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Monday Trends and Indexes 03/24

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  • #16
    NHL
    Hot Lines



    Monday, March 24

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Ice picks: Monday's best NHL bets
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Minnesota at Edmonton (+110, 5)

    The Edmonton Oilers are playing their most consistent hockey of the season - they just hope they have enough time to claim a playoff spot.

    The Oilers will be trying to inch closer to postseason position on Monday when they host the Northwest Division-leading Minnesota Wild.

    Edmonton (38-33-5) has won 11 of its last 14 games, including Saturday's 7-5 victory over Colorado. The Oilers are in last place in the Northwest, but have moved within three points of the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference.

    Sam Gagner scored twice on Saturday as Edmonton won despite blowing a three-goal lead heading into the third period.

    "I'm down to my last nerve,'' coach Craig MacTavish said. "It wasn't easy. It should have been a lot easier than it was. We had a great start and then we lacked a little composure in those key situations. Perhaps the youthfulness comes into play. The good thing is that we are getting the experience and still winning the games.''

    The Oilers scored at least seven goals for the second time in three games, including an 8-4 win over Phoenix on Tuesday, and bounced back from Thursday's 4-1 loss to Vancouver. Not counting shootout goals, Edmonton has averaged 3.57 goals during its 14-game run.

    For the season, the Oilers are scoring just 2.68 goals per game.

    "We had two great periods, scored a lot of goals and then the first 10 of the third they scored three right away and had the momentum," Marc Pouliot, who had a goal and an assist, told the Oilers' official team Web site. "It was a high scoring game, but we'll take it for sure."

    Pick: Oilers


    Ottawa at Montreal (-135, 6)

    The Montreal Canadiens have been dominated virtually all season when they've faced the Ottawa Senators.

    But the Senators would gladly trade that success for the Canadiens' spot in the Northeast Division.

    Montreal looks to move one step closer to its first division title since 1991-92 when it hosts second-place Ottawa on Monday.

    The competition between the Eastern Conference-leading Canadiens (42-24-10) and the Senators (41-27-7) has been extremely tight at the top of the division over the past few months, with Montreal's current five-point lead its largest advantage of the season.

    But when the teams have faced each other on the ice, it's been Ottawa that has enjoyed a decided advantage. The Senators have won five of the six meetings this season and eight of the last nine overall. They've outscored the Canadiens 9-1 in their two most recent games, including a 3-0 victory at the Bell Centre on March 13.

    That victory was the Senators' third straight and tied the teams atop the division, but Ottawa has since lost two of three while Montreal has gone 3-0-1.

    The Senators held a 4-3 lead at home against Toronto on Saturday night heading into the third period, but gave up two goals in 41 seconds on their way to a 5-4 loss.

    "We know we can play better," said Ottawa captain Daniel Alfredsson, who scored his 38th goal. "If we want to win down the stretch and in the playoffs we can't give up goals like that."

    The line of Spezza centering Alfredsson and Dany Heatley has been the NHL's most productive this season, combining for 106 goals. But the trio hasn't played any better than when they've faced the Canadiens.

    Spezza has seven goals, Alfredsson four and Heatley three against Montreal in only five games apiece, and they've combined for 36 points.

    "They're probably one of the best lines in the NHL," Canadiens goaltender Carey Price said after watching that line score every Senators goal in a 6-1 loss on Feb. 9.

    Price has lost both of his starts against Ottawa this season, but the rookie has been playing well lately as Montreal has taken control of the division. He's 4-2-0 with a 1.97 goals-against average in his last six starts.

    The comfort of home ice has made a big difference recently for Price. He's 4-1-0 with a 1.38 GAA in his last five starts in Montreal, compared to 2-2-0 with a 3.26 GAA in four road starts this month.

    Pick: Senators

    Comment


    • #17
      NHL
      Long Sheet



      Monday, MArch 24


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PITTSBURGH (43-25-0-7, 93 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (33-36-0-7, 73 pts.) - 3/24/2008, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PITTSBURGH is 12-10 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
      PITTSBURGH is 12-10-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
      12 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.7 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      OTTAWA (41-27-0-7, 89 pts.) at MONTREAL (42-24-0-10, 94 pts.) - 3/24/2008, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OTTAWA is 41-34 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all games this season.
      OTTAWA is 16-21 ATS (-17.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
      OTTAWA is 3-9 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after a division game this season.
      MONTREAL is 4-10 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      OTTAWA is 14-8 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
      OTTAWA is 14-8-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
      11 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-2.5 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MINNESOTA (40-27-0-9, 89 pts.) at EDMONTON (38-33-0-5, 81 pts.) - 3/24/2008, 9:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MINNESOTA is 8-17 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a division game this season.
      EDMONTON is 38-38 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games this season.
      EDMONTON is 22-14 ATS (+36.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
      EDMONTON is 8-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in March games this season.
      EDMONTON is 155-121 ATS (+277.1 Units) after a division game since 1996.
      EDMONTON is 19-15 ATS (+38.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
      MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MINNESOTA is 16-6 (+10.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      MINNESOTA is 16-6-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      10 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.5 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CALGARY (39-26-0-10, 88 pts.) at COLORADO (39-31-0-6, 84 pts.) - 3/24/2008, 9:35PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      COLORADO is 39-34 ATS (-1.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      CALGARY is 12-3 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
      COLORADO is 71-75 ATS (-92.6 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
      COLORADO is 64-62 ATS (-23.2 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      COLORADO is 12-11 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
      COLORADO is 12-11-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
      14 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.1 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #18
        NCAAB
        Dunkel



