Thursday Trends and Indexes 03/06

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Thursday, March 6

Good Luck on day #66 of 2008!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

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[pm530]

Six-pack for Thursday

CBS Sportsline's top six college football teams, prior to the start of 2008 spring practice........

6) Florida-- Adds top flight RB to help QB Tebow.

5) Missouri-- Looks to build upon LY's breakthrough year.

4) Ohio State-- Seems like they're always at this level.....

3) USC-- Who will be the QB, Sanchez or Mustain?

2) Oklahoma-- Had terrific season last year with freshman QB

1) Georgia-- Should have been in Rose Bowl last year.

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[pm530]

Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) Weird week for Baylor, which played Texas A&M last nite, after Aggies trailed 28-10 at half in previous game, then faces Texas Tech next, with Raiders off 50-point loss at Kansas.

12) Moises Alou is already hurt, is having hernia surgery back in New York Thuraday, in Arizona, Eric Chavez, Bobby Crosby are also already hurt, hardly a shock to anyone who follows the A's. Those two hardly ever play, but they always get paid.

11) The Mets don't have MRI facilities in Florida? Why not?

10) John McCain's father-in-law owned one of the biggest beer distributorships in the country......

9) Oregon State has good chance to become first 0-18 team in history of Pac-10 basketball; USC went 0-14 in the Pac-8 days back in mid-70's, the last winless Pac-10 basketball squad.

8) Harvard's 2008 basketball recruiting class is ranked in top 25 in nation; some are wondering if Crimson are breaking NCAA rules, hard to do when you don't give scholarships, but where there is smoke in these stories, there is usually some fire.

7) I was surprised to learn that Houston is fourth-biggest city in the country. Didn't seem that big when I was there.

6) Georgia Tech is 2-5 at home in ACC, but all five losses have been by either one or two points.

5) Some in college hoop are getting annoyed with ESPN's daily dose of Bracketology, where they give their opinion of who is in and who is out of field of 65, like it is gospel. Tim Brando on FOX Sunday night was especially critical.......

4) Some NFL players are taking college classes set up by their union this offseason, so they can learn how to take better care of their money; lot of guys get ton of money at young age, and can't handle it, so this is a wise thing.

3) Vanderbilt's Shan Foster scored 42 points and scored game winning hoop in OT, as Commdores edge Mississippi State in OT 87-86, in game between two of SEC's best teams.

2) Florida made its first nine shots from floor, shot 7-12 on arc in first half, storming to 55-43 halftime lead, but Tennessee had 14-0 run midway in second half, grabbing 10-point lead at one point, before Vols escaped with 89-86 win. Game ends a brutal four-game stretch for Tennessee (at Memphis, at Vandy, and at Florida, home game vs Kentucky in between).

1) Quite a night in first round of Patriot League tournament; in four games, the total margin of victory was eight points, with #7 seed Bucknell upsetting #2 seed Navy 87-86 in triple OT, while Army upset Lehigh, also in overtime.

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[pm530]

National Basketball Association – Write up

NBA
Write-up


Thursday, March 6

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Today's NBA analysis

Hot Teams
-- Cavaliers won three in row, six of last eight games.
-- Spurs won their last ten games (6-3-1 vs spread).
-- Rockets won last 16 games, covered last eight.

Cold Teams
-- Bulls are 2-10 vs spread in game after last twelve wins.
-- Pacers lost seven of last ten games.
-- Mavericks lost last two games, are without Nowitzki for this; he got suspended for flagrant foul in their last game.

Previous meetings this season
-- Bulls (+6) lost 95-86 in Cleveland Sunday.
-- Spurs (-4.5) won 116-89 in Indiana on Feb 5.
-- Dallas is 3-0 vs Houston this year, winning by 13-6-9 points.

Totals
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Chicago games.
-- Last four Indiana games all went over the total.
-- Last four Dallas games all went over the total.

