Saturday Trends and Indexes 03/29

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Saturday, March 29

Good Luck on day #89 of 2008!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

Six-pack for Saturday

-- There has never been a Final Four with all four #1 seeds, but this could be the year. What an awful set of games last night-- just four one-sided contests, with Texas-Stanford the only one of the four that was remotely interesting.

-- Over last four tournaments, there have been four overtime games in regional finals, and underdog won all four.

-- In the last five years, underdogs are 16-4 vs spread in the regional finals. In the last two tournaments, #1-seeds are 2-5 SU in regional finals

-- Halftime score: Memphis 50, Michigan State 20. Wow.

-- With the elevated courts, you figure the teams that played at Minnesota might have an edge, since court at Williams Arena is like that, but both Big 11 teams got bounced Friday.

-- Random theory with no statistical backing: It is easier to upset a superior team in an arena than a dome. Domes are lot more like outdoor games; thats just my opinion.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

Saturday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but..........

13) Xavier’s basketball program turned a $6.4M profit in ’06-07, which helps funds all their other teams. 50.8% of all athletic-related Xavier athletic revenue is generated by the hoop team. They’ve lost coaches before; not sure how long they can keep Sean Miller. If they keep him, they can turn into Gonzaga of the east. If not, they need to make another strong hire.

12) The sad truth is that NBA cares more about Europe than it does Seattle. Sonics are leaving town, at least in part, because of Hurricane Katrina. When Hornets relocated to Oklahoma after Katrina hit, OC proved it is a viable NBA city, at the Sonic fans’ expense. This is a sad situation for people in Seattle, who gave the team loyal support for 41 years, and scary for fans in other parts of country. It could happen to you, too.

11) Listening to Charles Barkley, Chris Webber talk about the Seattle situation on TNT Thursday, it showed how out-of-touch many NBA players are with everyday life; they sat there and said how NBA players like to play in new arenas, not older ones. Listen up—these are very tough financial times, at some point, teams are going to have ot suck it up and play in less-than brand-new arenas. Cities have more pressing financial needs, like roads, education, fighting crime. .

10) They’re expecting 115,000 people for the Red Sox-Dodger exhibition game Saturday night at the LA Coliseum, where the Dodgers played before Chavez Ravine was built. This game is commemorating the 50th anniversary of Dodger’s move to LA, still not a popular subject with my dad, who is from Brooklyn. .

9) Emil Brown is solid pickup by the A’s; he might struggle running the bases, but the dude can hit; he has gotten 500+ AB’s twice in his career, and hit in high-.280’s both years, with 80+ RBI on a bad Royals team. He’s going to help the spunky A’s this season, which is good, because they need help.

8) Brown has had an odd trip through pro baseball; drafted by the A’s in 1994, he made big leagues with Pirates four times, then was out of major leagues from 2002-04, briefly landing in the Mexican League. Royals picked him up, and he showed he can hack, but they cut him loose last winter, and now the A’s are giving him a chance. He could probably write a great book about his career.

7) Angels’ Ervin Santana has a career record of 35-30, 4.84, but on road, he is 10-21, 7.14. With Lackey, Escobar out injured, Halos need Santana to step up this spring.

6) So far this spring, there have been 27 coaching changes in D-I basketball, with ten of the 26 openings filled. Jim Christian left Kent State for TCU Friday. Indiana, South Carolina, LSU, Cal are the big jobs open right now.

5) The Atlantic 10 (with 14 teams in it) needs better cable deal. Pretty good league, pretty poor exposure; they have teams in Philly, St Louis, Cincinnati, NYC, Pittsburgh—whats wrong with a weekly slot on ESPN, or at least CBS College Sports (formerly CSTV)?

4) Kenny Anderson made over $60M during his NBA career, but still had to file for bankruptcy; he has had three wives and has seven kids, and now hopes to coach in the NBA someday. He is only 37, and has already blown $60M? Another guy that needs to write a book.

