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Major League Baseball - Tips & Trends
MLB
We will update when projected scores are available.
Friday, July 25
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Tips and Trends
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Florida Marlins at Chicago Cubs [WGN | 2:20 ET]
Marlins: Josh Johnson will make his third start of the season after two fairly successful outings following his return from Tommy John surgery. Johnson has yet to get a decision though after giving up five runs and 13 hits in 11.2 innings of work, walking three and striking out 10. The Marlins ended up winning both games by one run.
Marlins are 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.
The OVER is 16-6 in the last 22 meetings.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
Cubs (-190): Ryan Dempster rebounded nicely from his first loss at Wrigley Field this season by pitching eight shutout innings to earn a win at Houston last Sunday. Dempster walked just one Astro and allowed six hits in a 9-0 victory after the Giants dropped his home record to 10-1 at Wrigley with a 4-2 win the previous Sunday. The Cubs had won his previous 11 home starts.
Cubs are 20-4 in their last 23 home games.
The UNDER is 7-2 in Chicago's last 9 games vs. NL East.
Key Injuries - OF Alfonso Soriano (.281; hand) has returned.
OF Jim Edmonds (.237; knee) is doubtful.
Closer Kerry Wood (24 saves; finger) is day-to-day.
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox [7:05 PM ET]
Yankees: Joba Chamberlain will make his first career start at Fenway Park after earning a no-decision against the Red Sox back on July 6th. Chamberlain pitched six solid innings in that outing, allowing three runs and four hits with four walks and five strikeouts. He had made eight starts overall this season, walking away with no-decisions six times despite allowing three runs or less in each outing. The Yankees are 6-2 in those games.
Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 games on grass.
The OVER is 22-7 in the last 29 meetings at Boston..
Key Injuries - C Jorge Posada (.268; shoulder) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
Red Sox (-130, O/U 8.5): Josh Beckett has shown glimpses of his former self this season but has yet to do it consistently. The perfect example came last Saturday at Anaheim when he pitched six scoreless innings before allowing all four runs in the bottom of the seventh of a 4-2 loss. The one thing he does have going for him is a history of tremendous run support when he pitches against the Yankees. Beckett is 5-1 lifetime vs. New York with an inflated 5.75 ERA, including three wins this season as the Red Sox outscored the Yanks by a 17-12 margin.
Red Sox are 40-11 in their last 51 home games.
The OVER is 8-3 in Beckett's last 11 starts vs. New York.
Key Injuries - DH David Ortiz (.252; hand) is expected to return.
SS Julio Lugo (.268; quad) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers [7:05 PM ET]
White Sox: Chicago's Gavin Floyd will try to stay unbeaten against the Tigers when he faces them for the third time this season. Floyd's first two starts of the year came against Detroit, and he won both after allowing just seven hits and three runs in a combined 13.1 innings. He is 3-0 lifetime against the Tigers with a 2.43 ERA but just 3-4 in eight road starts overall with a 5.40 ERA.
The OVER is 7-1 in Chicago's last 8 games overall.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
Tigers (-125, O/U 10.5): Detroit's Nate Robertson will look to earn his first win since June 21st at San Diego when he toes the rubber against Chicago. Robertson is 0-2 in his last five starts, surrendering 44 hits and 20 runs during that stretch. He got bombed last time out at Baltimore, giving up seven runs and eight hits in just 2.1 innings of an 11-10 loss for his shortest start of the season. He is 6-6 in 18 career starts against the White Sox with a 5.02 ERA and has gone 3-3 at home this year in nine starts with a 4.45 ERA.
Tigers are 2-6 in Robertson's last 8 starts vs. Chicago.
The OVER is 6-2 in Detroit's last 8 games following a win.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets [7:10 PM ET]
Cardinals: Mitchell Boggs returns to the starting rotation for the first time since getting rocked by the Mets in an 11-1 loss back on July 3rd. Boggs surrendered all 11 runs - 10 earned - in six innings with six walks and two strikeouts. The Cardinals had won his previous four starts, and Boggs earned a victory in three of them.
Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-3-3 in St. Louis' last 13 Friday games.
Key Injuries - OF Brian Barton (.246; hand) is on the 15-day DL.
OF Chris Duncan (.248; neck) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
Mets (-175, O/U 9): New York has won the last eight starts by Mike Pelfrey, but perhaps even more impressive is that all eight were decided by two runs or more. The Mets were able to overcome Pelfrey's worst start during that stretch to win 7-5 last Sunday, as he gave up five runs and six hits - including three homers - in seven innings of work. Pelfrey had not allowed a homer in his previous 10 starts. He is 4-4 in 10 home starts with an impressive 2.35 ERA.
Mets are 9-1 in their last 10 home games.
