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WELL ALL-IN-ALL A DISAPPOINTING WEEK ALTHOUGH WE STILL CAME OUT AHEAD AT THE END. SATURDAY 6-5 DAY FOR A +2.5 NET UNIT GAIN AFTER VIG, AND SUNDAY 4-3 IN THE NFL FOR A +.4 NET UNIT PROFIT AFTER VIG. JUST CAN'T SEEM TO CATCH A NEEDED BREAK AS WE HAVE CERTAINLY CHOSEN THE RIGHT SIDES WITH SAN DIEGO OUTGAINING BALTIMORE BY 140 TOTAL YARDS, BUT AGAIN FOR THE THIRD STRAIGHT WEEK, VERY COSTLY TURNOVERS KILLED OUR CHANCE FOR AN ATS WIN. THE 8* PLAY AS PROJECTED SHOULD HAVE BEEN AN EASY WINNER WITH NORTH TEXAS STICKING RIGHT WITH ARKANSAS, BUT A TOUGH SECOND QUARTER WHERE THEY GAVE UP 24 POINTS FOLLOWED BY A SCORELESS 3RD AND 4TH QUARTERS. BUT WE ARE RIGHT ON THE CUSBIT GUYS, WHEN THE 8* PLAY HITS NEXT TIME...IT WILL BE A HUGE DAY! AS ALWAYS, I PLAY ALL GAMES AT $100/UNIT SO ADJUST THE RATING ACCORDING TO HOW YOU BET. GOOD LUCK IF YOU PLAY!
THIS WEEK AM GOING TO POST SOME EARLY PLAYS FOR THE PURPOSES OF POSSIBLY MIDDELING THE GAME COME SATURDAY MORNING. I WOULD RECOMMEND BUYING THE LSU LINE NOW...AS THE GAME WILL GO UP PAST A TWO (2) TD NUMBER BEFORE GAMETIME...AND THEN BUYBACK YOUR BET FOR A GREAT MIDDELING OPPORTUNITY. THE LINE IS CURRENTLY -13!
IF YOUR INTERESTED IN GETTING A FULL SEASON OF MY PLAYS SEND ME AN EMAIL [email protected] AS I WILL NOT BE POSTING ALL MY PLAYS THIS YEAR.
8* MY TOP PLAY...VERY RARE (23-8 ) LAST YEAR IN FOOTBALL (74%)
6-7* HIGH RATED SELECTION ONLY WHEN ALOT OF GAMES ON THE CARD TO CHOSE FROM (WELL OVER 60%)
5* EXCEPTIONAL PLAY USUALLY HIGHEST WHEN ONLY A FEW GAMES
4* VERY STRONG SELECTION
3* STRONG SELECTION
2* PROBABLE COVER (MOST COMMON RATING)
1* A GAME THAT SHOULD COVER
OPINION PLAY: GAME THAT I THINK MAY WIN BUT OFTEN JUST TO WATCH A GAME OR A LEAN USUALLY 1/2 A UNIT.
Season Record: NFL 10-10 50% (-1.50) -$150
SUMMARY OF PLAYS NFL FOOTBALL:
(4*) CAROLINA -6
(3*) EAGLES +3
(2*) COWBOYS +3
(1*) EAGLES +160
(.5*) DALLAS +150
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PHILADELPHIA (0 - 2) at BUFFALO (2 - 1)
Week 4 Sunday, 9/28/2003 1:00 PM
vs 
199 PHILADELPHIA 41
200 BUFFALO -3.5
Detailed Analysis
Will the real Philadelphia Eagles please stand up? They haven't yet, although in fairness, they've lost to the last two Super Bowl champs (Bucs, Patriots). On the other hand, both those games were at home and the Eagles (0-2 SU/ATS) are averaging 5 points per game! The Eagles entered this season with Super Bowl aspirations. After losing in the NFC championship game each of the last two seasons, the Eagles entered this year with one goal - Super Bowl or bust. So far, it's been a major bust as the Eagles have been manhandled in losing their two home games by a combined 48-10 against the defending Super Bowl champion Bucs and Pats.
The Eagles enter this contest off their bye and are looking to avoid their first three-game losing streak since dropping four in a row in 1999 - Andy Reid's first season as coach. Reid, who has built a reputation as an offensive coach, has watched his offense look downright offensive through two games. The Eagles have committed seven turnovers, yielded 10 sacks and Reid has abandoned the running game. McNabb has completed just 45 percent (37-of-82) of his passes for 334 yards and three interceptions. Buckhalter, who began the season as the Eagles' starting running back, has just one carry in two games. "We lost two games and people think it's the end of the world," Buckhalter said. "We're going to go out there and play some emotional football and start a winning streak." The Eagles' defense also has been decimated by injuries. They have lost three defensive linemen to season-ending injuries and cornerback B Taylor and fellow Pro Bowl free safety B Dawkins likely will miss their second straight game with foot injuries.