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[pm530]

National Basketball Association - Tips & Trends

NBA


Thursday, March 6

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Tips and Trends
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Cleveland Cavaliers at Chicago Bulls (-3.5, 193) [TNT | 7 PM ET]

Cavaliers: Cleveland is 5-2 this season when holding opponents under 40 percent. The Cavs held the Bulls to 39.2 percent shooting in Sunday's win, and Chicago ranks last in the NBA in field-goal shooting at 42.9 percent.

Cavs are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs. Central Division.
Cavs are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

C Zydrunas Ilgauskas (14 ppg; back) is listed as out. Cavs are 1-0 SU & ATS (pending Wednesday) without him this year.

PROJECTED SCORE: 95

Bulls: Former Chicago center Ben Wallace expects a reaction by Bulls fans in his first appearance there since getting traded to the Cavs. “The only thing I would be disappointed about is if I get no reaction at all,” Wallace said. “Because I deserve it, one way or the other. If they come out and they boo like they mean it, then I’ll live with that. If they come out and cheer like they mean it, then I’ll live with that."

Home team is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.

G Thabo Sefolosha (7 ppg; groin) is listed as questionable. The Bulls are 3-7 ATS without him.

PROJECTED SCORE: 99

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Indiana Pacers at San Antonio Spurs (-13.5, 194.5) [8 PM ET]

Pacers: Going into Wednesday's game against Houston, Indiana had scored 120-plus points in consecutive non-overtime games for the first time since 1992. The Pacers got 94 points from their starters in a 128-106 win over Milwaukee on Sunday, and Mike Dunleavy has averaged 27.8 points in their last 6 games.

Pacers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. Southwest Division.

Pacers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games..

F/C Jermaine O’Neal (15 ppg; knee) and G Jamaal Tinsley (12 ppg; knee) are out indefinitely. (both pending) 8-12 ATS L20 without O’Neal; 5-6 ATS without Tinsley.

PROJECTED SCORE: 108 (OVER - Total of the Day)

Spurs: This game will complete a stretch of 12 out of 15 games against Eastern Conference foes for San Antonio. During their current 13-1 run, the Spurs have won 10 games against teams from the East by an average of 11.1 points.

Spurs are 6-3-1 ATS during their 10-game winning streak.

Home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 95

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Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks [TNT | 9:30 PM ET]

Rockets: Tracy McGrady is taking on arguably the biggest leadership role of his career with Yao Ming out, attempting to silence all doubters during the team's winning streak. “What more we got to show you all?” McGrady said. “We’re a good team. We believe. We don’t care about what anybody says about us outside this locker room."

Rockets are 13-2 ATS during their 15-game winning streak.

C Yao Ming (22 ppg; foot) is out for season. Rockets are 3-1 ATS (pending) without him this year.

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Mavs: Dallas will be without leading scorer Dirk Nowitzki due to a 1-game suspension for a hard foul Monday on Utah's Andrei Kirilenko. Nowitzki was enjoying his best stretch of the season, averaging 30.4 points in the last 10 games.

Favorite is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Mavs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.

F Dirk Nowitzki (flagrant foul) has been suspended for this game. The Mavs are 5-4 ATS without him over the last 3 seasons.

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

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[pm530]

