Saturday Trends and Indexes 06/21

[pm530]

Major League Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB


Saturday, June 21

Updated

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Tips and Trends
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Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs [WGN | 1:05 PM ET]

White Sox: Jose Contreras has gotten bombed in his last two starts, giving up 20 hits and 10 runs over 12.2 innings. Contreras' two-game slide came after he hadn't lost a decision in over a month. Things don't look like they are going to turn around today for Contreras. In four career starts against the Cubs, he's just 1-2 with an ERA of 4.23. The UNDER has been money in the bank with Contreras on the mound. The UNDER is 11-3 in his 14 starts this season.

White Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games.
The OVER is 7-2 in Chicago's last 9 games following a win.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Cubs (-115, O/U 9): Jason Marquis hasn't suffered a loss in his last six appearances. Over that span he's 4-0 with two no-decisions. Marquis allowed just three runs or less in each of those six outings, with the Cubs winning five of them. Marquis will need to buck history if he plans on continuing his streak without a loss. The White Sox have demolished him in his three career starts against them, scoring 19 runs over 17 innings. The Palehose hit a whopping .320 versus Marquis in those three games as well.

Cubs are 12-0 in their last 11 home games.
The UNDER is 5-1 in Chicago's last 6 home games.

Key Injuries - OF Alfonso Soriano (.283; broken hand) is out at least 6 weeks.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5



St. Louis Cardinals at Boston Red Sox [FOX | 3:55 PM ET]

Cardinals: Mitchell Boggs gets his third start of the season on Saturday. The Cardinals are 2-0 with Boggs on the hill, although he's been average in those outings. Boggs gave up five walks, 10 hits and six runs in just over nine innings of work during his first two starts. He'll need to be much better than that today against the powerful Red Sox. Boggs won his only road start of the season, allowing just two runs at Cincinnati.

Key Injuries - 1B Albert Pujols (.347; calf) is on the 15-day DL

PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Red Sox (-240, O/U 9.5): Daisuke Matsuzaka returns from the disabled list after suffering a mild rotator cuff strain. Before he was injured, Dice-K was 8-0 in his last 10 outings to go along with two no-decisions. Overall, the Red Sox were 9-1 over that span. Matsuzaka has been unbeatable at Fenway Park this season where he's a perfect 5-0 with an ERA of 2.48. The UNDER was 3-1 in Dice-K's four starts before going on the DL.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 7



Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Dodgers [FOX | 3:55 PM ET]

Indians (-140, O/U 8.5): C.C. Sabathia isn't having the year he hoped he would, although the big lefty has been tremendous in his last two starts. In victories over the Twins and Padres, Sabathia struck out 15 and allowed just two runs over 17 innings. Sabathia is a dismal 1-4 on the road this season, although his 3.90 ERA suggests he's pitched better away from home than his record would indicate. The UNDER is 8-2 in Sabathia's last 10 starts.

Indians are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague games.
Indians are 5-16 in their last 21 road games.

Key Injuries - C Victor Martinez (.278; elbow surgery) is out 6-8 weeks.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Dodgers: Chan Ho Park gets the start today for the injured Hiroki Kuroda. Park has one other start on the season, taking a no-decision after allowing two runs in four innings against the Angels back on May 17. Park has been strong at home as a relief pitcher, possessing a 0.50 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Opposing hitters are batting just .203 against Park at Dodger Stadium.

The UNDER is 11-2 in LA's last 13 games as a favorite.
The UNDER is 9-3 in LA's last 12 home games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 3



Los Angels Angels at Phildelphia Phillies [7:05 PM ET]

Angels: Joe Saunders rebounded from three tough starts to pitch a gem his last time out against Atlanta, allowing no runs in 7.1 innings of work. Saunders is 7-3 over his last 10 games but he's seen his ERA rise in that time. Ironically, any problems Saunders has had this year have come at home. He's 5-1 on the road with an imposing 1.77 ERA. Teams are hitting just .207 against Saunders in his six road starts.

Key Injuries - RP Chris Bootcheck (0-1; shoulder) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Phillies (-130, O/U 9.5): Brett Myers continues to get hammered this season. In his last 11.1 innings pitched, Myers has given up an unacceptable 15 hits and 11 runs. In his last 10 outings, Myers has allowed four runs or more six times. He's pitched much better at home than on the road this season, however. Myers is 3-2 at Citizens Bank Park with an ERA of 3.66. He's started one game in his career versus the Angels, getting roughed up for five runs over 5.2 innings. Surprisingly, the UNDER is 4-2 in Myers' last six starts.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)

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[pm530]

Major League Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up


Saturday, June 21

Partial (Early game posting)

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AL teams were 7-3 yesterday, are 80-59 against NL this season. Over is 47-47-4 since last Friday in interleague games.

Hot Pitchers
-- Cubs won last four Marquis starts (2-0, 3.04).

