw has only started four games this season. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that his last two starts were shutout performances for the rookie left-hander. He held the hapless Nationals scoreless for six innings on July 27, which is one thing, but he followed that up with six shutout innings against a much more respectable Arizona Diamondbacks lineup. After that performance, Arizona's manager Bob Melvin had nothing but praise for the 20-year-old.

"He's got great stuff. I mean, you can see why they're pretty excited about him," Melvin said of Kershaw. "I think he was throwing a little harder than the gun would suggest. He had a real good curveball and it seemed like he could throw it all counts. He's definitely something to be excited about."

Slumping

Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies (9-7, 3.37)

For most pitchers this sort of performance wouldn't qualify as a slump, but it's well below what bettors have come to expect (and pay for) from Hamels. He's allowed four earned runs in each of his last two starts and hasn't shown the same kind of overpowering stuff that Phillies fans are used to seeing in his starts. Rumors are swirling that the oft-injured Hamels is attempting to pitch through an elbow problem as the Phillies make a run for the playoffs and that's the reason for his lack of effectiveness. Whether or not these rumors are true is up for debate, but bettors can't dispute that a 5-5 record over his last 10 starts isn't enough for a guy that regularly sees prices upwards of -160.

**Udog** · 08-07-2008, 07:07 AM

MLB

Thursday, August 7

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Trend Sheet
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12:10 PM SAN DIEGO vs. NY METS
San Diego is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
NY Mets are 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
NY Mets are 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home

1:05 PM FLORIDA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

2:15 PM LA DODGERS vs. ST. LOUIS
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home

3:05 PM WASHINGTON vs. COLORADO
Washington is 4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 4-10-1 SU in its last 15 games
Colorado is 8-1-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Washington
Colorado is 13-4-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing Washington

7:07 PM OAKLAND vs. TORONTO
Oakland is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 2-7-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oakland
Toronto is 4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland

7:10 PM HOUSTON vs. CINCINNATI
Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

8:05 PM NY YANKEES vs. TEXAS
NY Yankees are 18-7 SU in their last 25 games when playing Texas
NY Yankees are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Texas
Texas is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
Texas is 7-18 SU in their last 25 games when playing NY Yankees

8:11 PM DETROIT vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Detroit is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

9:40 PM ATLANTA vs. ARIZONA
Atlanta is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

10:10 PM TAMPA BAY vs. SEATTLE
Tampa Bay is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
Seattle is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home

**Udog** · 08-07-2008, 07:11 AM

MLB

Thursday, August 7

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Tips and Trends
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Note: We will re-post when projected scores are available.

Florida Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies [7:05 PM ET]

Marlins: Chris Volstad will try to bounce back from his worst outing of the season and remain unbeaten ont he road when he faces the Phillies for the first time. Volstad gave up five runs and eight hits in five innings last time out at home against the Rockies. He had allowed six runs combined in his first four outings totaling 22.2 innings, with Florida going 3-1 in those games. Volstad is 2-0 in road starts at Chicago, Los Angeles and Colorado during that stretch to go along with a stellar 1.62 ERA.

Marlins are 11-5 in their last 16 games as an underdog.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Phillies (-220, O/U 9): Cole Hamels has yet to earn a win since the All-Star break, going 0-1 with two no-decisions. One of those no-decisions came at Florida on July 20 after he gave up two runs and four hits in eight innings of an eventual 3-2 loss. Hamels is just 2-3 in seven lifetime starts against the Marlins with a 4.34 ERA. He is also 5-5 in 13 home starts despite a very solid 3.08 ERA.

Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall.
The UNDER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Key Injuries - 3B Pedro Feliz (.256 back) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

New York Yankees at Texas Rangers [YES | 8:05 PM ET]

Yankees (-155, O/U 12): Mike Mussina has become the ace of New York's pitching staff, even more so after Joba Chamberlain was placed on the DL with a shoulder injury. Mussina is coming off an outstanding start against the Angels on Saturday, giving up just one earned run and two hits in seven innings of an 8-2 win. He has also been great on the road this year, going 5-1 in seven starts with a 3.43 ERA. However, Mussina suffered a tough 2-1 loss the last time he faced Texas, giving up both runs and five hits in six innings back on June 30.

Yankees are 45-16 in their last 61 Wednesday games.
The OVER is 10-2 in New York's last 12 games overall.

Key Injuries - C Jorge Posada (.268; shoulder) is OUT for the season.

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Rangers: Scott Feldman will look to duplicate his last start against the Yankees, which resulted in a 2-1 win on June 30 when he was opposed by Mussina. Feldman went five innings and allowed just one run and four hits with three walks and three strikeouts. He has earned two wins in five starts since then, with both of them taking place on the road. Feldman is 1-1 in nine home starts with a 4.80 ERA and walked away with a no-decision last time out there against the Blue Jays on Saturday.

Rangers are 8-22 in the last 30 meetings at Texas.
The OVER is 11-3-1 in Texas' last 15 games overall.

Key Injuries - OF Milton Bradley (.320; quad) is day-to-day.
Closer C.J. Wilson (24 saves; elbow) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners [10:10 PM ET]

Rays: Andy Sonnanstine will try to win back-to-back starts for the first time since July 5 when he faces the Mariners. Sonnanstine lost three straight starts after seeing the Rays win six in a row with him on the mound, but he bounced back with a victory against the Tigers last time out on Saturday. He gave up just two runs and seven hits to the Tigers in six innings, walking one and striking out six. Sonnanstine is 5-3 on the road with a 4.71 ERA.

