Monday Trends and Indexes 03/03

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Monday, March 3

Good Luck on day #63 of 2008!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

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[pm530]

Six-pack for Monday

Six top minor league prospects for the Chicago Cubs......

6) Donald Veal, P-- Allowed 126 hits in 130 IP with 131 Ks in AA last year; is 6-4, 230. He also walked 73 batters last year.

5) Sean Gallagher, P-- Allowed 19 hits, 14 ER in 14 big league IP in '07; was 3-1, 2.66 in eight AAA starts. Has career mark in minor leagues of 36-15, 2.75.

4) Jose Ceda, P-- Drafted by Padres; returned from an injury LY and threw 23 straight hitless innings. Some in Cub brass see another Lee Smith, as he is 6-5, 247 pounds.

3) Tyler Colvin, OF-- Lefty Clemson product hit .291 with 9 homers in AA LY; was 13th player taken in '06 draft. Doesn't walk much, but he can hit-- is he the next Greg Gross?

2) Geovany Soto, C/1B-- Has .325 BA in 80 big league ABs; he hit 26 HR, 109 RBI with .353 BA in AAA LY. Is expected to be Cubs' best catcher since Jody Davis in mid-80's.

1) Josh Vitters, 3B-- High school kid got $3.2M to sign, then hit .118 in his first 51 pro ABs. These are the Cubs, after all.

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[pm530]

Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend...........

13) I've never seen a college basketball season like this one, as 20-point leads routinely disappear, teams display 180-degree differences in play within three days of each other. Buzzwords for this season? Complete and total inconsistency. Very odd.

12) In Oklahoma's last game, they led 28-10 at halftime; in their previous game, they trailed 29-12 at half. Go figure. Sooners are a good team, yet they're totally erratic.

11) Texas A&M averaged 54 ppg in losing three straight, then led Texas Tech 56-29 at halftime in next game, then trailed by 28-10 at halftime in Norman in game after that- another top 25 team gone bad. Why are these teams so inconsistent?

10) Then there is Michigan State, which scored 36 points in a loss at a sub-par Iowa team this season. Sunday, they led the 22-4 Indiana Hoosiers 59-31. At halftime.

9) Maryland led Clemson by 20 at home with 11:30 left Sunday night, in game they needed to win to enhance a shaky resume for an NCAA bid. Clemson has rarely been known for spunk, but they rallied to win on a late 3-pointer, and Maryland team looked like they were staring at ghosts as they left the court.

8) Kentucky showed lot of guts, falling 63-60 at Tennessee in first game without Patterson, their best player. Bracketology dude on ESPN says Western Kentucky, Syracuse, Kentucky are last three teams out of field, if it had been picked Sunday. If Syracuse (1-5 in last six games) makes the NCAAs, I may puke.

7) There is apparently dissension in Arizona administration as to who will be coaching the Wildcats next year; Kevin O'Neill wants the job, but Arizona is 8-10 and sliding, so not like he is strengthening his position. Lute Olson apparently wants back in, as in now, but the AD would like him to retire. Problem there is that Olson is a legend, and it is hard to dismiss a legend.

6) Interesting investment proposition in Vegas: You can invest in either Mets-Bronx-Boston to win World Series, and win $180 for a $100 bet. If any of other 27 teams win World Series, then you lose the $100, but if they win, you collect $180. It figures all three of those teams will at least make the playoffs, right?

5) Mike Hampton tossed two scoreless IP in his first start back from two years of inactivity; he is one of four pitchers who has gotten a $100M contract. None have fared well.

4) Another of the $100M men, Barry Zito, gave up eight runs on just 44 pitches in less than an inning against his old team, the A's, Saturday. It is never good when the same batter makes the first two outs in an inning, and not on a double play.

3) Ernie Els complained about a bad back after playing in first round of Honda Classic Thursday; so of course, he went out and won the tournament, his first PGA Tour win since 2004.

2) The golf course at the highest elevation in the world used to be in Peru (14,000+ feet), but it was deserted; now, a course in Bolivia, at 10,800 feet, has the hghest elevation of any course in the world. Better take a cart when you play there.