3) Observers from Florida note the Phillies didn’t look too hot in spring training this month. Mets and Braves improved their teams, so Phillies need to be on top of their game if they hope to repeat this year. They can't afford another slow start.

2) Chiefs’ coach Herm Edwards was only NFL head coach at Boston College for Matt Ryan’s workout March 18. Drafting a QB would give Herm a little more job security heading into 2008. I'd be unhappy if he coached my favorite team.

1) The most underrated record in baseball? September 1957, Ted Williams reaches base safely 16 times in row (four HRs, two singles, a HP and nine walks). In 51 years since, no one has matched it, and you never hear a word about it. God forbid Derek Jeter challenge the record someday, it would become the Holy Grail of baseball milestones. For now, this is my favorite all-time baseball record.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

College Basketball – Long Sheet

NCAAB
Long Sheet


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, March 29

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (27 - 8) vs. N CAROLINA (35 - 2) - 3/29/2008, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

XAVIER (30 - 6) vs. UCLA (34 - 3) - 3/29/2008, 6:40 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

College Basketball – Short Sheet

NCAAB
Short Sheet

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, March 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

East Region
Elite Eight
Charlotte, NC
Louisville vs. North Carolina, 9:05 ET

Louisville:
3-13 ATS on neutral court underdog
10-2 Under as an underdog

North Carolina:
14-1 ATS vs. non-conference teams
21-10 ATS as a favorite


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

West Region
Elite Eight
Denver, CO
Xavier vs. UCLA, 6:40 ET

Xavier:
0-6 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
6-0 Over in NCAA Tournament games

UCLA:
11-3 ATS off ATS loss
20-10 ATS off an Over


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

College Basketball - Tips & Trends

NCAAB


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends – Sweet Sixteen
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, March 29

West Regional Final - US Airways Arena (Phoenix, AZ)

#3 Xavier vs. #1 UCLA [CBS | 6:40 PM ET]

Xavier: The Musketeers continued to show a ton of character in rallying back to beat West Virginia 79-75 in Thursday's West Regional Semifinals. They blew an 18-point first-half lead but limited the Mountaineers to just 1-of-11 shots from 3-point range while sinking 11 of their own. Josh Duncan scored a career-high 26 points to lead Xavier and will likely be matched up with UCLA's Kevin Love. Duncan managed to stay in the game despite picking up his fourth foul with 12 1/2 minutes in regulation and got West Virginia star Joe Alexander to foul out early in OT, which was the turning point.

Xavier is 3-0 ATS in the NCAA Tournament.
The OVER is 7-1 in Xavier's last 8 non-conference games.
The OVER is 8-2 in Xavier's last 10 neutral site games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 62

UCLA (-6, O/U 129): The Bruins need to improve their offensive play against pressure defense if they hope to make it to their third straight Final Four, which would be the first time since John Wooden was head coach. They struggled at times against Western Kentucky and can expect more fierce defense by Xavier. UCLA turned the ball over 11 times in the first 13 minutes of the second half and saw a 41-20 halftime lead shrink to 61-57. It's worth noting that 7 players picked up at least 4 fouls in that game while 9 players tallied at least 4 in the other semifinal. The Bruins have a slight edge in depth though the Musketeers have more balanced scoring.

UCLA is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games overall.
The OVER is 6-2 in UCLA's last 8 Saturday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 68



East Regional Final - Charlotte Bobcats Arena (Charlotte, NC)

#3 Louisville vs. #1 North Carolina [CBS | 9:05 PM ET]

Louisville: The Cardinals remain 1 of the 2 most dominant teams in the NCAA Tournament so far, winning their 3 games by an average of more than 22 points. The problem is, they will be facing the single-most dominant team in the Tar Heels, who are winning by more than 30 per game. Louisville has to feel very confident defensively though after limiting Tennessee to just 60 points - more than 20 points below the team's season average - in Thursday's semifinal victory. The Cards also saw a 24-8 lead over the Vols cut to 37-36 but shot 67 percent in the second half (14-of-21) to seal the deal. "We can weather a storm," Louisville guard Andre McGee said. "And that shows a lot about our character as a basketball team."