College Basketball – Long Sheet

NCAAB
Long Sheet


Thursday, March 6

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CLEMSON (21 - 7) at GEORGIA TECH (12 - 16) - 3/6/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
CLEMSON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
GEORGIA TECH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMSON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 3-2 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 4-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (23 - 6) at PROVIDENCE (14 - 14) - 3/6/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
PROVIDENCE is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PROVIDENCE is 2-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 2-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGE WASHINGTON (9 - 15) at CHARLOTTE (16 - 12) - 3/6/2008, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 2-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 4-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DEPAUL (10 - 18) at CINCINNATI (13 - 15) - 3/6/2008, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DEPAUL is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games this season.
DEPAUL is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
CINCINNATI is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HAWAII (11 - 16) at LOUISIANA TECH (4 - 23) - 3/6/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all games this season.
HAWAII is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
HAWAII is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
HAWAII is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-2 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-2 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN JOSE ST (12 - 16) at NEW MEXICO ST (17 - 13) - 3/6/2008, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO ST is 5-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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XAVIER (25 - 4) at ST JOSEPHS (17 - 10) - 3/6/2008, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
XAVIER is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOSEPHS is 4-2 against the spread versus XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
XAVIER is 4-2 straight up against ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA ST (18 - 10) at OREGON (16 - 12) - 3/6/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 3-2 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 4-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH ST (21 - 9) at BOISE ST (22 - 7) - 3/6/2008, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games this season.
UTAH ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 5-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 4-1 straight up against BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAL DAVIS (9 - 20) at UC-IRVINE (14 - 14) - 3/6/2008, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-IRVINE is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAL DAVIS is 1-0 against the spread versus UC-IRVINE over the last 3 seasons
UC-IRVINE is 3-2 straight up against CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALIFORNIA (15 - 12) at USC (18 - 10) - 3/6/2008, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
USC is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 4-2 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 4-2 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAL POLY-SLO (11 - 16) at LONG BEACH ST (6 - 22) - 3/6/2008, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG BEACH ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after scoring 60 points or less this season.
LONG BEACH ST is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.
CAL POLY-SLO is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CAL POLY-SLO is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CAL POLY-SLO is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CAL POLY-SLO is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CAL POLY-SLO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
CAL POLY-SLO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LONG BEACH ST is 3-3 against the spread versus CAL POLY-SLO over the last 3 seasons
LONG BEACH ST is 5-1 straight up against CAL POLY-SLO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UC-SANTA BARBARA (21 - 7) at CS-NORTHRIDGE (19 - 8) - 3/6/2008, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 3-2 against the spread versus CS-NORTHRIDGE over the last 3 seasons
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 3-2 straight up against CS-NORTHRIDGE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (17 - 12) at OREGON ST (6 - 22) - 3/6/2008, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all home games this season.
OREGON ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games this season.
OREGON ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
OREGON ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
OREGON ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.
OREGON ST is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
OREGON ST is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
OREGON ST is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OREGON ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 4-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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STANFORD (24 - 4) at UCLA (26 - 3) - 3/6/2008, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
UCLA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
STANFORD is 76-45 ATS (+26.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
STANFORD is 76-45 ATS (+26.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
STANFORD is 116-87 ATS (+20.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
STANFORD is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
STANFORD is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 4-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 4-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WICHITA ST (11 - 19) vs. INDIANA ST (14 - 15) - 3/6/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA ST is 3-3 against the spread versus WICHITA ST over the last 3 seasons
WICHITA ST is 5-2 straight up against INDIANA ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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EVANSVILLE (9 - 20) vs. MISSOURI ST (16 - 15) - 3/6/2008, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI ST is 4-2 against the spread versus EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI ST is 4-2 straight up against EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN ST (23 - 6) at ILLINOIS (12 - 17) - 3/6/2008, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 3-3 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 3-3 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

College Basketball – Write up

NCAAB
Write-up


Thursday, March 6

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-- Clemson won four of last five games, rallying back from 20-pt deficit with 11:00 left to win at Maryland Sunday- they won by 82-67 in first meeting vs Georgia Tech (-6). Tech is 2-5 at home in ACC, but all five losses were by one or two points.

-- Providence (+8) won 77-65 at UConn in January, in last game before Huskies went on current 12-1 run. UConn is 5-3 on road in Big East, with three wins by 1 or 2 points. Friars lost five of six, 10 of last 12 games; they're 3-7 as a Big East underdog.

-- George Washington covered five of last six games; erratic a team as there is, GW's 3-point shooting in last three tilts: 0-12/ 13-27/6-18. Charlotte is 2-3 in last five games, but 3-2 as a home favorite in league play. GW is 2-5 as A-14 road dog.