Cold Pitchers
-- Daryl Thompson started season in AA, makes major league debut here; he was 6-2, 2.22 in 14 minor league starts. Geise also makes his first major league start; he allowed one run in 7.1 IP in three major league appearances so far.
-- Contreras is 0-2, 7.11 in his last couple starts.

Hot Teams
-- Rockies won eleven of their last sixteen games. Mets are 5-2 in their last seven games.
-- Cubs won their last dozen home games.
-- Bronx won seven of eight, twelve of its last sixteen games.
-- Red Sox are 19-5 in their last 24 home games.
-- Angels won ten of last thirteen road games.
-- Rays won 25 of their last 30 home games.
-- Brewers won twelve of last sixteen home games. Orioles won six of their last seven games.
-- Royals won five of their last six games.
-- Twins won six of their last seven games.
-- Tigers won ten of their last thirteen games. Padres won eight in a row at Petco Park.
-- Dodgers won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- White Sox lost their last seven road games.
-- Pirates are 2-5 in last seven games, allowing 58 runs. Toronto is 1-8 in its last nine road games.
-- Phillies lost five of their last six games.
-- Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
-- Reds are 6-12 in their last eighteen games.
-- Astros lost eight of nine, 17 of last 21 games.
-- Nationals are 6-13 in their last nineteen games.
-- Braves lost ten of their last fourteen games. Mariners are 2-5 in their last seven games.
-- Giants lost five of their last seven games.
-- Arizona is 6-15 in its last 21 road games.
-- Indians lost five of their last seven road games.


Totals
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Colorado games.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Cubs' last twelve games at Wrigley.
-- Seven of last ten Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Cardinal games stayed under the total.
-- LAA-Phil
-- Four of last five Cincinnati road games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3 in Houston's last twelve road games.
-- Under is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Washington home games.
-- Six of last nine Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight games at Miller Park.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Arizona games.
-- Under is 4-2-1 in last seven San Francisco games.
-- Det-SD
-- Over is 17-4-2 in Florida's last 23 road games.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen games at Dodger Stadium.

Umpires
-- NY-Colo-- Over is 10-3 in last thirteen Darling games.
-- Cin-NYY-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Barry games.
-- Chi-Chi-- Home team is 12-2 in last 14 Dimuro games; under is 6-3 in his last nine games behind dish.

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[Shiprec]

Good stuff as always!!

[Udog]

Hope it's helping, Shiprec! Good luck today! The rest of it is finally ready......

[Udog]

AFL
Write-Up


Saturday's Arena Football analysis:

Columbus (3-12) @ Cleveland (8-7)--Cleveland won 59-57 back in Week 3 in their road opener (+1); they lost three of their last four games, but won three of last four at home. Columbus lost three in row, eight of last nine games; they're 3-2-1 as a dog on road. Last four Cleveland games went over the total.

Grand Rapids (5-10) @ New Orleans (8-7)-- Voodoo lost five of last six games after 7-2 start; they're 6-1 at home, losing only to Georgia. NO is 8-0 when they score 54+ points, 0-7 when they don't. Grand Rapids allowed 54+ in 11 of 15 games this season. Over is 5-2 in New Orleans home games this season.

Los Angeles (5-10) @ Tampa Bay (8-7)-- Storm is 5-3 in its last eight games, covering all eight; they won last three home tilts by 4-10-10 games. Avengers lost four of last five games- they lost six in row on road, by 24-35-13-28-44-9 points. Last four Tampa games went over; four of last five Los Angeles games stayed under the total.

Kansas City (3-12) @ Colorado (5-10)-- Crush lost 55-53 back in Week 8 at Kansas City, which was Brigade's first win after a 0-6 start. KC is 9-3 vs spread in last 12 games, 5-1 in its last six; they're 3-3 vs spread as road dog. Crush snapped its five-game skid last week- their last three games went over the total.

Utah (5-10) @ Arizona (8-7)-- Rattlers opened year with a 63-62 win at Utah (+5.5), after trailing 42-35 at half- they're just 3-4 at home, but had won four in row overall before losing last week to Colorado. Utah won five of last six games after starting year 0-9; they're 4-3 as road dog, 2-4 if favored. Seven of last eight Arizona games went over the total.

Georgia (10-5) @ San Jose (10-5)-- Georgia won seven games in row, San Jose five in row and seven of eight. Force covered its last five tries as underdog. Last four San Jose games went over the total. Saber Cats won last four home games by 28-10-17-3 points; they're 5-2 vs spread in last seven tries as a favorite.

[Udog]

MLB
Write-Up


Update


AL teams were 7-3 yesterday, are 80-59 against NL this season. Over is 47-47-4 since last Friday in interleague games.

