Friday Trends and Indexes 03/28

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Friday, March 28

Good Luck on day #88 of 2008!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
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[pm530]

Six-pack for Friday

-- Western Kentucky trailed 41-20 at half, rallied frantically, cutting lead to four, before UCLA pulled away at end to get to their third straight Elite 8 for first time since Wooden era.

-- West Virginia trailed Xavier by 18 early, rallied to lead, but ran out of gas down stretch in regulation, then lost in OT, as Musketeers get to Elite 8 for second time in five years.

-- Problem for teams like Xavier, Western Kentucky is that in past, when they've had great years like this, they've lost the head coach to schools with deeper pockets. Stay tuned.

-- Games at Reliant Field and Ford Field this weekend are on elevated courts in middle of football field, not at one end, as in previous years. They can get more fans in this way, but the players aren't happy about playing on elevated court.

-- Disappointed in Louisville-Tennessee game; didn't care who won, but it just wasn't very good game. Tennessee did not look sharp in amy of their tournament games this month. Changing point guards in March isn't healthy.

-- Wednesday's A's-Boston game started at 7pm in Tokyo; when teams landed in California, leaving directly after game on their charter flights, it was 5pm Wednesday. Go figure.

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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Long Sheet

AFL
Long Sheet
Week 5

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Friday, March 28

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ARIZONA (2 - 2) at CHICAGO (3 - 1) - 3/28/2008, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, March 29

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TAMPA BAY (2 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 0) - 3/29/2008, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN JOSE (2 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (0 - 3) - 3/29/2008, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ORLANDO (2 - 2) at COLUMBUS (1 - 3) - 3/29/2008, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 1-0 against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 1-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA (1 - 3) at UTAH (0 - 4) - 3/29/2008, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, March 30

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LOS ANGELES (2 - 2) at GRAND RAPIDS (1 - 2) - 3/30/2008, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GRAND RAPIDS is 2-0 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
GRAND RAPIDS is 1-1 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (4 - 0) at NEW YORK (1 - 3) - 3/30/2008, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-0 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (3 - 1) at COLORADO (1 - 2) - 3/30/2008, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Write up

AFL
Write-up


Friday, March 28

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Friday's Armadillo's Den: Arenaball Week 5 analysis........

Arizona (3-1) @ Chicago (3-1)— Rattlers are 3-1 despite their -4 turnover ratio and trailing three of four games at half; they split two road games, winning by point at Utah, losing 63-43 at San Jose. Their last three games stayed under total. Chicago gave up 47-35-35 in its three wins, 60 in its home loss to Philly- three of their four games went over. Former Ram backup Smoker is Arizona’s QB. Average totals, for Rattlers, 106, Chicago, 107.5.

Tampa Bay (2-1) @ Philadelphia (4-0)—Storm visits unbeaten Philly off its bye- they trailed last game 48-14 at half in New Orleans, losing 76-55, after holding KC, Georgia to 49-48 in wins first two weeks. All three of their games went over total. Soul won, covered all four games, with both home wins by 21- they have ten takeaways last three games, are +7 in turnovers. Over first four weeks of season, home teams are 20-10-2 against spread. Average totals, for Tampa 116, Philly, 113.

San Jose (2-2) @ Kansas City (0-3)— Winless Brigade lost first two games by 2-3 points, then had bye before getting pounded 92-52 at home by Grand Rapids last week, turning ball over five times. KC is -8 in turnovers already this season, with 11 giveaways in three games. Defending champ San Jose split its first four games, with three of them going over total- their wins are by 8-20 points. Home underdogs are 8-3-1 vs. spread so far this season. Average totals, for San Jose, 115.5, KC 113.7.