1) Oddest fact of weekend; there is a 64-person poker tourney going on in Vegas, the National Heads-Up tournament, and in the Elite Eight, one of competitors is Orel Hershiser, who used to be the Rangers' pitching coach, and is still an ESPN analyst. Hershiser beat Ted Forrest, Freddy Deeb, Allen Cunningham, all outstanding poker pros. These great athletes have a hard time getting competition out of their system.

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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Long Sheet

AFL
Long Sheet


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Monday, March 3
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NEW YORK (5 - 11) at CLEVELAND (2 - 14) - 3/3/2008, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN JOSE (16 - 3) at CHICAGO (13 - 5) - 3/3/2008, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Additional

AFL
Additional


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Arena Football 2008 Preview

The Arena Football League kicks off its 22nd season, and each of the 17 teams will have the same goal in mind…Reaching Arena Bowl XXII, scheduled for July 27th in New Orleans. San Jose returns as the defending champion, and is widely regarded as one of the favorites to return to the throne in 2008. Other top contenders figure to be Dallas, Chicago, and Georgia.

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Preseason AFL Power Poll

Parity in the Arena Football League is at an all-time high. Over the last 10 years there have been seven different ArenaBowl winners. In fact, no team has repeated as AFL champions since the Tampa Bay Storm won consecutive titles in 1995-96. The San Jose SaberCats, winners of three of the last six championships, have been the closest thing to a dynasty the League has seen in some time.

With 17 teams (two less than last season) vying for the title this year, every club has the talent to win it all. The key to a championship will be consistent play, good health and a little luck.

Last year in this preseason column, I was somehow able to predict the San Jose SaberCats (over the Georgia Force) in the ArenaBowl. Let’s see if I can make it two years in a row.

Power Poll Rankings (2007 records in parenthesis)

17- Cleveland Gladiators (2-14) – Moved from Las Vegas to Cleveland in off-season and will have a brand-new look in ’08...Will be much better this season but doesn’t have the depth of the top teams.

16- Columbus Destroyers (7-9) – A year removed from the ArenaBowl but will take a step back in ’08...Only nine players return from the National Conference championship team from last year...Looks like a rebuilding season for head coach Doug Kay and the Destroyers.

15- Arizona Rattlers (4-12) – New coach, new quarterback, new management...The Rattlers are hoping to turn things around in ’08 but face a tough schedule in the Western Division with the likes of San Jose, Los Angeles and Utah and non-conference battles with Georgia, Orlando and Dallas..

14- New Orleans VooDoo (5-11) – Losing free agent WR Derrick Lewis (torn ACL) in training camp is a huge blow for the VooDoo...Without a go-to receiver on offense and their top pass rusher on defense (traded Henry Taylor to New York), New Orleans doesn’t have the horses to cash their ticket in this race.

13- Grand Rapids Rampage (4-12) – New head coach Steve Thonn brings an offensive mind to Western Michigan but the Rampage lacks “big name” talent with the exception of DB Ahmad Hawkins...Will be better in ’08 but the key to the season will be how an inconsistent QB Adrian McPherson adapts to Thonn’s timing-based offense.

12- New York Dragons (5-11) – If QB Aaron Garcia can stay healthy the Dragons have a chance...New York must do a better job of protecting the passer (allowed 26 sacks last season) or it could be another long season on Long Island.

11- Utah Blaze (8-8) – Lost top WR Siaha Burley to Arizona but added a slew of top defenders in free agency, including pass rushers Dwayne Missouri and E.J Burt, and DB Reggie Doster...QB Joe Germaine will have to spread the ball around to a number of receivers and the secondary will have to make plays for Utah to compete with San Jose and Los Angeles in the West.

10- Colorado Crush (8-8) – Losing WR Damian Harrell to free agency hurts... Veteran QB John Dutton will have to step up his game along with young receivers Ben Nelson, Brad Pyatt and Willie Quinnie if Colorado wants to make any noise in the Central...If Dutton continues to turn the ball over (tied for AFL lead with 17 INTs in ’07) it could be a disappointing season in the Rockies.

