Saturday Trends and Indexes 05/03

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Saturday, May 3

Good Luck on day #124 of 2008!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
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[pm530]

The Kentucky Derby

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Saturday, May 3

Kentucky Derby Preview

The 'Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sport' arrives on Saturday with the 134th running of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs.

Out of the 20-horse field entered in the Derby, Big Brown has been singled out as the favorite at 3/1. Trained by Richard Dutrow Jr. and ridden by two-time Derby winner Kent Desormeaux, Big Brown has gone undefeated as a three-year-old with three victories which includes an impressive win in the Florida Derby. However, if Big Brown does win he’ll have to go against history to do it. Big Brown was unlucky in the post draw and drew the outside No. 20 post. In the Derby’s lengthy history, only one horse has won out of the No. 20 post in 15 attempts. That lone winner was Clyde Van Dusen way back in 1929.

Big Brown’s bad luck in the post draw could provide an opening for Colonel John or Pyro to pull off an upset. Colonel John follows Big Brown on the odds list at 4/1. Colonel John won the Santa Anita Derby early last month, but the Derby will be the first race he has ever run on a dirt track. All of Colonel John’s previous races were run on synthetic tracks, which could put him at a disadvantage in poor conditions. Pyro was considered to be a perennial favorite after winning his first two races of the season, but a disappointing 10th-place finish in the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes has lowered his stock a little. Even with the questions after his Blue Grass finish, Pyro is still listed at 6/1 in the Derby.

There are a number of other interesting stories scattered throughout the rest of the field of 20, including Eight Belles. Listed at 20/1, Eight Belles is the first filly entered in the Derby since 1999 when Excellent Meeting finished fifth and Three Rings was 19th.

Trainer Barclay Tagg, who trained 2003 Derby champion Funny Cide, pins his hopes for a return to the winner’s circle on Tale of Ekati. The 15/1 underdog won the Wood Memorial earlier this season to make him an interesting dark horse on Saturday. Tagg also has Big Truck in the Derby, but he’s already been written off after receiving the worst odds in the field at 50/1.

Trainer Todd Pletcher failed to snap his long Derby drought last year and he’ll try again with a pair of horses this year. At 0-for-19 in the Derby, Pletcher’s best chance at breaking that streak appears to be Monba, who won the Blue Grass Stakes earlier this year and enters the Derby at 15/1. Pletcher’s other entry is Cowboy Cal at 20/1.

Two other horses listed at 20/1 which are noteworthy include Visionaire and Denis of Cork. Visionaire is this year’s entry for trainer Michael Matz, who trained 2006 winner Barbaro. Oddly enough, Visionaire drew the eighth post, the same position Barbaro started from the year he won. Denis of Cork will be ridden by Calvin Borel, who rode Street Sense to victory in last year’s Derby. The last jockey to win the Derby in back-to-back years was Ed Delahoussaye on Gato Del Sol in 1982 and on Sunny’s Halo in 1983.

Odds to win Kentucky Derby

Big Brown 3/1
Colonel John 4/1
Pyro 6/1
Gayego 15/1
Monba 15/1
Tale of Ekati 15/1
Z Fortune 15/1
Bob Black Jack 20/1
Cool Coal Man 20/1
Court Vision 20/1
Cowboy Cal 20/1
Denis of Cork 20/1
Eight Belles 20/1
Recapturetheglory 20/1
Smooth Air 20/1
Visionaire 20/1
Adriano 30/1
Anak Nakal 30/1
Z Humor 30/1
Big Truck 50/1




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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Long Sheet

AFL
Long Sheet

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Saturday, May 3
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NEW ORLEANS (7 - 2) at GEORGIA (3 - 5) - 5/3/2008, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (7 - 1) at COLUMBUS (2 - 6) - 5/3/2008, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-2 against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-1 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN JOSE (5 - 4) at ORLANDO (6 - 3) - 5/3/2008, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 1-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (1 - 7) at UTAH (0 - 9) - 5/3/2008, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (4 - 4) at LOS ANGELES (3 - 6) - 5/3/2008, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 4-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, May 5
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CHICAGO (7 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (3 - 5) - 5/5/2008, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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[pm530]

AFL


Trend Sheet

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Saturday, May 3
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7:00 PM DALLAS vs. COLUMBUS
Dallas is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games
Columbus is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Columbus is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Dallas


