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  • Friday Trends and Indexes 03/21

    Trends and Indexes
    Friday, March 21

    Good Luck on day #81 of 2008!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Six-pack for Friday

    -- Favorites were 13-3 against spread Thursday; the over was 8-7-1 on the first day of the tournament.

    -- Someone described Baylor coach Scott Drew as being a guy who is "relentlessly cheerful". I'm still trying to figure out if thats a compliment or not.

    -- If you care about such things, refs get $800 a game if they work an NIT game. Lot more for the NCAA contests.

    -- One good part of going out and watching all the NCAA games on TV is that you hear very few of the announcers. By this time of year, I'd rather watch games, listen to music.

    -- Someone has to explain to the CBS studio analysts that an upset is when the team getting points beats the team giving points, not the lower seed beating the higher seed.

    -- By the way, the best highlight show for college hoop is on CSTV (now CBS College Sports), which is 663 on the digital cable in Albany. CBS has the tournament, so CSTV has the best highlights, and recently added astute Greg Anthony.

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------

    Comment


    • #3
      Friday's List of 13: Summing up first day of the tournament

      13) Duke almost became the fifth #2 seed to lose in first round, narrowly escaping Belmont Bruins, 71-70. We never see any of the Atlantic Sun games on TV, but they play some good ball- Belmont won at Cincinnati and Alabama this season, Gardner-Webb beat Kentucky, Mercer beat USC. They also play fast in that league, for the most part.

      12) Kansas made nine of first 14 treys, ran Portland State out of gym in first half, leading 49-26. That said, gritty Vikings played an even second half, and had wide open trey to cover 22-point spread- it missed, and Jayhawks advanced with a 24-point win.

      11) Clark Kellogg, Seth Davis both picked Kent State as one of their "upsets" for Thursday; we'll skip fact that Flashes trailed 31-10 at the half- we all lose picks now and then, but Kent was favored to win the game by 1.5 points. They should know this, at least you'd hope they would, working on CBS and all.

      10) Baylor plays just terrible defense; they gave up 90 points to Purdue, and Baby Boilers didn't attack press very much in last 15:00- they could easily have topped the 100 mark. Purdue won its tenth straight first round tournament game.

      9) Michigan State played Scrooge Thursday, holding Temple's star Dionte Christmas to 1-12 from floor in their easy over the Owls. Spartans were just more physical than Temple.

      8) Winthrop, Washington State were tied 29-all at half, but in second half, Coogs held Winthrop to 11 points and won by 31. Wazzu-Notre Dame is going to be excellent game Saturday.

      7) Michael Beasley had two fouls before first TV timeout, but Bill Walker carried Kansas State rest of the half, scoring 17 pts and Wildcats played from ahead whole game, leading 37-27 at half. USC took lead for one possession, then went in tank for rest of game-- just a hideous 80-62 loss for the Trojans-- this is why I don't post Final Four picks on here-- I liked Trojans as a sleeper-- instead , they slept during most of game Thursday.

      6) Kent had 17 turnovers, 10 points in first half Thursday of a brutal 71-58 loss to UNLV that was much worse than the final score indicated. Rebels' Lon Kruger is a superior coach.

      5) Xavier played most of game from behind, but were 27-33 on foul line, Georgia 3-5 in Musketeers' 73-61 win. Georgia was up 35-26 at half, but Xavier put it into another gear in last 10:00 to pull away from the spunky Dawgs.

      4) West Virginia made 11-19 from arc in 75-65 win vs Arizona, ending the Kevin O'Neill era (at least for now) at 19-15. Next up for the Mountaineers is Duke, an interesting matcnhup of very strong perimeter-based teams. WVa made Jordan Hill look like Moses Malone until he got in foul trouble Thursday.

      3) Mississippi Valley State is worse than either team that was in play-in game Tuesday night. The committee handed UCLA a gimme when they gave them game against the Delta Devils.

      2) Looking ahead briefly to Friday, Texas Longhorns are 20-1 if DJ Augustin takes less than 16 shots, 8-5 if he takes 16+- they are better team when he distributes ball more and shoots less.

      1) Coaches, players at Belmont will never forget the 71-70 loss to Duke Thursday; they'll replay the last 2:00 in their heads for as long as they live. As great an effort as they gave, as proud as they made their fans, this loss will gnaw at them forever. I'm not busting their chops by saying that, its just the truth.

      ----------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        College Basketball - Dunkel Index

        NCAAB
        Dunkel Index

        FRIDAY, MARCH 21

        Game 821-822: Villanova vs. Clemson
        Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 67.969; Clemson 69.703
        Dunkel Line: Clemson by 2
        Vegas Line: Clemson by 6
        Dunkel Pick: Villanova (+6)

        Game 823-824: Siena vs. Vanderbilt
        Dunkel Ratings: Siena 60.179; Vanderbilt 67.841
        Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 7 1/2
        Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 6 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-6 1/2)

        Game 825-826: Western Kentucky vs. Drake
        Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 62.191; Drake 67.496
        Dunkel Line: Drake by 5 1/2
        Vegas Line: Drake by 4
        Dunkel Pick: Drake (-4)

        Game 827-828: San Diego vs. Connecticut
        Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 60.611; Connecticut 69.831
        Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 9
        Vegas Line: Connecticut by 12
        Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+12)

        Game 829-830: Mt. St. Mary's vs. North Carolina
        Dunkel Ratings: Mt. St. Mary's 52.313; North Carolina 77.299
        Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 25
        Vegas Line: No Line
        Dunkel Pick: N/A

        Game 831-832: Arkansas vs. Indiana
        Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 67.084; Indiana 65.500
        Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 1 1/2
        Vegas Line: Indiana by 2 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+2 1/2)

        Game 833-834: MD-Baltimore Co. vs. Georgetown
        Dunkel Ratings: MD-Baltimore Co. 54.196; Georgetown 73.771
        Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 19 1/2
        Vegas Line: Georgetown by 16 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-16 1/2)

        Game 835-836: Davidson vs. Gonzaga
        Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 68.713; Gonzaga 69.468
        Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 1
        Vegas Line: Davidson by 2
        Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (+2)

        Game 837-838: TX-Arlington vs. Memphis
        Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 49.040; Memphis 77.692
        Dunkel Line: Memphis by 28 1/2
        Vegas Line: Memphis by 25
        Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-25)

        Game 839-840: Oregon vs. Mississippi State
        Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 68.481; Mississippi State 66.608
        Dunkel Line: Oregon by 2
        Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 2
        Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+2)

        Game 841-842: Austin Peay vs. Texas
        Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 54.452; Texas 73.773
        Dunkel Line: Texas by 19 1/2
        Vegas Line: Texas by 16
        Dunkel Pick: Texas (-16)

        Game 843-844: St. Mary's (CA) vs. Miami (FL)
        Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 63.976; Miami (FL) 66.315
        Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 2 1/2
        Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 1
        Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-1)

        Game 845-846: American vs. Tennessee
        Dunkel Ratings: American 51.974; Tennessee 74.519
        Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 22 1/2
        Vegas Line: Tennessee by 19 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-19 1/2)

        Game 847-848: South Alabama vs. Butler
        Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 61.363; Butler 65.701
        Dunkel Line: Butler by 4 1/2
        Vegas Line: Butler by 4
        Dunkel Pick: Butler (-4)

        Game 849-850: Boise State vs. Louisville
        Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 56.443; Louisville 73.378
        Dunkel Line: Louisville by 17
        Vegas Line: Louisville by 13
        Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-13)

        Game 851-852: St. Joseph's vs. Oklahoma
        Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 63.925; Oklahoma 69.000
        Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 5
        Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 1
        Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-1)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          College Basketball – Long Sheet

