Friday Plays - 7/4/08

[rented mule]

Yesterday 4-0 +$528
Season 10-5 +551

Bos/NYY under 9.5 (-115) $115/$100

Beckett's ERA is 1.64 in his past 3 games and 2.48 in his past 7. Rasner has pitched well at home with a 2.08 ERA. With the exception of the big game against Texas, the Yankees have look tired at the plate. In addition the under is 15-5 in home plate umpire Schrieber's last 20 behind the plate.

LA/SF under 7.5 (-115) $115/$100

Sanchez' ERA is 2.08 in his past 3 starts and 2.90 at home for the season. The under is 5-1 in his past 6 home starts. The under is 10-1 in LA's last 11 games and 7-2-1 in Lowe's last 10 starts vs SF. In the last 10 games, the Dodgers are batting .208 and the Giants .225. I don't expect this to be the breakout game at the plate for these teams, so one unit on the under.

Will have a few more plays later today.

[Kaptain]

gl today Mule----thanks

[Dat Boi E]

good luck today, Mule! happy 4th!

[10DimeBry]

GL today mule

[tech fan]

Gl Today Buddy

[libertypl]

BOL to ya mule nice job yesterday.

[longnex]

Good luck

[rented mule]

Tampa Bay Team Total over 4.5 (-120) $180/$150

The Rays have averaged 6+ runs over the past 10 games. KC has allowed 5 or more runs in each of the past 6 games. Bannister is very hard to read, but he has a 7.78 ERA on the road this season. I like my chances here with the Ray to score 5 runs in this one.

White Sox (-156) $101/$65
White Sox -1.5 (+135) $65/$88

Blanton has a 10.29 ERA is his last 3 starts and 6.75 on the road this season. Oakland is 5-13 in his starts this season. Buehrle has a 1.17 ERA in his past 3 games and the Sox are3-0 in those starts and 5-2 in his home starts this season.

The only thing keeping me from laying the 1.56 for a 1.5 or 2 unit play is that fact that the Sox are 4-14 in Buehrle's career starts vs Oakland, although the record is 2-2 since 2006. I structured this so that i'm playing 1.5 units laying -1 run -1.09.

Twins (-130) $163/$125

This line is a bit puzzling, but i'm not going to overthink it. The Twins are 8-2 in Hernandez' home starts this season, although he did get lit up by the Indians, in Cleveland, last month. Byrd has not been good, with an ERA of 6.88 in his past 3 starts and a glowing 1-7 record with an ERA of 6.89 on the road this season. He has given up 4 or more ER in 5 of his last 6 starts. The Twins are hitting .310 over the last 10 games and Cleveland has lost 20 of their last 27 on the road. I'll take a shot with the Twins here.

[Chado1]

BOL today muler!!!

[rented mule]

Adding one last play:

Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105) $100/$105

I hate laying 1.5 at home, but Haren has been so dominant. I thought about playing the SD TT under 3.5, but I finally decided to play Arizona on the run line. This play is all about Haren for me. He's only given up one run in his last 3 starts and none in the past 2, those last two starts being against Boston and Florida. The Padres offense is terrible and Arizona should be able to win by 2 here.

[ezscore]

Tough one to take on the NYY/Bost under....I was with you....