7:00 PM NEW ORLEANS vs. GEORGIA
New Orleans is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia
Georgia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Georgia is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home


7:30 PM SAN JOSE vs. ORLANDO
San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Jose is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
Orlando is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games


9:00 PM KANSAS CITY vs. UTAH
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Utah is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home


10:30 PM ARIZONA vs. LOS ANGELES
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona
Los Angeles is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona


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Monday, May 5
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8:00 PM CHICAGO vs. TAMPA BAY
Chicago is 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Chicago is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

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[pm530]

Major League Baseball

MLB


Saturday, May 3

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Trend Sheet
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1:05 PM PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON
Pittsburgh is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Washington
Pittsburgh is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh


1:05 PM SEATTLE vs. NY YANKEES
Seattle is 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Seattle is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home


1:07 PM CHI WHITE SOX vs. TORONTO
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Toronto is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox


3:45 PM BALTIMORE vs. LA ANGELS
Baltimore is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Baltimore is 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home
LA Angels are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games when playing Baltimore


3:45 PM CHI CUBS vs. ST. LOUIS
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing Chi Cubs


3:45 PM NY METS vs. ARIZONA
NY Mets are 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Arizona
NY Mets are 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Arizona is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home


7:05 PM KANSAS CITY vs. CLEVELAND
Kansas City is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Kansas City is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games


7:05 PM MILWAUKEE vs. HOUSTON
Milwaukee is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Houston
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games


7:05 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. PHILADELPHIA
San Francisco is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing San Francisco
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


7:05 PM TAMPA BAY vs. BOSTON
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Boston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home


7:10 PM CINCINNATI vs. ATLANTA
Cincinnati is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
Cincinnati is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


7:10 PM DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Minnesota is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit


7:10 PM SAN DIEGO vs. FLORIDA
San Diego is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Florida
San Diego is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Florida is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against San Diego


8:05 PM LA DODGERS vs. COLORADO
LA Dodgers are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
Colorado is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games


9:05 PM TEXAS vs. OAKLAND
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Texas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas

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[pm530]

Major League Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB


Saturday, May 3

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Tips and Trends
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New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks [FOX | 3:45 PM ET]

Mets: The young Mike Pelfrey has pitched well overall this season but he was more effective in his first two starts than the two most recent outings. In Pelfrey’s two most recent starts, he’s given up 19 hits and 9 runs over 10 1/3 innings, compared to 10 hits and just two runs in his previous 12 innings on the mound. Pelfrey has faced the Diamondbacks once, going 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Diamondbacks (-180, O/U 8.5): Brandon Webb is the early leader to capture National League Cy Young honors. Webb is 6-0 on the season with an impressive 1.98 ERA. Webb hasn’t given up more than 3 runs in any of his 7 starts this year. Webb has uneven career numbers against the Mets. He’s just 2-6 in 9 career starts yet he has a career ERA of just 2.26 against New York.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)



Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals [FOX | 3:45 PM ET]

Cubs: While Chicago's Ted Lilly has struggled away from home this season with an 0-2 mark and 7.71 ERA, he has enjoyed some success against the Cardinals during his career. Lilly is 3-2 lifetime vs. St. Louis with a 2.93 ERA. The Cardinals are hitting just .210 against him, which is much better than what he has shown on the road so far at .310.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Cardinals (-110, O/U 8.5): There has been a big difference between Kyle Lohse at home and on the road so far this season. Lohse is a perfect 2-0 so far at home with a stellar 1.08 ERA, giving up just 3 runs there in 4 starts totaling 25 innings. He is coming off a win there against the Astros on Sunday, allowing 1 run and 4 hits in 6 innings with 1 walk and 3 strikeouts.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6



Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels [FOX | 3:45 PM ET]

Orioles: Baltimore's Daniel Cabrera has surprisingly not suffered a loss in 2008, with the team winning 5 of his 6 starts. Cabrera did not get a decision last time out at Chicago on Monday, as the game was called after 12 innings due to rain. He walked 7 White Sox in that game, which was only the second time this season he posted more walks than strikeouts. The 6-foot-9, 269-pound righty is 2-3 lifetime vs. LA with a 6.55 ERA.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Angels (-125, O/U 9.5): LA's Jon Garland will try to rebound from one of his worst starts of the season against a team he has enjoyed some success against. Garland was bombed for 7 runs and 10 hits in 6 innings of a 14-2 loss to Oakland on Monday, walking 3 and striking out 5. He is 5-2 lifetime vs. Baltimore with a 4.50 ERA but will need to turn things around at home, where he is 1-2 with an 8.31 ERA in 3 starts.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6