Orlando (2-2) @ Columbus (1-3)— Destroyers rallied from 35-20 deficit last week to upset Utah and avoid 0-4 start; they lost only home game 59-57 to Cleveland. Three of four Columbus games stayed under total. Orlando lost six fumbles in four games, are -4 in turnovers; they won last two weeks by 8-5 points. Favorites are 3-1 vs. spread in their games, with three of four going over total. After four weeks, over is 16-15-1 in Arenaball. Average totals: Orlando, 115.7, Columbus, 99.

Georgia (1-3) @ Utah (0-4)— Winless Blaze already has three losses by three points or less; they’re 0-2 at home, losing 63-62 to Arizona, 52-49 to previously winless Columbus, blowing 35-20 halftime lead. Force is 1-3, losing road games at Tampa (69-48), Orlando (50-45). Georgia scored 48 or less points in all three losses, with three of their four games going over total; Utah is allowing 62.5 pg, with three of their four going over total. Average totals, for Georgia, 99, Utah, 121.3.

Los Angeles (1-3) @ Grand Rapids (1-2)— Avengers lost last three games by 32-24-37 points, losing road games at Arizona (65-33), Georgia (58-34)- they turned ball over five times last week in home loss to Philly. Rampage had five takeaways in 92-52 win in Kansas City last week, their first win after pair of home losses, to San Jose, Chicago, two of better teams in league. Last three LA games stayed under the total. Average totals, for Avengers, 99, Rampage 122.3.

Dallas (4-0) @ New York (1-3)— Unbeaten Dallas won 59-56 at San Jose last week; they’ve been plus in turnovers all four games this year, also winning 51-41 at Georgia in season opener- they’ve allowed just 43.3 pg this year, with three of four games staying under total. Dragons struggling with Rohan Davey at QB, losing last two weeks by 21-29 points, but home team is 4-0 in their games. NY beat Kansas City 50-47 in their only home game so far. Average totals, for Dallas, 95, New York, 102.3.

New Orleans (3-1) @ Colorado (1-2)—Voodoo won last three games, by 1-21-39 points, allowing just 24 points in rout of previously unbeaten Cleveland last week- they have 11 INTs in four games, are +11 in turnovers already this season. Crush lost last two games, by 11-35 points, but won their only home game, 50-47 vs. Columbus- they’ve been minus in turnovers all three games (-4). New Orleans lost only road game, in season opener at LA. Average totals, for Voodoo, 106.5, Colorado 97.7

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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Betting Trends

AFL
Week 5


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Betting Trends
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Friday, March 28

ARIZONA
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Chicago
CHICAGO
Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Chicago is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Chicago is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
Chicago is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Arizona


Saturday, March 29

TAMPA BAY
Tampa Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games on the road
PHILADELPHIA
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games at home



Saturday, March 29

SAN JOSE
San Jose is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games
San Jose is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 8 games
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
KANSAS CITY
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games



Saturday, March 29

ORLANDO
Orlando is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Orlando is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games on the road
Orlando is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Columbus
COLUMBUS
Columbus is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Columbus is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games at home
Columbus is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Columbus is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Orlando



Saturday, March 29

GEORGIA
Georgia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Georgia is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
Georgia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia's last 6 games
UTAH
Utah is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Utah's last 13 games
Utah is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Utah is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games at home
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Georgia



Sunday, March 30

LOS ANGELES
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 8 games
Los Angeles is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Los Angeles is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Grand Rapids
Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Grand Rapids
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Grand Rapids
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Grand Rapids
GRAND RAPIDS
Grand Rapids is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Grand Rapids is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Grand Rapids's last 20 games at home
Grand Rapids is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Grand Rapids is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Grand Rapids's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Grand Rapids is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles



Sunday, March 30

DALLAS
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing New York
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
NEW YORK
New York is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
New York is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of New York's last 23 games at home
New York is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games when playing Dallas
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas



Sunday, March 30

NEW ORLEANS
New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
COLORADO
Colorado is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Colorado is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Colorado is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

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[pm530]

