Wednesday Trends and Indexes 07/09

[pm530]

MLB


Wednesday, July 9

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Database Trends
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Today's Baseball Pick

St.Louis - Philadelphia: OVER 10.5 -110
Action on game.

Keys to selection: When ST LOUIS team Played as Road team as a Underdog - During a night game - Vs Non Division Opponent - Scored 2 or more runs FOR in their last game - Coming off a 2 run win; The OVER is 18-6-1 for the Cardinals in this position since ?97.

Baseball Streakers

Who's Hot: NY Mets 4 SU Wins, NY Yankees 3 SU Wins, and Chicago White Sox 3 SU Wins.

Who's Not: Cleveland 9 SU Losses, Washington 6 SU Losses, Philadelphia 4 SU Losses, Baltimore 3 SU Losses, Seattle 3 SU Losses, and Houston 3 SU Losses.

O/U Streaks: Florida 6 Over, Colorado 6 Over, Kansas City 3 Over, Milwaukee 3 Over, Arizona 4 Under.


Today's Stats and Trends

When OAKLAND team played as a -160 to -180 Home Favorite - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Vs AL WEST opponent - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off a Win vs. AL WEST opponent.

SU RECORD: 8-3

O/U RECORD: 9-2-0


When NY YANKEES team played as a Home team - During the month of July - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a Win vs. AL EAST opponent - Coming off 1 under.

SU RECORD: 10-1

O/U RECORD: 4-7-0


When TORONTO team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - 2nd game of a series - Coming off a Win vs. AL EAST opponent - Scored 7 or less runs. FOR in their last game

SU RECORD: 10-1

O/U RECORD: 5-4-2


When MINNESOTA team played as a Road team - After a non division game - During the month of July - Allowed 6 runs or more AGAINST in their last game - Coming off 1 over.

SU RECORD: 7-10

O/U RECORD: 3-13-1


When ATLANTA team played as a 100 to 120 Road Underdog - Vs NL Conference - During a night game - Coming off a night game - Coming off a Road win as a Underdog.

SU RECORD: 8-3

O/U RECORD: 10-1-0


When OAKLAND team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Vs. Right handed pitchers - After a division game - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Allowed 0 runs. AGAINST in their last game

SU RECORD: 8-2

O/U RECORD: 7-2-1



When TAMPA BAY team played as a 100 to 120 road Underdog - Playing on Wednesday - 2nd game of a series.

SU RECORD: 2-10

O/U RECORD: 9-2-1


When CHI WHITE SOX team Played as road team as a Favorite - Playing on Wednesday - Before a conference game.

SU RECORD: 5-6

O/U RECORD: 1-9-1


When NY YANKEES team Played as home team as a Favorite - Playing on Wednesday - During the month of July.

SU RECORD: 14-2

7-9-0


When ATLANTA team played as a 100 to 120 road Underdog - During a night game - During the month of July.

SU RECORD: 11-7

O/U RECORD: 14-3-1


When ATLANTA team played as a road team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - During the 2008 season.

SU RECORD: 11-20

O/U RECORD: 6-24-1


When ATLANTA team played as a road team - 3rd game of a series - During the 2008 season.

SU RECORD: 2-10

O/U RECORD: 2-10-0


OAKLAND: When ANY MLB Team played as a -160 to -180 Home Favorite - 3rd game of a series - After a conference game - Before a division game - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off a 2 game winning streak - Coming off a night game.

SU RECORD: 13-3

O/U RECORD: 7-9-0


CHI WHITE SOX: When ANY MLB Team played as a -120 to -140 Road Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - Last 2 years - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a Road win - Coming off 1 over - Coming off a Road win as a Favorite.

SU RECORD: 13-2

O/U RECORD: 3-12-0


TORONTO: When ANY MLB Team played as a -160 to -180 Home Favorite - During the 2008 season - During a night game - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Coming off a 1 game win.

SU RECORD: 14-3

O/U RECORD: 8-8-1

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[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys, good luck today/tonight!

[pm530]

Major League Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB


Wednesday, July 9

Update

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Tips and Trends
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St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies [ESPN | 7:05 PM ET]

Cardinals: Mark Mulder makes his first start of the season for the Cards, and that's not necessarily a good thing. In three starts last year, Mulder was 0-3 with an awful 12.27 ERA. Things haven't been any better for Mulder in 2008. In two appearances as a relief pitcher, he has a 13.50 ERA and teams are hitting a ridiculous .571 against him. Mulder has started three games against the Phillies in his career, going 0-1 with an ERA of 5.21.