-- DePaul lost five in row, nine of last 10 games, but is 6-1 as a Big East road dog, losing away games by 7-8-9-5-2-14 points. Cincinnati lost last three games, allowing 75.7 ppg; they're 2-2 as Big East favorite. Five of last seven DePaul foes shot 52%+.

-- Hawai'i lost its last three games; they're 2-4 on WAC road; in first meeting, they beat Louisiana Tech 71-57 (-15)- they're 1-3 vs spread as WAC favorite. Bulldogs are 1-13 in WAC; faves are 4-1-1 vs spread in their WAC home games.

-- New Mexico State survived 83-81 at San Jose in first meeting after leading by 11 at half; Aggies won six of last seven games, covered five of last six- they're 4-2 as WAC home favorite. San Jose lost seven of last nine, is 2-4 as WAC road dog.

-- St Joe's lost five of last seven games, losing last three home games by 1-9-1 points; they're 5-31 from arc in last two games. Xavier won first meeting 76-72 (-9), making 12-20 treys; they're on 11-game win streak, but are 3-4 as A-14 road favorite.

-- Oregon made 20-39 treys in last two games, but were 2-17 in 62-54 loss at Arizona State in first meeting (+1); Ducks are 1-3 in last four games, 3-3 as Pac-10 home favorite. ASU is 3-4 as a Pac-10 road dog, with all four road losses by 12+ points.

-- Boise State won nine of last 11 games, winning its last four WAC home games by 6+ points (4-3 as home favorite); Boise lost 82-78 at Utah State in first meeting (they were 8-11 at foul line, USU 22-29). Aggies lost their last three WAC road tilts.

-- Cal-Davis lost 11 of last 12 games, but hammered Cal-Irvine by 17 in first meeting, making 12-21 treys. Anteaters won five of last six games, are 4-2 as Big West home favorite, with only one home win by more than 15. Davis is 1-5 as a road dog.

-- Road team is 13-3 vs spread in Cal's Pac-10 games; they lost five of last six games, but covered four of last five as road dog in league games. Bears beat USC 92-82 in Pac-10 opener. USC is 4-2 as Pac-10 home fave; their last five foes are 27% on arc.

-- Long Beach lost last four games; they made 17-56 from arc in last three Big West games (30%). 49ers lost 64-52 at Cal Poly in first meeting (+6). Mustangs are 21-90 from arc (23.3%) in their last five Big West games- they're 2-4 on Big West road.

-- Santa Barbara won last five Big West road games; they're 7-1 in last eight games, but lost 88-84 at home vs Northridge Jan 5, turning ball over 20 times. Matadors allowed 76.8 ppg in their last four games, losing two of last three; they're 4-2 as a HF.

-- Oregon State is 0-16 in Pac-10, 0-7 as home dog, losing home games by 20-10-24-12-23-13-38 points. Arizona lost six of last eight games, is dysfunctional off court, as no one knows who is coaching team next year. Arizona is 3-5 as Pac-10 favorite.

-- UCLA won Pac-10 opener 76-67 at Stanford (-3); Bruins won last five games, allowing 55 ppg- they're 3-3-1 as home favorite in Pac-10 play. Cardinals are 13-3 in Pac-10, losing by 9-5-4 pts; they took 87 FTs in last three games, their opponents just 44.

-- Michigan State lost last four road games, scoring 52.3 ppg in last three; they beat Illinois 51-41 in first meeting (-9) in a game where teams combined to go 4-31 from arc. Illini lost last three home games by 8-4-14 points; they're 0-2 as Big 11 road dog.

Sun Belt Tournament
Indiana State trailed Wichita State by 21 Feb 21, rallied for OT win, splitting season series; Sycamores lost two games since, allowing 78 ppg while shooting under 40% in both. Shockers lost five of last six games with three OT losses. ISU won first game in this event six of last eight years, Wichita four of five.