          NCAAB
          Long Sheet


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Friday, March 21
          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          VILLANOVA (20 - 12) vs. CLEMSON (24 - 9) - 3/21/2008, 9:50 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          VILLANOVA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
          CLEMSON is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
          CLEMSON is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          SIENA (22 - 10) vs. VANDERBILT (26 - 7) - 3/21/2008, 7:20 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          VANDERBILT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
          SIENA is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          SIENA is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          SIENA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.
          SIENA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
          SIENA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
          VANDERBILT is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          W KENTUCKY (27 - 6) vs. DRAKE (28 - 4) - 3/21/2008, 12:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DRAKE is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games this season.
          DRAKE is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
          DRAKE is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
          DRAKE is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
          DRAKE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
          DRAKE is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          DRAKE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
          W KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
          W KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
          W KENTUCKY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          SAN DIEGO (21 - 13) vs. CONNECTICUT (24 - 8) - 3/21/2008, 3:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          SAN DIEGO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games this season.
          SAN DIEGO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
          SAN DIEGO is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
          SAN DIEGO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
          SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
          SAN DIEGO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
          SAN DIEGO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
          SAN DIEGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
          SAN DIEGO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          SAN DIEGO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
          CONNECTICUT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
          CONNECTICUT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
          CONNECTICUT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
          CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.
          CONNECTICUT is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ARKANSAS (22 - 11) vs. INDIANA (25 - 7) - 3/21/2008, 9:40 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ARKANSAS is 43-68 ATS (-31.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
          ARKANSAS is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
          ARKANSAS is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MD-BALT COUNTY (24 - 8) vs. GEORGETOWN (27 - 5) - 3/21/2008, 2:55 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          GEORGETOWN is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          GEORGETOWN is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
          GEORGETOWN is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          DAVIDSON (26 - 6) vs. GONZAGA (25 - 7) - 3/21/2008, 12:25 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          GONZAGA is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
          DAVIDSON is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
          DAVIDSON is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
          DAVIDSON is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          DAVIDSON is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
          DAVIDSON is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
          DAVIDSON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less this season.
          DAVIDSON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          DAVIDSON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
          GONZAGA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TX-ARLINGTON (21 - 11) vs. MEMPHIS (33 - 1) - 3/21/2008, 9:55 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MEMPHIS is 184-147 ATS (+22.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
          MEMPHIS is 184-147 ATS (+22.3 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
          MEMPHIS is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
          MEMPHIS is 138-96 ATS (+32.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
          MEMPHIS is 84-53 ATS (+25.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          OREGON (18 - 13) vs. MISSISSIPPI ST (22 - 10) - 3/21/2008, 7:25 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MISSISSIPPI ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          AUSTIN PEAY (24 - 10) vs. TEXAS (28 - 6) - 3/21/2008, 2:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          AUSTIN PEAY is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
          AUSTIN PEAY is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ST MARYS-CA (25 - 6) vs. MIAMI (22 - 10) - 3/21/2008, 12:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ST MARYS-CA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1997.
          MIAMI is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
          MIAMI is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
          MIAMI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
          MIAMI is 63-38 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
          MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
          MIAMI is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          AMERICAN (21 - 11) vs. TENNESSEE (29 - 4) - 3/21/2008, 12:15 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TENNESSEE is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
          TENNESSEE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
          TENNESSEE is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
          TENNESSEE is 9-29 ATS (-22.9 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          S ALABAMA (26 - 6) vs. BUTLER (29 - 3) - 3/21/2008, 2:45 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          BUTLER is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          BUTLER is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          BUTLER is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
          BUTLER is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
          S ALABAMA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
          S ALABAMA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
          S ALABAMA is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          BOISE ST (25 - 8) vs. LOUISVILLE (24 - 8) - 3/21/2008, 9:40 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          LOUISVILLE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
          LOUISVILLE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
          BOISE ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
          LOUISVILLE is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
          LOUISVILLE is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ST JOSEPHS (21 - 12) vs. OKLAHOMA (22 - 11) - 3/21/2008, 7:10 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ST JOSEPHS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
          OKLAHOMA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CREIGHTON (22 - 10) at FLORIDA (22 - 11) - 3/21/2008, 9:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            College Basketball – Short Sheet

            NCAAB
            Short Sheet


            Friday, March 21st


            Midwest Region
            Opening Round
            Tampa, Florida
            Villanova vs. Clemson, 7:10 ET

            Villanova:
            5-15 ATS off a loss against a conference rival
            3-11 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4

            Clemson:
            15-8 ATS as a favorite
            7-0 OVER against Big East conference opponents


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Midwest Region
            Opening Round
            Tampa, Fla
            Siena vs. Vanderbilt, 7:20 ET

            Siena:
            8-0 ATS in road games on Friday nights
            8-1 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3

            Vanderbilt:
            16-6 OVER as a favorite
            11-3 OVER in non-conference games


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Midwest Region
            Opening Round
            Tampa, Fla
            Western Kentucky vs. Drake, 12:30 ET

            Western Kentucky:
            6-0 ATS when playing on a neutral court
            11-4 ATS in road games after playing a game as favorite

            Drake:
            17-7 OVER in road games after one or more consecutive overs
            10-2 OVER after having won 15 or more of their last 20


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Midwest Region
            Opening Round
            Tampa, Fla
            San Diego vs. Connecticut, 3:00 ET

            San Diego:
            10-1 ATS as a DD underdog
            8-0 ATS off a home win against a conference rival

            Connecticut:
            2-10 ATS in all neutral court lined games
            1-9 ATS in road games in first round tournament games


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            East Region
            Opening Round
            Raleigh, NC
            Mount St. Mary's vs. North Carolina, 7:10 ET

            Mount St. Mary's:
            5-0 ATS in all tournament games
            4-1 ATS in all neutral court games

            North Carolina:
            2-4 ATS in a NCAA tournament games
            10-2 OVER as a neutral court favorite of 12.5 or more


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            East Region
            Opening Round
            Raleigh, NC
            Arkansas vs. Indiana, 9:40 ET

            Arkansas:
            8-1 OVER in road games after having won 3 of their last 4
            5-1 OVER as an underdog

            Indiana:
            3-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
            0-7 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            East Region
            Opening Round
            Raleigh, NC
            MD-Baltimore County vs. Georgetown, 2:55 ET

            MD-Baltimore County:
            N/A
            N/A

            Georgetown:
            10-2 UNDER in first round tournament games
            12-4 ATS in first round tournament games


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            East Region
            Opening Round
            Raleigh, NC
            Davidson vs. Gonzaga, 12:25 ET

            Davidson:
            5-1 ATS in all neutral court games
            9-1 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread

            Gonzaga:
            36-18 OVER when playing on a neutral court
            0-5 ATS when playing with 7 or more days rest


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            South Region
            Opening Round
            Little Rock, AR
            TX-Arlington vs. Memphis, 9:55 ET

            Texas Arlington:
            3-0 UNDER in non-conference games
            3-1 UNDER when playing on a neutral court

            Memphis:
            90-59 ATS off a home win
            17-6 UNDER in March games


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            South Region
            Opening Round
            Little Rock, AR
            Oregon vs. Mississippi State, 7:25 ET

            Oregon:
            8-2 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3
            12-3 UNDER after having won 3 of their last 4

            Mississippi State:
            2-11 ATS in road games off an upset loss
            7-1 UNDER in road games after having won 2 of their last 3


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            South Region
            Opening Round
            Little Rock, AR
            Austin Peay vs. Texas, 3:00 ET

            Austin Peay:
            0-6 ATS as a DD underdog
            4-12 ATS in non-conference games

            Texas:
            16-5 ATS after having won 15 or more of their last 20
            13-6 UNDER as a favorite


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            South Region
            Opening Round
            Little Rock, AR
            St. Mary's (CA) vs. Miami (FL), 12:30 ET

            St. Mary's:
            1-11 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games
            8-0 UNDER after one or more consecutive overs

            Miami (FL):
            7-0 ATS in non-conference games
            9-2 ATS as a favorite


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            East Region
            Opening Round
            Birmingham, AL
            American vs. Tennessee, 12:15 ET

            American:
            8-3 ATS after playing a game as favorite
            2-0 ATS in first round tournament games