9- Orlando Predators (8-8) – Despite losing WR Jimmy Fryzel (season-ending injury) and DL Greg White (signed with Tampa Bay Buccaneers), the Predators will be in the mix again in ’08...Jay Gruden is too good of a coach to let his team slip...QB Shane Stafford didn’t play up to expectations last year but should benefit from a full season with WR T.T. Toliver.

8- Los Angeles Avengers (9-7) – My pick for surprise team in ’08...Third-year QB Sonny Cumbie is a star in the making in head coach Ed Hodgkiss’ offensive system...The defensive line of Jason Stewart, Ken Jones and Josh Jefferies gives the Avengers one of the top pass rushing units in the League.

7- Kansas City Brigade (10-6) – Could be another sleeper team in ‘08....Coming off a solid 10-6 season a year ago and added quality players (DB Jerald Brown, WR Mike Horacek, DL Mike Sutton) on both sides of the ball...The key to the season will be the play of veteran QB John Fitzgerald, who was out of the AFL last season coaching in af2...If Fitzgerald can manage the game and play consistently, the Brigade will surprise some people this year.

6- Tampa Bay Storm (9-7) – Caught fire at the end of last season and returns all the key contributors on both sides of the ball...There are high expectations for second-year QB Brett Dietz, who will be surrounded by veteran receivers Terrill Shaw, Lawrence Samuels and David Saunders...

5- Georgia Force (14-2) – Will need to replace 67 touchdowns with the loss of receivers Chris Jackson and Derek Lee to free agency...Biggest loss could be offensive coordinator Steve Thonn (now head coach in Grand Rapids) but head coach Doug Plank is confident in WRs Troy Bergeron, Brent Holmes, Carl Morris and Jamin Elliot, along with new coordinator Jim Kubiak.

4- Philadelphia Soul (8-8) – The addition of free agent WR Chris Jackson gives the Soul the big-play threat they’ve been lacking...With QB Tony Graziani and Jackson, expectations are high in the city of Brotherly Love...The quarterback and receivers garner most of the headlines, but the key to Philadelphia’s success will be the likes of defensive linemen Gabe Nyenhuis and Bryan Save and the rest of the Soul’s defense.

3- Chicago Rush (12-4) – The Rush lost their top two offensive players during the off-season (QB Matt D’Orazio and WR Bobby Sippio) but didn’t miss a beat with the addition of free agents QB Sherdrick Bonner and WR Damian Harrell...The defense has been the heart and soul of the club for the last few seasons and should be among the League’s top units again this season.

2- Dallas Desperados (15-1) – Will come out with a chip on their shoulder after dominating the regular season the last two years (28-4 combined record) only to fall in the playoffs in back-to-back seasons...On offense, veteran QB Clint Dolezel returns the nucleus of his receiving corps, and an overachieving defense got even better with the addition of free agent DB DaShane Dennis.

1- San Jose SaberCats (13-3) – The SaberCats are the champs and will remain so until someone knocks them off...Has won three of the last six championships and will be in the mix every year as long as QB Mark Grieb, WR James Roe and DBs Clevan Thomas and Omarr Smith are on the roster...The receiving corps is getting a little older but Grieb is the most accurate passer to ever play the indoor game.

Looking into the crystal ball...

American Conference Playoff Teams
San Jose, Chicago, Kansas City, Los Angeles, Colorado, Utah

National Conference Playoff Teams
Dallas, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Georgia, Orlando, New York

American Conference Championship Game:
San Jose over Kansas City

National Conference Championship Game:
Dallas over Philadelphia

ArenaBowl XXII (New Orleans)
Dallas over San Jose

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[pm530]

National Basketball Association – Write up

NBA
Write-up


Monday, March 3

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Today's NBA analysis

Hot Teams
-- Jazz won their last fourteen home games (9-5 vs spread).
-- 76ers won nine of their last twelve games.

Cold Teams
-- Hornets lost four of their last six games. Knicks lost three of their last four games.
-- Mavericks are 5-6 in their last eleven games.
-- Clippers lost their last five games (1-4 vs spread).

Previous meetings this season
-- Home team won both Dallas-Utah games this season.
-- Clippers (+6.5) lost 101-80 in Philly Feb 9th.