College Basketball - Dunkel Index

NCAAB
Dunkel Index

FRIDAY, MARCH 28

Game 873-874: Villanova vs. Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 70.750; Kansas 80.093
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (+12 1/2)

Game 875-876: Davidson vs. Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 71.676; Wisconsin 73.301
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 2
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (+4 1/2)

Game 877-878: Michigan State vs. Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 71.377; Memphis 76.925
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-4 1/2)

Game 879-880: Stanford vs. Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 71.922; Texas 74.222
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-1 1/2)

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[pm530]

College Basketball – Long Sheet

NCAAB
Long Sheet


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Friday, March 28

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VILLANOVA (22 - 12) vs. KANSAS (33 - 3) - 3/28/2008, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
KANSAS is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DAVIDSON (28 - 6) vs. WISCONSIN (31 - 4) - 3/28/2008, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
DAVIDSON is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
DAVIDSON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
DAVIDSON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
DAVIDSON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DAVIDSON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
DAVIDSON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MICHIGAN ST (27 - 8) vs. MEMPHIS (35 - 1) - 3/28/2008, 9:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 138-98 ATS (+30.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 84-55 ATS (+23.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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STANFORD (28 - 7) vs. TEXAS (30 - 6) - 3/28/2008, 7:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
STANFORD is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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[pm530]

College Basketball – Short Sheet

NCAAB
Short Sheet

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Friday, March 28th

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Midwest Region
Sweet Sixteen
Detroit, MI
Villanova vs. Kansas, 9:40 ET

Villanova:
0-6 ATS after scoring 80+ points
8-2 Under as an underdog

Kansas:
22-9 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5
10-1 Under playing with 5 or 6 days rest


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Midwest Region
Sweet Sixteen
Detroit, MI
Davidson vs. Wisconsin, 7:10 ET

Davidson:
7-1 ATS on neutral court
19-8 ATS off SU win

Wisconsin:
6-0 Under playing with 5 or 6 days rest
21-8 Under as a favorite


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South Region
Sweet Sixteen
Houston, TX
Michigan State vs. Memphis, 9:55 ET

Michigan State:
8-0 ATS on neutral court
10-2 ATS vs. non-conference teams

Memphis:
9-1 Under off BB Overs
3-6 ATS in tournament games


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South Region
Second Round
Little Rock, AR
Stanford vs. Texas, 7:25 ET

Stanford:
8-2 Over when the line is +3 to -3
13-4 Over in NCAA Tournament

Texas:
14-7 Under as favorite
11-2 Under off ATS loss

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[pm530]

College Basketball – Write up

NCAAB
Write-up


Friday, March 28

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Friday's NCAA Games

There are 350,000 Longhorn alumni in Houston area, so Texas figures to have crowd edge playing in Reliant Stadium, with a court laid out in middle of football field. Underdog is 15-11 vs spread in last 26 #2-3 seed matchups in regional semis, with #2 seed 16-10 SU. Stanford won four of last five games since they got swept in LA at end of regular season- they beat Colorado 67-43, Texas Tech 62-61 (Big 12 foes). Longhorns beat UCLA in Westwood, so they have to be confident vs Pac-10 foe.

#10 seeds are 1-6 in this round vs 3 seeds last ten years, 3-6 vs spread overall in this round. Davidson was down double digits in both games last week, rallied to win behind sharpshooting soph Curry, who scored 55 second half points in two games. In a dome this week, and not close to Charlotte home, things will be tougher vs Wisconsin team playing in Big 11 country. Last week, Badgers held foes to 39-36% from floor, 7-34 from arc.

#1 seeds are just 1-6 vs spread in last seven regional semis vs 5-seed; Memphis shot 15-32 from line in shaky 77-74 win vs an athletic Mississippi State team. Michigan State is 3-4 as a dog this season, but 14-1 SU outside of Pac-10, losing to UCLA in game they led by 11 at half. Memphis got held to 62 points in its only loss, at home to Tennessee Feb 23- they've won nine in row since. Last night, the 7-12 seeds that lost were at least a little lively, while 2-4 seeds that got beat played awful ball.

