Saturday Trends and Indexes 8/2

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Saturday, August 2nd

National League

Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs, 1:05 ET
Paul Maholm (L) vs. Ted Lilly (L)
Maholm: PIT 11-27 after having won 2 of their last 3
Lilly: CUBS 37-14 as a home favorite of -110 or higher

Milwaukee at Atlanta, 3:55 ET
CC Sabathia (L) vs. Charlie Morton (R)
Sabathia: MIL 10-1 in the second half
Morton: ATL 4-10 at home in the second half

NY Mets at Houston, 7:05 ET
Johan Santana (L) vs. Roy Oswalt (R)
Santana: 3-9 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175
Oswalt: 27-6 TSR in August

Colorado at Florida, 7:10 ET
Valerio De Los Santos (L) vs. Ricky Nolasco (R)
De Los Santos: COL 10-27 after 3+ consecutive road games
Nolasco: 8-2 TSR after a team loss

Cincinnati at Washington, 7:10 ET
Josh Fogg (R) vs. Jason Bergmann (R)
Fogg: 20-10 TSR on Saturdays
Bergmann: 2-13 TSR in all games

Philadelphia at St. Louis, 7:15 ET
Joe Blanton (R) vs. Braden Looper (R)
Blanton: PHI 5-12 on saturdays
Looper: STL 13-4 on saturdays

San Francisco at San Diego, 10:05 ET
Barry Zito (L) vs. Jake Peavy (R)
Zito: SF 8-2 after a game where their bullpen blew a save
Peavy: SD 30-44 when the total is 7 to 8.5

Arizona at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Yusmeiro Petit (R) vs. Hiroki Kuroda (R)
Petit: ARI 13-4 AWAY when the total is 7.5 or less
Kuroda: Dodgers 4-12 at home revenging a one run loss

American League

LA Angels at NY Yankees, 3:55 ET
Jered Weaver (R) vs. Mike Mussina (R)
Weaver: 21-7 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5
Mussina: 8-13 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175

Detroit at Tampa Bay, 6:10 ET
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Andy Sonnanstine (R)
Rogers: DET 34-45 against right-handed starters
Sonnanstine: TB 25-8 as a home favorite of -125 to -175

Oakland at Boston, 7:05 ET
Dana Eveland (L) vs. Jon Lester (L)
Eveland: OAK 8-18 in the second half
Lester: 14-2 TSR in second half

Cleveland at Minnesota, 7:10 ET
Paul Byrd (R) vs. Kevin Slowey (R)
Byrd: CLE 7-25 as a road underdog of +100 or higher
Slowey: MIN 11-2 at home in the second half

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City, 3:55 ET
Mark Buehrle (L) vs. Kyle Davies (R)
Buehrle: CHW 11-2 after 6+ consecutive road games
Davies: KC 20-43 at home when the total is 9 to 9.5

Toronto at Texas, 8:05 ET
AJ Burnett (R) vs. Scott Feldman (R)
Burnett: TOR 3-12 with a money line of -100 to -125
Feldman: Tex 21-12 after allowing 8+ runs

Baltimore at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Jeremy Guthrie (R) vs. Felix Hernandez (R)
Guthrie: BAL 22-10 UNDER AWAY against AL West
Hernandez: SEA 9-17 at home with a money line of -100 to -150

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

MLB
Write-Up


Early Pitchers


Saturday, August 2

Hot Pitchers
-- Cubs are 7-1 in Lilly's last eight home starts. Maholm is 2-1 in his last six starts, with a 2.45 RA.

--

Cold Pitchers
--

--

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won five of their last six games. Pirates won three of last four games.
-- Cardinals won four of their last five games. Phillies won four of their last five games.
-- Colorado is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Florida is 5-1 in game after its last six losses.
-- Astros won four of their last five games.
-- Arizona won nine of last eleven games, is 29-13 vs NL West.

-- Angels won fourteen of their last sixteen games.
-- Rays are 37-9 in last 46 home games. Tigers won six of last nine road games.
-- Royals won four of their last five games.
-- Minnesota won six of its last seven games.
-- Rangers are 7-4 in their last eleven home games.
-- Orioles won four of their last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Washington lost nine of their last ten games. Reds lost six of their last seven games.
-- Atlanta is 5-12 in its last seventeen home games. Brewers lost five of their last six games.
-- Mets lost three of their last four games.
-- Padres lost five of their last six home games. Giants lost five of last seven games, scored three runs in last 33 innings.
-- Dodgers are 2-3 in last five games, scoring 1-1 in last two.

-- Bronx lost five of its last six games.
-- Indians lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Red Sox lost five of their last seven games. Oakland is 2-13 in its last fifteen games.
-- Blue Jays lost four of their last five games.
-- Mariners lost ten of their last thirteen games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last six games.

