Special Situation Thursday -- 13-7 to date

[thesandman]

The last Special Situation I posted was Sunday, playing Denver at Houston. This was the first good team Houston played since Ming's injury. I watched the game and suffered as Denver got smoked, but I posted after the game that Houston didn't win the game, Denver flat out sucked.

I am not one to try and guess when streaks end, in fact I usually bet with the streak, but tonight Dallas, at home even without Dirk, will be the toughest game for Houston this far since losing Ming. The line for this game was Dallas -6 before the suspension. Now it's Dallas -1 or -1.5 depending where you look. I had marked this game as one Houston would lose and would have been very happy laying 6 tonight with Dirk. One player moving the line 5 points is unusual, even when it's the teams best player, so I have no problem laying 1 without Dirk.

The history is all Dallas tonight. They are 10-1 SU over Houston the past three years. Two teams tonight, each without their best player, yet one team owns the other team and tonight, at home, just has to win to cover. Easy choice. So easy, that for a change, I can post a play giving everyone over an hour before tip off.

PLAY DALLAS -1 -120 (buy the hook if needed for -1)

Special Situation Plays Season to Date 13-7. (65%)

[kbsooner21]

Best of luck Sandy!

[3ebRocks]

Best of luck with the play tonight. Your reasoning makes sense and I will give it a shot with you. But, you mentioned that Houston is without their best player. I think many would argue that McGrady is their best player. Regardless, best of luck. Lets cash this.

[MrReporter]

You sold me Sandman, let's do this!!

[Dat Boi E]

good luck tonight, Sandy!

[thesandman]

3ebRocks said

Best of luck with the play tonight. Your reasoning makes sense and I will give it a shot with you. But, you mentioned that Houston is without their best player. I think many would argue that McGrady is their best player. Regardless, best of luck. Lets cash this.

It's kind of hard to read these stats but this has not been a typical McGrady season. Maybe he was the best in past years but this year he is only shooting 43% FG's and just 32%, which is lousy, on 3's. What most of us don't realize is that Ming is 85% on FT's, amazing for a big man.

Also, Ming has never missed a three point shot this season. So Ming never took a 3 point shot, big deal. Like you said, let's cash this, that's most important.


Player POS G MPG FG% 3P% FT% RPG A ST BL TO PF PPG
Yao Ming C 55 37:10 .507 .000 .850 10.8 129 25 111 183 171 22.0
Tracy Mc G 45 35:45 .435 .322 .686 4.9 252 50 23 114 66 21.4

[thesandman]

Thankfully, my other play against Long Beach State won for a 1-1 split tonight. Dallas sucked, don't know what else to say. They played so bad, even if Dirk had played, they would have lost big. Glad I at least posted the Cal Poly play also tonight.

Special Situation Plays Season to Date 14-8.