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[pm530]

MLB


Saturday, May 3

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Baseball Today
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SCOREBOARD

Saturday, May 3

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (3:45 p.m.). Kyle Lohse (3-0, 2.36 ERA) helped the surprising Cardinals win a club-record 18 games in April. He gets the ball against Cubs left-hander Ted Lilly (1-4, 6.46 ERA) in a matchup of two of the top teams in the NL Central.


STARS

Friday

— Tim Hudson, Braves, threw his 11th career shutout, scattering three hits in a 2-0 win over Cincinnati. Hudson struck out 10 without issuing a walk.

— Jose Bautista, Pirates, homered twice and drove in four runs in an 11-4 win over the Nationals. He also scored three times.

— Pat Burrell, Phillies, hit a two-run homer with two outs in the 10th to beat San Francisco, 6-5. Burrell had been 0-for-3 before the deciding shot.

— Shaun Marcum, Blue Jays, gave up two hits and three walks in 6 2-3 innings while battling a stomach bug in a 2-0 win over the White Sox. Marcum also struck out nine batters.

— Dan Uggla, Marlins, homered twice and drove in four runs in a 6-4 win over the Padres.

— Hunter Pence, Astros, homered twice—part of a five-homer game by Houston — and drove in three runs in a 7-4 victory over the Brewers.

— Jeremy Guthrie, Orioles, gave up three hits and two runs in seven innings in a 4-3 victory over the Angels. He struck out six and walked two to win for the first time in 16 starts.

MEANINGFUL HOMERS

Miguel Tejada fulfilled the wish of 8-year-old Jacob Scott, hitting the first of three straight Houston home runs after promising the little boy with muscular dystrophy that he’d go deep. The Astros wound up hitting five homers in a 7-4 win over Milwaukee, with impeccable timing: $10,000 was donated to the Muscular Dystrophy Association for each homer hit.

TRI-CYCLE

The Mets’ Jose Reyes got three legs of the cycle, but was thrown out at home plate in the eighth inning trying to stretch a triple into the home run he needed. Reyes finished 4-for-5 with a double and a pair of triples, scoring three times in the Mets’ 7-2 win over Arizona.

SHORT-CIRCUITED

An electrical outage that knocked out a couple banks of lights down each base line delayed the Pirates-Nationals game 25 minutes in the bottom of the fourth. Oddly, the punchless Pirates finally showed a little bit of power—they won, 11-4.

WANG-DERFUL

Chien-Ming Wang became the AL’s first six-game winner and ended the Yankees’ three-game losing streak with a 5-1 victory over Seattle. While New York has won all seven starts by Wang (6-0), the Yankees are 8-16 in other games. The Yankees improved to 27-7 when Wang starts following a loss, winning 11 in a row, and he is 22-6 in those games.

SICKENINGLY GOOD

Shaun Marcum held down the White Sox much better than his lunch. The Toronto starter struck out a season-high nine, allowing just a pair of singles, in a 2-0 win made all the more remarkable by a stomach bug. “When I was warming up, maybe from running around or something, my stomach felt like it wasn’t going to be able to keep anything down,” Marcum said. “I threw up after the first and the second, but other than that I was able to hang with it.”

GUTHRIE WINS!

Jeremy Guthrie won for the first time in 16 starts, helping the Orioles to a 4-3 win over the Angels. He got his first win since beating the Yankees 4-2 at Baltimore on July 27, allowing just two runs and three hits over seven innings with six strikeouts.

AILING

Twins OF Carlos Gomez was carted off the field in the fifth inning after Detroit catcher Ivan Rodriguez pegged him on the batting helmet while stealing second. Gomez was OK. … Arizona 2B Orlando Hudson strained his right hamstring running out a double against the Mets. … Detroit reliever Denny Bautista left in the eighth inning against Minnesota with a shoulder injury. … Milwaukee RHP Yovani Gallardo was placed on the DL with a torn right knee ligament. He was injured Thursday while attempting to cover first base and is likely headed for season-ending surgery.