Missouri State will supposedly fire its coach if they don't win this tournament; they waxed Evansville 76-38 Feb 16, but lost 84-65 in first meeting. Bears won last three games, scoring 86.3 ppg- they're 5-4 as MVC favorite. Aces lost last four games in Valley, scoring just 51.8 ppg; they're 8-9 as a MVC underdog.

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[pm530]

College Basketball - Tips & Trends

NCAAB


Thursday, March 6

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Tips and Trends
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#13 Connecticut (-3.5) at Providence [ESPN | 7 PM ET]

UConn: The Huskies are able to run a lot more thanks to the return of guards Doug Wiggins and Jerome Dyson, who are both back in key reserve roles after serving suspensions earlier in the season. This quality depth makes UConn a very dangerous offensive team.

UConn is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 Thursday games.
UConn is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 games overall.

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Injuries - None.

Providence: The Friars will be without a point guard going into their last 3 games of the regular season. Sharaud Curry was already out for the season, and now Dwain Williams (11 points per game) will miss time with an ankle injury. This puts them at a tremendous disadvantage against the deep Huskies.

Providence is 1-5 SU & ATS in its last 6 games.

G Dwain Williams (11 ppg; ankle) is out. Providence is 1-2 ATS in the last three games since Williams went down.

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

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#24 Clemson (-1) at Georgia Tech [ESPN2 | 7 PM ET]

Clemson: Forward James Mays (10.5 ppg) is wearing a new cast with less padding on it that longer requires his last 3 fingers to be tied together. The result has been much better shooting in the last 2 games, as he has made 13-of-20 shots (65 percent) for 30 points combined during that stretch. That could be critical since guard Cliff Hammonds is trying to play through a broken wrist.

Clemson is 4-1 SU in the last 5 meetings.
Clemson is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games overall.

G Cliff Hammonds (11.9 ppg; broken wrist) is listed as questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 77

Georgia Tech: The Yellowjackets are just 6-7 at home this season and need a win to avoid their first losing record at Alexander Memorial Coliseum since 1980-81. They have also been on the losing side of close games this year, going 6-7 in contests decided by 5 points or less.

Georgia Tech is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games overall.
Georgia Tech is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 Thursday games.

G Matt Causey (8 ppg; concussion) is listed as questionable. Tech is 1-1 ATS in the last 2 games without him.

PROJECTED SCORE: 75

-----------------------------------------------------------

#8 Xavier (-1.5) at St. Joseph's [ESPN | 9 PM ET]

Xavier: The Musketeers are starting to grind it out during their 11-game winning streak and may be on the verge of a loss. “That was probably the worst game we’ve played in a year-and-a-half,” Xavier head coach Sean Miller said of Saturday's game. “Our team still showed a lot of heart, though. We found a way to win on a night we didn’t play very well.”

Xavier is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 Thursday games.
Xavier is 5-6 ATS during its 11-game winning streak.

Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 73 (Side Play of the Day)

St. Joe's: The Hawks are coming off a deflating 57-56 loss to Temple on Sunday, blowing a 43-29 lead in the second half. They lead the Atlantic-10 in 3-point shooting yet made only 2-of-16 3-point attempts, which could be a problem again against a Xavier team that is allowing opponents to make just 33 percent from beyond the arc.

The UNDER is 10-4 in St. Joe's last 14 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-3 in St. Joe's last 10 games overall.

Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 68

-----------------------------------------------------------

#17 Michigan State (-2) at Illinois [ESPN2 | 9 PM ET]

Michigan State: The Spartans are just 2-7 in Big Ten road games this season, and forward Goran Suton would like to improve upon that here against a struggling Illinois team. “I do think we have a road-warrior mentality,” Suton said. “We just have to do a better job of showing it."

Michigan State is 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 63

Illinois: Poor free-throw shooting continues to dog the Illini, who are making just 61 percent from the "charity " stripe to rank last in the Big Ten and 330th in the nation out of 341 teams.

