Betting on NFL Pre-Season Over/Unders

[jcheckers]

I saw this on another site, thought it was interesting and wanted to share it. These are Trends and I know that trends tend to even out over time. I'll be posting these plays and betting them as the Pre-Season unfolds, but only playing them as half units.

1. Never bet a pre-season game to go Over the Total if the home team is an Underdog. Since 2001 home dogs have gone 18-44-2 to the Under (71%)

2. Play a pre-season game Over the Total when the O/U line is 34' to 36 points. 19-5 O/U last 4 seasons (79%) Remember, only play the Over when the home team is favored in this line range.

3. Play Under the Total in an expected High-scoring game. When the O/U line is 42-44 these games have gone 2-7 to the Under in the last 4 seasons (78%) Exception: In the last 9 years there were only two games where the O/U line was Really high (46 or more points) Both games went Over the Total (2-0 O/U)

4. Go Under with a low O/U line.. But go Over with a Really low O/U line. When the O/U line is 31'-34 these games have gone 7-20 to the Under in the last 4 seasons (74%) Finally, when the O/U line is 30-31 these games have gone a Perfect 4-0 to the Over!

Good Luck to All!

[NEJAKE]

So whats the call on tonights game, I've already sunk some on the under 31.

[jcheckers]

So whats the call on tonights game, I've already sunk some on the under 31.

My Book still has it at 31', I'll be waiting till closer to kickoff
then play it accordingly. I expect a low scoring game as both
teams have injuries and coaches will just be evaluating the
talent with little regard to scoring.

[wayne1218]

According to post #1, the Over is the Big play tonight!

[jcheckers]

Week 1 Update: These are with closing lines from scores and odds.

I saw this on another site, thought it was interesting and wanted to share it. These are Trends and I know that trends tend to even out over time. I'll be posting these plays and betting them as the Pre-Season unfolds, but only playing them as half units.

1. Never bet a pre-season game to go Over the Total if the home team is an Underdog. Since 2001 home dogs have gone 18-44-2 to the Under (71%)

2. Play a pre-season game Over the Total when the O/U line is 34' to 36 points. 19-5 O/U last 4 seasons (79%) Remember, only play the Over when the home team is favored in this line range.
4 OV-2 UN

3. Play Under the Total in an expected High-scoring game. When the O/U line is 42-44 these games have gone 2-7 to the Under in the last 4 seasons (78%) Exception: In the last 9 years there were only two games where the O/U line was Really high (46 or more points) Both games went Over the Total (2-0 O/U)

4. Go Under with a low O/U line.. But go Over with a Really low O/U line. When the O/U line is 31'-34 these games have gone 7-20 to the Under in the last 4 seasons (74%) Finally, when the O/U line is 30-31 these games have gone a Perfect 4-0 to the Over!
30-31 1 OV-1 UN
31'-34 5 Ov-4 UN
Week 1 Totals: 9-8. These trends have a long way to go to beat 70% Will keep posting


Good Luck to All!

[toomuchpaper]

That's ultra info right there. Thanks!

[Alafan]

number 1: home team underdogs
seattle.......over
san fran......over

[jcheckers]

number 1: home team underdogs
seattle.......over
san fran......over

Not to argue Alafan, but according to closing line
at scores and odds 49ers were -2'. Peace

9:00 PM EDT
421 green bay packers 34.5 34.5 35 +120 6 Over 35
422 san francisco 49ers -3 -2 / -2 -15 / -2 -2.5 -140 34 final
GB-RB-Grant-DoubtfulSF-QB-Smith-Questionable
Free Match Up Advanced Match Up Betting Trends Expert Picks LIVE Scores Box score Recap

[Alafan]

Was going by wagerlines closing line

[jcheckers]

Week 2 Update: These are with closing lines from scores and odds.

I saw this on another site, thought it was interesting and wanted to share it. These are Trends and I know that trends tend to even out over time. I'll be posting these plays and betting them as the Pre-Season unfolds, but only playing them as half units.

1. Never bet a pre-season game to go Over the Total if the home team is an Underdog. Since 2001 home dogs have gone 18-44-2 to the Under (71%)

0 UN- 2 OV (YTD: 1 UN -2 OV)



2. Play a pre-season game Over the Total when the O/U line is 34' to 36 points. 19-5 O/U last 4 seasons (79%) Remember, only play the Over when the home team is favored in this line range.

4 OV- 1 UN (YTD: 8 OV- 3 UN)

3. Play Under the Total in an expected High-scoring game. When the O/U line is 42-44 these games have gone 2-7 to the Under in the last 4 seasons (78%) Exception: In the last 9 years there were only two games where the O/U line was Really high (46 or more points) Both games went Over the Total (2-0 O/U)

4. Go Under with a low O/U line.. But go Over with a Really low O/U line. When the O/U line is 31'-34 these games have gone 7-20 to the Under in the last 4 seasons (74%) Finally, when the O/U line is 30-31 these games have gone a Perfect 4-0 to the Over!

31'-34 1 OV- 1 UN (YTD 6 OV-5 UN)

Week 2 Totals: 5-4 (YTD 14-12 54%)
After 2 weeks these trends are just barely profitable.
Playing OV 34'-36 has produced a profit going 8-3 73%
Will keep posting.

Good Luck to All!