Many, think that being shorthanded on defense could be trouble against the Bills, who feature quarterback Bledsoe and star receiver E Moulds. Running back T Henry could miss the contest with injured ribs. Bledsoe and the rest of the Bills' offense will be looking to get back on track after getting shut down in last Sunday's 17-7 loss at Miami. The Bills managed just 118 total yards and eight first downs in losing for the first time in three games. Against the Dolphins, Bledsoe completed 10-of-25 passes for 98 yards, with two interceptions. Moulds was held to two receptions for 30 yards.
Buffalo leads the series, 5-4. The Bills posted a 26-0 victory over the Eagles in the last meeting between the teams here in 1999. Perhaps getting away from the Philly boo-birds will help. Injuries have hit Philly hard, but with two weeks to prepare for this matchup look for Andy Reid to steady the ship and for innovative defensive coordinator Jimmy Johnson to have some tricks up his sleeve, though missing safety Brian Dawkins and possibly cornerback Bobby Taylor. This is a great spot for the Eagles. Coming off a bye and back-toback home losses, the Eagles have to be extremely hungry for a win. Add Buffalo’s terrible 2-20 ATS record (11 ATS losses in a row) in the game following a Miami game and Philly’s sterling 13-5 ATS mark as road dogs and the game sets up perfectly. Remember, the Green Birds are 7-1 ATS in games off a SU favorite loss with Reid.
Projected Score: BUF Bills 17, PHI Eagles 24
PLAY 3* UNITS ON THE EAGLES +3.5
PLAY EAGLES MONEYLINE +160
DALLAS (1 - 1) at NY JETS (0 - 3)
Week 4 Sunday, 9/28/2003 4:15 PM
vs 
215 DALLAS 37
216 NY JETS -3
Detailed Analysis
Monday morning headline in NY city: Parcell's "King of New York." As it stands now, Parcells has more wins at the Meadowlands this season than the Jets, the team he coached from 1997-99. The Jets will have to beat their former boss on Sunday when they host Parcells and the Cowboys to avoid hitting the bye week with an 0-4 record. But the Parcells Reunion Tour started with a 35-32 overtime win here over the Giants on September 15. Parcells ends the Tour with a game at New England on November 16. "A lot's going to be made of it because it's Parcells coming back to New York again for the second time in three weeks," said Jets four-time Pro Bowl center Mawae, who was signed by Parcells in February 1998.
Parcells led the Jets to the AFC championship game in 1998 and went 29-19 in his three years with the team. But he "retired" from coaching after the 1999 season and remained as general manager for one more year before leaving the organization. Although Parcells said he would never coach again, many of the Jets knew he would return to the field. "He had the itch, you could see it," said Jets cornerback R Mickens. "This is the NFL and change is imminent." After three straight 5-11 finishes, Cowboys owner Jerry Jones was seeking dramatic change when he hired Parcells, who coached the Giants to two Super Bowl titles and New England to a Super Bowl appearance. The Cowboys lost at home to Atlanta, 27-13 in Parcells' debut but followed that up with the overtime win at Giants Stadium. Q Carter threw for a career-high 321 yards and PK Cundiff tied an NFL record with seven field goals. Maligned after missing an extra-point and a short field goal attempt in the loss to Atlanta, Cundiff kicked a career-high 52-yard field goal on the final play of regulation to tie the game and drilled the winning 25-yarder in overtime.
The Jets have scored a total of 39 points in three games, and have fared poorly in the red zone, managing one touchdown in six possessions inside the opponents' 20. They were fourth in the NFL in red zone efficiency last season. New York has also failed to establish a balanced offense, calling 115 passes and only 50 rushes in three games. Testaverde threw for 264 yards and a touchdown in last week's 23-16 loss at New England. Testaverde, who turns 40 in November, is eighth all-time with 40,300 yards. Hall of Famer Joe Montana is seventh all-time with 40,551 yards.