Louisville is 12-2 SU & ATS in its last 14 games overall.
Louisville is 3-0 ATS in the last 3 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 70

North Carolina (-5.5, O/U 154.5): The Tar Heels have blitzed opponents offensively through the first 3 rounds, but they have not faced a team with a similar caliber of talent until now. Louisville has used a suffocating pressure defense to limit teams to less than 61 points per game this year. Meanwhile, Thursday's 68-47 semifinal win over Washington State marked just the third time North Carolina failed to score at least 72 points in a game. The Tar Heels have won all 3 of those games, going 2-1 ATS and proving they can succeed at a slower pace.

North Carolina is 3-0 ATS in the NCAA Tournament.
North Carolina is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 non-conference games.
The OVER is 7-3 in North Carolina's last 10 non-conference games.
The OVER is 7-2-1 in North Carolina's last 10 games as a favorite.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 75

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

Arena Football League – Long Sheet

AFL
Long Sheet
Week 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, March 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (2 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 0) - 3/29/2008, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE (2 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (0 - 3) - 3/29/2008, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (2 - 2) at COLUMBUS (1 - 3) - 3/29/2008, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 1-0 against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 1-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA (1 - 3) at UTAH (0 - 4) - 3/29/2008, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, March 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOS ANGELES (2 - 2) at GRAND RAPIDS (1 - 2) - 3/30/2008, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GRAND RAPIDS is 2-0 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
GRAND RAPIDS is 1-1 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (4 - 0) at NEW YORK (1 - 3) - 3/30/2008, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-0 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (3 - 1) at COLORADO (1 - 2) - 3/30/2008, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

Arena Football League – Write up

AFL
Write-up


Saturday, March 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Armadillo's Den: Arenaball Week 5 analysis........

Tampa Bay (2-1) @ Philadelphia (4-0)?Storm visits unbeaten Philly off its bye- they trailed last game 48-14 at half in New Orleans, losing 76-55, after holding KC, Georgia to 49-48 in wins first two weeks. All three of their games went over total. Soul won, covered all four games, with both home wins by 21- they have ten takeaways last three games, are +7 in turnovers. Over first four weeks of season, home teams are 20-10-2 against spread. Average totals, for Tampa 116, Philly, 113.

San Jose (2-2) @ Kansas City (0-3)? Winless Brigade lost first two games by 2-3 points, then had bye before getting pounded 92-52 at home by Grand Rapids last week, turning ball over five times. KC is -8 in turnovers already this season, with 11 giveaways in three games. Defending champ San Jose split its first four games, with three of them going over total- their wins are by 8-20 points. Home underdogs are 8-3-1 vs. spread so far this season. Average totals, for San Jose, 115.5, KC 113.7.

Orlando (2-2) @ Columbus (1-3)? Destroyers rallied from 35-20 deficit last week to upset Utah and avoid 0-4 start; they lost only home game 59-57 to Cleveland. Three of four Columbus games stayed under total. Orlando lost six fumbles in four games, are -4 in turnovers; they won last two weeks by 8-5 points. Favorites are 3-1 vs. spread in their games, with three of four going over total. After four weeks, over is 16-15-1 in Arenaball. Average totals: Orlando, 115.7, Columbus, 99.

Georgia (1-3) @ Utah (0-4)? Winless Blaze already has three losses by three points or less; they?re 0-2 at home, losing 63-62 to Arizona, 52-49 to previously winless Columbus, blowing 35-20 halftime lead. Force is 1-3, losing road games at Tampa (69-48), Orlando (50-45). Georgia scored 48 or less points in all three losses, with three of their four games going over total; Utah is allowing 62.5 pg, with three of their four going over total. Average totals, for Georgia, 99, Utah, 121.3.