SPEAKING

“We just can’t win one out of five games, every time Wang pitches. It’s not going to work. It’s not a good win percentage. Starting pitching is where it’s at, especially in the postseason. At this point, we’ll see if we even make the postseason.”—Yankees co-chairman Hank Steinbrenner, before Wang improved to 6-0 in a 5-1 victory over the Mariners.


SEASONS

May 3

1936—Joe DiMaggio made his major league debut for the New York Yankees and had three hits in a 14-5 victory over the St. Louis Browns.

1951—Rookie Gil McDougald of New York drove in six runs in one inning to tie a major league record as the Yankees beat the St. Louis Browns 17-3 at Sportsman’s Park. McDougald had a two-run triple and a grand slam in an 11-run ninth inning.

1959—Detroit’s Charlie Maxwell hit four consecutive homers in a doubleheader sweep of the New York Yankees, 4-2 and 8-2, at Briggs Stadium.

1980—Ferguson Jenkins of the Texas Rangers became the fourth pitcher in major league history to win 100 or more games in each league. Jenkins beat the Baltimore Orioles 3-2 at Arlington Stadium. Cy Young, Jim Bunning and Gaylord Perry also reached the milestone.

1994—Philadelphia reliever Andy Carter made his major league debut and was ejected from the game after hitting two of three San Diego Padres batters he faced.

1999—Boston’s Creighton Gubanich hit a grand slam for his first major league hit in a 12-11, 10-inning loss to Oakland. Gubanich became the fourth player to accomplish the feat and the first since Seattle’s Orlando Mercado did it Sept. 19, 1982.

Today’s birthday: Ryan Dempster 31.

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[pm530]

National Basketball Association – Long Sheet

NBA
Long Sheet


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Saturday, May 3
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SAN ANTONIO (60 - 27) at NEW ORLEANS (60 - 27) - 5/3/2008, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-27 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 204-162 ATS (+25.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-5 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (56 - 31) at DETROIT (63 - 25) - 5/3/2008, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 51-37 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
DETROIT is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games this season.
DETROIT is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after allowing 85 points or less this season.
DETROIT is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
DETROIT is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DETROIT is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DETROIT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 54-31 ATS (+19.9 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
ORLANDO is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games this season.
ORLANDO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 8-5 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 12-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

National Basketball Association - Short Sheet

NBA
Short Sheet


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Saturday, May 3rd
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Western Conference
Second Round
Game One
Series Tied, 0-0
San Antonio at New Orleans, 10:05 ET

San Antonio:
3-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less
21-9 Under off BB Unders

New Orleans:
23-9 ATS off ATS loss
17-6 Under if the total is between 180 and 189.5

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Eastern Conference
Second Round
Game One
Series Tied, 0-0
Orlando at Detroit, 7:35 ET

Orlando:
17-7 ATS as an underdog
6-1 Over at Detroit

Detroit:
8-22 ATS at home revenging SU loss as favorite
13-28 ATS after a game where they made 12+ 3 point shots

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[pm530]

NBA


Saturday, May 3

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Trend Sheet
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7:30 PM ORLANDO vs. DETROIT
Orlando is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Orlando is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Detroit is 2-6-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Orlando
Detroit is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Orlando


10:00 PM SAN ANTONIO vs. NEW ORLEANS
San Antonio is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games at home

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[pm530]

National Basketball Association - Tips & Trends

NBA


Saturday, May 3

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Tips and Trends
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Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons [TNT | 7:30 PM ET]

Magic: Orlando has advanced to the second round for the first time since 1996 and was the first team in the playoffs to move on. The Magic were swept by the Pistons in the first round a year ago but split 4 regular-season meetings, showing some improvement. They will likely need to improve their 3-point shooting after hitting 32 percent (48-of-148) in 5 games against the Raptors. Orlando was 4-2-1 ATS when playing with 3 days of rest or more during the regular season while Detroit is coming off its best 10 quarters of basketball of the postseason.

