Monday Trends and Indexes 06/30

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Monday, June 30th

National League

NY Mets at St. Louis, 7:05 ET
John Maine (R) vs. Kyle Lohse (R)
Maine: 16-5 TSR Away in night games
Lohse: StL 26-9 Under off an Over

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, 7:05 ET
Paul Maholm (L) vs. Aaron Harang (R)
Maholm: Pit 35-17 Over as underdog
Harang: 26-12 TSR off BB team wins

Washington at Florida, 7:10 ET
Tim Redding (R) vs. Ryan Tucker (R)
Redding: 12-1 TSR as an underdog
Tucker: Fla 17-8 Over vs. division

LA Dodgers at Houston, 8:05 ET
Eric Stults (L) vs. Roy Oswalt (R)
Stults: Dodgers 15-5 Under with double revenge
Oswalt: Hou 3-0 vs. Dodgers this season

San Diego at Colorado, 9:05 ET
Greg Maddux (R) vs. Jorge De La Rosa (L)
Maddux: SD 8-18 vs. lefties
De la Rosa: Col 5-1 Under vs. San Diego

Milwaukee at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Dave Bush (R) vs. Doug Davis (L)
Bush: 5-20 TSR as road underdog
Davis: 18-5 TSR in home games

Chicago Cubs at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Ted Lilly (L) vs. Barry Zito (L)
Lilly: Cubs 18-5 vs. NL West
Zito: 0-8 TSR as home underdog

American League

Kansas City at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Zack Greinke (R) vs. Brian Burres (L)
Greinke: KC 15-29 off a loss
Burres: 8-1 TSR at home in night games

Texas at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Scott Feldman (R) vs. Mike Mussina (R)
Feldman: 9-1 Under on grass field
Mussina: Yankees 13-3 vs. Texas

Boston at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Justin Masterson (R) vs. James Shields (R)
Masterson: Bos 14-22 Away vs. righties
Shields: TB 14-4 at home vs. division

Detroit at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Armando Galarraga (R) vs. Glen Perkins (L)
Galarraga: Det 15-5 vs. lefties
Perkins: Min 3-0 at home vs. Detroit this season

Cleveland at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Jeremy Sowers (L) vs. Gavin Floyd (R)
Sowers: Cle 7-18 when the total is 9 to 9.5
Floyd: White Sox 14-2 at home in June

Oakland at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Greg Smith (L) vs. Jon Garland (R)
Smith: Oak 26-13 off BB home games
Garland: 0-6 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -150

Toronto at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Roy Halladay (R) vs. R.A. Dickey (R)
Halladay: 0-3 TSR, 3.37 ERA L3 starts
Dickey: Sea 1-9 at home in June

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

MLB


Monday, June 30


Update
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Tips and Trends
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New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals [ESPN | 7:05 PM ET]

Mets: John Maine has won two straight thanks to just four runs allowed over his last 12.2 innings of work. Maine has a solid 3.64 ERA on the road this season but his record is just 4-4. However, Maine is 3-1 in his last four starts away from home. The Mets are just 5-5 in his last 10 starts, with Maine allowing 20 runs in the five losses. You can expect to see a lot of runs scored when Maine is on the mound. The OVER is 7-3 in his last 10 starts.

Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win.
The OVER is 9-4-3 in New York's last 16 games following a win.

Key Injuries - OF Ryan Church (.300; concussion) has been activated off the DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Cardinals (-110, O/U 8.5): Kyle Lohse has been one of the NL's top pitchers this season. He's 6-0 with no-decisions in his last seven starts and hasn't recorded a loss since May 8. In his last 10 outings, Lohse has allowed three runs or less seven times. Control has been a big reason for Lohse's success. He's only walked 24 batters in 98.1 innings pitched this season. Lohse has been dominant at home, going 4-1 with a 3.10 ERA in nine starts at Busch Stadium.

Cardinals are 7-1 in Lohse's last 8 starts.
Cardinals are 3-8 in their last 11 Monday games.

Key Injuries - SS Cesar Izturis (.241; hamstring) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5



Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays [NESN | 7:10 PM ET]

Red Sox: It's usually good news for the Red Sox when Justin Masterson takes to the hill. Boston has won five of the seven games Masterson has started this season. Masterson got a no-decision his last time out against Arizona after allowing four runs over six innings. The four runs are out of the ordinary for Masterson. He's allowed three runs or less five times this year. Masterson's last two starts have gone OVER the total.

Red Sox are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
The UNDER is 21-8-3 in Boston's last 32 Monday games.

Key Injuries - OF Coco Crisp (.270; suspension) is OUT until July 3.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Rays (-145, O/U 9): James Shields won his first game in a month and a half his last time out against Florida. In that outing Shields went seven strong innings, allowing just one run. In his three games prior to that Shields allowed a total of 13 runs. Despite his recent struggles, Shields has been extremely tough at home, going 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA in eight starts at Tropicana Field. The UNDER is 5-1 in Shields' last six starts at home.

Rays are 25-7 in their last 32 games on turf.
The UNDER is 22-8-1 in Tampa Bay's last 31 home games.

Key Injuries - 2B Akinori Iwamura (.276; suspension) is OUT until July 1.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5



Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks [9:40 PM ET]

Brewers: After getting hammered for most of the season, Dave Bush has bounced back strong in his last two outings, picking up wins against Toronto and Atlanta. Bush allowed just two runs over 15 innings of work in those two games. While the victory over Atlanta came on the road, Bush has really struggled away from home overall, going 1-5 with a 6.92 ERA. A lot of runs are usually scored with Bush on the mound. In his last 10 starts, the OVER is 6-3-1.