            Tennessee:
            11-25 ATS as a neutral court favorite
            9-29 ATS in all tournament games



            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            East Region
            Opening Round
            Birmingham, AL
            South Alabama vs. Butler, 2:40 ET

            South Alabama:
            6-0 UNDER in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite
            4-9 ATS as a neutral court underdog

            Butler:
            10-3 UNDER off a home win
            7-3 ATS in a NCAA tournament games


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            East Region
            Opening Round
            Birmingham, AL
            Boise State vs. Louisville, 9:40 ET

            Boise State:
            8-2 ATS as an underdog
            6-0 ATS in road games after a game where they covered

            Louisville:
            15-32 ATS in all neutral court games
            8-1 OVER off a loss against a conference rival


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            East Region
            Opening Round
            Birmingham, AL
            St. Joseph's vs. Oklahoma, 7:10 ET

            St. Joseph's:
            9-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses
            7-0 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less

            Oklahoma:
            1-9 ATS in all tournament games
            1-8 ATS in road games in March

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              College Basketball – Write up

              NCAAB
              Write-up



              Thursday, March 20

              ----------------------------------------------------------------------

              Friday's NCAA Games
              Afternoon Card
              Tennessee is 3-2 in NCAAs under Pearl, beating Winthrop by 2 in '06, then Long Beach by 35, Virginia by 3 LY. Vols force 18 turnovers/game, shoot 36% from arc (24.2 tries/game) and like to create fast tempo- they're 2-5 as favorite outside of the SEC. American upset Maryland, but lost by 8 at Dayton, by 27 pts at Georgetown. Patriot League teams covered five of last six first round (not play-in) games.

              Davidson went 23-0 in Southern Conference, won at Winthrop in Bracket Buster, but otherwise went 1-6 vs D-I foes- they rely on 3's (shoot 36.4% on 25 tries/game). Oddly, favorite is 9-3 vs spread in 7-10 games last three years. Gonzaga won eight of last nine games, is 12-6 on road/neutral courts- with this game in Raleigh, it will be pro-Davidson (from Charlotte) crowd, for sure. Gonzaga is 7-2 in first round last nine years, losing LY to Indiana in first round- dog is 8-3 in their last 11 tourney games.

              Drake, Western Kentucky both start three seniors; Bulldogs (28-4) won by 22-8-30 points in MVC tourney- they rank #27 in protecting ball, will be tested by WKU unit that is 15th in US in forcing turnovers. Favorite is 6-2 vs spread in 5-12 games last two years, after being 11-17 in the seven years before that. All of Drake's guys can shoot 3's, except for PG Emmenecker, who is consummate PG. Western (38.9%) actually shoots 3's better.

              Miami has nine wins by six or less points; they won tourney in November on neutral court- they're shooting 38.4% from arc, are 13-1 out of ACC, also have win vs Duke. St Mary's started same five guys in every game- they're 2-3 in its last five games, but rank 14th in country in defensive FG%. Miami's top scorer McClinton shoots it better % outside arc than inside. Miami is 40th in country in scoring from foul line.

              Great contrast in style with athletic South Alabama facing the veteran Butler backcourt; Bulldogs beat Mississippi State, lost in double OT at Vandy, by 3 ay Ole Miss, so they're worthy of at-large bid they got, and are 8-2 in last ten games. Butler lost at home to Drake Feb 23, its only loss in last 14 games- they're starting four seniors who played in Sweet 16 LY, but they have new coach, while USA has edge with veteran mentor Arrow. Having game in Birmingham doesn't hurt Jaguars any.

              UMBC turns ball over just 9.5 times a game, 2nd-best turnover % in country; three starters play 33+ minutes, so they're not so deep, but longer TV timeouts in NCAAs help that. Georgetown relies on shot blocking Hibbert rather than pressuring the ball, it will be interesting to see if Retrievers (shoot 39% from arc) can do damage in half court sets. Hoyas will know who likely 2nd round foe is when they take floor, better not look ahead.

              San Diego won five in row, 13 of last 15 games, but they're here because they won WCC tourney at home, rallying from a 17-pt deficit to beat St Mary's in semis. UConn sleepwalks thru first NCAA games; they are 14-0 in first round games since '90, but 1-8 vs spread last nine. Huskies didn't make tourney LY; they are 3-3 in last six games. Neither side has a senior starter. USD shoots only 34% from arc; hard to challenge UConn inside.

              Austin Peay hasn't played in 12 days; they're 31st in country in forcing turnovers, 3-3-1 as dog. Peay lost at Vandy, 81-67, at Utah State 71-68, 104-82 at Memphis, but they won last six in a row. No one protects ball better than Texas, which starts pair of juniors and three sophs. Longhorns are 1-3-1 vs spread in last five games as favorite. Peay shoots 38% from arc, taking over 20/game. #2 seeds are 4-8 vs spread in first round the last three tournaments.

              Night Card
              St Joe's lost in OT to both Gonzaga, Creighton, lost in finals of A-14 tourney when they were playing fourth day in row, but a pair of wins vs Xavier (with former Oklahoma guard Lavender) got them in here. Hawks shoot 38.5% from arc, have taken 112 more foul shots than foes. Classic matchup of offensive team vs defensive club. Oklahoma won four of last five games- they won last nine times they scored 60+ points.

              Siena is yong, athletic, likes to pressure; Vanderbilt ranks #22 in effective FG%, #85 in protecting ball, so unless Saints turn them over more than usual, Vandy will shoot open layups and 3's all night-- they make 40.4% from arc. Commodores are 15-0 outside SEC, but they allowed 80.4 ppg last five games, with two of those games going OT. Three seniors start for Vandy team that made Sweet 16 LY, narrowly losing to Georgetown.

              North Carolina won last 11 games, covered one of last six; they start three sophomores, have to be looking ahead at least little bit to winner of Arkansas-Indiana game. Mount St Mary's won nine of last 10 games- they won two road games in conference tourney, then won play-in game- they only have one senior in rotation, no starter taller than 6-7. #1 seeds are 11-13 vs spread the last six years- #1 seed in East is 2-7 vs spread in last nine.

              Oregon-Mississippi State pits #4 team in offensive efficiency vs #16 team in defensive efficiency; perimeter-oriented Ducks against shotblocking Bulldogs. Oregon starts three seniors, all of whom already graduated college- they lost twice to USC, the Pac-10 team that probably most resembles Bulldogs. MSU won 8 of last 11 games; three of last six went into overtime. Ducks shoot 40.1% from the arc. State starts three sophomores.

              Last time Boise State made NCAAs, they lost to Louisville by 67-58 score (+18), in '94; Broncos start four seniors- they lost last two home games by 23-19 points, then went to Las Cruces and won WAC tourney, beating home team in final.Louisville should get all info it needs on Boise from New Mexico State, coached by former Pitino aide Menzies. Shooting is what Boise does best (three of top four scorers shoot 43%+ from arc).

              12-seed Villanova is last team in field; they lost to NC State by point on bad call at end of game, their only game vs ACC unit this year. Wildcats have no seniors, were 3-7 in road/neutral Big East games, are 5-5 vs spread as underdog. Clemson made ACC semifinals last week for first time since '62; they're 6-3 vs spread in last nine games as favorite. Tigers beat DePaul by 16 in their only game against Big East team this season.

              Arkansas starts four seniors, but Weems is banged up, he is expected to play; Hogs are 1-8 in last nine games scoring less than 75 points. Indiana's play slumped after Sampson left, with Hoosiers losing three of last four games, losing last two in OT at Penn State, then on buzzer beater to Minnesota in the Big 11 tourney. Interesting to see how IU's young guards handle the Arkansas pressure. Both teams shoot below 35% from arc.

              Texas-Arlington ranks #57 in pace, which means they're going to run with Memphis; Mavericks start three seniors, have all five starters back from LY, with Guignard taking 44% of all the 3's they try (he makes 38.8%). Memphis covered just three of its last fourteen games- they're 7-8 vs spread in its non-league games. Arlngton is out of its league, class-wise; they played a woeful schedule- Oklahoma State was best team they played.