Los Angeles (1-3) @ Grand Rapids (1-2)? Avengers lost last three games by 32-24-37 points, losing road games at Arizona (65-33), Georgia (58-34)- they turned ball over five times last week in home loss to Philly. Rampage had five takeaways in 92-52 win in Kansas City last week, their first win after pair of home losses, to San Jose, Chicago, two of better teams in league. Last three LA games stayed under the total. Average totals, for Avengers, 99, Rampage 122.3.

Dallas (4-0) @ New York (1-3)? Unbeaten Dallas won 59-56 at San Jose last week; they?ve been plus in turnovers all four games this year, also winning 51-41 at Georgia in season opener- they?ve allowed just 43.3 pg this year, with three of four games staying under total. Dragons struggling with Rohan Davey at QB, losing last two weeks by 21-29 points, but home team is 4-0 in their games. NY beat Kansas City 50-47 in their only home game so far. Average totals, for Dallas, 95, New York, 102.3.

New Orleans (3-1) @ Colorado (1-2)?Voodoo won last three games, by 1-21-39 points, allowing just 24 points in rout of previously unbeaten Cleveland last week- they have 11 INTs in four games, are +11 in turnovers already this season. Crush lost last two games, by 11-35 points, but won their only home game, 50-47 vs. Columbus- they?ve been minus in turnovers all three games (-4). New Orleans lost only road game, in season opener at LA. Average totals, for Voodoo, 106.5, Colorado 97.7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

Arena Football League – Betting Trends

AFL
Week 5


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Betting Trends
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, March 29

TAMPA BAY
Tampa Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games on the road
PHILADELPHIA
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games at home



Saturday, March 29

SAN JOSE
San Jose is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games
San Jose is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 8 games
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
KANSAS CITY
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games



Saturday, March 29

ORLANDO
Orlando is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Orlando is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games on the road
Orlando is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Columbus
COLUMBUS
Columbus is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Columbus is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games at home
Columbus is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Columbus is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Orlando



Saturday, March 29

GEORGIA
Georgia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Georgia is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
Georgia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia's last 6 games
UTAH
Utah is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Utah's last 13 games
Utah is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Utah is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games at home
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Georgia



Sunday, March 30

LOS ANGELES
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 8 games
Los Angeles is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Los Angeles is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Grand Rapids
Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Grand Rapids
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Grand Rapids
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Grand Rapids
GRAND RAPIDS
Grand Rapids is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Grand Rapids is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Grand Rapids's last 20 games at home
Grand Rapids is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Grand Rapids is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Grand Rapids's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Grand Rapids is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles



Sunday, March 30

DALLAS
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing New York
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
NEW YORK
New York is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
New York is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of New York's last 23 games at home
New York is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games when playing Dallas
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas



Sunday, March 30

NEW ORLEANS
New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
COLORADO
Colorado is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Colorado is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Colorado is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NBA
Power Index


Saturday, March 29

8-3 SU last night, guys.

Detroit* 8 over Cleveland
Phoenix 2.5 over New Jersey*
Chicago* 8.5 over Milwaukee
Denver* 5.5 over Golden State
Portland* 5 over Charlotte
L.A. Clippers* 2 over Memphis

[Udog]

NCAAB
Write-Up


Saturday's NCAA Games

Xavier is 16-2 in last 18 games, with both losses vs St Joe's- all three of their tournament games have been tough, with Xavier coming back from 9+ points down to beat Georgia and Purdue. UCLA won last 13 games but covered just four of last 11- they play well in spurts, not for whole 40:00. They led by 21 at half vs Western Kentucky Thursday-- lead got down to four in the second half. Musketeers played one Pac-10 team this season, and lost by 22 at Arizona State (77-55 on Dec 15). Xavier is 2-0 vs spread as an underdog this season.

