Kaptains "Waders" for Monday

[Kaptain]

staying in "Shallow Water" today, gonna do a lil "wading"....

NBA
501 Dallas -3................................................. ...........POD

CBB
517 Wisc GB +4
523 Kansas - 5 1/2
523/524 Ks/Tx OVER 147 1/2........................................POD
527 St Mary's - 5 1/2
529 San Diego - 3 1/2

gl to all----see you guys later...

[longnex]

Good luck

[skyz]

gl kapt

[shoeman530]

good luck kapt

[jcindaville]

BOL Karl

[BigWeiner]

Good luck Kapt

[Red Bill]

GL and thanks Kapt---I was honey-doing all day yesterday-- I, too set up a new lamp, did the carpet and entertained three grandboys-- as well as get groceries and go to church. Dallas let me down last week, I hope they come to play tonite. Also, I think the Clippers are frozen and tired up here in the North Country--Go Bucks.

[xjcx]

Always respect your plays Kapt!

I was thinking about playing the OVER (kan/tx) as well, but 147 seems a little too high. Can I get a reason or two as to why you like it so much?

GL!

[3ebRocks]

With ya on Kansas over and San Diego. Good luck on those and the rest of your pics Kap!

[Kaptain]

xjcx

Always respect your plays Kapt!

I was thinking about playing the OVER (kan/tx) as well, but 147 seems a little too high. Can I get a reason or two as to why you like it so much?

GL!

I'll try, and give you my rationale on the OVER

Ks averages 83
Texas 77

When Ks plays a team that avgs 77 or better the OVER 10-3, when Texas plays a team that avgs over 77 the OVER is 6-2...
Compiled that equates to 18-5, or a 78% probability of going OVER....

Kansas has played 24 games, and heres some of their scoring prowess....
scored 100 or better----2 times
...........90...................3........
...........80...................11 times.....thats 16 times they left them selves wide open for an OVER or 70% of their games.....

Texas
scres 100 or better-----2 times
.........90....................3........
.........80....................5....

Kansas has allowed 84 to K St and 90 to Baylor
Texas allowd 97 to Mzo, and 87 to N Mex St....

If Texas wants any chance of winning, they'll have to keep a pace with Kansas......a fast pace.....

I see Kansas in the 80's and Tex in the 70's......

Low 70 and a low 80 equates to an over, but one of the 2 may be in the hi 70's, or hi 80's.....game may also go into overtime....

Both avg 69 % on free throws, but go to the foul line Ks 20 times per game, and Tx 23...thats 43....

Ks avgs 10 steals a game, Tex 7, that translates into points....

Texas hits 46 % of their shots, 39 % of 3 pt shots.....
Ks............51........................38........ ...................

If they both play their avg game, it goes OVER....If one of the 2 falters, and the other is Hot, It goes OVER, If both play slow down game, and shoot bad, it goes under, but that's neither ones style......

I see Kansas winning 83-72

Hope this explains how I got there.....let's hope I'm right....lock and load....

[birdog]

good luck

[Red Bill]

Wow--I'm impressed with Ernest of the 'seas'

[st bobby]

gl luck kapt thanks I might play the overs in the Kansas game

[xjcx]

Thanks for the in-depth explanation.
Can't disagree with anything you said above.

[PhilJr]

GL in the kiddie pool Kapt