              Friday's NIT Game
              Investing in NIT, CBI games is not advised; enthusiasm for the home team won't be the same, travel is sub-standard; people are frontrunners. So with that in mind, here is a little bit of info on these games.......

              Florida snapped four-game skid with 73-49 thrashing of Aztecs in Gainesville Wednesday; Gators had allowed 78 ppg in their previous four games. Creighton was down 15 at half at home to Rhode Island Tuesday, rallied for 74-73 win, making 12-30 from arc, but shooting just 36.8% from floor for night. Six years ago, Bluejays beat Florida in double OT in a 5-12 first round NCAA game. Creighton failed to cover last five tries as as underdog.

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              Comment


              • #8
                College Basketball - Tips & Trends

                NCAAB


                Friday, March 21

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                Tips and Trends
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                Friday, March 21


                Midwest Region - RBC Center (Raleigh, NC)

                #10 Davidson vs. #7 Gonzaga [CBS | 12:25 PM ET]

                Davidson (-2, O/U 139.5): The Wildcats bring a nation-leading 19-game winning streak into the Big Dance and played a very tough non-conference slate that included meetings with Duke, North Carolina and UCLA. All 5 starters are back from last year's NCAA Tournament team, and they led the Southern Conference in free-throw shooting.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 71

                The UNDER is 8-2 in Davidson’s last 10 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE

                Gonzaga: The Bulldogs have become an annual staple in the Big Dance, making the NCAA Tournament in each of the last 10 years. However, this is not one of their best teams, which was proven again in a loss to San Diego in the West Coast Conference Tournament title game. Point guard Jeremy Pargo will face a lot of pressure defensively trying to keep up with Davidson's Stephen Curry (25.3 points per game), which could affect him on the offensive end.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 69

                Gonzaga is 2-4 ATS in 6 games on neutral courts this season.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                #15 UMBC vs. #2 Georgetown [CBS | 2:55 PM ET]

                UMBC: The Retrievers could be a dangerous 15 seed. They shoot 39 percent from 3-point range and have a number of players that can hoist the long ball. UMBC also hits its free throws, connecting on 73 percent of its attempts this season. The Retrievers only lost one game by double-digits all year, a 24-point defeat at West Virginia.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 60 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

                Maryland-Baltimore County is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE

                Georgetown (-16.5, O/U 130): The Hoyas shared a common opponent with Maryland-Baltimore County in West Virginia. While the Retrievers suffered their worst loss of the season at Morgantown, Georgetown beat the Mountaineers twice, including a 72-55 victory in the Big East Tournament semifinals. Even though Georgetown lost to Pitt in the tourney title game, this is a battle-tested team that played a very rugged Big East schedule and won the regular-season championship.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 76

                The OVER is 4-1 in Georgetown's last 5 games overall.
                The UNDER is 9-2 in Georgetown's last 11 NCAA Tournament games.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                Midwest Region - St. Pete Times Forum (Tampa, FL)

                #13 Siena vs. #4 Vanderbilt [CBS | 7:20 PM ET]

                Siena: The Saints are a trendy pick to upset Vanderbilt in the first round. Siena backers will point to the fact that the Saints upset Stanford earlier in the year but keep in mind Siena also lost to St. Joseph’s, Syracuse, Cornell and got blasted by 44 points at Memphis. Siena shoots a ton of three-pointers and we saw what can happen when they struggle from beyond the arc. Against Memphis, the Saints only hit 9-of-21 attempts from long range and got outrebounded by 18 in a 102-58 drubbing at the hands of the Tigers. If the three-ball isn’t falling on Friday for the Saints, Siena’s chances of sticking with Vandy are slim.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 73

                The UNDER is 4-0 in Siena’s last 4 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE

                Vanderbilt (-7, O/U 153.5): The Commodores were a mediocre 6-6 in regular-season road/neutral games, which does not bode well in the Big Dance. While they are a very talented team and can get up for any opponent (see their upset of #1 Tennessee earlier this season), they can fall flat just the same, proven in losing 2 of 3 games after that big win.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 80

                The OVER is 4-1 in Vanderbilt’s last 5 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                #12 Villanova vs. #5 Clemson [CBS | 9:50 PM ET]

                Villanova: The Wildcats underachieved most of the season until making a late run for the Big Dance. They got in thanks to a huge win over Syracuse in the Big East Tournament and are a very talented young team that figures to compete for the conference title next year. Turnovers have been a problem though due to having 3 freshmen and a sophomore in the backcourt.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 70

                Villanova is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE

                Clemson (-6, O/U 143.5): The Tigers return to the Big Dance for the first time in a decade after playing in the NIT each of the last 3 years. They are coming off their best finish in the ACC since 1990 and will need to overcome their status as the worst free-throw shooting team in the conference, which can be blamed for at least half of their losses this season.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 75

                Clemson is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                West Region - St. Pete Times Forums (Tampa, FL)

                #12 Western Kentucky vs. #5 Drake [CBS | 12:30 PM ET]

                Western Kentucky: The Hilltoppers were able to rally down the stretch despite losing one of their best players last month in 6-foot-7 senior Mike Walker. They were able to hang tough with the likes of Gonzaga and Tennesee (losing by a combined 9 points) and could possibly sping the upset due to their outstanding defense and veteran guard play.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 68

                Western Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE

                Drake (-4, O/U 139.5): The Bulldogs rewarded their backers this season - going 21-7 ATS - the most profitable team in the country. Drake lives by the long ball, putting up 28 3-pointers a game. But amazingly, MVC Player of the Year Adam Emmenecker has never attempted a 3-point shot in his 4 years at Drake.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 72

                Drake is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 Friday games.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                #13 San Diego vs. #4 Connecticut [CBS | 3 PM ET]

                San Diego: The team's 2 best players - point guard Brandon Johnson and center Gyno Pomare - are also less talented than their UConn counterparts and face severe mismatches. The Toreros were able to win 13 of their last 15 games to get into the Big Dance, but 11 of those came at home, as they also hosted their conference tournament.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 60

                San Diego is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE

                UConn (-11.5, O/U 131): The Huskies outrebounded their opponents by nearly 7 per game and are anchored in the middle by 7-foot-3 Hasheem Thabeet, who was named Big East Defensive Player of the Year after blocking a conference-record 94 shots during the regular season. There's no doubt that their strength lies in the interior, but the key to their success could very well depend on the play of point guard A.J. Price, who led the league in assists.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 71

                The OVER is 7-3 in UConn’s last 10 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                East Region - BJCC Arena (Birmingham, AL)

                #15 American vs. #2 Tennessee [CBS | 12:15 PM ET]

                American: This is the first-ever NCAA Tournament appearance for the Eagles, who rely heavily on the 3-point shot. They shoot over 41 percent from beyond the arc to rank fourth in the nation and make 8 treys a game. However, American did have more turnovers than its opponents this season, which could be problematic against the opportunistic Vols.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 60

                American is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE

                Tennessee (-20, O/U 141): The key number for the Vols is 80. Tennessee was 21-1 SU & 13-5 ATS this season when it scored 80 points or more. When the Vols failed to reach 80, their record dipped to 8-3 straight up and 2-9 ATS. Tennessee may need to score that many points with the way its defense has played recently. The Vols gave up an average of 76 points in their last 5 games.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 80

                Tennessee is 1-5 ATS in 6 games on neutral courts this season.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                #10 South Alabama vs. #7 Butler [CBS | 2:45 PM ET]

                South Alabama: The Jaguars were the best team in the Sun Belt this season despite losing in the conference tournament semifinals. They beat SEC West champ Mississippi State and lost by just 3 points to both Vanderbilt and Ole Miss, finishing 26-6 overall. Fortunately, South Alabama was still rewarded with an invite to the Big Dance and could be a nice sleeper pick to win a couple games.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 61

                South Alabama is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 Friday games.