Totals
-- Ten of last eleven New York games went over the total.
-- Last three Maverick games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in Clippers' last ten games, but six of Philly's last seven games went over.

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[pm530]

National Basketball Association - Tips & Trends

NBA


Monday, March 3

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Tips and Trends
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New Orleans Hornets at New York Knicks (7:30 PM ET)

Hornets are 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 road games.
Hornets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Knicks are 6-22 ATS in their last 28 Monday games.


Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz (NBA | 9 PM ET)

Mavericks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Jazz are 26-11-1 ATS in their last 38 home games.
The home team is 16-5-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings.


Philadelphia 76ers at Los Angeles Clippers (10:30 PM ET)

The 76ers are 9-3 since Feb. 5th. That stretch includes wins over Dallas, Orlando and a 119-114 win at Phoenix on Saturday. EDGE: 76ERS
The Clippers have dropped five straight, and Los Angeles is shooting 39 percent from the field while getting outscored by an average of 17 points during its skid. The Clippers shot just 35 percent in a 103-73 loss to Detroit on Saturday. EDGE: 76ERS
Clippers center Chris Kaman returned last game, after missing four games because of a sore lower back. He had 13 points and 14 rebounds in 33 minutes, but said he was “rusty." The Sixers held Kaman to a season-low four points on 2-for-10 shooting in the teams' first meeting Feb. 9th. EDGE: 76ERS
76ers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
76ers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Clippers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Monday games.

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[pm530]

National Basketball Association - Gameday

NBA
Gameday


Monday, March 3

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NBA Gameday
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NBA Betting: Monday Gameday

There are just six teams in action on a light Monday night around the NBA, including the Utah Jazz and star guard Deron Williams. Here's a look at that slate in NBA Gameday:

New Orleans Hornets at New York Knicks, 7:30pm ET

The Hornets ended their February schedule with three losses in their last five games, which caused them to lose a bit of ground to the Spurs in the Southwest Division standings. The last time New Orleans and New York met on the hardwood was back on March 31 of last year, when the Hornets pulled out a 103-94 home victory. Monday will continue a busy part of the schedule for New Orleans, with five games in seven nights.

The Knicks now boast the second-worst record in the Eastern Conference, and they're in danger of joining the Heat with a winning percentage below .300. The Knicks are coming off a 118-92 loss to the Magic on Saturday night, with Jamal Crawford scoring a team-high 23 points for New York in that contest. Quentin Richardson was good for 16 points and seven boards that day. The Knicks have now lost six of their past 10 games.

Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz, 9:00pm ET

The Mavericks are hoping that their acquisition of Jason Kidd results in a long playoff run for the franchise, although the team needed some dates against the league's lesser lights to break out of a skid this past week. Dallas and Utah have already battled twice this season, with each team winning one game. The Mavs won 125-117 at home on December 8, with the Jazz coming out on top 99-90 in their building on December 26.

Utah holds down the lead in the Northwest Division standings, and they'll want to stay there to lock down home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. The Jazz handily defeated the Grizzlies 113-92 on Saturday, with Carlos Boozer pouring in a team-high 18 points. Mehmet Okur picked up 17 points and 13 rebounds in that game, and Williams added 19 assists. Utah has managed to win six of their past 10 contests.

Philadelphia 76ers at Los Angeles Clippers, 10:30pm ET

The Sixers have won seven of their past 10 games to hold onto a spot in the Top 8 of the Eastern Conference standings. Philly, though, is still just 27-33 on the season, but they are coming off an impressive 119-114 road victory over the Suns on Saturday. Andre Iguodala sparked the Sixers' attack with 32 points in that contest, while Andre Miller picked up 25 points and 12 assists. Philadelphia is just 11-19 on the road so far.

The Clippers don't have much of a chance of moving out of the basement of the Pacific Division this season, let alone actually making the playoffs. Los Angeles has now lost five games in a row, and they were soundly beaten 103-73 by the Pistons at the Staples Center on Saturday. Corey Maggette picked up 22 points for the Clippers in that lopsided loss, while Chris Kaman scored 13 points and added 14 boards in the game.