Hot Pitchers
-- Cubs won last four Marquis starts (2-0, 3.04).
-- Cardinals won both Boggs starts (1-0, 5.79), scoring 14 runs. Matsuzaka comes off DL to starts; Red Sox are 10-1 in his 2008 starts, 6-0 at home.
-- Sabathia is 2-0, 1.59 in his last two starts; Indians lost four of his five road outings.
-- Pirates won four of last five Maholm starts.
-- Angels won five of six Saunders road starts.
-- Braves are 7-0 in Jurrjens home starts. Washburn has 2.25 RA in his last two starts, but Seattle is 1-5 in his last six starts.
-- McClung is 2-1, 2.50 in his last three starts.
-- Minnesota won four of last five Blackburn home starts.
-- Meche is 1-0, 2.70 in his last two starts, but Royals are 1-5 in his home starts this season.
-- Marlins won five of last six Nolasco starts. Eveland has a 2.13 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Baek has 2.77 RA in his last two starts. Robertson is 2-0, 2.19 in his last two starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Jimenez is 0-6, 5.79 in his last 13 starts.
-- Daryl Thompson started season in AA, makes major league debut here; he was 6-2, 2.22 in 14 minor league starts. Geise also makes his first major league start; he allowed one run in 7.1 IP in three major league appearances so far.
-- Contreras is 0-2, 7.11 in his last couple starts.
-- Litsch is 0-2, 5.50 in his last three starts.
-- Park allowed two runs in four IP (82 PT) in his only '08 start.
-- Rodriguez is 1-3, 6.45 in his last four starts. Jackson is 1-3 in his last four starts, with a 6.94 RA.
-- Phillies lost nine of last ten Myers starts.
-- Cabrera is 0-1, 6.67 in his last five starts.
-- Owings is 0-3, 10.89 in his last four starts.
-- Mock allowed four runs in 4.1 IP in his first big league start. Gabbard is 0-3, 10.19 in his last four starts.
-- Correia is 0-3, 7.13 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Rockies won eleven of their last sixteen games. Mets are 5-2 in their last seven games. Martinez has 5.75 RA in four starts.
-- Cubs won their last dozen home games.
-- Bronx won seven of eight, twelve of its last sixteen games.
-- Red Sox are 19-5 in their last 24 home games.
-- Angels won ten of last thirteen road games.
-- Rays won 25 of their last 30 home games.
-- Brewers won twelve of last sixteen home games. Orioles won six of their last seven games.
-- Royals won five of their last six games.
-- Twins won six of their last seven games.
-- Tigers won ten of their last thirteen games. Padres won eight in a row at Petco Park.
-- Dodgers won three of their last four games.


Cold Teams
-- White Sox lost their last seven road games.
-- Pirates are 2-5 in last seven games, allowing 58 runs. Toronto is 1-8 in its last nine road games.
-- Phillies lost five of their last six games.
-- Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
-- Reds are 6-12 in their last eighteen games.
-- Astros lost eight of nine, 17 of last 21 games.
-- Nationals are 6-13 in their last nineteen games.
-- Braves lost ten of their last fourteen games. Mariners are 2-5 in their last seven games.
-- Giants lost five of their last seven games.
-- Arizona is 6-15 in its last 21 road games.
-- Indians lost five of their last seven road games.


Totals
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Colorado games.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Cubs' last twelve games at Wrigley.
-- Seven of last ten Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Cardinal games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Saunders starts stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Cincinnati road games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3 in Houston's last twelve road games.
-- Under is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Washington home games.
-- Six of last nine Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight games at Miller Park.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Arizona games.
-- Under is 4-2-1 in last seven San Francisco games.
-- Four of last five Robertson starts went over the total.
-- Over is 17-4-2 in Florida's last 23 road games.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen games at Dodger Stadium.

Umpires
-- NY-Colo-- Over is 10-3 in last thirteen Darling games.
-- Cin-NYY-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Barry games.
-- Chi-Chi-- Home team is 12-2 in last 14 Dimuro games; under is 6-3 in his last nine games behind dish.
-- Clev-LA-- Last five Hallion games all went over the total.
-- StL-Bos-- Over is 8-2 in last ten Reynolds games.
-- Hst-TB-- Last six Fletcher games stayed under the total.
-- Tor-Pitt-- Underdog is 7-3 in last ten Iassogna games; visitor won his last six games.
-- LAA-Phil-- Under is 8-3-1 in last dozen Schreiber games.
-- Blt-Mil--Over is 9-5-1 in last fifteen Cuzzi games.
-- Az-Minn-- Underdog won four of last five Winters games.
-- Sea-Atl-- Under is 9-3 in last dozen Wegner games.
-- Tex-Wsh-- Last five Hickox games all went over the total.
-- SF-KC-- Last four Meriwether games stayed under the total.
-- Fla-A's-- Four of last five Demuth games stayed under total.
-- Det-SD-- Home team won last seven Tschida games.

[pm530]

WNBA – Long Sheet

WNBA
Long Sheet

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Saturday, June 21
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HOUSTON (3 - 8) at MINNESOTA (6 - 5) - 6/21/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 217-167 ATS (+33.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) in June games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 154-109 ATS (+34.1 Units) in May, June, or July games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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