                Key Injuries - NONE

                Butler (-4, O/U 125.5): The Bulldogs have 4 senior starters and averaged 9.2 3-pointers per game during the regular season. That obviously means they have tremendous experience and are one of the best outside shooting teams in the country. What could be a big problem is that Butler had a negative rebounding margin of 0.9 while playing a Horizon League schedule, which will hurt the team if the shots aren't falling as expected.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 65

                Butler is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 Friday games.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                #11 St. Joseph's vs. #6 Oklahoma [CBS | 7:10 PM ET]

                St. Joe's: The Hawks can play with just about any team in the country, but they have trouble closing out games, which could again be an issue here. A lot of that has to do with a lack of depth, as head coach Phil Martelli has not used his bench much lately. Keep this in mind for second-half betting.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 63

                The UNDER is 6-2 in St. Joseph’s last 8 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE

                Oklahoma (-1.5, O/U 127.5): The Sooners have a favorable opponent, as both teams would prefer to keep the score in the 70s or less. Since they are not a good shooting team, pounding the ball inside to Blake Griffin and Longar Longar will be key. Oklahoma has a distinct size advantage and should be able to wear down St. Joe's, controlling the pace.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 65

                The UNDER is 7-0 in Oklahoma’s last 7 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                #14 Boise State vs. #3 Louisville [CBS | 9:40 PM ET]

                Boise State: The Broncos could be a live underdog against Louisville. Boise State is 14-3 SU & 10-4 ATS away from home this season. The Broncos are also the fourth-best shooting team in the country, hitting 50.2 percent from the field.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 65

                Boise State is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 lined games.
                Boise State is 10-4 ATS away from home this season.

                Key Injuries - NONE

                Louisville (-13, O/U 143.5): Outside of a disappointing 2-game skid heading into the Big Dance, the Cardinals were one of the hottest teams in the country down the stretch. They are finally healthy after a rough start to the season and won 9 straight games before losing to Georgetown and Pitt, both teams they beat earlier in the year. Louisville ended up going 9-2 ATS in the last 11 games, and insiders believe the Cards could be as dangerous as any of the top seeds in the field.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 78

                Louisville is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                East Region - RBC Center (Birmingham, AL)

                Mount St. Mary's vs. #1 North Carolina [CBS | 7:10 PM ET]

                Mount St. Mary's: The Mountaineers rallied back from an early 9-point deficit to not only win but cover against 20-loss Coppin State in the opening-round game on Tuesday. Now comes the challenging task of meeting overall top seed North Carolina, something guard Jeremy Goode has always dreamed of. “I envisioned playing against them when I was little,” said Goode, a Carolina native. “To play against them means a lot.”

                PROJECTED SCORE: 62

                Mount St. Mary's is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE

                North Carolina (-24.5, O/U 150): The Tar Heels are loaded with talent and could be very tough to beat if they don't turn the ball over. However, they have proven to be beatable when that happens, committing a combined 30 turnovers in losses to Maryland and Duke during the regular season.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 87

                North Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                #9 Arkansas vs. #8 Indiana [CBS | 9:40 PM ET]

                Arkansas: The Razorbacks obviously have talent, which is one of the reasons they made it all the way to the SEC Tournament title game. However, they lack consistency and focus, which was proven in losing to Georgia as an 8-point favorite in that game. Arkansas is also a poor road team with a 2-7 mark during the regular season compared to 15-1 at home.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 70

                Arkansas is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games overall.

                Key Injuries - Leading scorer Sonny Weems (15 ppg; knee) has been upgraded to expected to play.

                Indiana (-1, O/U 140.5): The Hoosiers have one of the best 1-2 scoring punches in the country in freshman guard Eric Gordon and senior center D.J. White. The duo averaged over 38 points per game and will be very difficult to match up with. The team's motivation down the stretch will be critical though, as Indiana was just 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games after Dan Dakich took over as head coach for the departed Kelvin Sampson.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 71

                Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                South Region - Alltel Arena (North Little Rock, AR)

                #10 St. Mary's vs. #7 Miami (FL) [CBS | 12:30 PM ET]

                St. Mary's: The Gaels play outstanding pressure defense, holding 13 opponents under 60 points and forcing 15 turnovers per game. They also limit the opposition 30.4 percent from beyond the 3-point arc. However, the offense of St. Mary's could very well be the difference. The team is averaging 79.7 points per game in its 25 wins and 61.2 in its 5 losses.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 69

                St. Mary’s is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE

                Miami (-1, O/U 137.5): Hurricanes guard Jack McLinton led the ACC in 3-point field-goal percentage at 44 percent and also shoots 90 percent from the free-throw line. However, Miami sometimes becomes too dependent offensively on McLinton, which could be a major issue against a team as defensively sound as St. Mary's.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 70

                The UNDER is 26-9 in Miami-Florida’s last 35 games as a favorite.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                #15 Austin Peay vs. #2 Texas [CBS | 3 PM ET]

                Austin Peay: The Governors were competitive earlier in the year in losses against top-level tournament teams in Vanderbilt and Memphis and won 11 of 12 down the stretch to get into the Big Dance. However, they are very undersized, with all 5 starters standing 6-foot-5 or shorter. Center Drake Reed is one of them and should struggle going against a tough Texas frontcourt led by 6-10 Connor Atchley.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 62

                Austin Peay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE

                Texas (-15.5, O/U 140): There are not 2 more dangerous guards in the country 6-foot or shorter than Longhorns D.J. Augustin and A.J. Abrams. Both are outstanding 3-point shooters and will have a surprising size advantage over Austin Peay's 5-foot-9 point guard Derek Wright. Out of all the first-round games, this one seems to have the biggest individual mismatches - all in Texas' favor.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 78

                Texas is 3-9-2 ATS in its last 14 Friday games.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                #9 Oregon vs. #8 Mississippi State [CBS | 7:25 PM ET]

                Oregon: This is a senior-laden team with 5 on the roster, led by starters Bryce Taylor, Malik Hairston and Maarty Leunen. The Ducks made it all the way to the Elite 8 a year ago, and those seniors will be looking for a successful end to their college careers.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 72 (Side Play of the Day)

                The OVER is 6-2 in Oregon’s last 8 Friday games.

                Key Injuries - NONE

                Mississippi State (-2.5, O/U 143): The Bulldogs enjoyed a fairly successful regular season, but they aren't a team that stands out or does anything remarkable. Their best outside shooter (Ben HanXXXough, the younger brother of North Carolina's Tyler) makes just 37 percent from beyond the 3-point arc, and they lack depth if they get into foul trouble.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 70

                Mississippi State is 1-3 ATS in 4 games on neutral courts this season.

                Key Injuries - NONE



                #16 Texas-Arlington vs. #1 Memphis [CBS | 9:55 PM ET]

                Texas-Arlington: The Mavericks are making their first NCAA Tournament appearance and may just be happy to be playing in the Big Dance. They do have some size inside with All-Southland selection Jermaine Griffin, but insiders believe they could be simply overwhelmed by the Tigers from the opening tip and end up on the wrong end of the biggest rout in the tourney.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 58

                Texas-Arlington is 3-0 SU on neutral Courts this season.

                Key Injuries - G Ro'ger Guignard (13 ppg; ankle) is listed as questionable.

                Memphis (-24.5, O/U 142): Fourteen of the Tigers 33 victories this season have been by 20 points or more, so their lackluster free throw shooting hasn’t been a problem. However, Memphis connects on just 59 percent of its free throw attempts. That’s a stat that won’t just hurt them in tight games, it could also be a factor in covering big spreads throughout the Tournament.

                PROJECTED SCORE: 83

                Memphis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games overall.

                Key Injuries - NONE

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                Comment


                • #9
                  College Basketball – Gameday

                  NCAAB
                  Gameday



                  Thursday, March 20

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                  NCAAB Gameday
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                  March Madness Gameday

                  If your bracket wasn’t busted on Day 1 of the tournament get ready for Day 2 of the Madness on Friday, as the rest of the tournament field hits the hardwood. Here’s a quick rundown of how Friday’s teams got there and who to watch.