Road team is 15-5-3 ATS in the last 23 meetings.
Magic are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
The UNDER is 8-1 in Orlando's last 9 road games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 91

Pistons (-6, O/U 188.5): Detroit's advantage in this series clearly lies in the backcourt with veterans Chauncey Billups and Richard Hamilton, who scored a game-high 24 points in the series-clinching win over Philadelphia on Thursday. Billups will have the challenge of holding Orlando's Jameer Nelson in check after he averaged 17.2 points and 4.8 assists vs. Toronto in the first round. Nelson is giving up at least 3 inches to Billups and struggled in their head-to-head matchup last year.

Pistons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
The UNDER is 12-4 in Detroit's last 16 games as a favorite.
The OVER is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings at Detroit.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 97



San Antonio Spurs at New Orleans Hornets [TNT | 10 PM ET]

Spurs: One of the keys for San Antonio in this series will be limiting New Orleans perimeter ace Peja Stojakovic. The Spurs have just the man for the job in defensive stopper Bruce Bowen, who helped hold Phoenix point guard Steve Nash in check in the first round. Stojakovic made 61 percent (17-of-28) of his 3-point attempts against the Mavs while averaging 15.8 points per game.

Road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
The OVER is 6-2 in San Antonio's last 8 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 90

Hornets (-3, O/U 183.5): What New Orleans lacks in experience against the defending NBA champs could be made up with depth, as the Spurs are limited offensively beyond Sixth Man of the Year Manu Ginobili, who scored 20 points or more in the first 3 games of San Antonio's first-round series vs. Phoenix before totaling 18 combined in the last 2. The Hornets have their own "microwave" off the bench in Jannero Pargo, as he averaged 14.6 points per game against Dallas in the first round. They will also be looking for quality minutes off the bench from Bonzi Wells and Julian Wright.

Hornets are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games.
Hornets are 15-5 ATS this season when playing on at least 2 days of rest.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 93

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[pm530]

National Hockey League – Long Sheet

NHL
Long Sheet


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Saturday, May 3
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PHILADELPHIA (49-32-0-12, 110 pts.) at MONTREAL (52-30-0-11, 115 pts.) - 5/3/2008, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 50-37 ATS (+89.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MONTREAL is 9-12 ATS (-6.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
MONTREAL is 12-16 ATS (-10.9 Units) on Saturday games this season.
MONTREAL is 3-15 ATS (-13.4 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 11-5 (+5.8 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 11-5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

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[pm530]

National Hockey League - Short Sheet

NHL
Short Sheet


Saturday, May 3rd

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Eastern Conference Playoffs
Second Round
Game Five
Philadelphia Leads, 3-1
Philadelphia at Montreal, 7:05 ET

Philadelphia:
2-6 SU at Montreal
21-12 Over after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6

Montreal:
14-5 SU off road loss
27-14 SU playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

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[pm530]

NHL


Saturday, May 3

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Trend Sheet
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7:00 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. MONTREAL
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games on the road
Montreal is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games

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[Udog]

NBA


Saturday, May 3

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Pick 'n' Roll: Saturday's best NBA bets
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Orlando at Detroit (-6 1/2, 188 1/2)

Even though they beat the Toronto Raptors in five games, the Orlando Magic weren't all that impressive in the series. They struggled with their shooting, Dwight Howard was dominant in the paint at times but also disappeared for stretches, and they were a lesser team on the road.

That doesn't bode well for this series against the Detroit Pistons. There will be much tougher matchups for almost every Orlando player in this round, but most importantly, Howard will have to deal with Rasheed Wallace, one of the best low-post defenders in the league and Jameer Nelson will be matched up against the much bigger Chauncey Billups. Hedo Turkoglu was a big factor in the first round, but if Orlando is depending on him to create the offense, the Pistons will be laughing all the way to the Eastern final.

Detroit wasn't all that impressive in their opening-round series either, but in the end they won three straight games to close out the series against an underrated Philadelphia 76ers team and improved as the series went on. The Pistons were sluggish in early games, but they showed their veteran savvy and won games when they had to.

Detroit has dominated Orlando in the past (swept them in the first round of the playoffs last year) and they will do so again in this series. Between Wallace, Antonio McDyess and Theo Ratliff, they have the manpower to deal with Howard and Billups will make things much more difficult for Nelson at the point. The Magic got off easy against the defensively soft Raptors in the first round and they are about to find out what real defense is like tonight.

Pick: Pistons