Totals
-- Five of last six Cub games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Colorado's last twelve games.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Cincinnati road games.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Atlanta home games.
-- Over is 7-2-2 in last eleven Astro games.
-- Over is 8-2 in Phillies' last ten games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Giants' last seven games.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in Dodgers' last eleven games.

-- Over is 6-1 in last seven Bronx games.
-- Under is 8-4 in Boston's last twelve games.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Detroit games.
-- Nine of last ten Texas games went over the total.
-- Over is 12-3-1 in last sixteen White Sox games.
-- Over is 15-8-1 in last twenty-four Cleveland games.
-- Over is 19-5-1 in Orioles' last 25 road games.

Umpires
-- Pitt-Chi-- Home team is 7-3 in last ten Cuzzi games.
-- Mil-Atl-- Umpire Crawford left last night with bad back, so unsure who umps here.
-- NY-Hst-- Favorite won four of last five TWelke games, after dogs had won 14 of his first 17 games behind dish.
-- Colo-Fla-- Under is 13-3-1 in last 17 Davidson games.
-- Cin-Wsh-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Holbrook games.
-- Phil-StL-- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen Foster games.
-- SF-SD-- Favorite won four of last five Marsh games.
-- Az-LA-- Over is 7-4-1 in last twelve Cousins games.

-- LA-NY-- Under is 7-2 in last nine West games.
-- Det-TB-- Over is 5-1 in last six Tschida games.
-- A's-Bos-- Three of last four Tichenor games went over total.
-- Clev-Min-- Underdog is 7-2 in last nine Demuth games.
-- Chi-KC-- Over is 9-3 in last dozen Cederstrom games.
-- Tor-Tex-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Gibson games.
-- Blt-Sea-- Home side won last six Emmel games; under is 13-5 in his last 18 games behind the plate.

[pm530]

Major League Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up

Full Card


Saturday, August 2

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Hot Pitchers
-- Cubs are 7-1 in Lilly's last eight home starts. Maholm is 2-1 in his last six starts, with a 2.45 RA.
-- Sabathia is 4-1, 2.27 in five starts as a Brewer.
-- Oswalt is 3-1, 3.38 in his last five starts. Santana is 2-0, 2.65 in his last five starts.
-- Looper has a 2.25 RA in his last two starts.
-- Peavy is 3-2, 2.35 in his last seven starts.
-- Petit is 1-0, 1.64 in two starts this season.

-- Weaver is 3-1, 2.97 in his last six starts. Mussina is 3-1, 2.61 in his last five starts.
-- Red Sox won last eight Lester starts at Fenway.
-- Byrd is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
-- Twins won Slowey's last four home starts.
-- Burnett is 3-1, 1.65 in his last four starts.
-- Guthrie is 3-1, 3.29 in his last six starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Morton is 1-4, 8.79 in his last six starts.
-- de los Santos allowed two runs in four IP in his first '08 start. Nolasco is 0-2, 4.88 in his last four starts.
-- Fogg is 1-1, 7.20 in his last three starts.
-- Blanton has 7.88 RA in two starts for Phils, but they won both Bergmann is 0-3, 4.50 in his last four starts.
-- Zito has 6.75 RA in his last three starts.
-- Kuroda is 0-2, 13.89 in his last three starts.

-- Eveland is 0-2, 6.60 in his last three starts.
-- Rogers has 4.97 RA in his last four road starts. Sonnanstine is 0-3, 6.63 in his last three starts.
-- White Sox are 2-8 in Buehrle's last ten home starts. Davies is 1-2, 4.50 in his last five home starts.
-- Feldman has a 12.10 RA in his last two home starts.
-- Hernandez is 1-1, 4.30 in four starts since coming off the DL.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won five of their last six games. Pirates won three of last four games.
-- Cardinals won four of their last five games. Phillies won four of their last five games.
-- Colorado is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Florida is 5-1 in game after its last six losses.
-- Astros won four of their last five games.
-- Arizona won nine of last eleven games, is 29-13 vs NL West.

-- Angels won fourteen of their last sixteen games.
-- Rays are 37-9 in last 46 home games. Tigers won six of last nine road games.
-- Royals won four of their last five games.
-- Minnesota won six of its last seven games.
-- Rangers are 7-4 in their last eleven home games.
-- Orioles won four of their last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Washington lost nine of their last ten games. Reds lost six of their last seven games.
-- Atlanta is 5-12 in its last seventeen home games. Brewers lost five of their last six games.
-- Mets lost three of their last four games.
-- Padres lost five of their last six home games. Giants lost five of last seven games, scored three runs in last 33 innings.
-- Dodgers are 2-3 in last five games, scoring 1-1 in last two.

-- Bronx lost five of its last six games.
-- Indians lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Red Sox lost five of their last seven games. Oakland is 2-13 in its last fifteen games.
-- Blue Jays lost four of their last five games.
-- Mariners lost ten of their last thirteen games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last six games.