                  Midwest
                  RBC Center, Raleigh, NC
                  St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa, FL

                  Davidson (10) vs. Gonzaga (7) – 12:25 pm EDT


                  The Wildcats won their third straight South Conference Tournament title after defeating Elon 65-49 in the final. Guard Stephen Curry has come up big for the Wildcats whenever they needed him this season and if he can maintain his 25.1 points per game average in the Tournament, Davidson could be a Cinderella.

                  The Bulldogs were upset by San Diego 69-62 in the West Coast Conference Tournament final, but still enter the Tournament as a No. 6 seed. Injuries have really hurt junior forward Josh Heytvelt’s season so far. He has the ability to take control when healthy and would be a big part of a prospective Gonzaga run in the Tournament.

                  UMBC (15) vs. Georgetown (2) – 2:55 pm EDT

                  The Retrievers are making their first trip to the Big Dance after thrashing Hartford 82-65 in the America East Tournament final. UMBC is dangerous from three-point range and if leading scorer Ray Barbosa is on his game, they could pull off a huge upset.

                  The Hoyas lost to Pittsburgh 74-65 in the Big East Tournament final. Roy Hibbert was an enigma in the conference tournament with zero points in one game and 25 points in the next. Inconsistency like that won’t fly in the Tournament.

                  Siena (13) vs. Vanderbilt (4) – 7:20 pm EDT

                  The Saints earned their ticket to the NCAA Tournament after defeating Rider 74-53 in the MAAC Tournament final. Edwin Ubiles led the Saints in scoring during the season and is lethal from three-point range.

                  Vanderbilt was dumped by Arkansas 81-75 in the second round of the SEC Tournament and earned their tournament spot with an at-large bid. Shan Foster may have led the Commodores in scoring during the season, but big man A.J. Ogilvy will need to be strong inside for Vanderbilt to get anywhere in the Tournament.

                  Villanova (12) vs. Clemson (5) – 9:50 pm EDT

                  The Wildcats made it through the opening round of the Big East Tournament, but were quickly stopped by Georgetown in an 82-63 defeat. Scottie Reynolds can take off at any time or crash with a thud. Whichever happens in the tournament will likely decide Villanova’s fate.

                  The Tigers put together an impressive run in the ACC Tournament that saw them topple Duke to reach the finals. Clemson couldn’t handle North Carolina in an 86-81 loss in the finals, but still did well in snagging a No. 5 seed. K.C. Rivers has really stepped up for the Tigers this year, and as their top scorer and rebounder he’s the man to watch for Clemson.

                  West Region
                  St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa Bay, FL

                  West Kentucky (12) vs. Drake (5) – 12:30 pm EDT


                  The Hilltoppers dominated the Sun Belt Tournament and whipped Middle Tennessee State 67-57 in the finals to earn another invitation to the Big Dance. The Hilltoppers love to shoot the three-ball, and if they can provide some support around leading scorer Courtney Lee they could be dangerous.

                  The Bulldogs mauled the rest of the Missouri Valley in their conference tourney, which included routing Illinois State 79-49 in the finals. Adam Emmenecker was the Missouri Valley MVP this season and that’s pretty good for a former walk-on. Emmenecker can score, but his greatest strength may be distributing the ball.

                  San Diego (13) vs. Connecticut (4) – 3:00 pm EDT

                  The Toreros were a surprise Tournament entry after they upset Gonzaga 69-62 in the West Coast Conference Tournament finals. Brandon Johnson runs the San Diego offense and will need to come up huge for the Toreros to make any noise in the Tournament.

                  The Huskies laid an egg in the Big East Tournament and lost their opening game, but were still rewarded with a No. 4 seed. A.J. Price has improved immensely this season and he’ll be Jim Calhoun’s key man in the Tournament.

                  East Region
                  BJCC Arena, Birmingham, AL
                  RBC Center, Raleigh, NC

                  American (15) vs. Tennessee (2) – 12:15 pm EDT


                  The Americans are in the Tournament for the first time after putting the squeeze on Colgate 52-46 in the Patriot League Conference Tournament final. Garrison Carr takes a ton of shots from three-point range and he’ll need to be dead-on for American to have a chance against the Vols.

                  The Volunteers had to settle for a No. 2 seed after they were upset by Arkansas in the SEC Tournament. Chris Lofton needs to be an offensive leader for Tennessee to avoid another upset.

                  South Alabama (10) vs. Butler (7) – 2:45 pm EDT

                  The Jaguars were the top seed in the Sun Belt Conference Tournament, but had to settle for an at-large big after being upset by Middle Tennessee State 82-73. Demetric Bennett leads the Jags in numerous offensive categories, but can he lead them to an upset in the Tournament?

                  The Bulldogs steamrolled through the Horizon League Conference Tournament, which included a 70-55 win over Cleveland State in the finals. Mike Green has been money for the Bulldogs when they’ve needed him this season.

                  Saint Joseph’s (11) vs. Oklahoma (6) – 7:10 pm EDT

                  The Hawks snuck into the Tournament with an at-large bid after losing the Atlantic 10 Tournament final to Temple 69-64. Pat Calathes is a solid shooter who can hit the three, while also leading the Hawks in rebounding.

                  The Sooners suffered a beat-down by Texas in the Big 12 Tournament semifinals after losing 77-49. Even though Blake Griffin is the Sooners' offensive leader you should watch Longar Longar, because with a name like that how could you not?

                  Mount St. Mary’s (16) vs. North Carolina (1) – 7:10 pm EDT

                  The Mountaineers climbed over Coppin State 69-60 in the play-in game. Jeremy Goode was great in the play-in game, but he’ll have to be perfect for the Mountaineers to have a chance against UNC.

                  The Tar Heels are the overall No. 1 seed in the Tournament after winning another ACC Tournament title. It’s all about Tyler HanXXXough for North Carolina. That’s all there is to say.

                  Boise State (14) vs. Louisville (3) – 9:40 pm EDT

                  The Broncos got past New Mexico State in a thrilling triple overtime final to the WAC Tournament. This will be Boise State’s first trip to the Tournament since 1994. Reggie Larry nearly averaged a double-double during the season, and he’ll lead the Broncos in the paint.

                  The Cardinals ran into Georgetown in the Big East Tournament for the third straight year, and lost to the Hoyas for the third time. David Padgett re-energized the Cardinals when he returned from a knee injury earlier this year.

                  Arkansas (9) vs. Indiana (8) – 9:40 pm EDT

                  The Razorbacks were the final victim of Georgia in the SEC Tournament, as they lost to the Bulldogs 66-57 in the tourney final. Razorbacks’ leading scorer Sonny Weems hurt his knee in practice earlier in the week, so definitely keep an eye on him.

                  The Hoosiers were one and done in the Big Ten Tournament after losing to Minnesota 59-58 in their tourney opener. Eric Gordon led the Hoosiers in scoring during the season, but the freshman has turned in some ugly performances since the whole Kelvim Sampson debacle.

                  South Region
                  Alltel Arena, North Little Rock, AR

                  St. Mary’s (10) vs. Miami (FL) (7) – 12:30 pm EDT


                  The Gaels blew a 17-point lead and lost to San Diego 75-69 in double overtime in the West Coast Conference Tournament semifinals. Diamon Simpson is a two-headed monster for the Gaels who can score and grab a ton of rebounds.

                  The Hurricanes received a No. 7 seed despite getting stomped by Virginia Tech 63-49 in the ACC Tournament. Dwayne Collins may have averaged only 8.9 points per game this season but he was money in some of the ‘Canes biggest wins, including 26 points in their upset win over Duke.

                  Austin Peay (15) vs. Texas (2) – 3:00 pm EDT

                  The Governors ruled the Ohio Valley after winning the conference tournament final over Tennessee State 82-64. Austin Peay leading scorer Drake Reed may be only 6-foot-5, but he plays like a big man and isn’t afraid to get tough in the paint.