#12 seeds are 2-5 vs spread when playing #1 seed in regional semifinal round since 1994, with only cover before Thursday when Missouri State lost 78-61 to Duke (+28); 12's are 0-14 vs #1's since 1985, with last seven losses by 14-11-15-17-16-19-10 points. Kansas beat DePaul 84-66 in only game vs Big East foe. Villanova was down 18 to Clemson, rallied to win, then beat 12 seed Siena to get here- they're 11-2 outside of Big East, 6-5 vs spread as an underdog.

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[pm530]

College Basketball - Tips & Trends

NCAAB


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Tips and Trends – Sweet Sixteen
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Sweet Sixteen

Friday, March 28

Midwest Region - Ford Field (Detroit, MI)

#10 Davidson vs. #3 Wisconsin [CBS | 7:10 PM ET]

Davidson: The Wildcats have been one of the true Cinderellas in the Big Dance along with Western Kentucky, led by super sophomore Stephen Curry. The son of former NBA sharpshooter Dell Curry has totaled 55 points combined in the second halves of the first 2 games and proven to be the most valuable player of any team so far. When he struggled in the first half against Georgetown, Davidson trailed by 11 points at the break. But when he caught fire, the Wildcats were able to overcome a 16-point deficit.

Davidson is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 neutral site games.
The UNDER is 9-3-1 in Davidson's last 13 games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 60

Wisconsin (-5, O/U 126.5): The Badgers have the advantage of playing in Big Ten country in Detroit while Davidson won't be playing in their own backyard anymore. That combined with Wisconsin stopper Michael Flowers' ability to shut down opposing guards (he held Michigan State Drew Neitzel to 9-of-28 shooting this season) makes insiders believe the clock may indeed strike midnight for the Wildcats in the Sweet 16.

Wisconsin is 10-2 ATS during its 12-game winning streak.
The UNDER is 20-7 in Wisconsin's last 27 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 66




#12 Villanova vs. #1 Kansas [CBS | 9:40 PM ET]

Villanova: Villanova is playing like a team that could pull a Sweet 16 upset. The key to the Wildcats first two tournament wins has been consistency on both sides of the ball. ?Nova is shooting 51.8 percent from the field in the tournament, while holding its opposition to just 37 percent. The Wildcats have also been surprisingly strong on the boards. Despite fielding a small front line, Villanova outrebounded Clemson and Siena 73-64. Overall, the Wildcats are playing well in every area and could prove to be a tough test for No. 1 seed Kansas.

Villanova is 5-1 SU & ATS in its last 6 games overall.
The UNDER is 10-3-1 in Villanova's last 14 games overall.

Key Injuries - C Casiem Drummond (4.9 ppg; broken ankle) will miss the rest of the season.

PROJECTED SCORE: 67 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Kansas (-11.5, O/U 141.5): The Jayhawks have been an offensive machine so far in the tournament, scoring a combined 160 points and shooting a red-hot 54.1 and 58 percent in wins over Portland State and UNLV. One of the reasons for Kansas? high offensive output is that they have done an excellent job protecting the basketball. The Jayhawks only have 21 turnovers in two games. That?s an area where Kansas has a big advantage over Villanova. The Wildcats have turned the ball over 33 times in their 2 tournament games.

Kansas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games overall.
The UNDER is 6-2 in Villanova's last 8 neutral site games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 79




South Region - Reliant Arena (Houston, TX)

#3 Stanford vs. #2 Texas [CBS | 7:27 PM ET]

Stanford: Cardinal head coach Trent Johnson - the Pac-10's Coach of the Year - plans on staying on the bench in this game after getting ejected with 2 technicals in the first half against Marquette. ?He might be more conscious of reaching that limit with the refs but I don?t think he?ll be any different in his approach,? Stanford point guard Mitch Johnson said. ?Obviously he knows people are watching him and the past stays with you.? The team is 4-1 on neutral courts this season, with the only loss coming to UCLA in the Pac-10 Tournament title game. However, Texas will be playing close to home in Houston - just like the Bruins did back in LA.