Illinois is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games overall.
Illinois is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 home games.
Illinois is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games vs. Big Ten.

Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 60

-----------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

Hockey – Long Sheet

NHL
Long Sheet


Thursday, March 6

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TORONTO (29-29-0-10, 68 pts.) at BOSTON (35-24-0-7, 77 pts.) - 3/6/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 35-31 ATS (+79.8 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 75-68 ATS (+154.5 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
TORONTO is 64-58 ATS (+133.0 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
TORONTO is 33-28 ATS (+68.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 17-12 ATS (+33.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-40 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 16-28 ATS (+45.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 99-101 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 12-9 (+5.4 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 12-9-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
14 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.9 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (26-33-0-7, 59 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (33-26-0-8, 74 pts.) - 3/6/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 26-40 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 13-26 ATS (-16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 22-18 ATS (+45.3 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 55-94 ATS (-86.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-35 ATS (-22.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-10 ATS (-9.4 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-11 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-21 ATS (-13.3 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-38 ATS (+54.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-12 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-16 ATS (-21.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 9-2 (+6.3 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 9-2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.7 Units)

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MINNESOTA (37-25-0-5, 79 pts.) at CAROLINA (34-29-0-5, 73 pts.) - 3/6/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 24-16 ATS (+43.0 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 112-116 ATS (-59.2 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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NY RANGERS (34-24-0-9, 77 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (32-29-0-7, 71 pts.) - 3/6/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 3-10 ATS (-10.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 18-24 ATS (-13.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 8-1 ATS (+6.8 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 18-37 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 12-9 (+7.9 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 12-9-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
12 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.1 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (38-23-0-7, 83 pts.) at FLORIDA (30-30-0-9, 69 pts.) - 3/6/2008, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 21-10 ATS (+31.9 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 31-23 ATS (+3.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 86-69 ATS (+167.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 14-6 ATS (+20.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
PITTSBURGH is 50-30 ATS (+89.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 28-11 ATS (+15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 77-98 ATS (+187.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
FLORIDA is 3-9 ATS (-8.6 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 14-35 ATS (+55.7 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 6-5 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 6-5-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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MONTREAL (36-22-0-9, 81 pts.) at PHOENIX (33-28-0-5, 71 pts.) - 3/6/2008, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 33-33 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 110-132 ATS (-70.8 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 1-0-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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ANAHEIM (38-23-0-7, 83 pts.) at COLORADO (35-26-0-6, 76 pts.) - 3/6/2008, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 13-3 ATS (+9.3 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 37-30 ATS (-7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 55-33 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 136-127 ATS (+277.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
COLORADO is 100-98 ATS (-61.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
COLORADO is 70-74 ATS (-98.9 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 9-6 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 9-6-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.3 Units)

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NASHVILLE (34-25-0-8, 76 pts.) at VANCOUVER (32-25-0-9, 73 pts.) - 3/6/2008, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 2-12 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 16-6 ATS (+22.3 Units) after a division game this season.
VANCOUVER is 10-16 ATS (-15.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 46-72 ATS (-37.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 6-5 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 6-5-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

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OTTAWA (37-24-0-6, 80 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (26-37-0-5, 57 pts.) - 3/6/2008, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 1-0-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

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[pm530]

National Hockey League – Write up

NHL
Write-up


Thursday, March 6

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Today's NHL analysis

Hot Teams
-- Leafs are 5-0 in game after their last five losses.
-- Carolina won five of its last six games. Minnesota won three of its last four games.
-- Rangers won six of their last nine games.
-- Panthers won last two games, both 1-0, after losing six of the previous seven games. Penguins won last two games, allowing two goals.
-- Canadiens won three of their last four games.
-- Ducks won six of their last seven games. Avalanche won four games in row, allowing seven goals.
-- Predators won last two games, 3-1/5-1.