        Ohio at Bradley
        The Braves opened the CBI Tournament with a win over Cincinnati and look to take advantage tonight of an Ohio team that was 7-11 (5-10 ATS) on the road this season. Bradley is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-6). Here are all of today's games.

        MONDAY, MARCH 24

        Game 617-618: UAB at Virginia Tech
        Dunkel Ratings: UAB 65.193; Virginia Tech 71.887
        Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 6 1/2
        Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 7 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: UAB (+7 1/2)

        Game 619-620: California at Ohio State
        Dunkel Ratings: California 63.674; Ohio State 69.499
        Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 6
        Vegas Line: Ohio State by 8
        Dunkel Pick: California (+8)

        Game 621-622: Dayton at Illinois State
        Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 62.643; Illinois State 68.286
        Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 5 1/2
        Vegas Line: Illinois State by 7
        Dunkel Pick: Dayton (+7)

        Game 623-624: Nebraska at Mississippi
        Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 65.276; Mississippi 69.576
        Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 4 1/2
        Vegas Line: Mississippi by 6
        Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+6)

        Game 627-628: Old Dominion at Virginia
        Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 57.104; Virginia 67.902
        Dunkel Line: Virginia by 11
        Vegas Line: Virginia by 8 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-8 1/2)

        Game 629-630: Valparaiso at Houston
        Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 56.581; Houston 67.734
        Dunkel Line: Houston by 11
        Vegas Line: Houston by 8
        Dunkel Pick: Houston (-8)

        Game 631-632: Ohio at Bradley
        Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 57.548; Bradley 66.930
        Dunkel Line: Bradley by 9 1/2
        Vegas Line: Bradley by 6
        Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-6)

        Game 633-634: Utah at Tulsa
        Dunkel Ratings: Utah 61.560; Tulsa 62.581
        Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 1
        Vegas Line: Tulsa by 2
        Dunkel Pick: Utah (+2)

        Comment


        • #19
          NBA
          Power Index



          Monday, March 24


          Guys, 0-4 SU last night, but 3-1 ATS.

          Miami* 1.5 over Milwaukee
          Boston* 11 over Philadelphia
          New Jersey even with New York*
          Detroit* 5 over Phoenix
          Denver 6 over Memphis*
          Houston* 11 over Sacramento
          Portland 3.5 over Seattle*
          Golden State* 1 over L.A. Lakers

          Comment


          • #20
            NBA
            Dunkel



            Phoenix at Detroit
            The Suns bring a seven-game winning streak into tonight's contest, but face a Pistons team that is 4-1 ATS against Phoenix over the last three seasons. Detroit is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Pistons favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3). Here are all of today's games.

            MONDAY, MARCH 24

            Game 601-602: Philadelphia at Boston
            Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 119.942; Boston 132.890
            Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 13; 191
            Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 10; 194
            Dunkel Pick: Boston (-10); Under

            Game 603-604: New Jersey at New York
            Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 114.007; New York 112.148
            Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 2; 206
            Vegas Line & Total: No Line
            Dunkel Pick: N/A

            Game 605-606: Milwaukee at Miami
            Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 110.551; Miami 110.600
            Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 183
            Vegas Line & Total: No Line
            Dunkel Pick: N/A

            Game 607-608: Phoenix at Detroit
            Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 121.006; Detroit 127.663
            Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 6 1/2; 202
            Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3; 206
            Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-6); Under

            Game 609-610: Denver at Memphis
            Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.183; Memphis 114.288
            Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 7; 233
            Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 7 1/2; 232
            Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+7 1/2); Over

            Game 611-612: Sacramento at Houston
            Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 114.818; Houston 127.312
            Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 12 1/2; 180
            Vegas Line & Total: No Line
            Dunkel Pick: N/A

            Game 613-614: Portland at Seattle
            Dunkel Ratings: Portland 114.047; Seattle 108.371
            Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 6; 203
            Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 8 1/2; 205
            Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+8 1/2); Under

            Game 615-616: LA Lakers at Golden State
            Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 125.379; Golden State 122.340
            Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3; 228
            Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1; 233
            Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-1); Under

            Comment


            • #21
              NHL
              Dunkel



              Ottawa at Montreal
              The Senators have won two of their last three road games and face a Montreal team that has lost two of its last four at home. Ottawa is the underdog pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Senators favored straight up by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+110). Here are all of today's games.