We know that #1 seeds are 2-5 SU in regional finals in last two tournaments; we know underdogs are 16-4 vs the spread in the last 20 regional finals, with ten outright upsets, but Tar Heels have been awesome in first three tournament games, winning by 39-31-21 points. Louisville is 2-1 vs spread as underdog this season- their only losses in last 14 games are by three points and by seven in OT, vs Georgetown, Pitt. Carolina had been in a 1-5 funk vs spread coming into this tournament- no more.

[Udog]

NBA
Write-Up


Saturday's NBA Games

Nets are now 1.5 games out of playoffs after losing at Indiana Friday, just their third loss in last eight games- last four Jersey home games went over total. Phoenix snapped two-game skid at Philly last night, winning by 14- they're 8-2 in last 10 games.

Cavaliers are 3-5 in last eight games, dropping last five on road by 11-5-2-14-10 points- their only road win in eight tries since the Chicago trade was in NY, so that almost doesn't count, as hideous as NY is. Pistons won their last five home games; four of their last five games overall stayed under the total.

Chicago lost eight of last 11 games, falling out of playoff race after loss to Hawks Friday; home side won both their games vs Milwaukee this season. Bucks lost last three games, by 5-19-17 points; they covered two of last ten tries as the underdog.

Nuggets won last four games, scoring 118 ppg; despite strong record, they're on outside of playoff race, need win here to get game closer to Warriors, who are just 4-4 in last eight games, with seven of their last ten staying under total. Road team won both Denver-Golden State games this season.

Bobcats won in Seattle Friday, third win last four games; under is 7-1 in last eight Charlotte games. Blazers (+5.5) lost 101-92 in Charlotte Nov 19. Last four Portland games stayed under total, with Trailblazers 6-8 vs spread in last 14, 5-5 SU in last ten.

Grizzlies beat Lakers last night, come back to same arena here and try to hand Clippers their 11th loss in row (3-7 vs spread). Four of last five Clipper games went over the total. Clippers are 2-1 vs Memphis this year. Grizzlies covered seven of last eight.

[Udog]

NHL
Write-Up


Early Game


Saturday, March 29

Hot Teams
-- Bruins just beat Toronto twice, after losing nine of previous eleven games. Boston currently holds last playoff spot in east.

Cold Teams
-- Senators lost three of last four games.

Series Records
-- Senators are 8-3 in last eleven games against Boston.

Totals
-- Three of last four Boston games went over the total.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel


Louisville vs. North Carolina
The Tar Heels have breezed into the Elite Eight without any serious challenge. That looks to change tonight against a Louisville team that has beaten Boise State, Oklahoma and Tennessee by an average margin over 20 points. The Cardinals are the underdog pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has North Carolina favored by just 4. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, MARCH 29

Game 713-714: Louisville vs. North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 75.307; North Carolina 79.269
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 4
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+5 1/2)

Game 715-716: Xavier vs. UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 68.968; UCLA 76.157
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 7
Vegas Line: UCLA by 6
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-6)

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


Saturday, March 29


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (48 - 24) at NEW JERSEY (31 - 42) - 3/29/2008, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 176-220 ATS (-66.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 28-42 ATS (-18.2 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW JERSEY is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
NEW JERSEY is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW JERSEY is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-1 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (40 - 32) at DETROIT (51 - 21) - 3/29/2008, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 15-8 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 13-10 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
17 of 23 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (24 - 47) at CHICAGO (28 - 44) - 3/29/2008, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (44 - 27) at DENVER (44 - 28) - 3/29/2008, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-40 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
DENVER is 41-31 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
DENVER is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in March games this season.
DENVER is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
DENVER is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 57-39 ATS (+14.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (27 - 45) at PORTLAND (38 - 35) - 3/29/2008, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 42-60 ATS (-24.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 44-62 ATS (-24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (19 - 53) at LA CLIPPERS (21 - 51) - 3/29/2008, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 32-40 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 23-33 ATS (-13.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 30-41 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 124-159 ATS (-50.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------