Stanford is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games overall.
The UNDER is 9-1 in Stanford's last 10 non-conference games.
The OVER is 8-2 in Stanford's last 10 NCAA Tournament games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 67

Texas (-1.5, O/U 135.5): The Longhorns can look at Marquette's success against Stanford last Saturday as a blueprint for this Sweet 16 matchup. While the Cardinal certainly has an advantage inside with the 7-foot Lopez brothers, Texas will counter with arguably the best backcourt in the country. Insiders believe guards D.J. Augustin and A.J. Abrams are much more talented offensively than Marquette's guards and will likely be the difference in this game.

Texas is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games overall.
Texas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games vs. Pac-10.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 68




#5 Michigan State vs. #1 Memphis [CBS | 9:57 PM ET]

Michigan State: People close to the Michigan State team feel this could be a dangerous game for the Spartans. Michigan State lives and dies by its outside shooters G Drew Neitzel, F Raymont Morgan and G Kalin Lucas. Even though the Spartans are a good offensive rebounding team they?ll be in trouble if their shots aren?t falling. Michigan State doesn?t play good transition defense and it struggles pressuring athletic guards. If the Spartans aren?t hitting from the outside, it will allow Memphis to get out and run and that could lead to a long night for Michigan State fans.

Michigan State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall.
The OVER is 6-2 in Michigan State's last 8 Friday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 64

Memphis (-4.5, O/U 134.5): Sooner or later, poor free throw shooting is going to catch up with the Tigers. Memphis was in control against Mississippi State but constant misses at the line inexplicably gave the Bulldogs a chance to tie the game in the final seconds. Overall, Memphis shot a laughable 46.9 percent at the charity stripe, including just 5-of-12 in the final 48 seconds to keep Mississippi State alive.

Memphis is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 71 (Side Play of the Day)


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[pm530]

College Basketball – Gameday

NCAAB
Gameday


Friday, March 28

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NCAAB Gameday
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Sweet 16 Gameday

Day 2 of the Sweet 16 tips off on Friday night as the Midwest and South regions hit the hardwood.

Midwest Region
Ford Field, Detroit, MI

Davidson (10) vs. Wisconsin (3)

The Wildcats' wild ride through the tournament continued in the second round when they upset No. 2 seed Georgetown 74-70. Stephen Curry put on another show with 30 points, 25 of which came in the second half. Curry’s outburst allowed the Wildcats to erase a 17-point second-half deficit, while Jason Richards added 20 points in the upset victory.

The Badgers may have ended Michael Beasley’s college career after they knocked off Kansas State 72-55 as a 4.5-point favorite. Trevon Hughes led Wisconsin with 25 points and Michael Flowers added 15 points in the rout.

Villanova (12) vs. Kansas (1)

Villanova sent Siena home after recording an 84-72 victory as a 5.5-point favorite in the second round. Scottie Reynolds torched the Tigers for 25 points and eight rebounds, while Corey Stokes netted 20 points in the win.

The Jayhawks soared past UNLV 75-56 as a 13.5-point favorite last weekend. Mario Chalmers scored 17 points for Kansas and Russell Robinson had 13 points, as Kansas shot an impressive 58 percent in the win.

South Region
Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX

Stanford (3) vs. Texas (2)

The Cardinal came back from an 11-point deficit in the first half to get past Marquette 82-81 in overtime as a 2.5-point favorite in the second round. Brook Lopez hit the winning shot with 1.3 seconds left in OT, and he also led Stanford with 30 points. Robin Lopez added 18 points and nine rebounds and Mitch Johnson had nine points and a career-high 16 assists.