                  Texas made it to the Big 12 Conference Tournament final, but ran out of gas in an 84-74 loss to Kansas. D.J. Augustin took over the reins from Kevin Durant in Texas and if he gets hot he could lead the Longhorns on a nice run.

                  Oregon (9) vs. Mississippi State (8) – 7:25 pm EDT

                  The Ducks lost to Washington State for the third time this season in the Pac-10 Tournament quarterfinals 75-70. Malik Hairston leads the Ducks in scoring, which is no surprise because he has the skills to score from anywhere on the floor.

                  The Bulldogs were one of Georgia’s upset victims in the SEC Tournament, as they lost to their fellow Bulldogs 64-60. He may not score much, but defensive wonder Jarvis Varnado is a big piece of the puzzle for the Bulldogs while averaging 7.9 rebounds and 4.6 blocks per game.

                  TX Arlington (16) vs. Memphis (1) – 9:55 pm EDT

                  The Mavericks earned their first-ever NCAA Tournament bid after taking down Northwestern State 82-79 in the Southland Conference tournament final. Rog’er Guignard is a solid shooter, but it's likely that he’ll only get one game to show what he can do.

                  The Tigers maintained their perfect record over the rest of the Conference USA by clubbing Tulsa 77-51 in the conference tournament final and earn a No. 1 seed in the Big Dance. Chris Douglas-Roberts has been here before with the Tigers, and to take the next step he needs to deliver some heroics in the later rounds.

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Arena Football League – Long Sheet

                    AFL
                    Long Sheet


                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Friday, March 21
                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    CLEVELAND (3 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 1) - 3/21/2008, 8:30 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in March games since 1996.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                    NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    COLUMBUS (0 - 3) at UTAH (0 - 3) - 3/21/2008, 9:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    UTAH is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                    UTAH is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
                    UTAH is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
                    UTAH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
                    UTAH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    NEW YORK (1 - 2) at ARIZONA (1 - 2) - 3/21/2008, 10:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    ARIZONA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
                    ARIZONA is 67-45 ATS (+17.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    NEW YORK is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
                    NEW YORK is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
                    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Saturday, March 22
                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    GEORGIA (1 - 2) at ORLANDO (1 - 2) - 3/22/2008, 7:30 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    GEORGIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                    GEORGIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    GEORGIA is 3-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                    GEORGIA is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                    3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    COLORADO (1 - 1) at CHICAGO (2 - 1) - 3/22/2008, 8:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    COLORADO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHICAGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHICAGO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                    CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a win versus a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
                    CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
                    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    DALLAS (3 - 0) at SAN JOSE (2 - 1) - 3/22/2008, 10:30 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    SAN JOSE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN JOSE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN JOSE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN JOSE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN JOSE is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) after playing a game on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN JOSE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                    DALLAS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                    DALLAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when the total is between 105 and 109.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
                    DALLAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                    DALLAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
                    DALLAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
                    DALLAS is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
                    DALLAS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Monday, March 24
                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    GRAND RAPIDS (0 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (0 - 2) - 3/24/2008, 8:00 PM
                    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    KANSAS CITY is 2-0 against the spread versus GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons
                    KANSAS CITY is 2-0 straight up against GRAND RAPIDS over the last 3 seasons
                    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Arena Football League – Additional

                      AFL
                      Week 4


                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      Trend Sheet
                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      MARCH 21, 8:30 PM

                      CLEVELAND vs. NEW ORLEANS
                      Cleveland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                      Cleveland is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games on the road
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
                      New Orleans is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games



                      MARCH 21, 9:00 PM

                      COLUMBUS vs. UTAH
                      Columbus is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
                      Columbus is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
                      Utah is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
                      Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games



                      MARCH 21, 10:00 PM

                      NEW YORK vs. ARIZONA
                      New York is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
                      New York is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
                      Arizona is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                      Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home



                      MARCH 22, 7:30 PM

                      GEORGIA vs. ORLANDO
                      Georgia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                      Georgia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                      Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
                      Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games



                      MARCH 22, 8:00 PM

                      COLORADO vs. CHICAGO
                      Colorado is 2-5-1 SU in its last 8 games
                      Colorado is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                      Chicago is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
                      Chicago is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games



                      MARCH 22, 10:30 PM

                      DALLAS vs. SAN JOSE
                      Dallas is 17-2-1 SU in its last 20 games
                      Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                      San Jose is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games at home
                      San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home



                      MARCH 24, 8:00 PM

                      GRAND RAPIDS vs. KANSAS CITY
                      Grand Rapids is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
                      Grand Rapids is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                      Kansas City is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                      Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        National Basketball Association - Tips & Trends

                        NBA


                        Thursday, March 20

                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        Tips and Trends
                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        Philadelphia 76ers at Orlando Magic [7 PM ET]

                        76ers: The Sixers will be trying to move over .500 for the first time this season. Philadelphia has won 8 of 9 and is 16-4 over its last 20 games, including a big 115-113 victory over Allen Iverson’s Nuggets on Wednesday night. Andre Miller has been leading the way offensively and scored 26 points against Orlando last time out in a 12-point victory.

                        76ers are 18-5-1 ATS in their last 24 games overall.

                        Key Injuries- NONE

                        PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

                        Magic (-6, O/U 206.5): The Magic are one of just three NBA teams (along with Boston and Detroit) to have clinched a spot in the postseason. Orlando is 4-1 in its last 5 games against the 76ers, including 2 wins this season. Dwight Howard has averaged 19 points and 14 rebounds in 14 career games against Philadelphia.

                        Magic are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.

                        Key Injuries- NONE

                        PROJECTED SCORE: TBD



                        Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers [7:30 PM ET]

                        Raptors: Toronto welcomed back Chris Bosh to the lineup on Wednesday and limited Miami to 26 percent shooting in its 96-54 win. It was the largest margin of victory and the fewest points allowed in franchise history. Bosh is averaging 28 points over his previous 4 games against Cleveland, but Toronto has lost each of those contests.

                        Raptors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

                        Key Injuries- NONE

                        PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

                        Cavs (-5, O/U 191): Cleveland is fresh off a big defensive win against the Pistons on Wednesday. the Cavs held Detroit just 48 points after the first quarter en route to an 89-73 win. It was the lowest point total by an opponent this season. “We’ve taken five steps forward, especially on the defensive end," said LeBron James, who has averaged 37 points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists in his last 3 games against the Raptors. Cleveland has won 6 in a row against Toronto.

                        Cavs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Friday games.

                        Key Injuries- NONE

                        PROJECTED SCORE: TBD



                        Denver Nuggets at New Jersey Nets [7:30 PM ET]

                        Nuggets (-3.5, O/U 226): Denver uses an up-tempo style of play, often leading to a high-scoring game. But on January 25th, the Nuggets held the Nets to 38 percent shooting from the field in a 100-85 win. Nuggets head coach George Karl said it was one of the best defensive performances he had seen from his team all season. However, the Nuggets have lost 8 of their last 9 games away from the Pepsi Center and are playing the third game of a 5-game trip.

                        Nuggets are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

                        Key Injuries- NONE

                        PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

                        Nets: New Jersey has been outstanding at home over the past two months. The Nets have won 3 straight and 9 of their last 12 at the IZOD Center. Jersey has won 3 of 4 overall - averaging 111 points during that span - after failing to score more than 96 in any of their previous 6 contests, all losses. Richard Jefferson said: “There are no excuses right now.”

                        The OVER is 6-1 in New Jersey's last 7 games overall.

                        Key Injuries- NONE

                        PROJECTED SCORE: TBD



                        Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors [10:30 PM ET]

                        Rockets: Houston’s' 22-game winning streak has come to a screeching halt, as the Rockets have found themselves on the wrong end of a pair of blowouts to the Celtics and Hornets. Tracy McGrady scored just a combined 23 points on 10-of-32 shooting in the back-to-back losses. Houston started its winning streak against Golden State but has lost 4 of 5 overall to the the Warriors.