Cold Teams
-- Bruins lost last two games, 10-2/1-0ot.
-- Lightning lost seven of their last eight games. Flyers are 3-12 in their last fifteen games.
-- Islanders lost their last three home games, scoring 3 goals.
-- Coyotes lost three of their last four home games.
-- Canucks lost last four games, scoring total of six goals.
-- Kings lost five in row, seven of last eight games. Senators lost five of their last six games.

Series Records
-- Bruins won five of last seven vs Toronto, losing last two in OT; Leafs are 3-6 in last nine trips to Boston.
-- Flyers lost nine of last eleven vs Tampa Bay.
-- Carolina lost 5-4 in Minnesota LY, in last series meeting.
-- Islanders won five of last six against the Rangers.
-- Penguins won their last five games against Florida.
-- Coyotes lost 5-2 in Montreal two years ago, in last meeting.
-- Ducks won last four games vs Colorado.
-- Canucks won three of last four against Nashville.
-- Kings lost 5-1 in Ottawa two years ago, in last meeting.

Totals
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last dozen Toronto-Boston games.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Philly-Tampa Bay games.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Carolina games; six of Minnesota's last seven games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Ranger games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Last eight Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-1-1 in last eleven Colorado games.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Nashville games.
-- Over is 7-3 in last ten Los Angeles games.

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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Cleveland at Chicago
The Cavs picked up their third straight victory last night in New York and face a Chicago team tonight that has dropped four of its last six. Cleveland is the underdog pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, MARCH 6

Game 501-502: Cleveland at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 118.299; Chicago 118.934
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Indiana at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 112.543; San Antonio 126.823
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 14 1/2; 188 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 13 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-13 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Houston at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 121.979; Dallas 124.055
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 5 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+5 1/2); N/A

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel


Utah State at Boise State
The Broncos return home after back-to-back road wins at San Jose State and Hawaii. They will face a Utah State team that has lost its last three conference road games. Boise State is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, MARCH 6

Game 507-508: Clemson at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 69.465; Georgia Tech 67.098
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 1
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-1)

Game 509-510: Connecticut at Providence
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 70.678; Providence 64.501
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 6
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-3 1/2)

Game 511-512: George Washington at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 54.732; Charlotte 65.831
Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 11
Vegas Line: Charlotte by 9
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-9)

Game 513-514: DePaul at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 59.774; Cincinnati 66.539
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-5 1/2)

Game 515-516: Hawaii at Louisiana Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 53.037; Louisiana Tech 45.794
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 5
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-5)

Game 517-518: San Jose State at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 50.692; New Mexico State 64.550
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 14
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+15 1/2)

Game 519-520: Xavier at St. Joseph's
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 68.935; St. Joseph's 68.685
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Xavier by 2
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+2)

Game 521-522: Arizona State at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 64.357; Oregon 73.300
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 9
Vegas Line: Oregon by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-5 1/2)

Game 523-524: Utah State at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 55.876; Boise State 65.406
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-5 1/2)

Game 525-526: UC-Davis at UC-Irvine
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 42.051; UC-Irvine 56.065
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 14
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (+15 1/2)

Game 527-528: California at USC
Dunkel Ratings: California 61.492; USC 73.013
Dunkel Line: USC by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: USC by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-8 1/2)

Game 529-530: Cal Poly at Long Beach State
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 48.360; Long Beach State 48.222
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+1)

Game 531-532: UC-Santa Barbara at CS-Northridge
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 53.914; CS-Northridge 59.166
Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge by 5
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 3
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (-3)

Game 533-534: Arizona at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 68.594; Oregon State 53.448
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 15
Vegas Line: Arizona by 13
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-13)

Game 535-536: Stanford at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 71.255; UCLA 80.877
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: UCLA by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-8 1/2)

Game 537-538: Wichita State vs. Indiana State
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 54.865; Indiana State 58.852
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 4
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (-1 1/2)

Game 539-540: Evansville vs. Missouri State
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 52.313; Missouri State 59.610
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (+10)

