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Big NBA Play For Saturday

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  • Big NBA Play For Saturday

    NBA YTD 31-32 -0.3 units
    3* 2-0 +6.0 units
    2* 2-2 -6.4 units
    1* 27-30 -5.9 units

    NBA/College Combined 38-36 +5.3 units
    3* 3-0 +9.0 units
    2* 3-2 +1.6 units
    1* 32-34 -5.3 units

    While my NBA season has been a "push," I continue to be very strong in my top plays, 3-0 on my 3* plays and 3-2 on the 2*'s (college included). My play for Saturday is one I almost made a 4* and I would urge playing it now as there are reasons the line will move up.

    3* Cavs -1
    A very strong NBA angle is to play home teams down 2-0 when they come home for game three. This applies only to rounds two and three. It's already 2-0 this year with wins by the Magic and Spurs. (Utah applies tonight but the line is too high for me.) Lebron is almost certain to have a blowout game after two pathetic perforamnces in Boston. Even with James missing every shot he was taking, Cleveland almost won game one with great defense and played hard while getting thrashed Thursday night. Boston has not been dominant so far in the playoffs, needing seven games to dispose of the Hawks and almost losing game one of this series. The Celts are very vulnerable here because of the motivation factor. Teams that are down 2-0 are desperate and tend to play great fourth quarters. This angle is useless in round one because the talent levels aren't that close. Once you get to the final eight, the talent is closer and motivation becomes more important. In all three of the previous sitations this year (Orlando Wednesday, San Antonio Thursday and Utah Friday), the line has moved up radically on the home team as everybody knows about this angle. I would suggest playing this game now as it could move to 2 1/2 by Saturday evening.

  • #2
    good luck with tha Cavs on Saturday, Griz!

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    • #3
      One other note. For those looking for an arbitrage opportunity, I think you can get at least a 1 1/2 point middle here. The Utah line has moved up all day, just as money poured in on Orl and San Ant in their game threes. If Utah cover against the Lakers tonite, it guarantees people will keep hammering this trend. There's a real chance you could get a middle on the number 2 here.

      And, as always, I could be wrong about the antici[ated line movement. I am, however, putting my $ where my mouth is and have made my large bet at the current -1 line

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      • #4
        Good luck Gris. I love this angle as it has been solid the past few rounds. I would be interested to see when Vegas catches on to this trend and jacks a line a few points. Any thoughts?
        Am I the longest tenured BC member?

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        • #5
          Good call Gris...

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          • #6
            Originally posted by zeib10
            Good luck Gris. I love this angle as it has been solid the past few rounds. I would be interested to see when Vegas catches on to this trend and jacks a line a few points. Any thoughts?
            LOL the lines already have been jacked for this trend..watch Utah will not be a 4 pt fav for game 4..they will open up something less.....court change should move a line 7 pts not 11 like they did in Utah

            Good luck Gris the Cavs look solid...I think thats who Im gonna back once I look at it closer

            PEACE

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            • #7
              gl Sat gris---thanks


              Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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              • #8
                Good Luck Gris
                2012 - 2013 NCAAF

                21 - 20 - 0

                2012 - 2013 NFL

                14 - 10 - 1

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                • #9
                  hammered it last night my man......home teams now 11-0 in the 2nd round?


                  GL

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                  • #10
                    GL tonight gris
                    2013 NCAA POD Record

                    8-3ATS +3.80 units

                    2013 NFL POD Record

                    1-2 ATS -4.50 units

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                    • #11
                      gris good luck!!
                      1*=$50

                      Crusader MM starting qb at Oregon

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                      • #12
                        good luck
                        THINK BLUE

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                        • #13
                          adding

                          Sunday:

                          1* Lakers +3

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                          • #14
                            Gris,

                            Cleveland looking good, I took em 1st half and game both.

                            GL
                            NBA is a joke

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                            • #15
                              great call ! glad i was on your side....

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