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  • Dunkel index

    Originally posted by $$$
    Dunkel Index: Baseball

    Today's MLB Picks

    Cleveland at Minnesota
    Minnesota starter Kevin Slowey is 3-0 with a 0.93 ERA over his last four starts and will look to take advantage of Cleveland's 4-13 record as a road underdog between +100 and +125. The Twins are the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has Minnesota favored by 3 1/2.

    Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120).


    Here are all of today's games.

    SATURDAY, JULY 5
    Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
    Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis
    Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lilly) 15.788; St. Louis (Lohse) 14.866
    Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 10
    Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 9
    Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+105); Over

    Game 903-904: NY Mets at Philadelphia
    Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Maine) 15.101; Philadelphia (Moyer) 16.799
    Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
    Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Over

    Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee
    Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 16.799; Milwaukee (Bush) 14.704
    Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8 1/2
    Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 9
    Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+130); Under

    Game 907-908: Houston at Atlanta
    Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Sampson) 13.465; Atlanta (Reyes) 14.782
    Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 10
    Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-160); Over

    Game 909-910: Washington at Cincinnati
    Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Redding) 14.595; Cincinnati (Fogg) 13.590
    Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 10
    Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Washington (+115); Over

    Game 911-912: Florida at Colorado
    Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Tucker) 13.914; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.651
    Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 11 1/2
    Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 10 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-130); Over

    Game 913-914: San Diego at Arizona
    Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Peavy) 13.417; Arizona (Davis) 14.910
    Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
    Vegas Line: Arizona (-105); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-105); Under

    Game 915-916: LA Dodgers at San Francisco
    Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Park) 15.160; San Francisco (Zito) 16.319
    Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8
    Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-110); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+100); Under

    Game 917-918: Boston at NY Yankees
    Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Masterson) 15.188; NY Yankees (Mussina) 15.460
    Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 10 1/2
    Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130); Over

    Game 919-920: Texas at Baltimore
    Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Hurley) 14.965; Baltimore (Burres) 14.763
    Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9 1/2
    Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 10
    Dunkel Pick: Texas (+110); Under

    Game 921-922: Oakland at Chicago White Sox
    Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Smith) 14.890; White Sox (Floyd) 15.524
    Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
    Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-125); Over

    Game 923-924: Kansas City at Tampa Bay
    Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 16.330; Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 15.556
    Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
    Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Under

    Game 925-926: Cleveland at Minnesota
    Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Laffey) 13.904; Minnesota (Slowey) 17.210
    Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 8
    Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Under

    Game 927-928: Toronto at LA Angels
    Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 15.644; LA Angels (Lackey) 14.738
    Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 6 1/2
    Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 7
    Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+115); Under

    Game 929-930: Detroit at Seattle
    Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Galarraga) 15.803; Seattle (Dickey) 15.598
    Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8 1/2
    Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 9
    Dunkel usually have teams favor by 1 or .5 runs, have not seen one that is favor by 3 runs. Anyone who follow this index have an ideal as to how good this is, when a team is favor by 3 runs?

    Thanks
    Last edited by thaikarate1; 07-05-2008, 12:45 PM.

  • #2
    Accu score on cbssportsline have the Twins favor 58% to 42% also.

    Comment


    • #3
      Kevin Slowey (5-6, 3.47 ERA) looks to continue that trend as he has gone 3-0 with a 0.93 ERA in his last four starts. He enters with a 16-inning scoreless streak and has struck out 24 batters over his last 29 innings.

      Cleveland's Aaron Laffey (4-5, 3.24) tries to get his first victory since he held the Twins to one run and five hits over six innings in a 12-2 home win on June 12.

      Since then, the left-hander is 0-2 with a 4.58 ERA in his last three starts. He gave up five runs and eight hits over five innings to lose 9-5 to Cincinnati on Sunday.

      Laffey is 1-1 with a 5.28 ERA in three career starts versus Minnesota.

      Comment


      • #4
        thaikarate

        Originally posted by thaikarate1
        Dunkel usually have teams favor by 1 or .5 runs, have not seen one that is favor by 3 runs. Anyone who follow this index have an ideal as to how good this is, when a team is favor by 3 runs?

        Thanks
        If you remember the 3 wise men using dunkel with a "K" factor involved in there....the 3 wise men "kicked ass" with their MLB plays....

        I have seen 4 1/2 spreads from Dunkel....Using the 3 wise men formula, here's what we would show the plays as...

        a 2* play, and possibly a 2 1/2* play based on the -125 line, and Twins at home....

        this would be considered the POD by the 3 wise men standards....hope this input helps....


        Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by Kaptain
          If you remember the 3 wise men using dunkel with a "K" factor involved in there....the 3 wise men "kicked ass" with their MLB plays....

          I have seen 4 1/2 spreads from Dunkel....Using the 3 wise men formula, here's what we would show the plays as...

          a 2* play, and possibly a 2 1/2* play based on the -125 line, and Twins at home....

          this would be considered the POD by the 3 wise men standards....hope this input helps....

          I was thinking about making this my play of the day. You just confirm it.

          Thanks Kapt

          Comment


          • #6
            Line is moving up

            Comment


            • #7
              3.5 is high especially for -120, usually 2 is -200

              Comment


              • #8
                Got to keep an eye on this Index when they have a team favor by this much.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by thaikarate1
                  Got to keep an eye on this Index when they have a team favor by this much.



                  Thanks!

                  I put a nickle on the Twins! Nice 5 run bottom of the 6th!
                  NBA is a joke

                  Comment

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