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[pm530]

College Basketball – Long Sheet

NCAAB
Long Sheet


Monday, March 3

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PITTSBURGH (21 - 8) at W VIRGINIA (20 - 9) - 3/3/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS TECH (16 - 12) at KANSAS (26 - 3) - 3/3/2008, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in road games since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 38-64 ATS (-32.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
TEXAS TECH is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEXAS TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FRESNO ST (13 - 16) at UTAH ST (20 - 9) - 3/3/2008, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games this season.
FRESNO ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
FRESNO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
FRESNO ST is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
FRESNO ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
FRESNO ST is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 83-113 ATS (-41.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FRESNO ST is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
UTAH ST is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 4-1 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 3-2 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PEPPERDINE (10 - 19) at SAN FRANCISCO (8 - 20) - 3/3/2008, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PEPPERDINE is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
PEPPERDINE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in road games this season.
PEPPERDINE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in road lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 against the spread versus PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-0 straight up against PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST MARYS-CA (24 - 5) at PORTLAND (9 - 20) - 3/3/2008, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST MARYS-CA is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
PORTLAND is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all home games this season.
PORTLAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
PORTLAND is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
PORTLAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a conference game this season.
PORTLAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.
PORTLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST MARYS-CA is 4-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
ST MARYS-CA is 4-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (5 - 24) at SAN DIEGO (17 - 13) - 3/3/2008, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games this season.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
SAN DIEGO is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 3-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SANTA CLARA (14 - 14) at GONZAGA (23 - 6) - 3/3/2008, 11:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GONZAGA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in March games since 1997.
SANTA CLARA is 100-71 ATS (+21.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
GONZAGA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GONZAGA is 3-3 against the spread versus SANTA CLARA over the last 3 seasons
GONZAGA is 5-1 straight up against SANTA CLARA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W CAROLINA (10 - 19) at UNC-GREENSBORO (17 - 11) - 3/3/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
W CAROLINA is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
W CAROLINA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
W CAROLINA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-GREENSBORO is 3-3 against the spread versus W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
UNC-GREENSBORO is 3-3 straight up against W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WEBER ST (14 - 13) at SACRAMENTO ST (4 - 23) - 3/3/2008, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WEBER ST is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WEBER ST is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WEBER ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WEBER ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WEBER ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO ST is 3-2 against the spread versus WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
WEBER ST is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA (13 - 13) at GEORGIA TECH (12 - 15) - 3/3/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 42-73 ATS (-38.3 Units) in road games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 42-73 ATS (-38.3 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 35-63 ATS (-34.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 32-59 ATS (-32.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
GEORGIA TECH is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-1 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

College Basketball – Write up

NCAAB
Write-up


Monday, March 3

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-- West Virginia (+2) lost 55-54 at Pitt on last-second shot Feb 7; WV shot 35.8% for game, 7-17 from line- they covered three of last four tries as favorite. Pitt was down 11 late at Syracuse Saturday, pulled out 82-77 win; they're 2-3 as road underdog.

-- Texas Tech won three of last four games, but they are 1-6 on Big 12 road, 2-4 as road dog, losing by 19-2-26-6-11-44 points. Kansas covered one of last six games; they're 4-3 as favorite at home, winning at home by 30-24-35-19-10-24-14 points.

-- Utah State (+1.5) won 77-72 in Fresno Feb 7, shooting 58% from floor, surviving Bulldogs' 11-22 night from arc. Fresno has lost six of last eight games (0-8 vs spread); they're 0-4 as WAC road dog, losing away games by 10-4-13-12-5-12 points.

-- Pepperdine is 3-2 in last five games after 1-7 start in league; they're 3-2 as WCC road dog, losing road games by 5-15-42-4 pts. Waves (-4) lost 85-82 at home to San Francisco Feb 2, in a game USF trailed by 12 at half. Dons won last two at home.

-- St Mary's lost at Gonzaga Saturday, will likely be #2 seed in WCC tourney; they crushed Portland 86-49 at home Feb 2 (-19) shooting 54%, making 10-24 from arc. Pilots are 2-5 vs spread in last seven games as WCC underdog- their last three losses are by 17-13-22 points.

