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  • Please post NCAAF and NFL trends

    thanks

  • #2
    NFL
    September 28 (Sunday)

    CINCINNATI at CLEVELAND

    Play AGAINST Cincinnati on grass 14-34 since 1991).

    DETROIT at DENVER

    Play Denver OVER as a favorite in September (22-6 since 1993).

    JACKSONVILLE at HOUSTON

    Play Jacksonville UNDER in a Dome (2-8 since 1995).

    SAN FRANCISCO at MINNESOTA

    Play ON Minnesota vs. San Francisco (7-2 since 1987).

    NEW ENGLAND at WASHINGTON

    Play AGAINST New England on the road vs. any NFC East team (1-8 since 1984).

    SAN DIEGO at OAKLAND

    Play ON San Diego on the road vs. Oakland (10-3 since 1990).


    COLLEGE

    September 25 (Thursday)

    NEBRASKA at SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI

    Play AGAINST Nebraska on grass (8-17 since 1990).

    September 27 (Saturday)

    IOWA STATE at NORTHERN ILLINOIS

    Play AGAINST Iowa State as a dog vs. non conference teams (4-12 since 1993).

    L.S.U. at MISSISSIPPI STATE

    Play ON L.S.U. their first conference road game (15-3-1 since 1984).

    Play ON L.S.U. vs. Mississippi State (10-2 since 1991).

    MISSOURI at KANSAS

    Play AGAINST Missouri after 2 home games (2-9 since 1995).

    Play AGAINST Missouri on the road in September (5-14-1 since 1982).

    NAVY at RUTGERS

    Play ON Navy after one home game (28-12 since 1991).

    Play ON Navy on the road on grass (27-9 since 1991).

    NORTH CAROLINA at NORTH CAROLINA STATE

    Play ON North Carolina on the road in September (12-4 since 1992).

    WASHINGTON STATE at OREGON

    Play AGAINST the dog when Washington State plays Oregon (3-8 since 1993).

    WYOMING at BOISE STATE

    Play AGAINST Wyoming the second of a two game road trip (5-12 since 1988).

    Comment


    • #3
      Strong trends for this week's college games
      Saturday's games
      Televised games


      Minnesota beat Penn State the last two years, and now are favored in Happy Valley; they're 5-2 in last seven tries as road favorite, but did their early schedule, filled with cupcakes, prepare them for this? Lions allowed 337 rush yards at Nebraska; they covered just two of 10 Big 11 openers, and still have trouble completing passes.

      Northwestern is 0-4-1 vs spread in last five visits to this site; they're 8-5 in last 13 overall as road dog. Only two of last five Buckeye wins in this series were by more than 18 points. Ohio St covered seven of last 10 openers in Big 11 play.

      Missouri won just one of last six visits to this site, in what is keen rivalry; dogs covered three of last four series tilts. Jayhawks won their last three games, scoring 129 points, averaging 550 total yards. Mizzou was way lucky to nip Middle Tennessee in OT last week, at home.

      Big East road teams are 9-2-1 in non-league games this year, but one of losses was Pittsburgh at Toledo last week. Texas A&M covered eight of its last 13 after a loss; they escaped Pittsburgh with 14-12 win last year. Pitt is 8-20 vs spread in game before its last 28 byes.

      Road team covered nine of last 10 Wake Forest-UVa games, with Deacons winning just one of last 19 series games; Wake is 4-1 vs the spread in last five visits to this site. Dogs are 10-4 vs spread in Virginia's last 14 home games, with Cavs 8-13 in last 21 as home favorite.

      Favorites covered eight of last 10 Wazoo-Oregon tilts, with Coogs losing four of last five visits to Eugene; all 4 losses were by 19+ points. State covered 10 of its last 13 Pac-10 road games, and seven of last nine as a road dog. Oregon coming off big Michigan win; they covered just four of last 13 as home favorite.

      Home team won four of last five Arkansas-Alabama tilts, but you have to be impressed by Razorbacks winning at Texas, then routing North Texas in letdown spot , while Tide was losing at home to Northern Illinois. Tide 10-14 vs spread in last 24 home games. Hog foes just 44-91 passing this year, as they run ball and play great defense.

      Favorites covered six of last eight Wisconsin-Illinois tilts, including last four games at this site, but Illini are 4-1 in last five tries as home dog. Illini have yet to beat I-A foe this year (0-3), while Badgers just 9-19 in last 28 tries as favorite.

      Why is Tulane-Texas on TV? Longhorns have faced all running teams thus far, so Losman will present threat of different type. Big 12 home favorites covered just six of last 18 vs non-league foes. Texas has KState and the Sooners on deck the next two weeks, but they are 11-8 in their last 19 tries as home favorite-- good bullies.

      South Carolina lost its last five visits to Tennessee by an average score of 36-10, but they covered the last three; Gamecocks are 1-4 in last five tries as road dog. Road team covered last six series games, with average total in last four a mere 30.8. Vols in Florida/Auburn sandwich; they're 5-10 in last 15 tries as home favorite.

      Mississippi State has lost eight games in row, and LSU on high after beating Georgia, so definite upset alert here, even though LSU won four of last five visits to this site, including 42-0 blowout two years ago. Bulldogs covered just one of last 11 series games.

      USC won four of last five visits to Berkeley, but the Cal Bears covered six of last eight series games, , losing just 30-28 at Coliseum last year. Trojans are 5-2 in their last seven tries as road favorite. Cal is 10-6 in its last 16 tries as home dog, and are 7-2 as dog under Tedford.