The Longhorns nearly blew a 17-point lead before escaping with a 75-72 win over Miami as a 6.5-point favorite in the second round. A.J. Abrams scored 26 points for Texas, while Damion James had a big game with 16 points and 16 rebounds. Texas leading scorer D.J. Augustin struggled again in the win over Miami with 12 points on a poor 4-of-14 shooting.

Michigan State (5) vs. Memphis (1)

The Spartans upset No. 4 seed Pittsburgh 65-54 as a 2.5-point underdog last week. Drew Neitzel hit five three-pointers to lead the Spartans with 21 points, while Kalin Lucas poured in 19 points.

The Tigers had more trouble than expected with Mississippi State in a 77-74 win as a 9-point favorite. Derrick Rose scored 17 points to go along with nine rebounds and seven assists, and Chris Douglas-Roberts also netted 17 points. Joey Dorsey was a defensive standout in the win with 12 rebounds and six blocks, while also scoring 13 points.

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[pm530]

College Basketball – Additional

NCAAB


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NCAAB -– Trend Sheet
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MARCH 28, 7:10 PM

DAVIDSON vs. WISCONSIN
Davidson is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Davidson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Wisconsin is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games



MARCH 28, 7:27 PM

STANFORD vs. TEXAS
Stanford is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Texas is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games



MARCH 28, 9:40 PM

VILLANOVA vs. KANSAS
Villanova is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Villanova is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games



MARCH 28, 9:57 PM

MICHIGAN STATE vs. MEMPHIS
Michigan State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Michigan State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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[pm530]

National Basketball Association – Write up

NBA
Write-up


Friday, March 28

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NBA Games

Pacers scored 116.3 ppg in last four games, but lost last two; in last game, they lost 124-117 in Swamp Wednesday. 11 of their last 14 games went over total. Nets are half-game out of #8 slot in East- they won five of their last seven games.

Suns lost in Detroit, Boston after winning previous seven in a row; they lost 119-114 at home to Philly March 1. 76ers are 19-5 in last 24 games; five of their last seven games went over total. Both these teams are the 6-seed in their respective conference.

Dreadful Knicks are 7-11-1 vs spread in game after a win; they lost 12 of last 14 games- 16 of their last 21 games went over the total. Toronto won 115-92 in Knicks' last visit here; Raptors are 2-7 in last nine games, with last six staying under total.

Celtics (+1.5) lost 113-106 in New Orleans Saturday; they're 5-3 in last eight games since 10-game win streak ended-- seven of their last ten games stayed under total. Hornets won five in a row, 12 of last 15 games-- over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

Hawks have half-game edge for last playoff slot in east; they're 5-2 in last seven games, but lost 103-94 in Chicago Tuesday. Bulls lost seven of last ten games, losing last five on road by 9-23-7-11-22 points. Over is 3-0-1 in their last four road tilts.

Minnesota is 6-4 in last ten games, but they're 0-3 against the Spurs this season, losing by 15-1-17 points. Nine of their last twelve games went over total. Spurs are jockeying for position in playoff race; they won last five games, by 22-13-1-10-9 pts.

Milwaukee lost ten of last 13 games, covering two of last nine; 18 of their last 22 games went over total. Home team won both their games vs Orlando this year. Magic lost three of their last four games; six of their last eight stayed under the total.

Clippers lost last nine games (3-6 vs spread); they're probably dead team until Brand comes back next week to test his healed Achilles tendon. Utah is 10-3 in its last thirteen games- they're 2-1 v Clippers this year, losing last meeting by 10 at Staples.

Kings won last four home games- they lost 92-79 to Wizards in first meeting Dec 15 (+8); under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Washington won seven of last nine games; under is 5-0-1 in its last six. Wizards are now solidly in playoffs (5th in East now).