-- San Diego (-10.5) won 72-48 at LMU Feb 2, holding Lions to 35.6%, forcing 20 turnovers; Toreros are 1-3 as home favorite in WCC games, winning at home by 5-2-8-17-4 points. LMU is 1-4-1 vs spread as road dog, losing by 23-32-23-11-33-9 pts.

-- Gonzaga clinches top seed in WCC tourney if they beat the Santa Clara squad they needed double OT to beat 87-82 back on Feb 2 (-7). Zags covered last four home games, winning by 10-8-38-42-33-12 pts. Broncos are 2-1 as WCC road underdog.

-- NC-Greensboro (-5.5) won 74-62 at Western Carolina Feb 21, in game that was tied at half. Spartans are 5-3 as home favorite in SoCon games, winning by 12-12-30-29-24-8-23 pts. WCU is 7-2 vs spread in last nine games, 4-3 as SoCon road dog.

-- Sacramento State lost last seven games; they lost 69-56 (+14) at Weber State Jan 23, after trailing by 4 at half. Weber is 3-1 vs spread in last four tries as favorite- they are 3-4 on Big Sky road, 0-1 as road fave. Hornets are 5-2 as Big Sky home dog.

-- Georgia Tech (+4.5) won 92-82 in OT at Virginia Jan 27, after trailing 48-38 at half; Tech shot 51% for game, UVa 37%, but in last five games, Jackets are 1-4, and are 2-3 as home fave. UVa covered last four games, but is just 3-4 as an ACC road dog.

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[pm530]

College Basketball - Tips & Trends

NCAAB


Monday, March 3

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Tips and Trends
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Pittsburgh at West Virginia (ESPN | 7 PM ET)

Pitt is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 Monday games.
West Virginia is 22-10-1 ATS in its last 33 home games.
Pitt is 11-4-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings.


Texas Tech at #7 Kansas (ESPN | 9 PM ET)

The Jayhawks are fresh off a 14-point win over their rival Wildcats on Saturday. Brandon Rush led Kansas with a season-high 21 points, as the Jayhawks look to move into sole possession of first place in the Big 12. EDGE: KANSAS
Kansas should have a major edge inside. The Jayhawks outrebounded Kansas State, the nation's fifth-best rebounding team, 41-34 on Saturday. Kansas averages 39 boards per game, third in the Big 12, while Texas Tech is 11th in the conference at 31 per game. EDGE: KANSAS
Texas Tech has four wins against ranked opponents this year, and junior guard Alan Voskuil is fresh off an 18 point game against the No.5 Texas Longhorns on Saturday. Voskuil has been hot lately averaging 19 points in his last six games as well. EDGE: TEXAS TECH
Texas Tech has never won in nine trips to Lawrence, losing its last five visits by an average of 29 points. EDGE: KANSAS
Texas Tech is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games against the Big 12.
Kansas is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 home games.
Kansas is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.


#23 St. Mary's at Portland (10 PM ET)

St. Mary's is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 Monday games.
St. Mary's is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Portland is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games overall.


Santa Clara at Gonzaga (ESPN2 | 11:30 PM ET)

The Gonzaga Bulldogs look to win the WCC crown outright for the sixth straight season. A Gonzaga win or a Saint Mary's loss to Portland would give the Bulldogs yet another outright WCC crown. "We don't want to share the WCC title," said sophomore guard Matt Bouldin, "We want to keep this streak going." EDGE: GONZAGA
The Bulldogs have won 14 of16 and nine straight at home since falling to then-No. 8 Washington State on Dec. 5th. Gonzaga is 51-3 at home since the McCarthey Athletic Center opened in 2004. EDGE: GONZAGA
Santa Clara is the only WCC team to beat Gonzaga at home in the last four seasons. The Broncos defeated the Bulldogs 84-73 last season. "It is one of the toughest and most fun places to play," Santa Clara senior forward Mitch Henke said, "We are definitely going to be fired up going in there." EDGE: SANTA CLARA
Mitch Henke matched his season high with 21 points in the Broncos last game. He's averaging 18 points and shooting 64 percent from the field and 63 percent from 3-point range in his last three games. EDGE: SANTA CLARA
The UNDER is 7-1 in Santa Clara's last 8 road games.
Gonzaga is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games overall.
The OVER is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.