      Arizona State is 17-1-1 in its last 19 games vs Oregon State, with seven wins in row; home team is 14-1-1 vs the spread in this series, with dogs covering last six Sun Devil visits to this site. Beavers are 15-4 in last 19 tries as home favorite, but 0-2 this season. Sun Devils off to slow start this year, are just 11 for 41 on third down.

      Other games of interest


      -- Ball State covered just six of last 20 on carpet.
      -- Home team won six of last seven Iowa-Michigan St games, with dogs covering five of Hawkeyes' last six visits to this site.
      -- Texas Tech beat Ole Miss 42-28 in Lubbock last year, despite being outgained 450-309 by the Rebels. Tech just 5-11 in last 16 tries as road underdog.
      -- Army has been outscored 69-6 in the first half of its three games this season, all of which were at home.
      -- Notre Dame covered just two of its last 17 games that came before a bye. Purdue is 19-11 in its last 30 tries as a home favorite.
      -- North Carolina had an emotional week, as its starting center lost his brother in Iraq. Dogs covered four of their last five games vs arch-rival NC State.
      -- Kent State is 2-9 in its last 11 tries as home dog.
      -- Western Michigan covered just five of its last 18 road games in September.
      -- Cincinnati is 6-0 as road dog the last 2+ years, and is 13-6 vs spread in its last 19 non-league games.
      -- Temple covered 11 of its last 14 tries as road dog of 10 or more points.
      -- Road teams covered eight of the last 11 Colorado St-Utah games.
      -- Favorites covered five of Air Force's last six trips to BYU, but Cougars using backup QB, due to injury.
      -- Average total in last three Washington-Stanford tilts is 64.7. Huskies covered 13 of last 18 series games.
      -- Iowa State is 8-16 in its last 24 tries as road dog.
      -- Syracuse covered 14 of its last 20 tries as favorite. Toledo beat Pitt at home last week, passing for almost 500 yards.
      -- Navy is 20-12 in its last 32 tries as road underdog.
      -- Florida won its last seven trips to Kentucky, covering last four. Gators will use frosh QB Leak, instead of using two QBs, as they had done so far in '03.
      -- Georgia Tech routed Vanderbilt 45-3 last year, but Jackets completed less than half their passes in their last three games. Vandy is 5-3 in last eight tries as home dog
      -- Arizona lost its last three games by combined score of 166-30, and were outscored 82-0 in first half. Arizona is 3-13 in last 16 tries as home underdog.
      -- San Diego State is 15-7 in last 22 tries as road dog, but they're 2-9 vs spread in its last 11 vs UCLA, which is just 4-9 in last 13 tries as home favorite.
      -- Marshall is 5-10 in its last 15 tries as road favorite of 10 or more points.
      - New Mexico covered 17 of its last 23 as home fave.

      Comment


      • #4
        thanks Monte:D

        Comment


        • #5
          NFL Home Dogs 2-10 ATS so far.

          Comment


          • #6
            Ball State - 1-6 ATS away off BB ATS wins
            Boston College - 6-1 ATS off a conference loss

            Minnesota - 8-1 ATS away after scoring 42+ points
            Penn State - 2-8 ATS at home in the first half of the season

            Wake Forest - 4-1 ATS vs. Virginia
            Virginia - 9-16 ATS off a bye week

            Northwestern - 3-7 ATS vs. Ohio State
            Ohio State - 23-13 ATS in September

            Indiana - 1-5 ATS off a home loss
            Michigan - 5-1 ATS as home favorites off a loss

            Iowa - 12-4 ATS vs. conference opponents
            Michigan State - 4-13 ATS in home games

            Texas Tech - 35-17 ATS off a SU loss
            Mississippi - 3-12 ATS after scoring 24+ points in the first half

            LSU - 10-3 ATS after allowing 14 or less points
            Mississippi State - 2-11 ATS first half of the season

            Southern Florida - 8-2 ATS as a favorite
            Army - 1-5 ATS last six games

            Notre Dame - 2-9 ATS off a SU loss
            Purdue - 10-1 ATS at home after playing BB games as a favorite

            North Carolina - 3-10 ATS off a road game
            NC State - 6-0 ATS off an Over

            Central Florida - 5-2 Over last seven games
            Kent State - 5-1 ATS vs. opponents off a loss by 10+ points

            Western Michigan - 1-6 ATS in September
            Ohio - 5-1 ATS after playing BB games as an underdog

            Cincinnati - 9-2 ATS as an underdog
            Miami OH - 1-5 ATS at home off ATS wins in 2 of the last 3 games

            Temple - 11-24 ATS in non-conference games
            Louisville - 9-2 ATS off an ATS loss

            Utah - 8-0 ATS as an underdog
            Colorado State - 1-7 ATS as a home favorite

            Air Force - 18-6 ATS away off a home win
            BYU - 4-16 ATS off a SU loss as a favorite

            Arkansas - 10-2 ATS as an underdog
            Alabama - 1-6 ATS off a home loss

            Washington State - 9-23 ATS off BB games allowing 125 or less rush yards
            Oregon - 11-2 ATS after playing as a home underdog

            Stanford - 7-1 ATS in September
            Washington - 1-8 ATS off a home win by 28+ points

            Comment


            • #7
              Just heard this on the radio here and thought I might chime in.

              NFL

              If the favorite is winning by more then 17 points at the half take the under in the second half. 9-0 this season.

              I don't know if you guys have seen this or not. The guy from BOS.com was a guest on the radio show here and mentioned a few but this one stood out from the rest.

              Take Care and good luck

              Mick.

              Comment

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