                        Rockets are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as an underdog.

                        Key Injuries- NONE

                        PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

                        Warriors (-3.5, O/U 209): Golden State is the highest-scoring team in the NBA, averaging 111 points per game. The Warriors have won 9 of 12 but over the past month and are just 2 1/2 games up on Denver for the last playoff spot in the Western Conference, so every game is big. Monta Ellis has played a large role in the team's offense and is averaging 22 points in his last 5 while scoring 19 ppg against Houston this season.

                        Warriors are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games.

                        Key Injuries- NONE

                        PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          NBA
                          Dunkel



                          The Blazers have alternated wins/losses over their last five games and are coming off a loss against the Suns. A win looks probable against a Clippers team that has lost five straight and 13 of its last 15. Portland is the pick (-11) according to Dunkel, which has the Blazers favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Portland (-11). Here are all of today's games.

                          FRIDAY, MARCH 21

                          Game 801-802: Minnesota at Indiana
                          Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 109.268; Indiana 119.699
                          Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 10 1/2; 215
                          Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                          Dunkel Pick: N/A


                          Game 803-804: Philadelphia at Orlando
                          Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 120.897; Orlando 127.254
                          Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 6 1/2; 199
                          Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 6; 206
                          Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-6); Under


                          Game 805-806: Memphis at New York
                          Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 107.147; New York 114.131
                          Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 7; 208
                          Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4; 202 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick: New York (-4); Over


                          Game 807-808: Washington at Miami
                          Dunkel Ratings: Washington 117.188; Miami 109.890
                          Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 7 1/2; 180
                          Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                          Dunkel Pick: N/A


                          Game 809-810: Denver at New Jersey
                          Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.709; New Jersey 117.773
                          Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 4; 232
                          Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 3 1/2; 226
                          Dunkel Pick: Denver (-3 1/2); Over


                          Game 811-812: Toronto at Cleveland
                          Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 116.427; Cleveland 122.209
                          Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 6; 187
                          Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 5; 191
                          Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5); Under


                          Game 813-814: Sacramento at San Antonio
                          Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 112.240; San Antonio 125.596
                          Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 13 1/2; 185
                          Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                          Dunkel Pick: N/A


                          Game 815-816: LA Clippers at Portland
                          Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 104.975; Portland 118.726
                          Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 14; 194
                          Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 11; 192
                          Dunkel Pick: Portland (-11); Over


                          Game 817-818: Seattle at LA Lakers
                          Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 107.436; LA Lakers 127.704
                          Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 20; 229 1/2
                          Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                          Dunkel Pick: N/A


                          Game 819-820: Houston at Golden State
                          Dunkel Ratings: Houston 121.866; Golden State 127.023
                          Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 5; 203
                          Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 3; 209
                          Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-3); Under

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            NBA
                            Long Sheet



                            Friday, March 21


                            MINNESOTA (17 - 50) at INDIANA (27 - 41) - 3/21/2008, 7:05 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
                            MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
                            4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                            PHILADELPHIA (34 - 34) at ORLANDO (45 - 25) - 3/21/2008, 7:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            ORLANDO is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in all games this season.
                            ORLANDO is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
                            ORLANDO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
                            ORLANDO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
                            ORLANDO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 79-65 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.


                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                            ORLANDO is 7-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                            6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                            MEMPHIS (16 - 51) at NEW YORK (19 - 48) - 3/21/2008, 7:35 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            MEMPHIS is 28-39 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games this season.
                            MEMPHIS is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
                            MEMPHIS is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                            MEMPHIS is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
                            NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in March games this season.
                            NEW YORK is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
                            NEW YORK is 2-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
                            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                            WASHINGTON (34 - 33) at MIAMI (12 - 55) - 3/21/2008, 7:35 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            WASHINGTON is 6-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                            MIAMI is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                            DENVER (40 - 28) at NEW JERSEY (29 - 39) - 3/21/2008, 7:35 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            DENVER is 84-70 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                            DENVER is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
                            DENVER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) on Friday nights this season.
                            DENVER is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                            DENVER is 53-39 ATS (+10.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                            NEW JERSEY is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all games this season.
                            NEW JERSEY is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
                            NEW JERSEY is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
                            NEW JERSEY is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
                            NEW JERSEY is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
                            NEW JERSEY is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
                            NEW JERSEY is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
                            NEW JERSEY is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                            NEW JERSEY is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.


                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            NEW JERSEY is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                            NEW JERSEY is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                            3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                            TORONTO (35 - 33) at CLEVELAND (39 - 30) - 3/21/2008, 7:35 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            TORONTO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after allowing 85 points or less this season.
                            CLEVELAND is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                            CLEVELAND is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
                            CLEVELAND is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
                            CLEVELAND is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
                            TORONTO is 84-69 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                            TORONTO is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
                            TORONTO is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
                            CLEVELAND is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            CLEVELAND is 6-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
                            CLEVELAND is 8-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
                            7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                            SACRAMENTO (31 - 36) at SAN ANTONIO (45 - 23) - 3/21/2008, 8:35 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            SACRAMENTO is 10-5 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
                            SAN ANTONIO is 11-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
                            8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                            LA CLIPPERS (21 - 46) at PORTLAND (35 - 33) - 3/21/2008, 10:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            LA CLIPPERS are 27-39 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all games this season.
                            LA CLIPPERS are 22-32 ATS (-13.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
                            LA CLIPPERS are 123-158 ATS (-50.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
                            LA CLIPPERS are 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                            PORTLAND is 40-57 ATS (-22.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                            PORTLAND is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.


                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                            LA CLIPPERS is 6-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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                            SEATTLE (16 - 52) at LA LAKERS (47 - 21) - 3/21/2008, 10:35 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            LA LAKERS are 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
                            LA LAKERS are 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
                            LA LAKERS are 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                            LA LAKERS are 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
                            LA LAKERS are 25-8 ATS (+16.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
                            LA LAKERS are 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
                            SEATTLE is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
                            LA LAKERS are 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                            LA LAKERS are 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.


                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            SEATTLE is 6-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
                            LA LAKERS is 8-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
                            6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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                            HOUSTON (46 - 22) at GOLDEN STATE (42 - 25) - 3/21/2008, 10:35 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after scoring 85 points or less this season.
                            GOLDEN STATE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
                            GOLDEN STATE is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                            HOUSTON is 39-28 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
                            HOUSTON is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
                            HOUSTON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
                            HOUSTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
                            HOUSTON is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                            GOLDEN STATE is 29-38 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
                            GOLDEN STATE is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
                            GOLDEN STATE is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games this season.
                            GOLDEN STATE is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.


                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            GOLDEN STATE is 5-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
                            GOLDEN STATE is 5-5 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
                            7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              NHL
                              Dunkel



                              The Flyers have lost four of their last five and face a Rangers team that has won five of its last seven. The Rangers are the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has New York favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-110). Here are all of today's games.

                              FRIDAY, MARCH 21

                              Game 51-52: NY Islanders at New Jersey
                              Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 9.437; New Jersey 11.807
                              Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 2 1/2; 4 1/2
                              Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-255); 5
                              Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-255); Under


                              Game 53-54: NY Rangers at Philadelphia
                              Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.968; Philadelphia 10.428
                              Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
                              Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-110); 5 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-110); Under


                              Game 55-56: Toronto at Buffalo
                              Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.147; Buffalo 12.264
                              Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6 1/2
                              Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                              Dunkel Pick: N/A


                              Game 57-58: Washington at Atlanta
                              Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.104; Atlanta 10.132
                              Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 5
                              Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-170); 5 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick: Washington (-170); Under


                              Game 59-60: Minnesota at Vancouver
                              Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.353; Vancouver 12.248
                              Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 5 1/2
                              Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-120); 5
                              Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-120); Over


                              Game 61-62: Anaheim at San Jose
                              Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.299; San Jose 12.083
                              Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 4
                              Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-150); 5
                              Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+130); Over

                              Comment

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