Cardinals are 11-4 in their last 14 Wednesday games.
The OVER is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Key Injuries - SS Cesar Izturis (.241; hamstring) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

Phillies (-135, O/U 10.5): J.A. Happ gets his second start of the year after winning his first outing against the Mets. In that game Happ allowed two runs in 4.2 innings of work, although he did walk four batters. In two starts over his career, teams are hitting .278 against Happ. He's also allowed three home runs in those two outings.

Phillies are 1-9 in their last 10 home games.
Phillies are 2-12 in their last 14 games as a favorite.

Key Injuries - RP Tom Gordon (5-4; elbow) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 6



Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers [7:05 PM ET]

Indians: The only people happy to see Paul Byrd on the mound are Tigers fans. Byrd has dropped five straight decisions, allowing 25 runs in 25.1 innings over that span. One bright spot for the struggling Byrd is that he's had success against the Tigers throughout his career, going 9-2 with a solid 3.49 ERA in 17 starts. Betting against Byrd on the road this season has been like visiting an ATM machine. He's just 1-8 with an ERA of 7.21 away from home.

Indians are 0-9 in their last 9 games overall.
Indians are 7-24 in their last 31 road games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Tigers (-150, O/U 10): It's been all or nothing for Eddie Bonine in his four starts this year. In his two strong outings, Bonine allowed just three runs in 15 innings pitched. However, in his two poor performances, he's given up 11 runs in only eight innings of work. Bonine is coming off a terrible outing against the Twins where he allowed seven runs over 2.2 innings. Bonine has won both of his starts at home this season and the UNDER has cashed his last two times out.

Tigers are 23-5 in their last 28 games as a favorite.
Tigers are 10-3 in their last 13 Wednesday games.

Key Injuries - 1B Carlos Guillen (.286; rest) is questionable.
OF Magglio Ordonez (.307; oblique) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 7



Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers [8:05 PM ET]

Rockies: Glendon Rusch comes out of the bullpen to make his second start of the season for Colorado. Rusch has been dismal as a relief pitcher for the Rockies this year, sporting a less-than-impressive 7.36 ERA and allowing 13 walks in 25 innings pitched. Rusch has had success as a starter against the Brewers in the past, going 4-2 with a solid 3.59 ERA in eight career starts versus Milwaukee.

Rockies are 7-27 in their last 34 road games.
The UNDER is 10-1 in Colorado's last 11 Wednesday games.

Key Injuries - 1B Todd Helton (back;.266) is on the 15-day DL.
SS Troy Tulowitzki (hand; .166) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Brewers (-240, O/U 9): Ace Ben Sheets has been on fire of late, winning four of his last five decisions. In his last 10 appearances, Sheets has allowed two runs or less an amazing seven times. He's also been virtually unbeatable at home, going 4-1 with a 2.74 ERA in six home starts. Sheets is 4-3 with a 4.25 ERA in nine career starts versus Colorado. Even though he's pitched well recently, the OVER is still 4-2 in Sheets' last six starts.

Brewers are 14-5 in their last 19 games on grass.
Brewers are 26-9 in Sheets' last 35 starts on grass.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 5



Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers [8:05 PM ET]

Angels (-145, O/U 10.5): After a slow start to the season, Jered Weaver is 6-3 the last nine times he's taken the mound. Weaver has only allowed three runs over his last 18.2 innings of work. However, one of those games was a 1-0 loss to the Dodgers where Weaver helped pitch a no-hitter. Weaver has been average on the road this season, going 4-4 with a 4.85 ERA. The UNDER is 3-1 in Weaver's last four road starts.

Angels are 12-5 in their last 17 road games.
The UNDER is 22-8-2 in LA's last 32 road games.

Key Injuries - C Mike Napoli (.204; shoulder) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 7 (Side Play of the Day)

Rangers: The Rangers finally got over the hump with Eric Hurley on the mound his last time out against the Phillies. After losing the first three games Hurley started, Texas got into the win column thanks to the youngster allowing the powerful Phillies lineup just one run over 5.2 innings. Hurley has a 2.53 ERA in two starts at home this season, while the UNDER has cashed in three of his four outings.

The OVER is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
The OVER is 10-3-2 in the last 15 meetings.

Key Injuries - C Gerald Laird (.306; hamstring) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

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