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This Is Why Books Win And How You Can Win Tonight Too.

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  • This Is Why Books Win And How You Can Win Tonight Too.

    Cleveland Pitcher:
    The pitcher's home ERA is 6.52.
    The pitcher's last three games ERA is 7.53
    Hitters are batting .362 against him.
    His team is 7 games under .500, at home they are one game over .500
    Last year he was 1-6 with a 6.42 ERA.
    He is Jeremy Sowers.

    THE LINE TONIGHT IS 167/157.

    San Francisco Pitcher:
    His road ERA is 5.25. His night ERA is 4.88.
    His last four games ERA is 7.83. (not good)
    Right handed batters are hitting .339, left handed are hitting .274.
    His team is 11 games under 500, on the road they are one game under .500.
    His team is 3-4 in his 7 road starts.
    He is Barry Zito.

    These are just some of the stats to help you decide who to bet on. Who do you think is favored? Do you LAY 167 or TAKE 157.

    At CaribSports there are 2742 bets on this game. Why are 89% of the bets on one team and just 11% are on the other team.

    Would you say BECAUSE NEITHER PITCHER IS WORTH LAYING -167 and the dog is the play.

    WRONG. ALL THE PLAYS ARE ON CLEVELAND AT -167 AND NO ONE WANTS ZITO. I'M TRYING TO TELL EVERYONE THAT LAYING -167 ON JEREMY SOWERS and his high ERA is why books make money. Even with Zito, the Giants should be around pick um. WHY? Because Zito away from AT&T is much better than at home.

    DON'T LAY 167 ON A BAD PITCHER. EITHER TAKE THE GIANTS WITH THE GIFT LINE, WHO REMEMBER ARE 3-4 IN ZITO'S 7 ROAD STARTS, OR JUST PASS.

    I'm in a hurry and I know I could have posted more stats but these are the main ones. All I'm doing is trying to warn you that going against Zito, laying all that juice on Sowers, is why Books make money and most players don't.

    One last stat which some of you might not realize is so different. Giants Road Batting Average is .270 while Cleveland's Home Batting Average is .249. Wouldn't you have thought it's the other way, with Cleveland having the .270 and S.F. the .249.

  • #2
    every bit of that tells me to take the OVER 9 1/2..........

    San Fran RL + 1 1/2 .......................

    Thanks Sandy.....as always----good info.....that's the kind of stuff that is part of my capping attributes to consider....

    Didn't have time today, but after you spelling it out, think I'll play SF + 1 1/2 and OVER


    Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

    Comment


    • #3
      Surprised only the Kaptain saw what was happening. I hope I helped keep some of you off of Cleveland. But, be careful with Zito his next start at home. Too soon to tell how he will react to the fans booing, if he has a bad start. His home/away spilt is big.

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      • #4
        Great call sandman, followed you in a two team par with pitt.....oops.

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        • #5
          good call Sandy---good supportive stats---nice presentation...

          as always----thanks


          Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Kaptain
            every bit of that tells me to take the OVER 9 1/2..........
            After reading Sandy's write-up my thoughts were play the UNDER. The OVER seemed to obvious.

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            • #7
              Being for the Bay Area and watching Zito, I thought he was completely falling apart mentally, so I played the Indians, guess he's not, good for him.

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              • #8
                BigWeiner said
                Being for the Bay Area and watching Zito, I thought he was completely falling apart mentally, so I played the Indians, guess he's not, good for him.


                Zito was/is falling apart mentally AT HOME because the fans were getting to him. Be curious to see how he does his next home start. No way to tell ahead of time, so be careful with that game. BTW BW, where in the Bay Area are you. Anywhere near Walnut Creek?

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                • #9
                  Originally posted by thesandman
                  BigWeiner said

                  Zito was/is falling apart mentally AT HOME because the fans were getting to him. Be curious to see how he does his next home start. No way to tell ahead of time, so be careful with that game. BTW BW, where in the Bay Area are you. Anywhere near Walnut Creek?
                  True, he's been terrible at home. I live in Marin. I like Walnut Creek, a lot of cool spots out there.

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