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Major League Baseball - Tips & Trends
MLB
Updated
Monday, July 7
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Tips and Trends
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New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies [7:05 PM ET]
Mets: It's hard to believe that Pedro Martinez has been one of the worst pitchers in MLB over the last month, but that's been the case. In his last 15 innings pitched, Martinez has given up an unacceptable 17 runs. Back in the day, Pedro used to give up 17 runs in half a season. In his seven starts this year, Martinez has allowed four runs or more five times. Pedro has been hammered in five road starts, going 1-1 with a 8.37 ERA. The OVER is 4-2-1 in games with Martinez on the mound.
Mets are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
The OVER is 16-5-1 in Martinez's last 22 road starts.
Key Injuries - OF Ryan Church (.307; illness) is day-to-day.
PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)
Phillies (-130, O/U 10.5): Adam Eaton comes into today's game losing three of his last four outings. Over that stretch, Eaton has allowed 14 runs in 23.2 innings of work. The good news for Phillies backers is Eaton has owned the Mets throughout his career. He's a perfect 5-0 with a 3.29 ERA in nine starts against New York. Eaton is one of the few Philly pitchers who hasn't received a ton of run support. Because of that, the UNDER is 9-1 in his last 10 starts.
Phillies are 1-7 in their last 8 home games.
The UNDER is 14-2-1 in Eaton's 17 starts this season.
Key Injuries - RP Tom Gordon (5-4; elbow) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 5
Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox [ESPN | 7:05 PM ET]
Twins: Scott Baker comes into this game with the Red Sox on a three-game winning streak. In his last 18 innings on the mound, Baker has allowed seven runs, while striking out 15. He's been sensational at home but just average on the road, going 2-2 with a 4.58 ERA in six starts away from the Metrodome. Baker has been consistent all year. He's allowed three runs or less nine times in his last 10 outings. The UNDER is 5-2 in Baker's last seven starts.
Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 games as an underdog.
Twins are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Key Injuries - OF Michael Cuddyer (.252; finger) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 3
Red Sox (-175, O/U 9): After a terrible outing against St. Louis in his first start back from the DL, Daisuke Matsuzaka has regained the form he had before his injury. In his last two starts, Dice-K has only given up one run in 10 innings of work. Matsuzaka is 5-1 at Fenway Park, although his ERA is a less than impressive 4.10. Overall, the Red Sox are 11-3 in games Matsuzaka has started this season.
Red Sox are 2-7 in their last 9 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-2-2 in Boston's last 11 games on grass.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)
Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers [8:05 PM ET]
Angels (-140, O/U 10): After a sizzling start to the season, Ervin Santana has been average in his last 10 outings. Over that span, Santana has allowed four runs or more five times. Santana was dismal on the road last season but has turned it around in 2008, going 6-1 with a 3.36 ERA away from home. Santana was known as a pitcher who had control issues heading into this year, but he seems to have corrected that problem, striking out 106 and walking just 30 in 115.1 innings of work.
Angels are 11-4 in their last 15 road games.
The UNDER is 21-7-2 in LA's last 30 road games.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: 6
Rangers: There is the old good news, bad news when it comes to Luis Mendoza. The good news is he's been terrific as a relief pitcher. The bad news is he's been awful as a starter. Unfortunately for the Rangers, he'll be starting today. In his three starts this season Mendoza has allowed a ridiculous 17 runs in just 12.2 innings pitched. His last time out the Yankees hammered Mendoza, scoring six runs before he was lifted in the fourth inning. Two of Mendoza's three starts this year easily went OVER the total.
Rangers are 2-7 in their last 9 Monday games.
The UNDER is 7-3-1 in Texas' last 11 games following a win.
Key Injuries - C Gerald Laird (.306; hamstring) is on the 15-day DL.
OF Milton Bradley (.320; knee) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 4
Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers [10:10 PM ET]
Braves: Jorge Campillo began the year on fire but he's come back to earth over the last month. Campillo has lost three of his last four starts, allowing 11 runs in 18.1 innings pitched. He has, however, been phenomenal away from home, possessing a road ERA of 1.00 in 10 appearances as a starter and reliever. Overall, the Braves have lost five of the last six games Campillo has started.
Braves are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 games overall.
Key Injuries - SS Omar Infante (.282; hamstring) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 3
Dodgers (-130, O/U 7.5): Hiroki Kuroda makes his second start since coming off the DL. The Dodgers are hoping it goes as well as his last outing against the Astros where Kuroda pitched five scoreless innings. Kuroda has been tough at home this season, going 2-0 with a solid 3.00 ERA. The UNDER has been a moneymaking proposition with Kuroda on the mound, going 9-4-2 in his 15 starts this season.
Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games overall.
The UNDER is 11-3 in LA's last 14 games overall.