Totals
-- Five of last six Cub games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Colorado's last twelve games.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Cincinnati road games.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Atlanta home games.
-- Over is 7-2-2 in last eleven Astro games.
-- Over is 8-2 in Phillies' last ten games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Giants' last seven games.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in Dodgers' last eleven games.

-- Over is 6-1 in last seven Bronx games.
-- Under is 8-4 in Boston's last twelve games.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Detroit games.
-- Nine of last ten Texas games went over the total.
-- Over is 12-3-1 in last sixteen White Sox games.
-- Over is 15-8-1 in last twenty-four Cleveland games.
-- Over is 19-5-1 in Orioles' last 25 road games.

Umpires
-- Pitt-Chi-- Home team is 7-3 in last ten Cuzzi games.
-- Mil-Atl-- Umpire Crawford left last night with bad back, so unsure who umps here.
-- NY-Hst-- Favorite won four of last five TWelke games, after dogs had won 14 of his first 17 games behind dish.
-- Colo-Fla-- Under is 13-3-1 in last 17 Davidson games.
-- Cin-Wsh-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Holbrook games.
-- Phil-StL-- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen Foster games.
-- SF-SD-- Favorite won four of last five Marsh games.
-- Az-LA-- Over is 7-4-1 in last twelve Cousins games.

-- LA-NY-- Under is 7-2 in last nine West games.
-- Det-TB-- Over is 5-1 in last six Tschida games.
-- A's-Bos-- Three of last four Tichenor games went over total.
-- Clev-Min-- Underdog is 7-2 in last nine Demuth games.
-- Chi-KC-- Over is 9-3 in last dozen Cederstrom games.
-- Tor-Tex-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Gibson games.
-- Blt-Sea-- Home side won last six Emmel games; under is 13-5 in his last 18 games behind the plate.

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[pm530]

Six-pack for Saturday

-- Angels continue to clean house on their eastern trip; they nipped Bronx 1-0 Friday, despite looking feeble vs Ponson.

-- Jeff Karstens blanked Cubs for six innings in Pirate debut, as Pittsburgh gfets early dividend from Nady/Marte trade.

-- Reds are now 0-7 when prize prospect Bailey pitches.

-- Colorado's Brad Hawpe has 20 hits in his last 43 at-bats.

-- Randy Johnson won his fifth start in row, 293rd of career.

-- Carl Crawford tripled in his first at-bat in each of Rays' last three games, a pretty impressive streak.

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[pm530]

Saturday's List of 13: Random thoughts on summer Saturday

13) Why don’t strong lefty hitters like Howard-Ortiz-Delgado just bunt to beat shifts defenses use against them? Especially leading off an inning. Couple of those, and no more shifts.

12) Redskins have one big advantage at start of ’08 season; none of their coaches has ever called plays in the NFL, so they have no histories to study, making them unpredictable.

11) Packers offered Brett Favre $20M to go away….hell, they were only paying him $12M to play. Very strange situation.

10) On ESPN poker telecasts, an ace-king hand is called "Big Slick". On a TV show I was watching the other night, A-K was referred to as "Anna Kournikova—looks good, never wins."

9) Dodger pitcher Jason Johnson is a diabetic, and wears a device on back of his belt; it looks like pack for a microphone, but it helps him somehow monitor his diabetes.

8) A’s scored three or less runs in 13 of Greg Smith’s last 16 starts. The LSU rookie is pretty good, but he’s gotten very little support this season.

7) The greedy bastards at Exxon-Mobil made profit of $11.68B in second quarter of ’08, giving them a $22.57B profit for first half of the year. Despite these record profits, the thieving lowlives continue to charge over $4.10/gallon here in America’s second-favorite city, and our government lets it happen. Great.

6) Three years ago, the NHL salary cap was $39M; this coming season, the salary floor is $40M, the cap $57.7M. Hockey is regaining some momentum.

5) Infamous Cub fan Steve Bartman turned down $25,000 to show up at an event and sign a picture of him lunging for that foul ball in the 2003 playoff game. Lot of people tried to touch that ball; only he was unlucky enough to actually do it.

4) In 2006, there were 1.11 homers a game; last year, 1.02; so far this year, 0.99. 1993 was last time there was an average of less than a homer a game in the big leagues.

3) The five guys who were supposed to start on Rams’ offensive line LY started 18 of a possible 80 games; that and a -10 turnover ratio have to be turned around in order for St Louis to have any chance of making it to the playoffs n ’08. If they fix their OL, Rams could be pretty good.

2) Jason Bay scored couple runs, made sliding catch for Red Sox in their extra inning game Friday night; Manny Ramirez hit into a double play in 9th inning as Dodgers lost to Arizona 2-1. Manny had gotten an infield hit earlier in game.

1) Now that July 31 trading deadline in baseball has passed, the only guys who can be traded are guys who clear waivers; in other words, guys pretty much no one else wants, or whose contracts aren't ones you'd like to carry.

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