The UNDER is 20-7 in Tampa Bay's last 27 road games.
The UNDER is 10-4 in Tampa Bay's last 14 games overall.

Key Injuries - OF Carl Crawford (.271; undisclosed) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Mariners (-125, O/U 7.5): Felix Hernandez has allowed three earned runs or less in each of his last 10 starts, going 5-2 with three no-decisions during that stretch. He lost last time out against the Orioles on Saturday despite giving up just two runs in five innings with two walks and six strikeouts. Hernandez is 4-4 in 12 home starts this season with a 3.48 ERA. He is 1-1 lifetime in four starts vs. Tampa with a 2.90 ERA.

Mariners are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings at Seattle.
Mariners are 8-22 in their last 30 games as a favorite.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

**Udog** · 08-07-2008, 07:15 AM

MLB
Write-Up

Thursday, August 7

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Hot Pitchers
-- Florida is 2-0 in Volstad's road starts (1-0, 1.84).
-- Kershaw is 1-0, 0.00 (12 IP) in his last two starts. Cardinals are 6-2 in last eight Lohse home starts.
-- Rockies are 6-1 in last seven Jimenez home starts; he is 4-0 in his last four starts overall, with a 1.29 RA.
-- Petit is 1-1, 2.81 in three starts for Arizona.

-- Duchscherer has 1.86 RA in his last four road starts. Toronto won Burnett's last six home starts.
-- Mussina is 4-1, 2.61 in his last six starts.
-- Miner is 2-1, 3.12 in three starts for the Tigers.

Cold Pitchers
-- Mets are 3-8 in last 11 Santana starts; bullpen allowed 13 runs in its last 8.2 IP backing up Santana. Banks is 1-2, 6.45 in his last four road outings.
-- Hamels is 0-1, 13.03 in his last two starts.
-- Fogg has a 6.64 RA in his last four starts.
-- Rockies are 1-4 in last five Francis starts (1-2, 6.67). Perez has 6.81 RA in his last seven road starts. Nationals lost Bergmann's last six road starts.
-- Oswalt has 6.55 RA in two starts since coming of the DL.
-- Morton is 0-3, 7.72 in his last three starts.

-- Rangers are 3-6 at home when Feldman starts.
-- Vazquez has 6.35 RA in his last ten starts.
-- Hernandez is 1-2, 4.50 in five starts since coming off the DL. Sonnanstine is 1-3, 5.76 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Astros won seven of their last ten games.
-- Phillies won eight of their last ten games. Florida is 9-5 in its last fourteen road games.
-- Nationals won four of last five games. Colorado is 12-3 in its last fifteen home games.
-- Diamondbacks are 11-5 in their last sixteen games.

-- Toronto is 13-4 in its last seventeen home games.
-- Rangers are 10-6 in their last sixteen home games.
-- Mariners won three of their last four games. Rays are 10-6 in their last sixteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Mets lost six of their last eight games. Padres lost five of their last seven games.
-- Reds lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Cardinals lost six of their last nine home games. Dodgers lost four of their last six games.
-- Braves lost nine of their last twelve games.

-- Oakland is 2-18 in its last twenty games.
-- Bronx lost seven of its last eleven games.
-- White Sox are 4-6 in their last ten games. Tigers lost six games in row, allowing 44 runs.

Totals
-- Over is 10-4 in Mets' last fourteen games.
-- Over is 14-6-2 in Florida's last twenty-two road games.
-- LA-StL
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six games at Coors Field.
-- Hst-Cin
-- Atl-Az

-- Under is 14-1-1 in Oakland's last sixteen road games.
-- Over is 10-2 in last twelve Bronx games.
-- Over is 6-2 in White Sox' last eight home games.
-- TB-Sea

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**pm530** · 08-07-2008, 09:24 AM

Major League Baseball - Dunkel Index

MLB
Dunkel Index

Detroit at Chicago White Sox
The White Sox go for the sweep today and will look to take advantage of Detroit's 3-10 record as a road underdog between +125 and +150. Chicago is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the White Sox favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-135). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 7

Game 901-902: San Diego at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Banks) 13.636; NY Mets (Santana) 15.108
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-235); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-235); Under

Game 903-904: Florida at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Volstad) 15.139; Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.584
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-215); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-215); Over

Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.689; St. Louis (Lohse) 16.816
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Over

Game 907-908: Washington at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Bergmann) 15.799; Colorado (Francis) 14.413
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 909-910: Houston at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 13.846; Cincinnati (Fogg) 13.971
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Houston (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+130); Over

Game 911-912: Atlanta at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Morton) 14.444; Arizona (Petit) 15.228
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Arizona (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-145); Over

Game 913-914: Oakland at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Duchscherer) 12.684; Toronto (Burnett) 14.821
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120); Under

Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Mussina) 15.358; Texas (Feldman) 16.748
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 12
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+135); Under

Game 917-918: Detroit at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Miner) 14.166; White Sox (Vazquez) 15.323
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-135); Over

Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 17.298; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.544
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+115); Over

Game 921-922: Washington at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Perez) 14.779; Colorado (Jimenez) 16.322
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

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Announcement

Thursday Trends and Indexes 8/7

Thursday Trends and Indexes 8/7

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