              MONDAY, MARCH 24

              Game 1-2: Pittsburgh at NY Islanders
              Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.843; NY Islanders 9.799
              Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 2; 5
              Vegas Line & Total: No Line
              Dunkel Pick: N/A

              Game 3-4: Ottawa at Montreal
              Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.318; Montreal 11.249
              Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 5
              Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-130); 6
              Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+110); Under

              Game 5-6: Minnesota at Edmonton
              Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.517; Edmonton 11.896
              Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 6
              Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-130); 5
              Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+110); Over

              Game 7-8: Calgary at Colorado
              Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.567; Colorado 10.892
              Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 6
              Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-135); 5 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+115); Over

              Comment


              • #22
                NCAAB
                Short Sheet



                Monday, March 24th

                NIT Tournament
                Second Round
                Bottom Team Is Home

                UAB at Virginia Tech, 9:00 ET ESPN
                UAB: 7-0 Under as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points
                Virginia Tech: 12-3 ATS as favorite

                California at Ohio State, 7:00 ET ESPN
                California: 13-1 Over after playing a game as favorite
                Ohio State: 26-9 Under at home off non-conference game

                Dayton at Illinois State, 7:00 ET ESPNU
                Dayton: 4-13 ATS off Under
                Illinois State: 8-1 ATS at home off non-conference game

                Nebraska at Mississippi, 9:00 ET ESPNU
                Nebraska: 1-9 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less
                Mississippi: 31-14 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less

                CBI Tournament
                Second Round
                Bottom Team Is Home

                Old Dominion at Virginia, 7:00 ET
                Old Dominion: 6-0 Under in postseason tournament games
                Virginia: 3-15 ATS off a home win by 3 points or less

                (TC) Valparaiso at Houston, 9:00 ET
                Valparaiso: 8-2 ATS off non-conference game
                Houston: 2-9 ATS after scoring 80+ points

                Ohio at Bradley, 8:00 ET
                Ohio: 0-6 ATS Away off ATS loss
                Bradley: 8-0 ATS after a win by 3 points or less

                Utah at Tulsa, 9:00 ET
                Utah: 1-8 ATS off SU win as an underdog
                Tulsa: 7-0 ATS at home vs. non-conference

                ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

                Comment


                • #23
                  NBA
                  Short Sheet



                  Monday, March 24th

                  Philadelphia at Boston, 7:35 ET NBATV
                  Philadelphia: 11-3 ATS Away when playing their 3rd game in 4 days
                  Boston: 12-27 ATS at home after covering 2 of their last 3

                  New Jersey at New York, 7:35 ET
                  New Jersey: 4-12 ATS revenging a home loss
                  New York: 7-4 ATS in March

                  Milwaukee at Miami, 7:35 ET
                  Milwaukee: 7-26 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
                  Miami: 5-1 ATS off 3+ unders

                  Phoenix at Detroit, 7:35 ET
                  Phoenix: 18-6 ATS Away revenging SU loss as a favorite
                  Detroit: 36-61 ATS at home playing on back-to-back days

                  Denver at Memphis, 8:05 ET
                  Denver: 11-1 ATS off BB road games
                  Memphis: 5-13 ATS at home playing with double revenge

                  Sacramento at Houston, 8:35 ET
                  Sacramento: 11-3 ATS after playing BB games as a road underdog
                  Houston: 5-15 ATS as a home underdog

                  Portland at Seattle, 10:05 ET
                  Portland: 25-11 ATS revenging a DD road loss
                  Seattle: 7-15 ATS after playing BB road games

                  LA Lakers at Golden State, 10:35 ET NBATV
                  LA Lakers: 17-7 ATS revenging a home loss
                  Golden State: 12-22 ATS at home

                  ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    NHL
                    Short Sheet



                    Monday, March 24th

                    Pittsburgh at NY Islanders, 7:05 ET
                    Pittsburgh: n/a
                    NY Islanders: n/a

                    Ottawa at Montreal, 7:35 ET
                    Ottawa: 16-9 SU vs. division opponents
                    Montreal: 1-7 SU in home games revenging a loss where team scored 1

                    Minnesota at Edmonton, 9:35 ET
                    Minnesota: 11-2 SU after playing 3 consecutive road games
                    Edmonton: 35-42 SU in home games off an home win scoring 4 or more

                    Calgary at Colorado, 9:35 ET
                    Calgary: 7-1 SU in road games after BB 1 goal wins
                    Colorado: 2-7 SU after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored

                    ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

                    Comment

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