Sonics lost 12 of last 13 games as team's days in Washington seem to be numbered; they lost 100-84 in Charlotte (+8) back on Nov 17. Bobcats ended 1-6 skid by upsetting Lakers in last game- six of their last eight games stayed under the total.

Lakers split their last 10 games; they beat Grizzlies twice so far this season, by 1-16 points. Memphis lost at Sacramento in OT Wednesday; they're 6-1 vs spread in last seven games. Lakers covered two of last seven as the favorite.

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[pm530]

National Hockey League – Write up

NHL
Write-up


Friday, March 28

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Today's NHL analysis

Hot Teams
-- Carolina won eleven of last fourteen games.
-- Flyers won last four games, allowing total of seven goals.
-- Predators won last two games, allowing a single goal.
-- Canadiens won ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Red Wings won last four games, allowing six goals.
-- Colorado won seven of its last eight home games. Oilers are 12-4 in their last sixteen games.
-- Ducks won five of their last six games. Sharks are 15-2 in last seventeen games.

Cold Teams
-- Thrashers won for third time in last 18 games Thursday.
-- Devils lost last five games, outscored 17-5.
-- Blue Jackets lost three of their last four games.
-- Sabres are 5-11 in their last sixteen games.
-- Blues lost fourteen of last sixteen games.
-- Minnesota lost eight of its last twelve games. Canucks lost last three games, allowing 11 goals.

Series Records
-- Hurricanes won last four games against Atlanta.
-- Flyers lost five in row, 14 of last 16 against New Jersey.
-- Predators won 14 of last 15 games against Columbus.
-- Montreal lost three of last four visits to Buffalo.
-- Detroit won three of last four against the Blues.
-- Canucks lost four of last five against Minnesota.
-- Colorado is 5-2 against the Oilers this season.
-- Ducks are 9-4 in last thirteen games against San Jose.

Totals
-- Last five Carolina-Atlanta games went over total.
-- Under is 7-3 in Philly's last ten games.
-- Five of last seven Nashville games stayed under the total, as have last five Columbus games.
-- Over is 14-3-1 in last 18 Buffalo games.
-- Under is 17-3-1 in last 21 Detroit-St Louis games.
-- Over is 8-2-2 in last dozen Minnesota-Vancouver games.
-- Six of last eight Colorado-Edmonton games went over.
-- Under is 9-1-2 in last dozen Anaheim games, with last four all ending in 2-1 scores.

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[Dennis14072]

Today's NBA Picks
Charlotte at Seattle
The Bobcats are coming off a 13-point road win against the Lakers and face a Seattle team that has lost 12 of its last 13, including six of seven at home. Charlotte is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Bobcats favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-3). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, MARCH 28Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST

Game 851-852: New Jersey at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 113.789; Indiana 120.959
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 216
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-5); Over

Game 853-854: Phoenix at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 122.754; Philadelphia 123.942
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 3; 218
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+3); Under

Game 855-856: New York at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: New York 107.879; Toronto 121.472
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 13 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 14; 195
Dunkel Pick: New York (+14); Under

Game 857-858: New Orleans at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 123.891; Boston 130.585
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 6 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 7; 196
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+7); Over

Game 859-860: Chicago at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.218; Atlanta 121.517
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 7 1/2; 204 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-5 1/2); Under

Game 861-862: Minnesota at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 111.047; San Antonio 126.904
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 16; 190
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 12; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-12); Over

Game 863-864: Orlando at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 123.240; Milwaukee 114.434
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 9; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 6; 207
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-6); Under

Game 865-866: LA Clippers at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 107.869; Utah 127.633
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 19 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 15; 206
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-15); Under

Game 867-868: Washington at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 115.775; Sacramento 119.617
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 4; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-2); Under

Game 869-870: Charlotte at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 115.330; Seattle 108.509
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 7; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 3; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-3); Over

Game 871-872: Memphis at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 110.288; LA Lakers 126.684
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 16 1/2; 222 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 14 1/2; 218
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-14 1/2); Over