Game 541-542: Michigan State at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 69.267; Illinois 71.415
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 2
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+1)

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Minnesota at Carolina
The Wild have dropped five of their last eight and face a Carolina team that has won five of its last six. The Hurricanes are the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has Carolina favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-105). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, MARCH 6

Game 1-2: Toronto at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.032; Boston 10.896
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+140); Under

Game 3-4: Tampa Bay at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.292; Philadelphia 10.943
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-175); 6
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-175); Under

Game 5-6: Minnesota at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.816; Carolina 11.965
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-105); Under

Game 7-8: NY Rangers at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.787; NY Islanders 10.816
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-145); Over

Game 9-10: Pittsburgh at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.183; Florida 10.617
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-110); Under

Game 11-12: Montreal at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.645; Phoenix 11.315
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-120); Under

Game 13-14: Anaheim at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.239; Colorado 11.635
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+100); Under

Game 15-16: Nashville at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.626; Vancouver 11.016
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-140); Over

Game 17-18: Ottawa at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.218; Los Angeles 10.823
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


Thursday, March 6


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CLEVELAND (35 - 26) at CHICAGO (24 - 36) - 3/6/2008, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (24 - 37) at SAN ANTONIO (42 - 17) - 3/6/2008, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 549-477 ATS (+24.3 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 441-378 ATS (+25.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 102-69 ATS (+26.1 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 48-26 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 127-91 ATS (+26.9 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 176-136 ATS (+26.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
INDIANA is 233-187 ATS (+27.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (24 - 37) at SAN ANTONIO (42 - 17) - 3/6/2008, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 549-477 ATS (+24.3 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 441-378 ATS (+25.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 102-69 ATS (+26.1 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 48-26 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 127-91 ATS (+26.9 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 176-136 ATS (+26.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
INDIANA is 233-187 ATS (+27.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Hot Lines


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pick 'n' Roll: Thursday's NBA bets
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Cleveland at Chicago (-3.5, 193.5)

All that jabbering with Spike Lee, jacking 25-foot treys, and single-handedly snuffing the life out of a determined Knicks team can take a lot out of a fella. But just because that's how LeBron James spent his Wednesday night before the second half of a back-to-back in Chicago doesn't justify the Cavs coming into this game as significant underdogs against the 10th place team in the East. This line opened with the Bulls at -4 and it's already been bet down to -3.5 - and although the public isn't always the best indicator of which way you should bet, in this instance I think they're right. The Bulls' are just 2-4 since the big trade, but the Cavs have jelled much better with a 4-2 record in that time. It also doesn't help that Tyrus Thomas has been suspended for two games for missing practice. The last time these teams played, Thomas was a significant factor with 12 points, seven rebounds and two blocked shots.

Pick: Cavaliers


Indiana at San Antonio (-13.5, 196)

You'd be a fool to go against the Spurs while they're on a 10-game winning streak. This team is starting to peak right on schedule as they get primed for the playoffs - so don't think they'll let a team like Indiana stand in their way. San Antonio is the kind of team that can have a bad shooting night like they did in their last game on Tuesday (33.8 %) and still manage to win by 11 and get the push. You can expect a much better performance tonight against the third worst scoring defense in the league. And if you're worried about laying the points, just remind yourself that San Antonio is 9-5 ATS when favored by 10 or more points.

Pick: Spurs


Houston at Dallas (-6, no total)

The Mavericks have won and covered against Houston in six straight meetings, but this game will be an entirely different animal. Dirk Nowitzki has been suspended by the league and Yao Ming is out for the rest of the Rockets' season. Amazingly, the Rockets are 4-0 straight up and ATS without Yao as this team has shown surprising depth with young players stepping up and Tracy McGrady taking the leadership role. The Mavs, on the other hand, will be playing their first game without their leading scorer and the league's reigning MVP. That will most likely require a major adjustment and it will probably throw off their rhythm for at least the first half of this game.

Pick: Houston