How important is coaching in football? You'll see it on display here. Dallas (1-1 SU/ATS) has had two weeks to prepare and played their last game in these neck of the woods, a wild 35-32 OT win at the Giants. The young players are responding under Bill Parcells, and this team is averaging 24 points and 275 yards passing per game. The 'D' has been able to stop the run, but not the pass, so perhaps the Jets can score with their air game here. On the other hand, the Jets (0-3 SU, 0-2-1 ATS) are a mess with a pitiful (and conservative) offense under aging Vinny Testaverde that has scored 13, 10 and 16 points in three games (all losses). Listening to coach Edwards he doesn't sound confident of his team. Note that he's not playing mind games with Parcell's by talking up the Boyz', but rather diminishing his teams performance and ability. Jets again without key contributors on defense and the linebackers are very slow. Meanwhile Parcells has had the bye to come down off the mountain with their upset win on this field two weeks ago. Dallas has solid secondary that matches up very well to Jets receivers. All sign point to an underdog straight up win in this affair. Also lean on the UNDER in this one with the lifeless JETS...bet the tick...tick...tick.
Projected Score: DAL Cowboys 17, NY Jets 10
PLAY 2* UNITS ON DALLAS +3
PLAY .5 UNITS ON DALLAS +150
THIS WEEK AM GOING TO POST SOME EARLY PLAYS FOR THE PURPOSES OF POSSIBLY MIDDELING THE GAME COME SATURDAY MORNING. I WOULD RECOMMEND BUYING THE LSU LINE NOW...AS THE GAME WILL GO UP PAST A TWO (2) TD NUMBER BEFORE GAMETIME...AND THEN BUYBACK YOUR BET FOR A GREAT MIDDELING OPPORTUNITY. THE LINE IS CURRENTLY -13!
IF YOUR INTERESTED IN GETTING A FULL SEASON OF MY PLAYS SEND ME AN EMAIL [email protected] AS I WILL NOT BE POSTING ALL MY PLAYS THIS YEAR.
8* MY TOP PLAY...VERY RARE (23-8 ) LAST YEAR IN FOOTBALL (74%)
6-7* HIGH RATED SELECTION ONLY WHEN ALOT OF GAMES ON THE CARD TO CHOSE FROM (WELL OVER 60%)
5* EXCEPTIONAL PLAY USUALLY HIGHEST WHEN ONLY A FEW GAMES
4* VERY STRONG SELECTION
3* STRONG SELECTION
2* PROBABLE COVER (MOST COMMON RATING)
1* A GAME THAT SHOULD COVER
OPINION PLAY: GAME THAT I THINK MAY WIN BUT OFTEN JUST TO WATCH A GAME OR A LEAN USUALLY 1/2 A UNIT.
Season Record: NFL 10-10 50% (-1.50) -$150
SUMMARY OF PLAYS NFL FOOTBALL:
(4*) CAROLINA -6
(3*) EAGLES +3
(2*) COWBOYS +3
(1*) EAGLES +160
(.5*) DALLAS +150
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PHILADELPHIA (0 - 2) at BUFFALO (2 - 1)
Week 4 Sunday, 9/28/2003 1:00 PM
vs 199 PHILADELPHIA 41
200 BUFFALO -3.5
Detailed Analysis
Will the real Philadelphia Eagles please stand up? They haven't yet, although in fairness, they've lost to the last two Super Bowl champs (Bucs, Patriots). On the other hand, both those games were at home and the Eagles (0-2 SU/ATS) are averaging 5 points per game! The Eagles entered this season with Super Bowl aspirations. After losing in the NFC championship game each of the last two seasons, the Eagles entered this year with one goal - Super Bowl or bust. So far, it's been a major bust as the Eagles have been manhandled in losing their two home games by a combined 48-10 against the defending Super Bowl champion Bucs and Pats.
The Eagles enter this contest off their bye and are looking to avoid their first three-game losing streak since dropping four in a row in 1999 - Andy Reid's first season as coach. Reid, who has built a reputation as an offensive coach, has watched his offense look downright offensive through two games. The Eagles have committed seven turnovers, yielded 10 sacks and Reid has abandoned the running game. McNabb has completed just 45 percent (37-of-82) of his passes for 334 yards and three interceptions. Buckhalter, who began the season as the Eagles' starting running back, has just one carry in two games. "We lost two games and people think it's the end of the world," Buckhalter said. "We're going to go out there and play some emotional football and start a winning streak." The Eagles' defense also has been decimated by injuries. They have lost three defensive linemen to season-ending injuries and cornerback B Taylor and fellow Pro Bowl free safety B Dawkins likely will miss their second straight game with foot injuries.
Many, think that being shorthanded on defense could be trouble against the Bills, who feature quarterback Bledsoe and star receiver E Moulds. Running back T Henry could miss the contest with injured ribs. Bledsoe and the rest of the Bills' offense will be looking to get back on track after getting shut down in last Sunday's 17-7 loss at Miami. The Bills managed just 118 total yards and eight first downs in losing for the first time in three games. Against the Dolphins, Bledsoe completed 10-of-25 passes for 98 yards, with two interceptions. Moulds was held to two receptions for 30 yards.