Key Injuries - OF Juan Pierre (.277; knee) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 4
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MLB
Updated
Monday, July 7
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Tips and Trends
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New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies [7:05 PM ET]
Mets: It's hard to believe that Pedro Martinez has been one of the worst pitchers in MLB over the last month, but that's been the case. In his last 15 innings pitched, Martinez has given up an unacceptable 17 runs. Back in the day, Pedro used to give up 17 runs in half a season. In his seven starts this year, Martinez has allowed four runs or more five times. Pedro has been hammered in five road starts, going 1-1 with a 8.37 ERA. The OVER is 4-2-1 in games with Martinez on the mound.
Mets are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
The OVER is 16-5-1 in Martinez's last 22 road starts.
Key Injuries - OF Ryan Church (.307; illness) is day-to-day.
PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)
Phillies (-130, O/U 10.5): Adam Eaton comes into today's game losing three of his last four outings. Over that stretch, Eaton has allowed 14 runs in 23.2 innings of work. The good news for Phillies backers is Eaton has owned the Mets throughout his career. He's a perfect 5-0 with a 3.29 ERA in nine starts against New York. Eaton is one of the few Philly pitchers who hasn't received a ton of run support. Because of that, the UNDER is 9-1 in his last 10 starts.
Phillies are 1-7 in their last 8 home games.
The UNDER is 14-2-1 in Eaton's 17 starts this season.
Key Injuries - RP Tom Gordon (5-4; elbow) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 5
Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox [ESPN | 7:05 PM ET]
Twins: Scott Baker comes into this game with the Red Sox on a three-game winning streak. In his last 18 innings on the mound, Baker has allowed seven runs, while striking out 15. He's been sensational at home but just average on the road, going 2-2 with a 4.58 ERA in six starts away from the Metrodome. Baker has been consistent all year. He's allowed three runs or less nine times in his last 10 outings. The UNDER is 5-2 in Baker's last seven starts.
Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 games as an underdog.
Twins are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Key Injuries - OF Michael Cuddyer (.252; finger) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 3
Red Sox (-175, O/U 9): After a terrible outing against St. Louis in his first start back from the DL, Daisuke Matsuzaka has regained the form he had before his injury. In his last two starts, Dice-K has only given up one run in 10 innings of work. Matsuzaka is 5-1 at Fenway Park, although his ERA is a less than impressive 4.10. Overall, the Red Sox are 11-3 in games Matsuzaka has started this season.
Red Sox are 2-7 in their last 9 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-2-2 in Boston's last 11 games on grass.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)
Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers [8:05 PM ET]
Angels (-140, O/U 10): After a sizzling start to the season, Ervin Santana has been average in his last 10 outings. Over that span, Santana has allowed four runs or more five times. Santana was dismal on the road last season but has turned it around in 2008, going 6-1 with a 3.36 ERA away from home. Santana was known as a pitcher who had control issues heading into this year, but he seems to have corrected that problem, striking out 106 and walking just 30 in 115.1 innings of work.
Angels are 11-4 in their last 15 road games.
The UNDER is 21-7-2 in LA's last 30 road games.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: 6
Rangers: There is the old good news, bad news when it comes to Luis Mendoza. The good news is he's been terrific as a relief pitcher. The bad news is he's been awful as a starter. Unfortunately for the Rangers, he'll be starting today. In his three starts this season Mendoza has allowed a ridiculous 17 runs in just 12.2 innings pitched. His last time out the Yankees hammered Mendoza, scoring six runs before he was lifted in the fourth inning. Two of Mendoza's three starts this year easily went OVER the total.
Rangers are 2-7 in their last 9 Monday games.
The UNDER is 7-3-1 in Texas' last 11 games following a win.
Key Injuries - C Gerald Laird (.306; hamstring) is on the 15-day DL.
OF Milton Bradley (.320; knee) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 4
Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers [10:10 PM ET]
Braves: Jorge Campillo began the year on fire but he's come back to earth over the last month. Campillo has lost three of his last four starts, allowing 11 runs in 18.1 innings pitched. He has, however, been phenomenal away from home, possessing a road ERA of 1.00 in 10 appearances as a starter and reliever. Overall, the Braves have lost five of the last six games Campillo has started.
Braves are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 games overall.
Key Injuries - SS Omar Infante (.282; hamstring) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 3
Dodgers (-130, O/U 7.5): Hiroki Kuroda makes his second start since coming off the DL. The Dodgers are hoping it goes as well as his last outing against the Astros where Kuroda pitched five scoreless innings. Kuroda has been tough at home this season, going 2-0 with a solid 3.00 ERA. The UNDER has been a moneymaking proposition with Kuroda on the mound, going 9-4-2 in his 15 starts this season.
Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games overall.
The UNDER is 11-3 in LA's last 14 games overall.
Key Injuries - OF Juan Pierre (.277; knee) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 4
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