The UNDER is 9-2-1 in New York's last 12 home games.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
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MLB
We will update when projected scores are available.
Friday, July 25
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Tips and Trends
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Florida Marlins at Chicago Cubs [WGN | 2:20 ET]
Marlins: Josh Johnson will make his third start of the season after two fairly successful outings following his return from Tommy John surgery. Johnson has yet to get a decision though after giving up five runs and 13 hits in 11.2 innings of work, walking three and striking out 10. The Marlins ended up winning both games by one run.
Marlins are 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.
The OVER is 16-6 in the last 22 meetings.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
Cubs (-190): Ryan Dempster rebounded nicely from his first loss at Wrigley Field this season by pitching eight shutout innings to earn a win at Houston last Sunday. Dempster walked just one Astro and allowed six hits in a 9-0 victory after the Giants dropped his home record to 10-1 at Wrigley with a 4-2 win the previous Sunday. The Cubs had won his previous 11 home starts.
Cubs are 20-4 in their last 23 home games.
The UNDER is 7-2 in Chicago's last 9 games vs. NL East.
Key Injuries - OF Alfonso Soriano (.281; hand) has returned.
OF Jim Edmonds (.237; knee) is doubtful.
Closer Kerry Wood (24 saves; finger) is day-to-day.
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox [7:05 PM ET]
Yankees: Joba Chamberlain will make his first career start at Fenway Park after earning a no-decision against the Red Sox back on July 6th. Chamberlain pitched six solid innings in that outing, allowing three runs and four hits with four walks and five strikeouts. He had made eight starts overall this season, walking away with no-decisions six times despite allowing three runs or less in each outing. The Yankees are 6-2 in those games.
Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 games on grass.
The OVER is 22-7 in the last 29 meetings at Boston..
Key Injuries - C Jorge Posada (.268; shoulder) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
Red Sox (-130, O/U 8.5): Josh Beckett has shown glimpses of his former self this season but has yet to do it consistently. The perfect example came last Saturday at Anaheim when he pitched six scoreless innings before allowing all four runs in the bottom of the seventh of a 4-2 loss. The one thing he does have going for him is a history of tremendous run support when he pitches against the Yankees. Beckett is 5-1 lifetime vs. New York with an inflated 5.75 ERA, including three wins this season as the Red Sox outscored the Yanks by a 17-12 margin.
Red Sox are 40-11 in their last 51 home games.
The OVER is 8-3 in Beckett's last 11 starts vs. New York.
Key Injuries - DH David Ortiz (.252; hand) is expected to return.
SS Julio Lugo (.268; quad) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers [7:05 PM ET]
White Sox: Chicago's Gavin Floyd will try to stay unbeaten against the Tigers when he faces them for the third time this season. Floyd's first two starts of the year came against Detroit, and he won both after allowing just seven hits and three runs in a combined 13.1 innings. He is 3-0 lifetime against the Tigers with a 2.43 ERA but just 3-4 in eight road starts overall with a 5.40 ERA.
The OVER is 7-1 in Chicago's last 8 games overall.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
Tigers (-125, O/U 10.5): Detroit's Nate Robertson will look to earn his first win since June 21st at San Diego when he toes the rubber against Chicago. Robertson is 0-2 in his last five starts, surrendering 44 hits and 20 runs during that stretch. He got bombed last time out at Baltimore, giving up seven runs and eight hits in just 2.1 innings of an 11-10 loss for his shortest start of the season. He is 6-6 in 18 career starts against the White Sox with a 5.02 ERA and has gone 3-3 at home this year in nine starts with a 4.45 ERA.
Tigers are 2-6 in Robertson's last 8 starts vs. Chicago.
The OVER is 6-2 in Detroit's last 8 games following a win.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets [7:10 PM ET]
Cardinals: Mitchell Boggs returns to the starting rotation for the first time since getting rocked by the Mets in an 11-1 loss back on July 3rd. Boggs surrendered all 11 runs - 10 earned - in six innings with six walks and two strikeouts. The Cardinals had won his previous four starts, and Boggs earned a victory in three of them.
Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-3-3 in St. Louis' last 13 Friday games.
Key Injuries - OF Brian Barton (.246; hand) is on the 15-day DL.
OF Chris Duncan (.248; neck) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
Mets (-175, O/U 9): New York has won the last eight starts by Mike Pelfrey, but perhaps even more impressive is that all eight were decided by two runs or more. The Mets were able to overcome Pelfrey's worst start during that stretch to win 7-5 last Sunday, as he gave up five runs and six hits - including three homers - in seven innings of work. Pelfrey had not allowed a homer in his previous 10 starts. He is 4-4 in 10 home starts with an impressive 2.35 ERA.
Mets are 9-1 in their last 10 home games.
The UNDER is 9-2-1 in New York's last 12 home games.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: TBD
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