Buffalo leads the series, 5-4. The Bills posted a 26-0 victory over the Eagles in the last meeting between the teams here in 1999. Perhaps getting away from the Philly boo-birds will help. Injuries have hit Philly hard, but with two weeks to prepare for this matchup look for Andy Reid to steady the ship and for innovative defensive coordinator Jimmy Johnson to have some tricks up his sleeve, though missing safety Brian Dawkins and possibly cornerback Bobby Taylor. This is a great spot for the Eagles. Coming off a bye and back-toback home losses, the Eagles have to be extremely hungry for a win. Add Buffalo’s terrible 2-20 ATS record (11 ATS losses in a row) in the game following a Miami game and Philly’s sterling 13-5 ATS mark as road dogs and the game sets up perfectly. Remember, the Green Birds are 7-1 ATS in games off a SU favorite loss with Reid.
Projected Score: BUF Bills 17, PHI Eagles 24
PLAY 3* UNITS ON THE EAGLES +3.5
PLAY EAGLES MONEYLINE +160
DALLAS (1 - 1) at NY JETS (0 - 3)
Week 4 Sunday, 9/28/2003 4:15 PM
vs 215 DALLAS 37
216 NY JETS -3
Detailed Analysis
Monday morning headline in NY city: Parcell's "King of New York." As it stands now, Parcells has more wins at the Meadowlands this season than the Jets, the team he coached from 1997-99. The Jets will have to beat their former boss on Sunday when they host Parcells and the Cowboys to avoid hitting the bye week with an 0-4 record. But the Parcells Reunion Tour started with a 35-32 overtime win here over the Giants on September 15. Parcells ends the Tour with a game at New England on November 16. "A lot's going to be made of it because it's Parcells coming back to New York again for the second time in three weeks," said Jets four-time Pro Bowl center Mawae, who was signed by Parcells in February 1998.
Parcells led the Jets to the AFC championship game in 1998 and went 29-19 in his three years with the team. But he "retired" from coaching after the 1999 season and remained as general manager for one more year before leaving the organization. Although Parcells said he would never coach again, many of the Jets knew he would return to the field. "He had the itch, you could see it," said Jets cornerback R Mickens. "This is the NFL and change is imminent." After three straight 5-11 finishes, Cowboys owner Jerry Jones was seeking dramatic change when he hired Parcells, who coached the Giants to two Super Bowl titles and New England to a Super Bowl appearance. The Cowboys lost at home to Atlanta, 27-13 in Parcells' debut but followed that up with the overtime win at Giants Stadium. Q Carter threw for a career-high 321 yards and PK Cundiff tied an NFL record with seven field goals. Maligned after missing an extra-point and a short field goal attempt in the loss to Atlanta, Cundiff kicked a career-high 52-yard field goal on the final play of regulation to tie the game and drilled the winning 25-yarder in overtime.
The Jets have scored a total of 39 points in three games, and have fared poorly in the red zone, managing one touchdown in six possessions inside the opponents' 20. They were fourth in the NFL in red zone efficiency last season. New York has also failed to establish a balanced offense, calling 115 passes and only 50 rushes in three games. Testaverde threw for 264 yards and a touchdown in last week's 23-16 loss at New England. Testaverde, who turns 40 in November, is eighth all-time with 40,300 yards. Hall of Famer Joe Montana is seventh all-time with 40,551 yards.
How important is coaching in football? You'll see it on display here. Dallas (1-1 SU/ATS) has had two weeks to prepare and played their last game in these neck of the woods, a wild 35-32 OT win at the Giants. The young players are responding under Bill Parcells, and this team is averaging 24 points and 275 yards passing per game. The 'D' has been able to stop the run, but not the pass, so perhaps the Jets can score with their air game here. On the other hand, the Jets (0-3 SU, 0-2-1 ATS) are a mess with a pitiful (and conservative) offense under aging Vinny Testaverde that has scored 13, 10 and 16 points in three games (all losses). Listening to coach Edwards he doesn't sound confident of his team. Note that he's not playing mind games with Parcell's by talking up the Boyz', but rather diminishing his teams performance and ability. Jets again without key contributors on defense and the linebackers are very slow. Meanwhile Parcells has had the bye to come down off the mountain with their upset win on this field two weeks ago. Dallas has solid secondary that matches up very well to Jets receivers. All sign point to an underdog straight up win in this affair. Also lean on the UNDER in this one with the lifeless JETS...bet the tick...tick...tick.
Projected Score: DAL Cowboys 17, NY Jets 10
PLAY 2* UNITS ON DALLAS +3
PLAY .5 UNITS ON DALLAS +150
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