Brewers are 20-8 in their last 28 games on grass.
The UNDER is 7-2 in Milwaukee's last 9 games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - RP Eric Gagne (10 saves; shoulder) has been activated off the DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Diamondbacks (-125, O/U 9.5): Doug Davis hasn't recorded a decision in his last three starts, although he's pitched well. In his last 20 innings of work, Davis has allowed just four runs. Davis has pitched well overall for the Diamondbacks this season, allowing three runs or less in seven of his nine starts. Even though Davis hasn't recorded a win in last three appearances, he's pitched well enough for the UNDER to cash all three times.

Diamondbacks are 18-5 in Davis' last 23 home starts.
The OVER is 11-5-1 in Davis' last 17 starts overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)



Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels [10:05 PM ET]

A's: Oakland's Greg Smith will try to win for the first time in three starts and beat the Angels for the first time in his career. Smith has gotten just one run of support combined over his last two starts, and he lost to LA back on June 7 after giving up five runs and seven hits in 6.1 innings. He is also 2-3 in eight road starts with a 4.05 ERA.

A's are 4-12 in their last 16 games as an underdog.
The UNDER is 7-2 in Oakland's last 9 games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - 3B Eric Chavez (.259; shoulder) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 2 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Angels (-130, O/U 8): LA's Jon Garland will look to continue a fairly solid stretch of pitching when he goes to the mound against the A's. Garland has allowed three runs or less in nine of his last 10 starts, including a strong outing at Oakland opposite Smith on June 7. He allowed two runs and five hits in seven innings against the A's with a season-high eight strikeouts to improve his career mark against them to 4-9 with a 4.82 ERA.

The UNDER is 14-5-2 in LA's last 21 home games.
The UNDER is 39-17-3 in the last 59 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

[Udog]

MLB


Monday, June 30

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Database Trends
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Today's Baseball Pick
Detroit PK -123 vs. Minnesota

Key to selection: When DETROIT team played as a -120 to -140 road Favorite - During the month of June - Last 2 years; The Tigers are 11-1 SU in this position the last 2 years.
Baseball Streakers

Who's Hot: Detroit 5 SU Wins, Chicago White Sox 4 SU Wins, Seattle 3 SU Wins
Who's Not: San Diego 8 SU Losses, Colorado 7 SU Losses, Chicago Cubs 4 SU Losses
O/U Streaks: Los Angeles Dodgers 7 Under, Los Angeles Angels 3 Under

Today's Stats and Trends

New York Mets vs. St.Louis: When ST LOUIS team played as a -100 to -120 home Favorite - During the 2008 season - Vs. Right handed pitchers; The UNDER is 8-2-0 for the Cards in this spot.

Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati: When PITTSBURGH team played as a 120 to 140 road Underdog - During the month of June - Before a division game; The Pirates are 3-11 SU in this role.

Washington vs. Florida: When FLORIDA team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Before a division game - During a night game - Coming off a 1 game win - Coming off a day game; The UNDER is 9-2-0 for the Marlins in this spot.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston: When LOS ANGELES team Played as Road team as a Underdog - During the month of June - After a non division game - Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher - Coming off a Loss vs. AL WEST opponent; The UNDER is 9-2-1 for the Dodgers in this situation.

San Diego vs. Colorado: When COLORADO team played as a -100 to -120 home Favorite - During the month of June - Vs NL WEST opponent; The OVER is 10-1-0 for the Rockies in this position.

Milwaukee vs. Arizona: When MILWAUKEE team Played as road team as a Underdog - During a night game - During the 2008 season; The Brewers are 2-12 SU in this spot this season.

Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco: When CHICAGO CUBS team played as a Road team - During a night game - 1st game of a series - Coming off a series loss - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog; The UNDER is 14-2-1 for the Cubs in this situation.

Kansas City vs. Baltimore: When KANSAS CITY team played as a Road team - Vs Conference Opponent - Vs Non Division Opponent - Allowed 9 runs or less AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite; The Royals are 2-10 SU in this role.

Texas vs. New York Yankees: When TEXAS team played as a 140 to 160 Road Underdog - Vs AL Conference - During a night game - Coming off a night game - Coming off a 1 game win; The UNDER is 13-1-0 for the Rangers in this role.

Boston vs. Tampa Bay : When BOSTON team Played as road team as a Underdog - During a night game - During the 2008 season; The Red Sox are 3-7 SU in this role this season.

Detroit vs. Minnesota: When DETROIT team played as a -120 to -140 road Favorite - During the month of June - Last 5 years; The Tigers are 11-1 SU in this position the L5Y.

Cleveland vs. Chicago White Sox: When CHI WHITE SOX team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 5 years - After a non division game - Coming off a Win vs. NL CENTRAL opponent - Allowed 1 runs or more AGAINST in their last game; The White Sox are 13-3 SU in this role L5Y.

Oakland vs. Los Angeles Angels: When OAKLAND team played as a Road team - During a night game - 1st game of a series - Coming off a Home loss - Coming off a 9 Game Home Stand; The UNDER is 9-1-0 for the A?s in this role.

Toronto vs. Seattle: When SEATTLE team played as a home team - During the 2008 season - During the month of June; The Mariners are 1-9 SU in this position this year.

[tech fan]

thanks guys for all your hard work