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[pm530]

National Hockey League – Write up

NHL
Write-up


Monday, March 3

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Today's NHL analysis

Hot Teams
-- Bruins won last six games, outscoring foes 25-12.
-- Ducks won five in row, ten of last eleven games.
-- Canadiens won last three games, allowing four goals. Sharks won their last five games, allowing six goals.

Cold Teams
-- Capitals lost six of their last nine games.
-- Senators lost seven of their last ten games.

Series Records
-- Bruins won eight of last nine against Washington.
-- Ducks won 4-3 in SO in Ottawa two years ago, in last meeting
-- Montreal won 3-2 in SO at San Jose two years ago, last time these two teams met.

Totals
-- Under is 7-1 in last eight Boston-Washington games.
-- Under is 10-4-2 in last sixteen Anaheim games.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five San Jose games.

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[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet


Monday, March 3


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BOSTON (35-23-0-6, 76 pts.) at WASHINGTON (30-28-0-8, 68 pts.) - 3/3/2008, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 16-9 ATS (+26.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 35-29 ATS (+67.9 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 16-11 ATS (+31.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
BOSTON is 16-9 ATS (+25.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 20-14 ATS (+34.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-10 ATS (+16.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-1 (+6.9 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.9 Units)

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OTTAWA (37-23-0-6, 80 pts.) at ANAHEIM (37-23-0-7, 81 pts.) - 3/3/2008, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 155-105 ATS (-50.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 12-16 ATS (-14.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
OTTAWA is 7-13 ATS (-16.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 10-1 ATS (+8.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games this season.
ANAHEIM is 54-33 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 135-127 ATS (+300.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 16-20 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 5-1 (+6.7 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 5-1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)

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MONTREAL (36-21-0-9, 81 pts.) at SAN JOSE (36-21-0-8, 80 pts.) - 3/3/2008, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 9-14 ATS (-11.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
SAN JOSE is 0-4 ATS (-7.4 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.
SAN JOSE is 3-8 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 5-12 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 1-0-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


Monday, March 3


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NEW ORLEANS (39 - 19) at NEW YORK (18 - 41) - 3/3/2008, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (39 - 21) at UTAH (38 - 22) - 3/3/2008, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 199-152 ATS (+31.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (27 - 33) at LA CLIPPERS (19 - 38) - 3/3/2008, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 61-77 ATS (-23.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 32-50 ATS (-23.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel


Virginia at Georgia Tech
Virginia is just 1-6 on the road in conference play, including a tough 95-93 loss at Miami on Saturday. The Cavaliers have to stay on the road tonight and play a Georgia Tech team that coming off a solid win over Wake Forest. The Yellow Jackets are the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Georgia Tech favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, MARCH 3

Game 707-708: Pittsburgh at West Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 65.233; West Virginia 71.331
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 6
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 5
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-5)

Game 709-710: Texas Tech at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 60.915; Kansas 83.154
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 22
Vegas Line: Kansas by 19
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-19)

Game 711-712: Fresno State at Utah State
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 52.214; Utah State 62.536
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 10
Vegas Line: Utah State by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-8 1/2)

Game 713-714: Pepperdine at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 47.479; San Francisco 51.619
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 4
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 3
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-3)

Game 715-716: St. Mary's (CA) at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 66.030; Portland 48.883
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 17
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 13
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-13)

Game 717-718: Loyola-Marymount at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 37.966; San Diego 61.355
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego by 20
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-20)

Game 719-720: Santa Clara at Gonzaga
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 53.968; Gonzaga 72.656
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-15 1/2)

Game 721-722: Western Carolina at NC-Greensboro
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 47.860; NC-Greensboro 62.639
Dunkel Line: NC-Greensboro by 15
Vegas Line: NC-Greensboro by 14
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (-14)

Game 723-724: Weber State at Sacramento State
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 50.493; Sacramento State 44.452
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 6
Vegas Line: Weber State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (+7)

Game 725-726: Virginia at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 60.127; Georgia Tech 67.279
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 7
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-4 1/2)